Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleUEFA CLChance will finish season at seedRelegated
PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change123456789101112131415161718Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrength
Feyenoord4815-3-13876.1%-5.295.3%-1.1761950000000001.3-0.06No1.789Feyenoord Rotterdam
Ajax4313-4-22518.1+5.568.7+8.6185129200000000002.2+0.18No3.740Ajax Amsterdam
PSV4011-7-1205.7-0.235.3-5.96305951000000000002.70.0%2.742PSV Eindhoven
Heerenveen329-5-5130.0-0.10.5-1.50044825126310000000004.8-0.240.0-0.05.613SC Heerenveen
AZ328-8-380.0-0.00.2-0.100227331910521000000005.4+0.130.04.570AZ Alkmaar
Utrecht287-7-540.0-0.00.0-0.1000715232116105210000006.9-0.430.0+0.06.533FC Utrecht
Vitesse277-6-640.00.0-0.0000613202218116210000007.1+0.060.07.533Vitesse Arnhem
Twente277-6-620.00.0-0.000038162121159421000007.6+0.050.0-0.08.509FC Twente Enschede
Groningen246-6-710.00.0-0.0000137121823181052100009.0+0.020.1-0.09.497FC Groningen
NEC256-7-6-70.00.0-0.00000136111722181163100010.1+0.730.4-1.110.399NEC Nijmegen
Heracles215-6-8-80.00.0-0.0000001249172118128421011.4-0.052.6-0.212.393Heracles Almelo
Sparta184-6-9-8No0.0000001251016191713952112.46.8-0.713.399Sparta Rotterdam
Willem II194-7-8-90.00.00000000126111719171384213.2+0.0711.7-1.311.326Willem II Tilburg
Excelsior174-5-10-11No0.0000000124812151715139413.9-0.3821.3+3.015.374Excelsior Rotterdam
ADO175-2-12-16No0.0000000012481216191814714.7+0.0132.4-0.916.301ADO Den Haag
Zwolle174-5-10-22No0.0000000001248131821201415.5+0.0646.2-1.914.259PEC Zwolle
G.A. Eagles133-4-12-17No0.000000000012481319272516.2+0.1461.9-3.318.288Go Ahead Eagles
Roda131-10-8-17No0.00000000000124814244716.9-0.3076.4+6.317.215Roda JC Kerkrade

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 1/20
Utrecht 0 Ajax 1
12:30 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Feyenoord-4.0
-0.7
Ajax+4.5
+8.3
+0.2
PSV-0.5
-6.8
Heerenveen-0.5
Utrecht-0.3
Feyenoord 1 Willem II 0
7:45 PM Thu100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Feyenoord+3.1
+1.2
+0.0
Ajax-1.9
-0.5
PSV-1.1
-0.6
Willem IINo
No
+1.1
-0.2
Excelsior-0.2
ADO-0.2
Zwolle-0.2
G.A. Eagles-0.2
Roda-0.2
PSV 4 Heerenveen 3
4:45 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Feyenoord-1.2
-0.6
Ajax-0.5
-4.4
PSV+1.7
+6.3
*No
+0.1
Heerenveen-1.1
-0.2
AZ 1 Sparta 1
6:30 PM Thu100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Ajax+0.2
AZ-0.3
No
-0.2
Sparta*No
No
-1.0
+0.1
Excelsior+0.2
ADO+0.2
G.A. Eagles+0.2
Roda+0.2
Groningen 1 Vitesse 1
8:45 PM Thu100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Vitesse+0.0
GroningenNo
-0.2
Twente 1 Heracles 0
8:00 PM Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Twente+0.4
Heracles+0.6
-0.4
NEC 2 Roda 0
2:30 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
NEC-0.8
+0.4
Sparta-0.3
Willem II-0.4
Excelsior-0.5
ADO-0.7
Zwolle-0.8
G.A. Eagles-0.8
Roda*No
+4.4
-0.2
ADO 1 Zwolle 2
7:45 PM Thu100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Sparta+0.3
Willem II+0.4
Excelsior+0.7
ADONo
+12.7
-0.8
Zwolle-15.5
+0.7
G.A. Eagles+0.5
Roda+0.7
Excelsior 1 G.A. Eagles 1
2:30 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Sparta-0.2
Willem II-0.3
Excelsior*No
+3.8
-0.4
ADO-0.6
Zwolle-0.8
G.A. Eagles-1.3
+0.1
Roda-0.4
Week of 1/27
Feyenoord vs NECIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
4:45 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Feyenoord79.669.864.0
96.593.390.7
1.21.41.5
Ajax15.622.626.6
68.269.670.5
2.22.12.1
PSV4.77.59.3
34.636.437.8
2.72.62.6
NECNoNo0.0
0.50.30.1
10.29.99.2
Ajax vs ADOHomeDrawAway
2:30 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Feyenoord74.080.683.3
94.996.096.6
1.31.21.2
Ajax20.612.99.9
72.461.455.4
2.12.32.4
PSV5.46.46.8
32.141.646.9
2.72.62.5
Sparta6.67.17.8
12.412.412.5
Willem II11.412.113.3
13.213.213.3
Excelsior20.921.923.6
13.913.914.0
ADONoNo0.0
34.928.617.8
14.914.513.7
Zwolle45.647.250.2
15.415.515.6
G.A. Eagles61.462.764.9
16.216.216.3
Roda76.177.078.5
16.916.917.0
Heracles vs PSVHomeDrawAway
7:45 PM Thu100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Feyenoord78.177.475.0
97.196.394.3
Ajax19.118.717.5
77.573.364.2
2.12.12.2
PSV2.73.97.5
24.429.640.9
2.92.82.6
NEC10.210.110.0
Heracles0.0NoNo
0.00.0No
0.82.13.3
10.611.311.7
Heerenveen vs GroningenHomeDrawAway
12:30 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Heerenveen0.70.20.1
No0.00.0
4.64.95.2
GroningenNoNo0.0
9.38.98.2
Vitesse vs AZHomeDrawAway
8:45 PM Thu100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
AZ0.10.10.4
0.00.0No
5.75.34.9
Vitesse6.67.37.7
G.A. Eagles vs UtrechtHomeDrawAway
6:30 PM Thu100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Utrecht7.47.16.5
Vitesse7.07.07.2
Sparta7.76.76.3
Willem II13.111.611.0
13.313.213.2
Excelsior23.421.220.3
14.013.913.8
ADO34.932.331.0
14.814.714.7
Zwolle49.046.244.8
15.615.515.4
G.A. Eagles49.462.468.5
15.616.216.5
Roda78.7*76.475.2
17.016.916.8
Zwolle vs TwenteHomeDrawAway
2:30 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Vitesse7.07.07.2
Twente8.27.97.2
Sparta7.96.86.3
Willem II13.311.710.9
13.313.213.2
Excelsior23.621.320.2
14.013.913.8
ADO35.532.430.8
14.814.714.7
Zwolle0.0NoNo
32.746.453.3
14.815.515.8
G.A. Eagles64.661.960.5
16.316.216.1
Roda78.676.575.3
17.016.916.8
Willem II vs SpartaHomeDrawAway
8:00 PM Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
SpartaNoNo0.0
10.26.72.8
13.012.411.6
Willem II0.0NoNo
6.212.817.7
12.513.413.9
ADO32.832.131.9
Zwolle46.846.045.7
Roda vs ExcelsiorHomeDrawAway
7:45 PM Thu100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
ExcelsiorNoNo0.0
31.023.113.0
14.614.113.3
ADO32.531.632.7
Zwolle46.545.346.6
G.A. Eagles62.461.162.0
Roda65.678.083.8
16.416.917.2

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Tom Nijman for adding this league.