Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleUEFA CLChance will finish season at seedLigue 2
FridayPGW-D-LGD%Change%Change1234567891011121314151617181920Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrength
MonacoWRennes 3-29530-5-376YesYes1001.0No1.848Monaco
PSGTCaen 1-18727-6-556NoYes1002.0No2.830Paris Saint-Germain
NiceTLyon 3-37822-12-427NoYes1003.0No3.695Nice
LyonTNice 3-36520-5-1329NoNo1004.0No6.667Lyon
MarseilleWBastia 1-06217-11-1016NoNo1005.0+0.24No4.619Marseille
BordeauxTLorient 1-15915-14-910NoNo1006.0-0.24No5.575Bordeaux
NantesLLille 0-35114-9-15-14NoNo1007.0+0.60No9.383Nantes
Saint-ÉtienneLNancy 1-35012-14-12-1NoNo1008.0-0.29No7.487Saint-Étienne
RennesLMonaco 2-35012-14-12-6NoNo1009.0-0.07No8.437Rennes
GuingampWMetz 1-05014-8-16-7NoNo10010.0-0.24No10.442Guingamp
LilleWNantes 3-04613-7-18-7NoNo10011.0+1.34No13.435Lille
AngersWMontpellier 2-04613-7-18-9NoNo10012.0+0.49No11.419Angers
ToulouseTDijon 0-04410-14-14-4NoNo10013.0-1.07No14.457Toulouse
MetzLGuingamp 0-14311-10-17-33NoNo10014.0-0.76No12.280Metz
MontpellierLAngers 0-23910-9-19-18NoNo10015.0+0.12No16.377Montpellier
DijonTToulouse 0-0378-13-17-12NoNo10016.0+0.26No-6.319.408Dijon
CaenTPSG 1-13710-7-21-29NoNo10017.0+0.54No-51.918.287Caen
LorientTBordeaux 1-13610-6-22-26NoNo10018.0+0.18Yes+28.617.327Lorient
NancyWSaint-Étienne 3-1359-8-21-23NoNo10019.0+0.80Yes20.289Nancy
BastiaLMarseille 0-1358-11-19-25NoNo10020.0-1.90Yes+29.615.278Bastia

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 5/5
Nancy 0 Monaco 3
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Monaco+2.4
PSG-2.3
Dijon-1.5
Caen-1.2
Lorient-1.3
Nancy+5.0
-0.2
Bastia-1.0
PSG 5 Bastia 0
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Monaco-1.6
PSG+1.6
Dijon-1.3
Caen-1.4
Lorient-1.9
Nancy-1.0
Bastia+5.7
-0.3
Marseille 2 Nice 1
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
NiceNo
Toulouse 0 Caen 1
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Toulouse-1.0
Dijon+10.4
-0.2
Caen-32.8
+1.1
Lorient+10.1
-0.3
Nancy+5.4
-0.3
Bastia+6.3
-0.3
Guingamp 4 Dijon 0
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Guingamp+0.9
Dijon+16.9
-0.7
Caen-5.4
Lorient-3.9
+0.2
Nancy-4.3
Bastia-3.1
Lorient 1 Angers 1
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Angers-0.1
Toulouse*No
Dijon-0.5
Caen-0.1
Lorient+2.8
-0.2
Nancy-0.3
Bastia-1.7
Lille 0 Metz 2
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Lille-1.2
Metz+1.1
Rennes 1 Montpellier 0
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Rennes+0.8
Montpellier+0.1
-0.7
Lyon 3 Nantes 2
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Nantes-0.2
Week of 5/13
Monaco 4 Lille 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Monaco+1.7
PSG-1.7
Lille-0.3
Saint-Étienne 0 PSG 5
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Monaco-1.4
PSG+1.4
Caen 0 Rennes 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Rennes+0.6
Dijon-9.6
+0.2
Caen+21.8
-0.5
Lorient-7.1
+0.2
Nancy-2.7
Bastia-2.4
Bastia 2 Lorient 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
MontpellierNo
Dijon-9.0
Caen-8.3
+0.2
Lorient+38.3
-1.1
Nancy-3.8
-0.2
Bastia-17.1
+1.0
Dijon 2 Nancy 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Montpellier+0.1
Dijon-30.3
+0.9
Caen+11.7
-0.2
Lorient+6.4
NancyYes
-0.6
Bastia+2.7
Montpellier 1 Lyon 3
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Montpellier+0.1
-0.4
Metz 1 Toulouse 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Toulouse-0.2
Metz-0.0
Nice 0 Angers 2
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Angers+1.2
Nantes 4 Guingamp 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Nantes+1.0
Guingamp-1.0
Week of 5/17
Monaco 2 Saint-Étienne 0
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
MonacoYes
PSGNo
Saint-Étienne-0.2
PSG 1 Caen 1
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Dijon+6.8
-0.2
Caen-32.2
+0.6
Lorient+10.4
-0.2
Bastia+15.0
-0.2
Marseille 1 Bastia 0
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Dijon-3.4
Caen-17.3
+0.3
Lorient-8.9
+0.2
BastiaYes
-0.7
Lorient 1 Bordeaux 1
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Dijon-3.6
Caen+16.3
-0.3
Lorient-8.9
+0.4
Bastia-3.8
Toulouse 0 Dijon 0
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Dijon-2.1
Caen+3.1
Lorient-0.8
Nancy 3 Saint-Étienne 1
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Nantes+0.4
Saint-Étienne-0.9
Nancy+0.9
Lille 3 Nantes 0
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Nantes-0.6
Saint-Étienne+0.4
Lille+0.9
Angers-0.3
Toulouse-0.3
Angers 2 Montpellier 0
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Lille-0.3
Angers+0.9
Guingamp 1 Metz 0
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Lille+0.3
Angers+0.3
Metz-0.8
Rennes 2 Monaco 3
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Nantes+0.2
Rennes-0.4

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you MarkusPaminger for adding this league.