Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleUEFA CLChance will finish season at seedLigue 2
WednesdayPGW-D-LGD%Change%Change1234567891011121314151617181920Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrengthSaturday
PSGDijon53117-2-14493.7%+0.499.8%-0.094510000000001.1No1.781at LyonnaisParis Saint-Germain
Lyonnaisat Guingamp42112-6-2262.6+0.070.1-2.033532282000000000000002.9-0.020.0%2.700PSGLyonnais
MonacoTNice 2-24313-4-4261.9-1.165.8-9.623133322000000000000003.0-0.210.0-0.04.699MetzMonaco
MarseilleWStrasbourg 2-04413-5-3211.8+0.763.1+11.822933342000000000000003.1+0.250.0-0.03.675at CaenMarseille
Nantesat Toulouse33110-3-7-10.00.7-0.1001338231495321000000006.30.0+0.05.473BordeauxNantes
Montpellierat Amiens2716-9-540.00.2-0.00001232418128532110000007.10.1+0.07.569ToulouseMontpellier
NiceTMonaco 2-2319-4-8-40.0-0.00.1-0.000011218191612854221100008.0+0.160.2-0.18.447Saint-ÉtienneNice
GuingampLyonnais2918-5-7-10.00.1-0.000011318181611854321100008.00.3+0.06.476at AmiensGuingamp
Rennesat Lille2517-4-9-50.00.000003691113121197654321010.7+0.042.9+0.09.432AngersRennes
Dijonat PSG2517-4-9-50.00.0-0.000002581012121198754321011.0+0.023.5+0.114.441at StrasbourgDijon
CaenWBordeaux 2-0278-3-10-80.00.0000012468101111101097642012.5+2.007.0-13.311.357MarseilleCaen
StrasbourgLMarseille 0-2246-6-9-100.00.0-0.000000135791010101098764013.1-0.9010.7+3.910.389DijonStrasbourg
BordeauxLCaen 0-2236-5-10-8No-0.00.0-0.000001235789101010101096113.9-1.3815.8+7.617.400at NantesBordeaux
AmiensMontpellier2116-3-11-6No-0.00.000001234678910101010108114.2+0.0119.5+0.316.395GuingampAmiens
Troyesat Angers2116-3-11-80.00.0000001134578910101111109114.4-0.0221.1+0.518.390LilleTroyes
Saint-Étienneat Metz2316-5-9-130.00.0000001124578910101111119114.420.7+0.313.346at NiceSaint-Étienne
AngersTroyes1913-10-7-8No0.0+0.000000123467891011121313215.027.7+0.415.398at RennesAngers
LilleRennes2216-4-10-120.00.0000000123457891011121312215.1+0.0527.2-0.112.344at TroyesLille
ToulouseNantes1915-4-11-11No-0.00.00000001123456810131724516.4-0.0146.2+0.419.352at MontpellierToulouse
MetzSaint-Étienne1213-3-14-21No0.000000000000000113108419.797.2+0.120.257at MonacoMetz

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 1/17
Monaco 2 Nice 2
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
PSG+0.8
Lyonnais+1.5
Monaco-0.9
-3.8
No
Marseille+2.2
NiceNo
Marseille 2 Strasbourg 0
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
PSG-0.3
Lyonnais-3.3
Monaco-3.0
Marseille+0.4
+6.6
No
Caen-0.2
StrasbourgNo
+1.8
-0.5
Amiens-0.2
Troyes-0.2
Saint-Étienne-0.2
Angers-0.2
Lille-0.2
Toulouse-0.3
Bordeaux 0 Caen 2
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Dijon+0.2
Caen-9.3
+1.1
Strasbourg+0.2
Bordeaux*No
+5.2
-1.0
Amiens+0.5
Troyes+0.5
Saint-Étienne+0.5
Angers+0.6
Lille+0.7
Toulouse+0.8
Lyonnais vs PSGIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
PSG88.893.597.0
99.699.8100.0
1.11.11.0
Lyonnais5.92.20.8
79.369.964.3
NoNo0.0
2.72.93.1
Monaco2.72.21.2
61.666.068.5
3.13.03.0
Marseille2.52.01.1
58.7*63.165.9
3.23.13.0
PSG vs DijonHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
PSG95.691.989.2
99.999.899.5
Lyonnais1.93.34.4
DijonNoNo0.0
4.32.91.2
11.410.89.8
Guingamp vs LyonnaisHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Lyonnais1.21.83.6
60.366.176.2
0.0NoNo
3.23.02.8
Monaco2.02.01.8
70.467.763.0
2.93.03.1
Marseille1.81.81.7
67.865.060.1
3.03.03.1
Guingamp0.0NoNo
0.30.10.0
0.00.20.4
7.28.08.4
Monaco vs MetzHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Lyonnais2.62.72.7
68.072.875.5
3.02.92.8
Monaco2.41.20.8
70.659.653.5
NoNo0.0
2.93.23.3
Marseille1.71.81.9
60.666.469.6
3.13.03.0
MetzNoNo0.0
97.996.993.4
19.819.719.4
Caen vs MarseilleHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Lyonnais2.72.72.6
75.272.667.5
2.82.93.0
Monaco2.02.01.9
71.768.562.8
2.93.03.1
Marseille0.71.12.4
51.657.768.9
0.0*NoNo
3.33.23.0
Caen0.0NoNo
2.56.08.8
11.212.312.9
Nantes vs BordeauxHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Nantes1.20.50.3
5.96.46.8
BordeauxNoNo0.0
21.116.08.7
14.614.012.8
Toulouse vs NantesHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Nantes0.30.51.1
6.86.56.0
Troyes22.7*21.020.1
14.514.414.4
Saint-Étienne22.4*20.719.7
14.514.414.4
Angers29.627.626.6
15.115.015.0
Lille29.1*27.126.0
15.115.015.0
Toulouse0.0NoNo
33.146.653.8
15.516.516.9
Amiens vs GuingampHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
GuingampNoNo0.0
0.50.20.1
8.78.27.4
Amiens0.00.0No
11.419.725.1
13.214.314.9
Nice vs Saint-ÉtienneHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Nice0.0No0.0
0.00.20.4
7.48.28.7
Saint-ÉtienneNo0.00.0
26.520.811.8
15.114.513.3
Toulouse45.2*46.147.7
16.416.416.5
Amiens vs MontpellierHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
MontpellierNoNo0.0
0.10.10.3
7.77.36.7
Amiens0.0No0.0
10.818.824.1
13.014.214.8
Montpellier vs ToulouseHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Montpellier0.0No0.0
0.30.10.1
6.77.37.8
Amiens18.719.621.2
14.214.214.3
Troyes20.321.222.8
14.414.414.5
Saint-Étienne19.920.822.5
14.414.414.5
Angers26.827.829.8
15.015.015.1
Lille26.227.329.3
15.015.115.1
ToulouseNoNo0.0
52.545.332.0
16.916.415.4
Rennes vs AngersHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Rennes0.0NoNo
1.12.94.8
9.810.911.5
AngersNoNo0.0
35.428.718.0
15.815.214.0
Lille vs RennesHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
RennesNoNo0.0
5.13.11.2
11.610.99.9
Lille0.00.0No
16.727.534.2
14.015.115.7
Toulouse47.746.145.2
16.516.416.4
Strasbourg vs DijonHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
DijonNoNo0.0
5.83.71.5
11.911.210.1
Strasbourg5.310.714.9
12.013.213.9
Metz vs Saint-ÉtienneHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Saint-ÉtienneNoNo0.0
29.523.013.4
15.314.713.6
Metz0.0NoNo
94.697.698.6
19.519.819.8
Troyes vs LilleHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Troyes0.0No0.0
12.622.630.0
13.514.715.3
LilleNoNo0.0
35.727.716.3
15.815.214.0
Angers vs TroyesHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
TroyesNoNo0.0
29.221.812.2
15.314.613.4
Angers0.0NoNo
17.729.036.9
14.115.215.8
Week of 1/27
PSG vs MontpellierIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
PSG95.992.489.8
99.999.899.6
1.01.11.1
MontpellierNoNo0.0
0.10.20.5
7.47.06.5
Bordeaux vs LyonnaisHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Lyonnais1.21.73.5
59.665.475.5
0.0NoNo
3.23.02.8
Monaco2.02.01.9
70.768.163.3
2.93.03.1
Marseille1.91.81.7
68.365.360.4
3.03.03.1
Bordeaux0.10.0No
7.614.319.0
12.613.714.3
Guingamp vs NantesHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Nantes0.30.51.2
6.86.45.8
Guingamp0.0NoNo
0.10.20.5
7.38.28.7
Metz vs NiceHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
NiceNoNo0.0
0.50.20.1
8.88.37.5
Metz0.0NoNo
94.497.498.3
19.519.719.8
Dijon vs RennesHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
RennesNoNo0.0
4.52.91.1
11.510.89.7
Dijon0.0NoNo
1.53.65.5
10.011.211.9
Saint-Étienne vs CaenHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
CaenNoNo0.0
11.27.22.9
13.412.711.5
Saint-Étienne0.0No0.0
12.121.628.1
13.414.615.3
Lille vs StrasbourgHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
StrasbourgNo0.00.0
16.511.35.3
14.013.312.1
Lille0.0NoNo
16.727.935.3
14.015.215.8
Toulouse vs TroyesHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
TroyesNoNo0.0
30.322.312.4
15.314.613.5
Toulouse0.0NoNo
32.947.656.5
15.516.617.1
Angers vs AmiensHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
AmiensNoNo0.0
27.220.211.1
15.114.413.2
Angers0.00.0No
17.729.036.8
14.115.215.8

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you MarkusPaminger for adding this league.