Philadelphia Union Playoff Chances

Beat DC United 3-1, playoff odds up 0.03 to 99.9999%
48 points   14-6-8

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/24100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Average seed
Philadelphia 3 DC United 1 +0.0
+0.5
+0.3
NYCFC 2 NY Red Bulls 1 +0.1
-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/31100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Average seed
Philadelphia vs AtlantaIn+0.0-0.0
+0.3-0.1-0.3
+0.3-0.1-0.4
NY Red Bulls vs Colorado-0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Vancouver vs NYCFC+0.1+0.0-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Philadelphia finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield123456789101112SpoonCount
666-0-0In0.2%982No23,858,773
645-1-0In0.089110No98,107,984
635-0-1In0.079201No157,995,100
624-2-0In0.066322No174,240,245
614-1-1InNo49457No555,352,214
604-0-2InNo335214No438,259,997
3-3-0InNo325315No163,125,085
593-2-1InNo19542700No771,441,775
583-1-2InNo10484200No1,204,437,751
2-4-0InNo947440No84,890,412
573-0-3InNo4385710No620,329,002
2-3-1InNo4375910No529,468,057
562-2-2InNo12571300No1,226,241,130
1-5-0InNo1247510No23,287,450
552-1-3InNo01579600No1,248,837,473
1-4-1InNo01382400No179,615,602
541-3-2InNo068113000No548,447,128
2-0-4InNo07771500No471,617,627
0-6-0InNo0686800No2,632,107
531-2-3InNo037324100No828,316,497
0-5-1InNo02801710No24,086,347
521-1-4InNo016037200No618,428,648
0-4-2InNo016333200No90,945,310
511-0-5InNo004253500No182,525,637
0-3-3100.0%No0043497000No181,105,482
500-2-4100.0No0265715100No200,512,093
490-1-5100.0No01358253000No117,012,255
480-0-6100.0No449379100No29,220,371
Total:100.0%0.0%1125521010000No10,794,337,552

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Philadelphia finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeAtlantaNYCFCNY Red BullsDC UnitedToronto FCNew EnglandMontrealOrlandoChicagoColumbusCincinnati
60-6612.5%Yes
593-2-112.51000000000000
583-1-212.510000000000000
2-4-012.51000000000
573-0-312.59900000000000
2-3-112.5990000000000
562-2-212.49700011100000
1-5-012.599000000000
552-1-312.39400012200000
1-4-112.49600011100000
541-3-212.18700124411000
2-0-412.08500035411000
0-6-012.392001122110
531-2-311.77500257722000
0-5-111.98200235511000
521-1-411.2610037111132100
0-4-211.264005710932100
511-0-510.44200511161553100
0-3-310.44300711151453100
500-2-49.426001014191874100
490-1-58.313001117212085100
480-0-67.04001217212195100
Total:12.1%88.60.00.01.12.23.23.01.00.70.20.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 8/24100.0*Lottery seed
Philadelphia 3 DC United 1 -0.6
NYCFC 2 NY Red Bulls 1 +0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
LAFC vs LA Galaxy-0.0+0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/31100.0*Lottery seed
Philadelphia vs Atlanta-0.7+0.3+0.8
Vancouver vs NYCFC-0.2-0.1+0.1
NY Red Bulls vs Colorado+0.1-0.1-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324
666-0-00982
645-1-00891100
635-0-107920010
624-2-006632020
614-1-14943270
604-0-233493140
3-3-032493150
593-2-11946827000
583-1-2103612411000
2-4-09351343100
573-0-342414543100
2-3-142215563100
562-2-211015601130000
1-5-019156213100
552-1-30311542560000
1-4-10311542840000
541-3-200634461120000
2-0-40173740142000
0-6-0005365071000
531-2-3003145815910000
0-5-10021565116100
521-1-4001456142220000
0-4-2001360122221000
511-0-5000141944320000
0-3-30000436433400000
500-2-40026255312100000
490-1-500130582231200000
480-0-6040491361800000
Total:011188332056010000000