Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleUEFA CLChance will finish season at seedLigue 2
FridayPGW-D-LGD%Change%Change1234567891011121314151617181920Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrength1/27
MonacoLorient45114-3-33946.8%+1.098.4%-0.04731212000000000000001.80.0%3.740at PSGMonaco
NiceTBastia 1-14613-7-12127.5-8.396.6-1.0283435300000000000002.1-0.19No-0.01.723GuingampNice
PSGWNantes 2-04514-3-42625.4+7.396.2+2.325343740000000000000002.2+0.210.0-0.02.738MonacoParis Saint-Germain
LyonMarseille34111-1-8130.2+0.07.7-0.901661187321000000000004.5+0.030.05.616LilleLyon
GuingampTRennes 1-1318-7-640.0-0.00.4-0.300011252115107432110000006.7-0.120.1+0.07.537at NiceGuingamp
Marseilleat Lyon3018-6-600.00.4-0.100010222015118532111000007.0+0.090.2+0.04.487MontpellierMarseille
Saint-ÉtienneAngers2716-9-520.00.1-0.000051416161310864321110008.0+0.100.6+0.06.521at ToulouseSaint-Étienne
RennesTGuingamp 1-1298-5-8-40.0-0.00.0-0.000028121414121086532211009.0+0.101.1-0.18.435NantesRennes
BordeauxWToulouse 1-0297-8-6-50.00.0+0.00001691113131197653221109.8+1.501.8-3.210.426at NancyBordeaux
ToulouseLBordeaux 0-1267-5-9-10.0-0.00.0-0.000014691112111097654321010.6-1.093.5+1.812.474Saint-ÉtienneToulouse
Nancyat Caen2416-6-8-70.00.00000123568999998765313.2+0.0614.6+0.315.381BordeauxNancy
MontpellierLMetz 0-2235-8-8-50.0-0.00.0-0.00000123568999998765313.3-1.4714.6+7.316.439at MarseilleMontpellier
MetzWMontpellier 2-0267-5-9-150.00.000001134578991099876313.7+1.8216.5-17.19.333at AngersMetz
DijonTLille 0-0214-9-8-30.0-0.00.0-0.00000012356789999987514.1-0.3120.5+2.319.456at LorientDijon
LilleTDijon 0-0236-5-10-70.0-0.00.0-0.00000012356789999987514.2-0.1320.9+1.018.394at LyonLille
NantesLPSG 0-2257-4-10-140.0-0.00.0-0.0000000123457891010111111815.2-0.8830.3+8.911.297at RennesNantes
CaenNancy2116-3-11-120.00.0000001123456789101111111015.3+0.0132.9+0.617.366at BastiaCaen
BastiaTNice 1-1215-6-10-70.0-0.00.0-0.0000000123456789101111121015.4+0.2733.2-2.913.390CaenBastia
Angersat Saint-Étienne2015-5-10-90.00.0-0.000000011234567891113151616.3+0.0244.4+0.414.359MetzAngers
Lorientat Monaco1815-3-12-160.00.00000000011223457912183417.7-0.0264.8+0.620.338DijonLorient

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 1/20
Bastia 1 Nice 1
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Monaco+3.7
Nice-5.6
-0.7
*No
-0.1
PSG+1.8
Lyon+0.5
Nancy+0.2
Metz+0.3
Dijon+0.2
Lille+0.2
Nantes+0.2
Caen+0.3
BastiaNo
-2.3
+0.2
Angers+0.3
Lorient+0.3
Nantes 0 PSG 2
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Monaco-1.8
Nice-1.5
PSG+3.3
+1.6
No
+0.1
Lyon-1.2
Nancy-0.2
Metz-0.4
Dijon-0.3
Lille-0.3
NantesNo
+3.1
-0.4
Caen-0.4
Bastia-0.4
Angers-0.4
Lorient-0.4
Guingamp 1 Rennes 1
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Guingamp-0.2
-0.2
Rennes-0.0
Bordeaux 1 Toulouse 0
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Bordeaux-2.9
+1.2
Toulouse+1.3
-0.9
Metz+0.2
Dijon+0.2
Caen+0.2
Bastia+0.2
Angers+0.2
Lorient+0.3
Metz 2 Montpellier 0
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Bordeaux+0.3
Nancy+0.6
MontpellierNo
+5.2
-1.1
Metz-12.8
+1.2
Dijon+0.7
Lille+0.8
Nantes+0.8
Caen+1.0
Bastia+1.0
Angers+1.1
Lorient+1.0
Dijon 0 Lille 0
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Metz-0.2
DijonNo
+1.5
-0.3
LilleNo
+0.2
-0.1
Nantes-0.2
Caen-0.2
Bastia-0.2
Angers-0.3
Lorient-0.2
Monaco vs LorientIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Monaco52.240.434.6
99.097.896.8
No*No0.0
1.71.92.0
Nice24.830.833.8
96.596.696.7
2.22.12.0
PSG22.828.531.3
96.296.396.3
2.22.12.1
Nantes29.830.632.4
15.215.215.3
Caen32.433.234.9
15.315.315.4
Bastia32.633.535.2
15.415.415.5
Angers43.944.846.5
16.216.316.4
LorientNoNo0.1
68.962.348.6
18.017.516.6
Lyon vs MarseilleHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
PSG95.196.997.4
Lyon0.40.10.1
10.66.14.4
4.24.54.8
Marseille0.20.30.8
7.47.06.2
Saint-Étienne vs AngersHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Saint-Étienne0.00.0No
0.20.10.0
0.20.61.2
7.48.38.9
Nantes29.4*30.331.9
15.215.215.3
Caen32.1*32.934.5
15.315.315.4
Bastia32.3*33.234.8
15.415.415.5
AngersNoNo0.0
51.644.330.8
16.816.315.1
Lorient64.0*64.866.4
17.617.717.8
Caen vs NancyHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
NancyNoNo0.0
21.415.27.7
14.213.512.2
Caen0.0NoNo
21.834.442.2
14.315.516.2
Week of 1/27
PSG vs MonacoIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Monaco33.645.960.7
97.5*98.499.3
0.0*NoNo
2.01.81.5
Nice28.229.924.9
96.5*96.696.7
PSG37.923.914.2
98.196.194.5
1.92.22.4
Nice vs GuingampHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Monaco43.149.352.0
1.81.71.7
Nice33.723.519.0
98.096.094.2
2.02.22.4
PSG23.026.928.7
96.296.3*96.2
2.32.22.1
Lyon6.78.19.2
4.44.54.5
Guingamp0.20.31.1
7.16.76.0
Lyon vs LilleHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Nice95.797.397.9
PSG95.297.097.6
Lyon0.30.10.1
10.15.84.2
4.34.64.8
LilleNoNo0.0
25.519.811.2
14.714.112.8
Marseille vs MontpellierHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Marseille0.70.30.2
0.00.10.3
6.47.17.6
MontpellierNoNo0.0
19.814.97.9
14.113.412.1
Nancy vs BordeauxHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
BordeauxNoNo0.0
3.21.90.6
10.710.08.8
Nancy0.0NoNo
7.815.019.9
12.113.414.1
Toulouse vs Saint-ÉtienneHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Saint-ÉtienneNo0.00.0
0.00.10.2
1.0*0.60.2
8.88.27.3
Toulouse0.0NoNo
1.4*3.55.3
9.510.711.4
Rennes vs NantesHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Rennes0.00.0No
0.41.32.3
8.39.310.0
NantesNoNo0.0
No0.00.0
37.230.018.1
15.915.214.0
Angers43.6*44.545.9
16.216.316.3
Angers vs MetzHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
MetzNoNo0.0
23.716.78.3
14.613.812.5
Angers0.0NoNo
0.0No0.0
32.647.055.4
15.316.517.1
Bastia vs CaenHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
CaenNoNo0.0
42.634.021.3
16.215.514.2
Bastia0.0NoNo
22.035.043.9
14.415.616.3
Lorient vs DijonHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Dijon30.622.912.9
15.214.513.2
Lorient0.0NoNo
50.965.472.9
16.817.718.2

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you MarkusPaminger for adding this league.