Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleUEFA CLChance will finish season at seedRelegated
WednesdayPGW-D-LGD%Change%Change123456789101112131415161718Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrengthThursday
PSVTRoda 2-28126-3-348YesYes1001.0No1.766PSV Eindhoven
Ajax70122-4-549No95.2%-1.59552.0-0.02No2.783VVVAjax Amsterdam
AZWVitesse 4-36821-5-631No4.8+1.55953.0+0.03No3.711AZ Alkmaar
FeyenoordWWillem II 5-16018-6-834NoNo1004.0-0.01No4.720Feyenoord Rotterdam
Utrecht49113-10-84NoNo982005.0+0.03No5.523GroningenFC Utrecht
VitesseLAZ 3-44512-9-1111NoNo26621826.4-0.15No6.576Vitesse Arnhem
Heerenveen4512-9-11-2NoNo1203930117.3+0.06No7.479SC Heerenveen
Zwolle4412-8-12-5NoNo0930382217.8+0.06No8.453PEC Zwolle
ADO4312-7-13-9NoNo3102360408.5+0.04No9.419ADO Den Haag
HeraclesTExcelsior 2-23810-8-14-17NoNo04612492010.4+0.30No11.374Heracles Almelo
ExcelsiorTHeracles 2-23710-7-15-13NoNo116273024211.7-0.29No-0.010.385Excelsior Rotterdam
Groningen3518-11-12-3NoNo0112332518101011.8+0.280.0%+0.013.471at UtrechtFC Groningen
VVV3417-13-11-12NoNo6122731222012.6+0.270.0-0.112.383at AjaxVVV Venlo
Willem IILFeyenoord 1-5339-6-17-14NoNo138224914213.7-0.381.9+1.314.400Willem II Tilburg
NACLSparta 1-2308-6-18-19NoNo02837391415.5-0.7242.1+24.515.347NAC Breda
SpartaWNAC 2-1308-6-18-33NoNo01936391515.6+0.5643.4-22.317.255Sparta Rotterdam
RodaTPSV 2-2277-6-19-29NoNo92064716.7+0.0373.8-5.116.292Roda JC Kerkrade
Twente235-8-19-21NoNo79317.9-0.0998.7+1.618.332FC Twente Enschede

Monte Carlo simulation: Does not prove mathematical Clinching or Elimination
Tie Breakers:
1. Wins
2. Goal Differential
3. Goals Scored.
Direct Comments/Corrections to Joshuabrianlane@gmail.com

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 4/14
PSV 3 Ajax 0
10:45 AM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
PSVYes
AjaxNo
-1.4
AZ+1.4
AZ 4 Vitesse 3
12:30 PM Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Ajax-1.9
AZ+1.9
Vitesse-0.2
ADO 2 Twente 1
12:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
ADO+0.4
Sparta-0.2
Roda-0.9
Twente+1.2
Sparta 2 NAC 1
2:45 PM Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Willem II+0.5
NAC+23.7
-0.7
Sparta-22.5
+0.6
Roda-1.8
NAC 1 Willem II 2
6:30 AM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Willem II-9.7
+1.0
NAC+9.6
-1.0
Sparta+0.1
Roda-0.2
Vitesse 7 Sparta 0
1:45 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Vitesse+0.2
Zwolle-0.1
Groningen-0.3
Willem II-2.7
NAC-1.7
Sparta+5.5
-0.2
Roda-0.6
Groningen 2 Roda 1
8:30 AM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Heracles*No
Groningen-1.4
+0.5
VVV-0.2
-0.1
Willem II-1.0
NAC-0.8
Sparta-0.9
+0.1
Roda+4.7
-0.2
Twente-0.3
Roda 2 PSV 2
12:30 PM Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
NAC+0.2
Sparta+0.5
-0.1
Roda-2.0
+0.2
Twente+1.5
Twente 2 Zwolle 0
12:30 PM Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Vitesse+0.2
Heerenveen+0.2
Zwolle-0.5
ADO+0.2
Roda+1.5
Twente-1.7
Willem II 1 Feyenoord 5
2:45 PM Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Groningen+0.1
VVV+0.2
Willem II+0.5
-0.5
Sparta-0.4
VVV 0 Heerenveen 2
1:45 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Heerenveen+0.7
ADO-0.2
Groningen+0.2
VVV+0.4
-0.9
Zwolle 1 Excelsior 1
2:45 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Vitesse+0.1
Zwolle-0.2
Excelsior+0.1
VVV-0.0
Excelsior 2 Heracles 2
1:45 PM Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Heracles+0.2
ExcelsiorNo
-0.4
Heerenveen 2 ADO 0
2:45 PM Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Heerenveen+0.5
ADO-0.5
Ajax vs VVVIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
2:45 PM Thu100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Ajax97.592.681.6
2.02.12.2
AZ2.57.418.4
3.02.92.8
Heracles10.410.510.7
Excelsior11.611.812.1
Groningen11.811.912.2
VVV0.10.0No
12.812.311.3
Willem II13.613.713.9
Utrecht vs GroningenHomeDrawAway
12:30 PM Thu100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Utrecht5.05.05.1
Heracles10.310.510.7
Excelsior11.611.711.9
Groningen0.00.0No
12.211.811.0
VVV12.512.612.8
Willem II13.613.713.8

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Josh Lane for adding this league.