Philadelphia Union Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.07 to 21.4%
5 points   1-2-2

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 4/14100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Chicago 0 LA Galaxy 1 +0.8
-0.1
+0.1
New England 0 FC Dallas 1 +0.6
+0.1
Colorado 2 Toronto FC 0 +0.4
-0.1
+0.0
Atlanta 2 NYCFC 2 +0.2
NY Red Bulls 3 Montreal 1 -0.2
-0.1
DC United 1 Columbus 0 +0.1
+0.5
Sporting KC 2 Seattle 2 +0.1
Portland 3 Minnesota 2 +0.2
San Jose 2 Houston 2 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sporting KC vs Vancouver-0.1+0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/21100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
FC Dallas vs Philadelphia-3.2+0.2+9.3
-0.2-0.0+0.6
-0.1-0.0+0.2
+1.9-0.6-5.0
-0.2+0.0+0.7
Orlando vs San Jose-0.6+0.5+1.0
-0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.2
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Montreal vs LAFC-0.6+0.3+0.7
+0.3-0.1-0.3
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Houston vs Toronto FC+0.3-0.0-1.0
-0.1-0.0+0.2
+0.0-0.0-0.1
LA Galaxy vs Atlanta+0.3+0.0-0.5
+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Columbus vs New England-0.3+0.4+0.2
NY Red Bulls vs Chicago-0.1+0.4-0.2
-0.2+0.0+0.4
Portland vs NYCFC+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.3-0.1-0.2
RSL vs Colorado+0.3-0.1-0.3
Vancouver vs RSL-0.1-0.0+0.3
Seattle vs Minnesota+0.5-0.3-0.6

What If

Chances based on how well the Philadelphia finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield123456789101112SpoonCount
76-92InYes100No260,172*
7522-4-3In99.7%1000No309*
7422-3-4In99.1991No580*
7321-5-3In98.4991No1,280*
7221-4-4In98.0982No2,825*
7121-3-5In95.9973No5,637*
7020-5-4In95.09640No10,683*
6920-4-5In91.99360No20,646*
6819-6-4In88.59190No38,297*
6719-5-5In84.287120No68,628*
6619-4-6In78.4831600No122,333*
6518-6-5In71.3782110No210,595*
6418-5-6In62.3712720No355,013*
6318-4-7In52.66433300No584,834*
6217-6-6In42.05539500No941,272*
6117-5-7In31.446449000No1,483,296*
6016-7-6In21.6374813100No2,288,972*
5916-6-7In13.4285019200No3,445,198*
5816-5-8In7.3204826500No5,087,995*
5715-7-7100.0%3.413443391000No7,345,465*
5615-6-8100.01.38373914200No10,375,640*
5515-5-9100.00.442841224000No14,360,326*
5414-7-8100.00.121939299100No19,447,309*
5314-6-999.80.01123435153000No25,786,189*
5214-5-1099.30.0062538236100No33,469,910*
5113-7-997.90.003173531122000No42,537,089*
5013-6-1094.7No01928362050000No52,918,008*
4912-8-988.3No004203628102000No64,466,385*
4812-7-1077.7No002113035184000No76,876,350*
4712-6-1163.0No00162136279100No89,771,508*
4611-8-1046.2No000213313416300No102,598,626*
4511-7-1130.2No0016233625810No114,733,720*
4411-6-1217.3No00031433331530No125,562,604*
4310-8-118.6No00018253623600.0%134,466,602*
4210-7-123.8No00031735311210.0140,838,230*
4110-6-131.4No00011029371930.0144,319,625*
409-8-120.5No000521392870.1144,606,984*
399-7-130.1No0002143636120.4141,622,504*
389-6-140.0No000183042191.4135,580,631*
378-8-130.0No00042245284.0126,750,807*
368-7-140.0No00021544388.9115,777,116*
358-6-150.0No00110404916.6103,238,152*
347-8-140.0No0006355926.989,817,048*
337-7-150.0No0003286938.876,233,929*
327-6-16OutNo002227751.063,065,215*
316-8-15OutNo001168362.450,828,644*
306-7-16OutNo00118872.339,893,387*
296-6-17OutNo0089280.430,467,075*
285-8-16OutNo0059586.622,606,870*
275-7-17OutNo0039791.116,306,226*
265-6-18OutNo029894.311,417,238*
254-8-17OutNo019996.47,739,289*
244-7-18OutNo019997.85,079,727*
234-6-19OutNo0010098.73,227,323*
223-8-18OutNo0010099.21,978,014*
213-7-19OutNo0010099.61,166,712*
203-6-20OutNo010099.7662,330*
192-8-19OutNo010099.8361,348*
182-7-20OutNo010099.9188,387*
172-6-21OutNo010099.994,171*
5-16OutNo100100.0336,514*
Total:21.4%0.2%012468101316182211.3%2,403,847,792

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Philadelphia finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeNYCFCAtlantaNY Red BullsNew EnglandColumbusOrlandoMontrealToronto FCChicagoDC United
67-9212.5%Yes
6619-4-612.410000
6518-6-512.410000000000
6418-5-612.51000000000000
6318-4-712.51000000000000
6217-6-612.51000000000000
6117-5-712.51000000000000
6016-7-612.5990000000000
5916-6-712.4970000000000
5816-5-812.2950111110000
5715-7-712.0901122110000
5615-6-811.6831233321111
14-9-611.6841233221111
5515-5-911.0742444441111
14-8-710.9732444441111
5414-7-810.0602666652222
15-4-1010.1612566652221
5314-6-98.9463788873222
13-9-78.9453888873222
15-3-119.1483788773222
5214-5-107.633491010983333
13-8-87.531491010983333
5113-7-96.0194910111094333
14-4-116.3214910111094333
12-10-76.01941010111094333
5013-6-104.611391010994333
12-9-84.510391010994333
14-3-124.8114910101094333
4912-8-93.143889873333
13-5-113.353899883333
11-11-73.253899883333
4812-7-102.022666662222
13-4-122.222677663222
11-10-82.022666662222
4712-6-111.211444442221
11-9-91.111344432111
13-3-131.311445442221
4611-8-100.601222221111
12-5-120.601223221111
4511-7-110.300111110000
4411-6-120.100000000000
4310-8-110.000000000000
4210-7-120.000000000000
4110-6-130.000000000000
409-8-120.00000000000
399-7-130.00000000000
389-6-140.00000000000
378-8-130.0000000000
368-7-14No000
5-35No
Total:1.0%3.90.51.31.51.51.41.30.60.50.50.5
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 4/14100.0*Lottery seed
Colorado 2 Toronto FC 0 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/21100.0*Lottery seed
FC Dallas vs Philadelphia+0.5-0.1-1.6
Montreal vs LAFC+0.1-0.0-0.1
Houston vs Toronto FC-0.0-0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223
76-92100
7522-4-31000
7422-3-49901
7321-5-39801
7221-4-49802
7121-3-59613
7020-5-495140
6920-4-592260
6819-6-489290
6719-5-58431200
6619-4-678516000
6518-6-571721010
6418-5-662927020
6318-4-753113303000
6217-6-642133915000
6117-5-7311543190000
6016-7-622164531301000
5916-6-713154451902000
5816-5-87134092605000
5715-7-731031123219010000
5615-6-81721153541402000
5515-5-904121634721040000
5414-7-8025142712282901000
5314-6-901210181631515030000
5214-5-100006817281022160100
5113-7-9000331419162741202000
5013-6-1000119919261019150000
4912-8-90000431618172541020000
4812-7-1000002111921241117510000
4712-6-110001053191619221130000
4611-8-100000020127242120930000
4511-7-110001062211424199300000
4411-6-1200000301461825201030000
4310-8-110000108292126201030000
4210-7-12000003031122272092000
4110-6-1300001014132428198200
409-8-120000001515262818610
399-7-13000000171829271440
389-6-14000000029223124101
378-8-130000014132832184
368-7-14000000162034299
358-6-1500000312313717
347-8-14000016244227
337-7-15000003164239
327-6-160001103851
316-8-1500053262
306-7-1600032572
296-6-1700011880
285-8-160011387
275-7-17000991
265-6-1800694
254-8-1700496
244-7-1800298
234-6-190199
223-8-180199
213-7-1900100
203-6-200100
192-8-190100
182-7-200100
172-6-210100
162-5-220100
151-7-210100
141-6-220100
131-5-230100
121-4-240100
5-11100
Total:0011112233354456678891011