Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleUEFA CLChance will finish season at seedLigue 2
4/21PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change1234567891011121314151617181920Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrengthFriday
MonacoWLyon 2-180125-5-36479.1%+4.6Yes792101.2+0.06No1.818ToulouseMonaco
PSGWMontpellier 2-08025-5-44820.9-3.9Yes217721.8+0.02No2.813at NiceParis Saint-Germain
NiceTToulouse 1-17421-11-2280.0-0.7Yes02983.0-0.07No3.721PSGNice
LyonLMonaco 1-25517-4-1325NoNo573580004.5-0.14No7.659at AngersLyon
BordeauxWBastia 2-05515-10-910NoNo3542211004.9+0.41No4.576at DijonBordeaux
MarseilleTNancy 0-05214-10-1010NoNo82362710005.7-0.16No5.578at CaenMarseille
Saint-ÉtienneTRennes 1-146111-13-96NoNo0175021116310007.7-0.06No6.559at GuingampSaint-Étienne
GuingampLLille 0-34412-8-14-7NoNo00117222017147200009.2-0.79No10.436Saint-ÉtienneGuingamp
NantesWCaen 2-04512-9-13-14NoNo0001121201915930009.5+1.06No-0.08.369LorientNantes
RennesTSaint-Étienne 1-14410-14-10-6NoNo000921231915931009.5+0.08No-0.09.432at BastiaRennes
ToulouseTNice 1-14210-12-12-1NoNo04111721231572000010.3+0.170.0%-0.011.484at MonacoToulouse
LilleWGuingamp 3-04011-7-16-7NoNo00259152424135100012.1+1.250.0-0.615.426at MontpellierLille
MontpellierLPSG 0-23910-9-15-10NoNo013510182525103100012.9-0.500.1+0.012.424LilleMontpellier
AngersLDijon 2-33911-6-17-12NoNo00126132530146200013.5-0.890.2+0.113.386LyonAngers
MetzLLorient 1-5369-9-16-35NoNo00001251228241693015.7-0.8911.9+6.514.263NancyMetz
LorientWMetz 5-13410-4-20-23NoNo00001410202421126216.2+1.0820.7-24.916.342at NantesLorient
DijonWAngers 3-2327-11-16-10NoNo0000141220241916417.0+0.8639.3-21.918.420BordeauxDijon
CaenLNantes 0-2339-6-19-25NoNo000001510182928817.9-0.9765.9+30.020.303MarseilleCaen
NancyTMarseille 0-0328-8-18-19NoNo000016101624311217.9+0.0366.4+2.019.302at MetzNancy
BastiaLBordeaux 0-2296-11-17-22NoNo0000137157319.6-0.5395.6+8.917.289RennesBastia

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 4/21
Lyon 1 Monaco 2
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Monaco+12.5
+0.1
PSG-12.1
-0.1
Nice-0.3
Lyon-0.1
PSG 2 Montpellier 0
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Monaco-7.1
PSG+7.3
+0.1
Nice-0.2
Montpellier-0.4
Toulouse 1 Nice 1
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Monaco+0.2
PSG+0.2
Nice-0.4
Guingamp-0.0
Nantes-0.0
Rennes-0.0
Toulouse+0.1
Lille 3 Guingamp 0
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Guingamp-0.7
Lille-0.6
+1.0
Caen 0 Nantes 2
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
NantesNo
+0.9
Rennes-0.2
Toulouse-0.2
Lille-0.2
Metz-1.3
Lorient-4.5
+0.1
Dijon-4.4
Caen+17.3
-0.7
Nancy-4.4
+0.1
Bastia-2.4
Bordeaux 2 Bastia 0
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Bordeaux+0.2
Metz-0.3
Lorient-1.4
Dijon-1.3
+0.1
Caen-1.7
Nancy-1.4
+0.1
Bastia+6.2
-0.3
Nancy 0 Marseille 0
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Marseille-0.2
Metz+0.1
Lorient+0.6
-0.0
Dijon+0.2
Caen+0.6
-0.0
Nancy-1.8
+0.1
Bastia+0.3
Lorient 5 Metz 1
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Lille+0.2
Metz+6.0
-0.8
Lorient-20.7
+0.9
Dijon+4.3
Caen+4.2
Nancy+3.8
Bastia+2.2
Dijon 3 Angers 2
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Lille+0.3
Angers+0.2
-0.8
Metz+1.4
Lorient+5.0
Dijon-19.0
+0.8
Caen+5.4
Nancy+4.4
Bastia+2.4
Saint-Étienne 1 Rennes 1
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Saint-Étienne-0.1
Week of 4/28
Monaco vs ToulouseIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Monaco87.470.160.6
1.11.31.4
PSG12.629.939.3
1.91.71.6
Toulouse0.0No*No
10.710.19.0
Nice vs PSGHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Monaco91.585.967.3
1.11.11.3
PSG8.414.132.7
2.01.91.7
Caen vs MarseilleHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Marseille6.15.95.5
Metz18.112.29.8
15.915.715.6
Lorient28.821.217.9
16.416.216.1
Dijon49.839.835.6
17.317.016.9
Caen31.464.077.9
16.717.818.3
Nancy74.066.863.7
18.218.017.8
Bastia97.295.795.0
19.719.619.5
Metz vs NancyHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Metz0.57.324.7
14.715.716.4
Lorient18.719.623.2
16.216.116.2
Dijon35.638.043.3
Caen64.365.168.0
17.817.818.0
Nancy85.774.544.4
18.718.217.1
Dijon vs BordeauxHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Bordeaux5.25.04.6
Metz15.7*11.99.9
15.915.615.5
Lorient25.2*20.718.3
16.416.216.1
Dijon16.138.152.3
16.017.017.6
Caen73.066.561.8
18.117.917.8
Nancy72.866.762.7
18.118.017.9
Bastia96.795.794.9
19.619.619.5
Nantes vs LorientHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Nantes8.69.710.2
Metz10.211.713.9
15.515.615.9
Lorient34.421.54.7
16.916.315.2
Dijon36.239.042.9
16.917.017.2
Caen61.7*65.970.8
17.817.918.0
Nancy63.066.270.3
17.817.918.1
Bastia94.495.497.1
Bastia vs RennesHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Nantes9.39.49.6
Rennes10.59.98.8
Lorient22.920.319.8
16.316.216.1
Dijon41.038.938.6
17.117.017.0
Caen67.765.665.2
18.017.917.8
Nancy68.166.165.7
18.117.917.9
Bastia87.497.199.0
19.019.619.8
Angers vs LyonHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Lyon4.94.74.3
Angers12.313.413.9
Montpellier vs LilleHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Lille0.00.0No
13.112.311.1
Montpellier11.813.013.7
Guingamp vs Saint-ÉtienneHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Saint-Étienne8.57.87.1
Guingamp8.19.29.9

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you MarkusPaminger for adding this league.