Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleUEFA CLChance will finish season at seedLiga Pro
3/19PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change123456789101112131415161718Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrength4/2
BenficaTPaços de Ferreira 0-06420-4-24351.9%+0.2100.0%52471001.5No2.832PortoBenfica
PortoTVitória Setúbal 1-16319-6-14648.1-0.3100.0-0.0485110001.5-0.01No1.842at BenficaPorto
Sporting CPWNacional 2-05416-6-4230.1+0.191.5+1.10290810003.1+0.02No3.689at AroucaSporting CP
Sporting BragaWBelenenses 2-14613-7-6160.07.6-1.1008602930000004.3-0.04No5.666MarítimoSporting Braga
Vitória GuimarãesWRio Ave 3-04412-8-69No0.9+0.1013160710000004.8+0.20No4.582at NacionalVitória Guimarães
MarítimoWArouca 3-14011-7-82No0.0-0.000185920731000006.4+0.68No6.522at Sporting BragaMarítimo
Rio AveLVitória Guimarães 0-33510-5-11-4No0.0-0.000116322013952100007.9-0.510.0%7.448at BoavistaRio Ave
ChavesLFeirense 2-3337-12-70No0.0-0.00006142019161283100009.2-0.820.08.491Paços de FerreiraChaves
BoavistaTEstoril 0-0327-11-80No0.000041318181714105100009.5-0.160.0-0.011.491Rio AveBoavista
Vitória SetúbalTPorto 1-1318-7-11-2No0.000021217181715115200009.6+0.410.0-0.010.465MoreirenseVitória Setúbal
BelenensesLSporting Braga 1-2328-8-10-8No0.0-0.000026111518191694100010.4-0.370.09.379FeirenseBelenenses
FeirenseWChaves 3-2329-5-12-16No0.000002591318221910200011.4+1.170.0-0.113.322at BelenensesFeirense
AroucaLMarítimo 1-3278-3-15-18NoNo000012481628261130013.0-0.570.4+0.112.313Sporting CPArouca
Paços de FerreiraTBenfica 0-0276-9-11-11NoNo000012471222311540013.2+0.200.5-0.714.370at ChavesPaços de Ferreira
EstorilTBoavista 0-0225-7-14-14NoNo0000001261741228215.0+0.0410.5-3.215.321at TondelaEstoril
MoreirenseTTondela 1-1215-6-15-16NoNo000000026204520615.9-0.0826.0-2.516.326at Vitória SetúbalMoreirense
NacionalLSporting CP 0-2183-9-14-24NoNo000000001616403617.0-0.1776.1+5.217.236Vitória GuimarãesNacional
TondelaTMoreirense 1-1173-8-15-26NoNo00000001310315617.4+0.0186.5+1.118.233EstorilTondela

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 4/2
Benfica vs PortoIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Liga Pro100.0*Average seed
Benfica82.551.024.1
1.21.51.8
Porto17.548.875.8
1.81.51.2
Arouca vs Sporting CPHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Liga Pro100.0*Average seed
Sporting CP0.00.00.1
83.788.394.6
3.23.13.0
Sporting Braga14.110.34.9
4.24.34.3
Vitória Guimarães2.21.30.4
Chaves9.29.29.1
Boavista0.0*0.0No
9.69.59.5
Vitória Setúbal9.79.69.6
Belenenses10.510.410.3
Feirense0.0*0.0No
11.611.411.4
Arouca0.00.20.6
12.112.913.3
Paços de Ferreira13.413.213.1
Estoril15.115.115.0
Moreirense26.126.025.9
Tondela86.686.586.4
Chaves vs Paços de FerreiraHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Liga Pro100.0*Average seed
Rio Ave8.07.97.9
Chaves0.00.0No
No0.00.0
8.59.410.0
Boavista9.59.49.4
Vitória Setúbal9.79.69.6
Belenenses10.410.310.4
Arouca13.013.013.1
Paços de Ferreira0.80.30.0
13.713.212.4
Estoril10.510.510.6
15.015.015.1
Moreirense25.926.026.1
Nacional76.076.276.3
Tondela86.486.586.6
Sporting Braga vs MarítimoHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Liga Pro100.0*Average seed
Sporting CP87.893.895.6
Sporting Braga11.45.33.3
4.14.34.5
Vitória Guimarães0.81.01.0
4.84.74.7
Marítimo6.66.45.9
Rio Ave7.97.98.0
Chaves9.19.29.2
Nacional vs Vitória GuimarãesHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Liga Pro100.0*Average seed
Sporting CP92.091.991.2
Sporting Braga7.97.87.5
4.14.24.4
Vitória Guimarães0.20.41.3
5.04.94.6
Marítimo6.36.36.4
Arouca0.70.40.3
Paços de Ferreira0.90.50.4
Estoril14.610.99.4
15.115.015.0
Moreirense36.327.023.2
16.015.915.9
Nacional58.474.480.9
16.617.017.2
Tondela89.186.885.7
17.517.417.3
Boavista vs Rio AveHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Liga Pro100.0*Average seed
Marítimo6.36.36.4
Rio Ave8.58.07.2
Chaves9.29.19.1
Boavista8.69.710.3
Belenenses10.410.310.3
Feirense11.511.411.3
Belenenses vs FeirenseHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Liga Pro100.0*Average seed
Chaves9.29.19.2
Boavista9.59.49.5
Belenenses9.510.511.3
Feirense12.111.510.4
Vitória Setúbal vs MoreirenseHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Liga Pro100.0*Average seed
Rio Ave8.07.97.8
Chaves9.39.19.0
Boavista9.69.49.4
Vitória Setúbal9.09.910.4
Belenenses10.510.310.3
Feirense11.511.411.3
Arouca0.30.40.6
Paços de Ferreira0.30.50.7
Estoril9.010.513.4
15.015.015.2
Moreirense34.025.512.2
16.215.915.4
Nacional72.476.482.6
17.017.017.1
Tondela84.086.890.5
17.317.417.5
Tondela vs EstorilHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Liga Pro100.0*Average seed
Arouca0.60.40.3
13.013.013.1
Paços de Ferreira0.60.40.4
13.113.113.3
Estoril21.610.63.4
15.615.214.6
Moreirense29.624.924.4
15.915.815.9
Nacional75.375.077.5
17.117.017.0
Tondela72.388.894.0
17.017.417.6

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Markus Paminger for adding this league.