Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleUEFA CLChance will finish season at seedLigue 2
2/21PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change1234567891011121314151617181920Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrengthFriday
Monaco5918-5-35266.9%+0.0100.0%6725800000001.4No2.782at GuingampMonaco
PSG5617-5-43221.0+0.099.621443500000002.1No3.762at MarseilleParis Saint-Germain
Nice5616-8-22212.1-0.099.1123156100000002.5No1.707MontpellierNice
Lyon4314-1-11170.01.100158241042100000000004.70.0%7.625MetzLyon
Saint-Étienne3910-9-7100.00.1-0.00002132221373110000000005.70.04.614CaenSaint-Étienne
Marseille3911-6-940.00.100010212519126321000000006.50.0+0.05.530PSGMarseille
Bordeaux3910-9-710.00.00007152122159531100000007.00.06.501at LilleBordeaux
Toulouse349-7-103No0.0001491518161396421100009.00.2+0.014.524at NancyToulouse
Guingamp349-7-10-3No0.00002510151715118643110009.8+0.010.5+0.010.459MonacoGuingamp
Rennes338-9-9-6No0.000013611141514118643210010.71.3+0.09.421LorientRennes
Montpellier328-8-10-5No0.000012591214141210754210011.2-0.021.8+0.111.450at NiceMontpellier
Metz339-6-11-19No0.000001247101213131197532012.75.0+0.18.322at LyonMetz
Lille298-5-13-8No0.00000124681012121211974113.9+0.0112.1+0.116.398BordeauxLille
Nantes3018-6-11-15No0.000000123579111212121085214.4-0.0215.6+0.312.316DijonNantes
Angers308-6-12-11No0.00000113579111213121085214.4-0.0215.2+0.313.362BastiaAngers
Dijon276-9-11-5No0.00000113469101212121196314.618.1+0.117.448at NantesDijon
CaenWNancy 1-0288-4-14-17No0.00000001235681113151513716.1+0.9735.3-17.318.335at Saint-ÉtienneCaen
Bastia2315-8-12-11No0.00000000123457101317211817.2-0.0254.9+0.315.364at AngersBastia
NancyLCaen 0-1277-6-13-16No0.00000000112357101419221617.4-0.9057.7+15.819.300ToulouseNancy
Lorient226-4-16-25NoNo0000000011234712205018.8-0.0282.4+0.120.295at RennesLorient

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 2/21
Caen 1 Nancy 0
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Metz+0.1
Lille+0.2
Nantes+0.3
Angers+0.2
Dijon+0.3
Caen-15.9
+0.9
Bastia+0.4
NancyNo
+14.0
-0.8
Lorient+0.2
Guingamp vs MonacoIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Monaco52.360.173.8
99.8100.0100.0
1.61.51.3
PSG30.025.216.8
2.02.12.2
Nice17.614.69.4
2.42.42.5
Guingamp0.10.30.7
8.69.610.1
Marseille vs PSGHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Monaco74.170.862.2
1.31.41.5
PSG11.916.226.9
99.199.599.8
2.42.22.0
Nice14.013.010.8
99.099.199.1
2.32.42.5
Marseille0.00.0No
0.20.00.0
5.86.46.8
Nice vs MontpellierHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Monaco64.169.471.2
1.51.41.3
PSG19.922.022.8
2.22.12.0
Nice16.08.66.0
99.698.898.1
2.32.62.7
Montpellier2.51.40.4
11.611.010.0
Lyon vs MetzHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Lyon1.60.60.4
NoNo0.0
4.54.85.1
Metz6.64.01.2
13.112.511.3
Saint-Étienne vs CaenHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Saint-Étienne0.00.0No
0.20.10.0
5.45.96.3
Nantes14.915.917.3
14.314.414.5
Angers14.515.516.9
14.414.414.5
Dijon17.318.320.0
14.614.614.7
CaenNoNo0.0
41.833.018.5
16.616.014.9
Bastia53.855.458.0
17.117.217.3
Nancy56.358.161.0
17.317.417.5
Lorient81.682.784.3
18.818.818.9
Lille vs BordeauxHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
BordeauxNoNo0.0
7.67.26.5
Lille0.00.0No
5.011.716.9
12.714.014.6
Nancy59.057.756.8
17.517.417.3
Nancy vs ToulouseHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Toulouse0.60.20.0
9.99.48.4
Lille13.812.211.3
Nantes17.715.714.7
14.414.314.3
Angers17.315.314.3
14.514.414.4
Dijon20.418.217.1
14.714.614.6
Caen38.935.533.8
16.216.116.1
Bastia58.155.153.6
17.317.217.1
Nancy38.656.765.6
16.317.417.8
Lorient84.382.581.6
18.918.818.8
Nantes vs DijonHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Nantes6.014.521.7
13.114.315.1
Dijon29.020.810.0
15.715.013.7
Rennes vs LorientHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Rennes0.31.42.8
10.011.011.7
Caen34.435.137.1
Bastia54.254.856.5
17.217.217.3
Nancy56.857.559.3
17.417.417.5
Lorient88.383.471.0
19.118.918.2
Angers vs BastiaHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Angers0.0NoNo
6.215.324.1
13.314.615.3
Bastia67.357.940.3
17.917.416.3
Week of 3/1
Monaco vs NantesIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Monaco72.758.851.0
100.099.999.7
1.31.51.7
PSG17.526.030.9
2.22.12.0
Nice9.915.118.1
2.52.42.3
Nantes18.212.85.6
14.714.112.8
Nancy57.258.259.5
17.417.417.5
PSG vs NancyHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Monaco63.671.774.8
1.51.41.3
PSG25.215.011.0
99.899.498.9
2.02.32.4
Nice11.213.314.2
2.52.42.3
Lille11.612.514.2
13.913.914.0
Nantes15.116.118.1
14.314.414.5
Angers14.715.717.7
14.414.414.5
Dijon17.518.620.8
14.614.614.7
Caen34.436.139.5
16.116.216.3
Bastia54.155.758.6
17.217.217.4
Nancy62.553.535.8
17.717.216.1
Lorient81.982.884.6
18.818.818.9
Dijon vs NiceHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Monaco71.269.464.1
1.31.41.5
PSG22.822.019.9
2.02.12.2
Nice6.08.616.0
98.198.899.6
2.72.62.3
Dijon7.916.322.4
13.314.515.1
Caen37.035.634.5
16.316.116.1
Bastia56.755.254.2
17.317.217.2
Nancy59.658.056.8
17.517.417.4
Bordeaux vs LyonHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Lyon0.40.71.9
0.0NoNo
5.04.74.4
Bordeaux0.0NoNo
0.10.00.0
6.37.07.5
Bastia vs Saint-ÉtienneHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Saint-ÉtienneNoNo0.0
0.00.10.2
6.35.95.4
Lille13.712.211.4
14.013.913.8
Nantes17.615.714.8
14.514.414.3
Angers17.215.414.4
14.514.414.4
Dijon20.118.217.2
14.714.614.6
Caen38.535.534.0
16.316.116.1
Bastia37.653.761.9
16.117.117.6
Nancy60.857.956.4
17.517.417.3
Lorient84.182.581.7
18.918.818.8
Lorient vs MarseilleHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
MarseilleNoNo0.0
7.16.86.1
Caen37.635.334.4
16.216.116.1
Bastia56.9*55.054.2
17.317.217.1
Nancy59.857.756.9
17.517.417.3
Lorient69.582.287.2
18.118.819.1
Montpellier vs GuingampHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Guingamp0.90.40.1
10.69.98.9
Montpellier0.51.73.1
10.111.312.0
Toulouse vs LilleHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Toulouse0.00.20.5
8.39.39.9
LilleNoNo0.0
16.711.54.9
14.613.912.6
Metz vs RennesHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Rennes2.61.40.3
11.711.09.9
Metz1.44.67.6
11.412.713.4
Bastia vs NantesHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
NantesNo0.00.0
23.615.16.2
15.214.513.2
Bastia41.458.968.2
16.417.418.0
Caen vs AngersHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
AngersNo0.00.0
24.615.96.4
15.414.613.4
Caen0.0NoNo
20.136.847.6
15.116.316.9

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you MarkusPaminger for adding this league.