Philadelphia Union Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.08 to 37%
24 points   7-3-9

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 7/14100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Montreal 2 San Jose 0 -2.1
-0.1
-0.1
DC United 3 Vancouver 1 -1.3
-0.1
New England 2 LA Galaxy 3 +1.3
+0.2
+0.1
FC Dallas 3 Chicago 1 +1.0
+0.0
NYCFC 2 Columbus 0 +0.7
+0.1
+0.0
Orlando 2 Toronto FC 1 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Minnesota vs New England+1.3+0.2-1.6
+0.1+0.0-0.2
+0.1+0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/21100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Houston vs Philadelphia-5.1+1.0+15.9
-0.2+0.0+0.8
+0.1-0.1-0.3
-0.2+0.1+0.7
Philadelphia vs LA Galaxy+9.9-4.7-10.4
+0.4-0.2-0.4
-0.3+0.0+0.4
+0.5-0.2-0.5
Portland vs Montreal+1.3-0.3-3.8
+0.0-0.0-0.1
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Atlanta vs DC United+0.7-0.3-3.0
+0.0-0.0-0.1
+0.0-0.0-0.1
DC United vs NY Red Bulls-2.1+0.5+1.5
-0.1+0.0+0.1
NY Red Bulls vs New England+0.7-0.3-1.9
+0.1-0.0-0.2
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Columbus vs Orlando-0.8+1.3+0.9
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Orlando vs NYCFC-1.3+0.2+0.7
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Chicago vs Toronto FC-0.7+0.9+0.6
-0.0+0.1+0.0
San Jose vs Seattle+0.1-0.1-0.1
RSL vs Colorado-0.0+0.0+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Philadelphia finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield123456789101112SpoonCount
6915-0-0In79.0%841610No8,124,960
6714-1-0In55.1643240No8,542
6614-0-1In41.5524080No16,610
6513-2-0In29.14046131No56,024
6413-1-1In17.92947223No216,348
6312-3-0In9.518453160No433,109*
6212-2-1In4.5113939110No1,297,397
6112-1-2In1.763145180No3,093,313*
6011-3-1In0.532247280No6,272,408*
5911-2-2In0.1114454000No14,600,733*
5811-1-3In0.008395200No28,424,570*
5710-3-2In0.004326310No53,298,619*
5610-2-3In0.002237220No102,088,025*
559-4-2100.0%0.0011679400No173,579,753*
549-3-3100.00.00010828000No291,353,888*
539-2-4100.0No0068014100No477,981,555*
528-4-3100.0No0037521100No722,938,678*
518-3-499.9No0016629300No1,078,152,183*
508-2-599.7No00154387000No1,548,369,652*
497-4-499.0No00414413100No2,091,708,544*
487-3-597.2No002947223000No2,770,856,613*
477-2-693.1No001844326000No3,516,524,134*
466-4-585.5No09364013100No4,239,729,008*
456-3-673.4No042544234000No4,985,012,926*
445-5-556.6No021540349100No2,795,983,715
6-2-757.3No011541348100No2,807,210,265*
435-4-638.8No007314117200No6,004,943,330*
425-3-723.0No003204328600No4,097,436,023
4-6-521.8No02194229700No2,148,138,657*
414-5-610.5No011035381420No3,228,336,230
5-2-811.4No011137381310No2,967,933,726*
404-4-74.3No004254224500.0%5,858,192,525*
394-3-81.5No0011539341010.03,425,666,410
3-6-61.2No0011338361110.01,922,656,679*
383-5-70.3No000629422020.02,451,605,830
4-2-90.4No000731411820.02,188,518,615*
373-4-80.1No00319423150.03,820,167,232*
363-3-90.0No001103741110.03,018,523,846*
352-5-80.0No00052848190.32,250,890,315*
342-4-90.0No0021850301.01,577,990,067*
332-3-100.0No0011046432.91,052,036,373*
322-2-11OutNo00540556.9653,653,870*
311-4-10OutNo002316613.7374,176,052*
301-3-11OutNo001237623.1200,246,082*
291-2-12OutNo00168334.697,363,791*
280-4-11OutNo00118947.341,405,961*
270-3-12OutNo0079359.215,681,656*
260-2-13OutNo059569.65,056,155
250-1-14OutNo039778.61,113,729
240-0-15OutNo029886.18,237,260
Total:37.0%0.0%00081217191714940.4%75,127,301,986

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Philadelphia finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeAtlantaNYCFCNY Red BullsNew EnglandColumbusMontrealDC UnitedChicagoOrlandoToronto FC
6915-0-012.5%1000000000
6714-1-012.210000000
6614-0-112.810000000
6513-2-012.5990000000
6413-1-112.597001100000
6312-3-012.2940002210000
6212-2-112.0890004411000
6112-1-211.7820007721100
6011-3-111.272000111042110
5911-2-210.860000151453110
5811-1-310.248000201964210
5710-3-29.636000252385210
5610-2-39.125011292695210
559-4-28.6170113229106320
10-1-48.517111322996220
549-3-38.1101113431107320
539-2-47.661123632107220
8-5-27.761113632117321
528-4-37.131123732117320
9-1-57.031123732107220
518-3-46.411123732107220
7-6-26.511123732117320
508-2-55.611123631107220
7-5-35.811123631117320
497-4-44.901113428107220
8-1-64.70112342896220
6-7-25.000113329107320
487-3-53.90111302586220
6-6-34.00011302596220
8-0-73.70111302476220
477-2-62.90011252064210
6-5-43.00011252075210
466-4-52.00001191553110
7-1-71.90001191443110
5-7-32.00001181553110
456-3-61.2000012932110
5-6-41.20000121032110
445-5-50.600007521000
6-2-70.600007521000
435-4-60.300003210000
6-1-80.300003210000
425-3-70.100001100000
414-5-60.00000000000
404-4-70.00000000000
394-3-80.00000000000
384-2-90.00000000000
373-4-80.0000000000
363-3-90.00000
353-2-10No0
24-34No
Total:1.1%0.30.10.20.38.16.62.21.50.50.40.1
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 7/14100.0*Lottery seed
Montreal 2 San Jose 0 +0.1
New England 2 LA Galaxy 3 -0.1
FC Dallas 3 Chicago 1 -0.1
DC United 3 Vancouver 1 +0.1
NYCFC 2 Columbus 0 -0.0
Orlando 2 Toronto FC 1 +0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Minnesota vs New England-0.0-0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/21100.0*Lottery seed
Philadelphia vs LA Galaxy-1.0+0.5+1.1
Houston vs Philadelphia+0.5-0.1-1.6
Portland vs Montreal-0.1+0.0+0.2
Atlanta vs DC United-0.0+0.0+0.2
DC United vs NY Red Bulls+0.1-0.0-0.1
NY Red Bulls vs New England-0.0+0.0+0.1
Orlando vs NYCFC+0.1-0.0-0.1
Minnesota vs LAFC+0.1-0.0-0.1
Chicago vs Toronto FC+0.0-0.1-0.0
Columbus vs Orlando+0.0-0.1-0.0
San Jose vs Seattle-0.0-0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223
6915-0-079516010
6714-1-055932040
6614-0-1411040080
6513-2-029114511301
6413-1-118114522203
6312-3-010941430060
6212-2-1473463801100
6112-1-2242374411800
6011-3-1121484522800
5911-2-20177405390000
5811-1-30035318511000
5710-3-200132111603100
5610-2-300021212648200
559-4-20001511611840000
549-3-30000285031700000
539-2-40000535451221000
528-4-300003205515610000
518-3-400001957161330000
508-2-500013511424610000
497-4-400014110359410000
487-3-50000295421111200000
477-2-6000182421022520000
466-4-50090367338510000
456-3-6004025340101151000
445-5-500201513991813300000
6-2-700101514010181130000
435-4-600007031621231020000
425-3-700030203172920610000
4-6-50020192162922810000
414-5-60010101926311751000
5-2-800101111028301541000
404-4-70004041731281330000
394-3-8000101824322381000
3-6-60001017213225102000
383-5-70000002112632217100
4-2-90000003132831185100
373-4-800001416313015300
363-3-90000017223426910
352-5-80000021229341940
342-4-9000015193530101
332-3-100000192938203
322-2-11000041939317
311-4-10000110344114
301-3-110005254723
291-2-120002164735
280-4-1100194347
270-3-1200053659
260-2-130022870
250-1-14012079
240-0-15001486
Total:000000171112143710109865310