Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleUEFA CLChance will finish season at seedLiga Pro
2/19PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change123456789101112131415161718Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrengthSunday
BenficaWSporting Braga 1-05417-3-23653.8%+1.6100.0%+0.1544510000001.5+0.02No2.804ChavesBenfica
PortoWTondela 4-05316-5-13446.0-1.599.9+0.1465220000001.6-0.01No1.806at BoavistaPorto
Sporting CPWRio Ave 1-04413-5-4160.2-0.077.1+15.803741841000000003.3+0.24No3.645at EstorilSporting CP
Sporting BragaLBenfica 0-13811-5-6130.0-0.118.1-12.5001850227210000000004.3-0.200.0%5.648at Vitória SetúbalSporting Braga
Vitória GuimarãesTBelenenses 1-13610-6-650.0-0.04.3-2.9004234218831000000005.2-0.050.04.548MoreirenseVitória Guimarães
MarítimoTNacional 0-0339-6-720.0-0.00.3-0.500051429221484210000006.8-0.120.0-0.07.528at TondelaMarítimo
ChavesWArouca 2-0327-11-440.00.3+0.1000311232518116310000007.2+1.000.0-0.06.551at BenficaChaves
Vitória SetúbalLPaços de Ferreira 1-2298-5-90No-0.00.0-0.200131016211914952100008.6-0.690.0+0.09.490Sporting BragaVitória Setúbal
Rio AveLSporting CP 0-1288-4-10-4No-0.00.0-0.100027131718161284210009.2-0.450.0+0.08.442Paços de FerreiraRio Ave
BoavistaWFeirense 1-0276-9-7-2No0.0+0.0000137131718161274210010.1+0.920.1-0.410.462PortoBoavista
AroucaLChaves 0-2278-3-11-9No0.0-0.0000014712171917116310010.9-0.700.2+0.112.378BelenensesArouca
BelenensesTVitória Guimarães 1-1266-8-8-5No0.0-0.0000012591317191510630011.6+0.030.5-0.211.399at AroucaBelenenses
Paços de FerreiraWVitória Setúbal 2-1236-5-11-11No0.000001236101419181493113.1+1.103.7-7.913.372at Rio AvePaços de Ferreira
FeirenseLBoavista 0-1257-4-11-17No0.0-0.0000000124712202218114013.6-0.634.1+1.715.296at NacionalFeirense
EstorilTMoreirense 1-1205-5-12-10No0.0-0.000000012361118242111314.7-0.1214.2-0.516.348Sporting CPEstoril
MoreirenseTEstoril 1-1195-4-13-14No0.00000000123712192920715.4-0.1226.3+0.114.335at Vitória GuimarãesMoreirense
NacionalTMarítimo 0-0163-7-12-15NoNo-0.0000000001251019402316.5+0.0362.8-0.017.297FeirenseNacional
TondelaLPorto 0-4143-5-14-23NoNo0000000000137226717.5-0.2488.1+7.118.240MarítimoTondela

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 2/19
Sporting Braga 0 Benfica 1
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Liga Pro100.0*Average seed
Benfica+8.0
+0.2
+0.1
Porto-7.9
-0.1
Sporting CP+4.3
Sporting Braga-5.2
-0.2
Vitória Guimarães+0.6
Porto 4 Tondela 0
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Liga Pro100.0*Average seed
Benfica-4.7
-0.0
Porto+4.7
+0.1
Paços de Ferreira-0.5
Estoril-0.5
Moreirense-0.8
Nacional-0.6
+0.0
Tondela+2.6
-0.1
Sporting CP 1 Rio Ave 0
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Liga Pro100.0*Average seed
Sporting CP+0.2
+7.8
+0.2
Sporting Braga-5.6
Vitória Guimarães-1.7
Marítimo-0.3
Chaves+0.1
Rio Ave-0.4
Belenenses 1 Vitória Guimarães 1
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Liga Pro100.0*Average seed
Sporting CP+1.0
Sporting Braga+0.5
Vitória Guimarães-1.5
*No
-0.1
Belenenses-0.0
Marítimo 0 Nacional 0
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Liga Pro100.0*Average seed
Marítimo-0.2
No
-0.2
Chaves+0.0
Paços de Ferreira+0.1
Estoril+0.1
Moreirense+0.3
Nacional-0.7
+0.0
Tondela+0.1
Paços de Ferreira 2 Vitória Setúbal 1
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Liga Pro100.0*Average seed
Chaves+0.1
Vitória Setúbal-0.6
Paços de Ferreira-5.9
+0.8
Feirense+0.4
Estoril+0.9
-0.1
Moreirense+1.5
-0.1
Nacional+1.9
Tondela+1.2
Chaves 2 Arouca 0
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Liga Pro100.0*Average seed
Chaves+0.6
Arouca-0.5
Feirense 0 Boavista 1
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Liga Pro100.0*Average seed
Boavista-0.4
+0.6
Feirense+1.3
-0.5
Moreirense-0.3
Nacional-0.3
Moreirense 1 Estoril 1
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Liga Pro100.0*Average seed
Paços de Ferreira-0.3
EstorilNo
+0.2
-0.1
Moreirense*No
+1.4
-0.1
Nacional-0.6
Tondela-0.5
Week of 2/26
Benfica vs ChavesIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Liga Pro100.0*Average seed
Benfica60.747.841.3
1.41.51.6
Porto39.251.958.3
1.61.51.4
Marítimo6.86.87.0
ChavesNo*No0.0
0.10.20.8
0.00.0No
7.57.16.5
Boavista vs PortoHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Liga Pro100.0*Average seed
Benfica66.660.547.8
1.31.41.5
Porto33.039.252.1
1.71.61.5
Vitória Setúbal8.78.68.6
Rio Ave9.49.29.2
Boavista9.19.910.4
Arouca11.010.910.9
Belenenses11.811.711.6
Estoril vs Sporting CPHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Liga Pro100.0*Average seed
Sporting CP0.00.10.3
66.672.582.6
3.43.33.2
Sporting Braga25.721.514.0
4.24.24.3
Vitória Guimarães6.65.23.1
Paços de Ferreira4.23.73.5
13.213.113.0
Feirense4.94.23.7
13.713.613.5
Estoril0.0NoNo
5.912.717.5
13.814.614.9
Moreirense28.326.725.6
15.515.415.4
Nacional66.163.461.5
16.616.516.5
Tondela89.788.487.5
Vitória Setúbal vs Sporting BragaHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Liga Pro100.0*Average seed
Sporting CP83.180.072.1
3.23.23.3
Sporting Braga11.114.723.8
4.64.44.1
Vitória Guimarães5.04.63.7
Vitória Setúbal7.88.69.0
Vitória Guimarães vs MoreirenseHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Liga Pro100.0*Average seed
Sporting CP75.978.078.6
Sporting Braga17.518.518.9
4.34.24.2
Vitória Guimarães6.12.81.8
NoNo0.0
5.05.45.6
Paços de Ferreira3.33.74.5
13.013.113.2
Feirense3.64.15.1
13.513.613.7
Estoril13.014.416.9
14.614.714.8
MoreirenseNoNo0.0
32.225.213.9
15.715.414.7
Nacional60.363.368.0
16.516.516.6
Tondela87.088.490.6
17.417.517.5
Tondela vs MarítimoHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Liga Pro100.0*Average seed
MarítimoNo0.00.0
0.10.10.5
7.57.16.5
Chaves7.17.17.3
Paços de Ferreira4.53.73.4
Feirense4.8*4.13.9
Estoril16.614.313.5
14.714.714.6
Moreirense30.026.525.2
15.515.415.4
Nacional65.262.962.1
16.716.516.5
Tondela77.987.791.3
17.117.517.6
Arouca vs BelenensesHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Liga Pro100.0*Average seed
Arouca0.00.10.3
10.111.011.6
Belenenses0.90.40.1
12.411.810.8
Rio Ave vs Paços de FerreiraHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Liga Pro100.0*Average seed
Rio Ave8.69.49.9
Paços de Ferreira0.0No0.0
5.63.51.2
13.713.212.2
Moreirense25.826.426.9
15.415.415.5
Nacional62.262.863.5
Nacional vs FeirenseHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Liga Pro100.0*Average seed
Paços de Ferreira4.53.43.0
13.013.113.2
FeirenseNo0.00.0
8.23.20.6
14.213.712.9
Estoril16.913.612.0
Moreirense30.625.323.0
Nacional49.266.073.8
16.116.616.9
Tondela89.587.887.1
17.617.517.4

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Markus Paminger for adding this league.