How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 5/18100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
RSL 3 Toronto FC 0 -1.1
-0.1
RSL 2 Atlanta 1 -1.1
-0.1
Orlando 0 LA Galaxy 1 -0.8
San Jose 4 Chicago 1 -0.7
+0.1
-0.1
Minnesota 1 Columbus 0 -0.7
-0.0
LA Galaxy 0 Colorado 1 +0.5
+1.0
Sporting KC 1 Vancouver 1 +0.3
-0.2
+0.0
FC Dallas 1 LAFC 1 +0.2
+0.0
Houston 2 DC United 1 -0.2
NY Red Bulls 2 Vancouver 2 +0.1
-0.3
+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/25100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Vancouver vs FC Dallas+6.0-3.7-7.7
+0.1-0.1-0.1
-1.3+0.6+1.9
+0.4-0.2-0.5
Vancouver vs Toronto FC+5.8-3.2-6.2
+0.1-0.1-0.1
-1.4+0.5+1.7
+0.4-0.2-0.4
Montreal vs RSL+0.7+0.1-1.2
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Philadelphia vs Portland+0.4-0.2-1.5
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Toronto FC vs San Jose+0.4*+0.0-1.2
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Atlanta vs Minnesota+0.4-0.1-1.0
Sporting KC vs Seattle-0.7+0.4+0.7
+0.1-0.0-0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Minnesota vs Houston-0.6+0.3+0.7
Sporting KC vs LA Galaxy-0.4+0.4+0.4
+0.0-0.0-0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Philadelphia vs Colorado+0.0*+0.0-0.1
-0.2+0.1+0.8
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Colorado vs Columbus-0.0+0.1+0.1
+0.4-0.3-0.5
New England vs DC United+0.6-0.1-0.4
Cincinnati vs NY Red Bulls+0.3-0.1-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Vancouver finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield123456789101112SpoonCount
7420-0-0In92.6%9370No15,618
7018-2-0In66.76733No3
6918-1-1In66.76733No3
6817-3-0In68.07228No25*
6717-2-1In27.628712No58
6617-1-2In33.137576No163*
6516-3-1In21.7286391No396*
6416-2-2In15.61968120No940*
6315-4-1In9.212672010No1,990*
6215-3-2In5.910632430No4,465*
6115-2-3In2.96583240No9,063*
6014-4-2In1.43493980No17,508*
5914-3-3In0.5239441410No33,481*
5814-2-4In0.1129472130No60,657*
5713-4-3In0.00204528500No105,807*
5613-3-4In0.001340361010No181,552*
5512-5-3100.0%0.007324117200No297,385*
5412-4-4100.0No04234225600No468,558*
5312-3-599.9No0215383311100No721,827*
5211-5-499.8No018303919300No1,069,166*
5111-4-599.2No042139288100No1,534,023*
5011-3-697.6No00112343515200No2,143,004*
4910-5-593.8No006253924600No2,887,051*
4810-4-686.5No00216363312200No3,782,320*
4710-3-774.9No0018283820400No4,800,013*
469-5-659.4No00041937309100No5,903,589*
459-4-742.4No00110313717300No7,050,154*
448-6-626.9No0005223927710No8,170,017*
438-5-714.9No00021334351420No9,166,403*
428-4-87.2No001726402340No9,981,235*
417-6-73.0No00318393280No10,540,816*
407-5-81.1No0011033401510.0%10,779,601*
397-4-90.3No000525442410.010,690,457*
386-6-80.1No00217433430.010,269,754*
376-5-90.0No00110394550.19,540,238*
366-4-100.0No0006325390.38,579,736*
355-6-90.0No0032459151.07,462,460*
345-5-100.0No0011761212.76,267,690*
335-4-11OutNo001160296.05,085,342*
324-6-10OutNo006563811.43,973,399*
314-5-11OutNo04504619.12,988,671*
304-4-12OutNo02435528.82,162,387*
293-6-11OutNo01366339.81,501,103*
283-5-12OutNo00297151.4998,891*
273-4-13OutNo00227862.2635,651*
262-6-12OutNo0178372.0385,459*
252-5-13OutNo0128880.3221,740*
242-4-14OutNo099186.6120,768*
231-6-13OutNo069491.361,806*
221-5-14OutNo49694.929,963*
211-4-15OutNo29896.913,258*
201-3-16OutNo19998.25,422*
190-5-15OutNo19999.12,059*
180-4-16OutNo19999.4665*
15-17OutNo10099.6236*
140-0-20OutNo0100100.015,618
Total:18.2%0.0%00013581317212382.9%150,739,664

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Vancouver finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeLAFCSeattleHoustonLA GalaxyMinnesotaRSLFC DallasPortlandSporting KCSan JoseColorado
66-7412.4%Yes
6516-3-112.69900
6416-2-212.9100000
6315-4-112.39900100
6215-3-212.297001100000
6115-2-311.5950012110000
6014-4-212.1910112211000
5914-3-311.98502243210000
5814-2-411.37703464321000
13-5-211.1770346432100
5713-4-310.46605596431100
14-1-510.86604696431100
5613-3-49.553068118641110
12-6-29.553078128631110
5512-5-38.5390810149752110
13-2-58.7400810149752110
5412-4-47.22709121611862210
13-1-67.52809111611862110
11-7-27.126010121611952210
5312-3-56.017010121711962210
11-6-36.016010121711962210
5211-5-44.5809121611963210
12-2-64.7909121611863220
10-8-24.48010121611962210
5111-4-53.340810149752210
10-7-33.340810149852210
12-1-73.5408111410762210
5011-3-62.22068117642110
10-6-42.11068117642110
9-9-22.32068117642210
4910-5-51.3004575431110
11-2-71.4104685431110
9-8-31.3004575431110
4810-4-60.7002343221100
9-7-40.7002343211100
11-1-80.8002353221110
4710-3-70.3001221110000
9-6-50.3001121110000
469-5-60.1000111000000
10-2-80.1000111000000
8-8-40.1000111000000
459-4-70.0000000000000
8-7-50.0000000000000
449-3-80.0000000000000
438-5-70.0000000000000
428-4-80.000000000000
418-3-90.0000000000
407-5-8No000000
397-4-9No0
14-38No
Total:0.3%0.60.00.50.71.00.60.50.40.10.10.10.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 5/18100.0*Lottery seed
RSL 3 Toronto FC 0 +0.1
San Jose 4 Chicago 1 +0.1
RSL 2 Atlanta 1 +0.1
NY Red Bulls 2 Vancouver 2 -0.1
Sporting KC 1 Vancouver 1 -0.0
FC Dallas 1 LAFC 1 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/25100.0*Lottery seed
Vancouver vs FC Dallas-0.8+0.5+1.1
Vancouver vs Toronto FC-0.9+0.4+1.0
Philadelphia vs Portland-0.0+0.0+0.1
Sporting KC vs Seattle+0.1-0.0-0.1
Toronto FC vs San Jose-0.0-0.0+0.1
Sporting KC vs LA Galaxy+0.0-0.0-0.1
Philadelphia vs Colorado-0.0+0.0+0.1
New England vs DC United+0.1-0.0-0.0
Atlanta vs Minnesota-0.0-0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324
7420-0-093070
7018-2-06733
6918-1-16733
6817-3-068428
6717-2-128712
6617-1-2334576
6516-3-122663191
6416-2-2164680120
6315-4-1936612010
6215-3-26461224030
6115-2-33354332040
6014-4-21243639080
5914-3-31131844114010
5814-2-401209452200300
5713-4-300119414280500
5613-3-4005833735110010
5512-5-300252210392170200
5412-4-400312113752506000
5312-3-5001510299321110100
5211-5-40011717133541903000
5111-4-5000381330927180100
5011-3-600013102014323140200
4910-5-5000161015308231600
4810-4-600002312211429312200
4710-3-70001171117308205000
469-5-6000003415221527112000
459-4-70001191219292161000
448-6-600000551724291541000
438-5-7000002112153026123000
428-4-8000106722312292000
417-6-7000032122630196100
407-5-8000115163029154000
397-4-9000001721322610200
386-6-80000312273320500
376-5-90000151833301220
366-4-10000002927362150
355-6-900004173631101
345-5-100000193038193
335-4-1100042140286
324-6-1000213373811
314-5-110017304419
304-4-12003214729
293-6-11001144540
283-5-120084051
273-4-130043362
262-6-120022672
252-5-13011980
242-4-1401387
231-6-130991
221-5-140595
211-4-150397
201-3-16298
190-5-15199
180-4-16199
170-3-17199
15-16100
140-0-200100
Total:000000111133446899101111963