Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleUEFA CLChance will finish season at seedLiga Pro
SundayPGW-D-LGD%Change%Change123456789101112131415161718Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrength1/28
BenficaTondela42113-3-12657.7%-2.798.0%+0.3583192000000000001.6-0.02No1.759at Vitória SetúbalBenfica
PortoWRio Ave 4-24112-5-12635.3+4.095.2+2.63544164100000000001.9+0.12No2.780at EstorilPorto
Sporting BragaVitória Guimarães36111-3-3165.8-0.570.1+2.9618472271000000000003.1+0.020.0%3.696at Rio AveSporting Braga
Sporting CPTMarítimo 2-23510-5-3131.1-0.827.3-6.21521442341000000000004.0-0.150.04.642Paços de FerreiraSporting CP
Vitória Guimarãesat Sporting Braga3119-4-480.2-0.08.7+0.40172445145210000000004.9+0.070.0+0.05.590MarítimoVitória Guimarães
MarítimoTSporting CP 2-2278-3-710.0-0.00.3-0.1000210282215106421000007.2+0.060.07.507at Vitória GuimarãesMarítimo
ChavesNacional2415-9-320.0-0.00.2+0.000028222217128531000007.7+0.100.0+0.06.521at TondelaChaves
Rio AveLPorto 2-4247-3-8-30.0-0.00.0-0.10000310151717141174210008.9-0.510.1+0.08.452Sporting BragaRio Ave
Vitória Setúbalat Belenenses2216-4-700.0-0.00.0+0.00000210151717141173210009.0+0.090.1+0.011.488BenficaVitória Setúbal
BoavistaWArouca 2-1225-7-6-20.00.0+0.00000159131617151274210010.0+1.040.3-0.710.460BelenensesBoavista
AroucaLBoavista 1-2237-2-9-50.0-0.00.0-0.00000147111417181484210010.2-0.630.3+0.212.416at NacionalArouca
BelenensesVitória Setúbal2015-5-7-50.00.0000001369121618149631011.6+0.031.7+0.29.380at BoavistaBelenenses
Paços de FerreiraLMoreirense 0-2174-5-9-110.0-0.00.0-0.000000001236101517171410514.1-1.0214.8+7.814.346at Sporting CPPaços de Ferreira
MoreirenseWPaços de Ferreira 2-0175-2-11-120.00.000000001135101618171410414.2+1.0514.3-15.513.337FeirenseMoreirense
Estorilat Feirense1514-3-10-90.00.00000000012481416171613714.5-0.0520.2+1.815.333PortoEstoril
Nacionalat Chaves1313-4-10-100.00.00000000001259131720201315.3-0.0732.6+2.117.338AroucaNacional
FeirenseEstoril1514-3-10-190.00.00000000001247111520241615.7-0.0739.8+2.316.263at MoreirenseFeirense
Tondelaat Benfica1012-4-11-16No0.00000000000124611215517.1-0.0575.8+1.718.281ChavesTondela

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 1/22
Porto 4 Rio Ave 2
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Liga Pro100.0*Average seed
Benfica-4.1
-0.1
-0.1
Porto+5.1
+2.3
+0.1
Sporting Braga-0.7
-0.6
-0.0
Sporting CP-0.2
-1.1
Vitória Guimarães-0.4
Marítimo+0.0
Chaves+0.0
Rio Ave-0.1
-0.2
Vitória Setúbal+0.0
Boavista+0.0
Arouca+0.0
Belenenses+0.0
Marítimo 2 Sporting CP 2
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Liga Pro100.0*Average seed
Benfica+0.3
+0.3
Porto+0.2
+0.8
Sporting Braga+0.1
+2.3
+0.0
Sporting CP-0.6
-3.8
No
-0.1
Vitória Guimarães+0.5
Marítimo-0.1
Arouca 1 Boavista 2
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Liga Pro100.0*Average seed
Boavista-0.7
+0.7
AroucaNo
+0.1
-0.6
Nacional+0.1
Feirense+0.1
Paços de Ferreira 0 Moreirense 2
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Liga Pro100.0*Average seed
Boavista+0.1
Belenenses+0.1
Paços de FerreiraNo
No
+4.9
-0.7
Moreirense-11.4
+0.7
Estoril+1.4
Nacional+1.6
Feirense+1.8
Tondela+1.3
Benfica vs TondelaIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Liga Pro100.0*Average seed
Benfica62.550.844.9
98.797.195.7
1.51.71.8
Porto31.640.645.1
95.295.395.4
2.01.81.8
Sporting Braga4.97.08.1
70.070.470.8
3.13.13.0
Paços de Ferreira14.315.117.2
14.114.114.2
Moreirense13.814.616.6
14.214.214.3
Estoril19.720.622.8
14.514.614.6
Nacional31.933.136.1
15.315.315.4
Feirense39.140.443.4
15.615.715.8
TondelaNoNo0.0
78.873.560.7
17.217.016.5
Sporting Braga vs Vitória GuimarãesHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Liga Pro100.0*Average seed
Benfica56.458.559.0
97.898.198.0
Sporting Braga8.34.53.1
79.168.457.7
2.93.23.4
Sporting CP23.729.430.7
Vitória Guimarães0.10.10.4
3.97.617.3
0.0NoNo
5.25.04.5
Belenenses vs Vitória SetúbalHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Liga Pro100.0*Average seed
Vitória SetúbalNoNo0.0
9.79.28.4
Belenenses0.0NoNo
0.61.62.6
10.711.612.1
Chaves vs NacionalHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Liga Pro100.0*Average seed
Chaves0.00.0No
0.30.10.1
7.37.98.3
Paços de Ferreira13.914.916.6
14.114.114.2
Moreirense13.4*14.316.0
14.114.214.3
Estoril19.120.322.4
14.514.514.6
NacionalNoNo0.0
38.532.020.6
15.615.314.6
Feirense38.140.043.1
15.615.715.8
Tondela74.776.078.1
17.017.117.1
Feirense vs EstorilHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Liga Pro100.0*Average seed
EstorilNoNo0.0
31.122.111.1
15.214.713.9
Nacional34.232.031.8
Feirense0.0NoNo
24.6*39.850.6
14.915.716.1
Week of 1/28
Vitória Setúbal vs BenficaIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Liga Pro100.0*Average seed
Benfica46.452.463.9
96.297.498.8
1.81.61.5
Porto44.039.430.4
95.495.395.2
1.81.92.0
Sporting Braga7.76.74.7
70.670.370.0
3.03.13.1
Vitória Setúbal0.0NoNo
8.28.99.3
Estoril vs PortoHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Liga Pro100.0*Average seed
Benfica67.063.053.9
1.41.51.6
Porto23.928.939.8
91.093.596.7
2.22.01.8
Sporting Braga7.36.65.1
71.170.669.8
3.03.13.1
Sporting CP1.41.30.9
29.528.226.5
Estoril0.1NoNo
10.017.822.8
13.614.414.7
Nacional34.833.132.0
15.415.315.3
Feirense42.840.539.0
15.815.715.6
Tondela77.876.375.4
17.117.117.0
Rio Ave vs Sporting BragaHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Liga Pro100.0*Average seed
Benfica59.258.656.7
98.498.297.7
Sporting Braga2.94.17.7
60.165.976.1
3.43.22.9
Sporting CP33.229.823.7
3.94.04.1
Vitória Guimarães11.19.77.2
Rio Ave0.0NoNo
8.28.99.3
Sporting CP vs Paços de FerreiraHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Liga Pro100.0*Average seed
Porto35.135.435.6
94.596.096.6
Sporting Braga66.873.275.9
3.13.13.0
Sporting CP1.50.60.4
32.622.418.1
No*No0.0
3.94.24.3
Paços de FerreiraNoNo0.1
17.813.46.9
14.414.013.2
Nacional31.932.934.1
15.315.315.4
Feirense39.040.241.9
15.615.715.8
Tondela75.276.177.5
17.017.117.1
Vitória Guimarães vs MarítimoHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Liga Pro100.0*Average seed
Sporting Braga68.471.071.7
Vitória Guimarães0.30.10.1
12.37.15.2
NoNo0.0
4.65.05.3
Marítimo0.10.20.7
7.67.36.7
Tondela vs ChavesHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Liga Pro100.0*Average seed
Chaves0.10.10.3
8.38.07.3
Paços de Ferreira16.8*14.814.1
14.214.114.1
Moreirense16.2*14.313.5
Estoril22.420.319.4
14.614.514.5
Nacional35.532.731.5
15.415.315.3
Feirense42.839.938.6
15.815.715.6
Tondela0.0NoNo
63.275.480.6
16.617.117.2
Boavista vs BelenensesHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Liga Pro100.0*Average seed
Boavista0.0NoNo
0.1*0.30.7
9.310.210.7
BelenensesNoNo0.0
2.61.60.6
12.111.610.7
Nacional vs AroucaHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Liga Pro100.0*Average seed
AroucaNoNo0.0
0.60.20.0
10.810.49.6
Paços de Ferreira16.314.713.7
14.214.114.1
Moreirense15.914.113.2
14.214.214.1
Estoril22.220.018.8
14.614.514.5
Nacional0.0NoNo
21.633.339.9
14.715.415.7
Feirense42.839.637.7
15.715.615.6
Tondela77.975.774.5
17.117.117.0
Moreirense vs FeirenseHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Liga Pro100.0*Average seed
Moreirense0.0NoNo
7.015.223.7
13.614.414.9
Nacional31.532.134.6
FeirenseNoNo0.0
49.640.525.1
16.115.714.9

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Markus Paminger for adding this league.