Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleUEFA CLChance will finish season at seedLigue 2
3/17PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change1234567891011121314151617181920Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrength4/1
MonacoWCaen 3-07122-5-36177.1%+1.2100.0%+0.07722101.2+0.03No1.807Saint-ÉtienneMonaco
PSGWLyon 2-16821-5-43921.8+1.9100.0+0.1226711001.9+0.14No3.783at MetzParis Saint-Germain
NiceTNantes 1-16418-10-2241.1-3.299.6+0.21118700002.9-0.17No2.708BordeauxNice
LyonLPSG 1-25016-2-1225No-0.00.4-0.30077175100000004.3-0.12No7.667at RennesLyon
BordeauxWMontpellier 5-14612-10-85No0.0+0.0001033302052100000005.9+0.63No-0.04.536at NiceBordeaux
MarseilleTLille 0-04613-7-106No0.0-0.000931312152100000005.9-0.25No5.544DijonMarseille
Saint-ÉtienneWDijon 1-04411-11-810No0.0041727321152100000006.6+0.460.0%-0.06.609at MonacoSaint-Étienne
GuingampLAngers 0-33810-8-12-2NoNo-0.000282018151297521000010.0-1.210.0+0.011.474NancyGuingamp
RennesTToulouse 0-0399-12-9-5NoNo002718191613107421000010.0-0.120.0-0.19.436LyonRennes
AngersWGuingamp 3-03911-6-13-7NoNo0013111416151411852000011.0+1.580.0-1.112.422at NantesAngers
ToulouseTRennes 0-0379-10-11-1NoNo0014121415141311853100011.0-0.230.1-0.214.481at MontpellierToulouse
NantesTNice 1-13810-8-12-16NoNo0012710121314141284100011.7+0.190.2-0.410.343AngersNantes
MetzWBastia 1-03810-8-12-23NoNo000269111315151395100012.0+1.160.2-2.68.309PSGMetz
LilleTMarseille 0-0349-7-14-8NoNo000024681114171812610013.4+0.041.8-2.015.409at BastiaLille
MontpellierLBordeaux 1-5338-9-13-11NoNo00001346912161917931014.1-1.113.8+1.213.414ToulouseMontpellier
CaenLMonaco 0-3329-5-16-20NoNo00000123471117251983115.4-0.4411.3+0.316.329at LorientCaen
DijonLSaint-Étienne 0-1286-10-14-9NoNo0000001124919301911416.8-0.4633.3+2.919.419at MarseilleDijon
NancyLLorient 2-3287-7-16-19NoNo0000000001261530301618.2-0.3575.2+6.520.289at GuingampNancy
LorientWNancy 3-2257-4-19-29NoNo000000001141022293318.7+0.6284.0-9.918.288CaenLorient
BastiaLMetz 0-1255-10-15-20NoNo00000000012717274619.0-0.4190.0+5.417.299LilleBastia

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 4/1
Monaco vs Saint-ÉtienneIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Monaco84.972.163.9
Yes100.0100.0
1.21.31.4
PSG14.526.534.1
2.01.81.8
Nice0.61.42.1
Bordeaux5.85.96.0
Marseille5.85.96.1
Saint-Étienne6.96.56.0
Metz vs PSGHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Monaco88.684.372.4
1.11.21.3
PSG9.914.326.7
2.12.01.8
Nice1.51.30.9
2.82.82.9
Guingamp10.210.09.9
Rennes10.210.110.0
Angers11.211.010.9
Toulouse11.211.011.0
Nantes12.011.811.7
Metz0.00.10.3
10.511.712.3
Lille13.613.513.4
Montpellier14.214.114.1
Caen15.515.415.3
Nice vs BordeauxHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Monaco76.677.677.7
PSG21.521.922.0
1.91.91.8
Nice1.80.50.2
99.999.599.0
2.82.92.9
Lyon0.10.50.9
4.34.34.4
Bordeaux6.15.85.4
Marseille5.85.96.0
Saint-Étienne6.56.66.7
Guingamp vs NancyHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Saint-Étienne6.66.66.5
Guingamp9.310.411.0
Rennes10.110.09.9
Angers11.110.910.8
Toulouse11.110.910.9
Nantes11.811.711.6
Metz12.111.911.9
Lille1.51.72.5
13.513.413.4
Montpellier3.23.85.3
Caen9.911.214.8
Dijon30.233.140.4
16.716.816.9
Nancy83.075.657.2
18.518.217.5
Lorient82.8*84.086.7
18.618.718.9
Bastia89.190.092.1
19.019.119.2
Bastia vs LilleHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Guingamp9.99.910.0
Rennes9.910.010.1
Angers10.910.911.1
Toulouse10.911.011.1
Nantes11.611.711.8
Metz11.911.912.1
Lille4.31.70.3
14.413.812.6
Montpellier4.43.73.6
14.014.014.2
Caen12.611.110.7
15.315.315.4
Dijon36.132.831.9
Nancy76.774.974.4
18.318.218.1
Lorient84.783.883.7
18.818.718.6
Bastia80.691.594.9
18.519.119.3
Montpellier vs ToulouseHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Guingamp9.99.910.0
Rennes10.010.010.1
Angers11.010.911.0
Toulouse12.011.210.1
Nantes11.711.711.8
Metz12.011.912.0
Montpellier0.93.56.4
13.014.214.8
Caen11.611.411.1
15.415.415.3
Dijon33.933.432.7
16.916.816.8
Nancy75.975.374.5
Lorient84.784.183.4
Bastia90.390.189.7
Marseille vs DijonHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Lyon4.44.34.2
Bordeaux6.05.85.7
Marseille5.66.06.3
Saint-Étienne6.76.66.5
Lille1.51.82.3
13.413.413.5
Montpellier3.33.84.8
14.014.114.2
Caen10.011.313.6
15.315.415.5
Dijon42.733.217.9
17.316.916.0
Nancy71.875.280.7
18.118.218.3
Lorient82.084.187.3
18.618.718.8
Bastia88.490.192.6
19.019.119.1
Rennes vs LyonHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Nice99.999.899.3
Lyon0.10.20.7
4.54.44.2
Guingamp10.110.09.9
Rennes8.99.910.5
Angers11.111.010.9
Toulouse11.211.010.9
Nantes11.911.811.7
Metz12.112.011.9
Lille13.513.413.4
Montpellier14.214.114.1
Lorient vs CaenHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Nantes11.711.711.8
Metz11.912.012.1
Lille2.01.71.7
13.313.413.5
Montpellier4.53.63.4
14.014.114.2
Caen21.511.13.1
16.215.614.6
Dijon35.232.332.4
Nancy75.274.375.8
18.318.218.2
Lorient71.086.892.7
18.118.819.1
Bastia89.989.690.4
19.219.019.0
Nantes vs AngersHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Guingamp10.09.910.0
Rennes10.010.010.1
Angers12.111.310.0
Toulouse11.010.911.0
Nantes0.00.10.3
10.511.812.6

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you MarkusPaminger for adding this league.