Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleUEFA CLChance will finish season at seedLigue 2
1/20PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change1234567891011121314151617181920Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrengthSaturday
PSGLLyonnais 1-25618-2-25190.1%-5.699.7%-0.29082000000001.1-0.07No1.793MontpellierParis Saint-Germain
LyonnaisWPSG 2-14814-6-2295.5+3.180.8+3.0546301900000000000002.6+0.11No-0.02.715at BordeauxLyonnais
MarseilleWCaen 2-04714-5-3232.3+1.359.8+0.32233439100000000000003.1+0.030.0%3.689Marseille
MonacoWMetz 3-14614-4-4282.2+1.259.5-2.622334391000000000000003.1-0.030.0-0.04.706Monaco
MontpellierWToulouse 2-1317-10-550.00.1-0.00001322417117421100000006.7+0.530.0-0.16.578at PSGMontpellier
NantesLBordeaux 0-13410-4-8-20.0-0.00.1-0.30001252318138532110000007.1-0.770.0+0.05.459at GuingampNantes
NiceWSaint-Étienne 1-03410-4-8-30.0+0.00.0-0.00001232219139532110000007.2+0.640.0-0.18.459at MetzNice
RennesWAngers 1-0319-4-9-30.00.0-0.0000010141616131075321100008.5+0.870.2-0.79.458at DijonRennes
GuingampLAmiens 1-3298-5-9-50.00.0-0.000004811141513108643211009.8-1.200.9+0.57.432NantesGuingamp
StrasbourgWDijon 3-2277-6-9-90.00.0-0.0000013581012121110875421011.6+1.223.6-6.110.405at LilleStrasbourg
AmiensWGuingamp 3-1257-4-11-40.00.0-0.000001246911111110987532012.2+1.745.4-11.113.434at AngersAmiens
BordeauxWNantes 1-0267-5-10-70.00.0-0.0000012368101111111097542012.4+1.236.0-8.412.412LyonnaisBordeaux
CaenLMarseille 0-2278-3-11-100.00.0-0.0000001246891011111110863113.3-1.099.4+3.211.333at Saint-ÉtienneCaen
DijonLStrasbourg 2-3257-4-11-140.00.0-0.0000001235791011111110974113.5-0.9511.5+3.114.378RennesDijon
TroyesWLille 1-0247-3-12-90.00.0-0.0000000124579101112121196214.2+1.1115.9-14.018.387at ToulouseTroyes
AngersLRennes 0-1224-10-8-70.00.0-0.0000000124679101111111196214.3-1.0617.2+5.115.415AmiensAngers
Saint-ÉtienneLNice 0-1236-5-11-170.00.0-0.000000000123457912151819616.4-0.7542.4+8.817.315CaenSaint-Étienne
LilleLTroyes 0-1226-4-12-14No0.0-0.00000000122457912151719716.5-0.8843.6+10.316.330StrasbourgLille
ToulouseLMontpellier 1-2205-5-12-12No0.0-0.000000001123468101418221016.9-0.5550.4+7.119.351TroyesToulouse
MetzLMonaco 1-3154-3-15-20No0.00000000000001237167119.4-0.1393.3+2.420.285NiceMetz

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 1/17
Lyonnais 2 PSG 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
PSG-4.3
Lyonnais+3.1
+8.7
+0.2
Marseille+0.7
-3.9
Monaco+0.5
-4.6
PSG 8 Dijon 0
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
PSG+1.9
Lyonnais-0.7
Monaco-0.6
DijonNo
+0.8
-0.4
Guingamp 0 Lyonnais 2
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
PSG-0.8
Lyonnais+1.0
+6.1
No
Marseille-3.0
Monaco-2.9
GuingampNo
-0.4
Monaco 2 Nice 2
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
PSG+0.8
Lyonnais+1.5
Marseille+2.2
Monaco-0.9
-3.8
No
NiceNo
Marseille 2 Strasbourg 0
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Lyonnais-3.3
Marseille+0.4
+6.6
No
Monaco-3.0
StrasbourgNo
+1.8
-0.5
Caen 0 Marseille 2
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Lyonnais-2.3
Marseille+0.4
+6.0
*No
Monaco-3.5
Caen*No
+1.6
-0.4
Monaco 3 Metz 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Lyonnais-2.4
Marseille-2.9
Monaco+0.3
+5.3
No
Metz*No
+1.9
Toulouse 1 Nantes 1
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
ToulouseNo
+0.4
Nantes 0 Bordeaux 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
NantesNo
-0.2
-0.4
Bordeaux-6.8
+1.1
Amiens 1 Montpellier 1
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
MontpellierNo
-0.2
AmiensNo
-0.6
Nice 1 Saint-Étienne 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Nice+0.6
Troyes-0.8
Angers-0.8
Saint-ÉtienneNo
+7.3
-0.6
Lille-1.4
Toulouse-1.3
Bordeaux 0 Caen 2
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Bordeaux*No
+5.2
-1.0
Caen-9.3
+1.1
Lille 1 Rennes 2
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Rennes-1.7
+0.8
Angers-0.8
Lille*No
No
+7.0
-0.7
Toulouse-1.0
Rennes 1 Angers 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Rennes-0.6
+0.8
AngersNo
+4.8
-0.8
Amiens 3 Guingamp 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
GuingampNo
+0.4
-0.7
Amiens-7.2
+1.1
Metz 3 Saint-Étienne 0
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Saint-Étienne*No
No
+8.8
-0.9
Toulouse-1.1
Metz-2.6
+0.2
Montpellier 2 Toulouse 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Montpellier+0.4
Amiens-0.6
Troyes-1.0
Saint-Étienne-1.1
Lille-1.0
ToulouseNo
+6.6
-0.5
Strasbourg 3 Dijon 2
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Strasbourg-4.9
+1.0
Dijon+4.1
-0.9
Angers 3 Troyes 1
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
TroyesNo
+8.1
-0.8
Angers-10.0
+1.0
Troyes 1 Lille 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Troyes-10.8
+0.9
LilleNo
+10.1
-0.8
Week of 1/27
PSG vs MontpellierIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
PSG93.388.084.2
99.999.699.3
1.11.11.2
Lyonnais3.76.68.6
Marseille1.52.83.7
Monaco1.42.63.5
Montpellier6.96.66.1
Bordeaux vs LyonnaisHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
PSG92.691.688.6
Lyonnais2.63.77.2
71.877.085.3
2.92.72.5
Marseille2.52.42.2
64.161.657.6
3.03.13.2
Monaco2.42.32.1
63.961.457.3
3.03.13.2
Bordeaux0.0NoNo
2.15.17.6
11.212.312.9
Guingamp vs NantesHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Nantes7.67.26.5
Guingamp0.0NoNo
0.30.91.5
8.99.910.5
Dijon vs RennesHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
RennesNoNo0.0
0.40.20.0
9.28.77.8
Dijon5.711.515.8
12.413.614.2
Metz vs NiceHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Nice7.87.46.7
Metz0.0NoNo
87.893.795.7
19.119.519.6
Saint-Étienne vs CaenHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
CaenNoNo0.0
15.39.63.9
14.213.512.3
Saint-Étienne0.0NoNo
29.144.353.1
15.516.617.1
Lille45.243.142.4
Toulouse52.050.049.4
Lille vs StrasbourgHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
StrasbourgNoNo0.0
6.63.81.3
12.511.910.7
Troyes17.215.815.1
Angers18.417.016.3
Saint-Étienne44.742.241.0
16.516.416.4
Lille0.00.0No
30.044.652.7
15.616.617.1
Toulouse52.650.249.0
16.916.816.8
Angers vs AmiensHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
AmiensNoNo0.0
8.65.52.2
13.112.411.2
Angers9.617.823.6
13.314.415.1
Toulouse vs TroyesHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Troyes24.416.78.1
15.114.413.3
Toulouse0.0NoNo
36.452.161.1
16.017.017.5

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you MarkusPaminger for adding this league.