Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleUEFA CLChance will finish season at seedRelegated
4/29PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change123456789101112131415161718Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrengthSunday
PSVTADO 3-38226-4-348YesYes1001.0No1.759GroningenPSV Eindhoven
AjaxWAZ 3-07624-4-555NoYes+2.51002.0+0.02No2.803at ExcelsiorAjax Amsterdam
AZLAjax 0-36821-5-728NoNo-2.51003.0-0.02No3.690ZwolleAZ Alkmaar
FeyenoordWSparta 3-16319-6-836NoNo1004.0No4.727at HeerenveenFeyenoord Rotterdam
UtrechtTHeracles 2-25113-12-84NoNo1005.0+0.02No5.523VVVFC Utrecht
VitesseWTwente 5-04813-9-1116NoNo1006.0+0.43No6.608at Willem IIVitesse Arnhem
HeerenveenLNAC 0-34512-9-12-5NoNo583487.5-0.20No7.455FeyenoordSC Heerenveen
ADOTPSV 3-34412-8-13-9NoNo2532428.2+0.35No8.423at RodaADO Den Haag
ZwolleLWillem II 0-14412-8-13-6NoNo1734498.3-0.56No9.445at AZPEC Zwolle
HeraclesTUtrecht 2-23910-9-14-17NoNo73206110.3+0.06No11.378at SpartaHeracles Almelo
GroningenWExcelsior 4-0399-12-121NoNo155725311.1+0.58No-0.012.503at PSVFC Groningen
ExcelsiorLGroningen 0-43710-7-16-17NoNo565629312.2-0.61No10.358AjaxExcelsior Rotterdam
Willem IIWZwolle 1-03610-6-17-13NoNo616961812.5+1.17No-1.913.406VitesseWillem II Tilburg
VVVLRoda 1-4347-13-13-18NoNo47602914.1-1.28No-0.114.345at UtrechtVVV Venlo
NACWHeerenveen 3-0339-6-18-16NoNo294620615.0+0.5120.5%-21.716.372at TwenteNAC Breda
RodaWVVV 4-1308-6-19-26NoNo16513216.2+0.5167.0-6.715.317ADORoda JC Kerkrade
SpartaLFeyenoord 1-3308-6-19-35NoNo9296216.5-0.9472.5+29.017.248HeraclesSparta Rotterdam
TwenteLVitesse 0-5235-8-20-26NoNo10018.0-0.06Yes+1.318.304NACFC Twente Enschede

Monte Carlo simulation: Does not prove mathematical Clinching or Elimination
Tie Breakers:
1. Wins
2. Goal Differential
3. Goals Scored.
Direct Comments/Corrections to Joshuabrianlane@gmail.com

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 4/29
Ajax 3 AZ 0
8:30 AM Sun100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
AjaxYes
AZNo
Zwolle 0 Willem II 1
8:30 AM Sun100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Vitesse+0.1
Heerenveen+0.3
ADO+0.3
Zwolle-0.7
Groningen-0.3
Excelsior-0.1
Willem IINo
+1.0
VVV-0.3
NAC+0.4
-0.1
Roda-0.3
Sparta+1.8
-0.1
Groningen 4 Excelsior 0
8:30 AM Sun100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Heracles+0.0
GroningenNo
+0.7
Excelsior-0.7
Willem II-0.1
VVV-0.0
NAC 3 Heerenveen 0
8:30 AM Sun100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Vitesse+0.2
Heerenveen-0.6
ADO+0.2
Zwolle+0.2
Willem II+2.1
-0.1
VVV+0.1
NAC-22.8
+0.6
Roda+5.0
-0.1
Sparta+15.6
-0.3
VVV 1 Roda 4
8:30 AM Sun100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Groningen+0.2
Excelsior+0.2
Willem II-0.4
+0.3
VVV+0.2
-0.8
NAC+6.4
-0.2
Roda-17.3
+0.7
Sparta+9.9
-0.3
TwenteYes
Feyenoord 3 Sparta 1
8:30 AM Sun100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
GroningenNo
Willem II-0.4
+0.0
VVVNo
+0.0
NAC-3.7
+0.1
Roda-1.4
+0.1
Sparta+5.5
-0.2
Vitesse 5 Twente 0
8:30 AM Sun100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Vitesse+0.3
Heerenveen-0.1
ADO-0.0
Zwolle-0.1
Roda-1.3
+0.1
TwenteYes
-0.1
Heracles 2 Utrecht 2
8:30 AM Sun100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Heracles+0.0
Groningen-0.1
ADO 3 PSV 3
8:30 AM Sun100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
ADO+0.0
Zwolle-0.0
Week of 5/6
Twente vs NACIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
8:30 AM Sun100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
VVV13.813.814.7
NAC48.4NoNo
15.715.014.2
Roda49.280.080.0
15.916.316.3
Sparta62.480.080.0
16.316.716.7
Roda vs ADOHomeDrawAway
8:30 AM Sun100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Heerenveen7.27.28.0
ADO8.98.47.4
Zwolle7.98.48.7
NAC33.812.112.1
15.314.914.9
Roda46.280.080.0
15.616.416.6
Sparta80.067.967.9
16.816.516.2
Sparta vs HeraclesHomeDrawAway
8:30 AM Sun100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Heracles10.810.210.0
Groningen10.911.211.3
Excelsior12.112.112.3
Willem II12.312.612.6
NAC33.813.013.0
15.314.914.9
Roda16.516.215.9
Sparta59.280.080.0
15.916.617.0
PSV vs GroningenHomeDrawAway
8:30 AM Sun100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Heracles10.210.510.8
Groningen11.510.710.4
Excelsior12.112.312.3
Willem II12.412.712.7
Willem II vs VitesseHomeDrawAway
8:30 AM Sun100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Heracles10.610.210.2
Groningen11.610.910.9
Excelsior12.811.811.9
Willem II11.113.013.2
VVV14.214.314.0
Excelsior vs AjaxHomeDrawAway
8:30 AM Sun100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Heracles10.810.310.3
Groningen11.811.111.1
Excelsior10.812.312.4
Willem II12.712.412.4
VVV14.214.214.1
AZ vs ZwolleHomeDrawAway
8:30 AM Sun100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Heerenveen7.37.88.0
ADO8.08.38.6
Zwolle8.77.97.3
Utrecht vs VVVHomeDrawAway
8:30 AM Sun100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Excelsior12.112.112.6
Willem II12.412.412.9
VVV14.314.313.0
NAC15.015.015.3
Heerenveen vs FeyenoordHomeDrawAway
8:30 AM Sun100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Heerenveen7.07.57.7
ADO8.58.18.1
Zwolle8.58.48.2

Thank you Josh Lane for adding this league.