Columbus Crew Playoff Chances

Lost to Atlanta 0-2, playoff odds down 4 to 92%
27 points   7-6-4

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 6/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Average seed
LAFC vs Columbus-2.4+0.3+4.3
-0.7-0.0+1.3
-0.3-0.1+0.8
-0.2-0.0+0.5
Seattle vs Chicago+0.5+0.1-0.9
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Philadelphia vs Vancouver-0.5+0.4+0.7
-0.0+0.0+0.1
NYCFC vs Toronto FC+0.3-0.0-0.9
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Orlando vs Montreal-0.4+0.5+0.5
-0.0+0.1+0.1
NY Red Bulls vs FC Dallas-0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Atlanta vs Portland-0.1+0.1+0.1
Sporting KC vs Houston-0.1+0.1+0.1
Minnesota vs FC Dallas+0.1+0.0-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Columbus finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield123456789101112SpoonCount
7817-0-0In99.9%1000No791,644
7616-1-0In99.31000No4,456
7516-0-1In98.9991No7,277
7415-2-0In97.8991No25,614
7315-1-1In96.19820No83,896
7214-3-0In93.49640No160,817*
7114-2-1In89.59370No447,764
7014-1-2In83.9901000No947,227*
6913-3-1In76.4851500No1,859,045*
6813-2-2In66.9782110No3,934,575*
6713-1-3In55.9702720No7,020,926*
6612-3-2In43.96135400No12,496,378*
6512-2-3In32.15141700No21,793,003*
6411-4-2In21.340471210No34,533,675*
6311-3-3In12.730491920No54,478,854*
6211-2-4In6.721492630No82,044,575*
6110-4-3In3.0144534700No116,604,416*
6010-3-4In1.2938411100No162,911,551*
5910-2-5In0.4530461810No216,835,541*
589-4-4In0.1222482620No276,643,233*
579-3-5100.0%0.01154536300No343,936,992*
568-5-4100.00.0094045600No408,588,871*
558-4-5100.00.00532521100No467,971,643*
548-3-6100.00.002245617000No519,638,705*
537-5-5100.00.001165725100No552,686,003*
527-4-699.9No001053343000No567,631,996*
517-3-799.8No00646436000No563,197,027*
506-5-699.3No0033650111000No535,905,130*
496-4-798.0No0012653182000No492,071,518*
486-3-895.0No001751265000No435,240,845*
475-5-789.4No000104535101000No368,998,854*
465-4-880.0No0053540173000No301,233,782*
454-6-766.8No0022441267100No236,097,858*
444-5-850.7No0114363313200No176,981,559*
434-4-934.3No007273722610No127,252,824*
423-6-820.3No0031735311220No87,476,953*
413-5-910.2No019283621500.0%57,251,781*
403-4-104.3No0041936301010.035,720,570*
392-6-91.5No0011030371930.021,160,764*
382-5-100.4No000521392960.011,829,063*
372-4-110.1No002123539120.16,249,329*
362-3-120.0No00162745210.63,093,289*
351-5-110.0No0031847321.91,422,443*
341-4-120.0No0011144444.9606,086*
331-3-13OutNo006375710.6235,544*
320-5-12OutNo03296819.282,253*
310-4-13OutNo01217830.825,213*
300-3-14OutNo1148643.36,669*
290-2-15OutNo0118953.51,408
280-1-16OutNo49666.1180
270-0-17OutNo039775.4791,331
Total:92.0%0.7%2616322511521000.0%7,317,010,950

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Columbus finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeAtlantaNYCFCNY Red BullsNew EnglandOrlandoChicagoDC UnitedPhiladelphiaToronto FCMontreal
71-7812.6%Yes
7014-1-212.510000
6913-3-112.5100000000
6813-2-212.51000000000000
6713-1-312.51000000000000
6612-3-212.51000000000000
6512-2-312.51000000000000
6411-4-212.5990001000000
6311-3-312.4980001000000
6211-2-412.4970002000000
6110-4-312.3930004000000
6010-3-412.1880117111100
5910-2-511.98101111111110
9-5-311.98101111111110
589-4-411.57212216222110
10-1-611.57312216222110
579-3-511.16113322222220
8-6-311.16113321222220
568-5-410.54914427333320
9-2-610.65014427333320
558-4-59.93715633444330
7-7-39.93815632444330
548-3-69.32726737545431
7-6-49.22627737445431
537-5-58.41727840555441
8-2-78.51827840655431
527-4-67.71028942656541
6-7-47.71028942656541
517-3-76.9628943766541
6-6-56.7528942656541
506-5-65.9327941656541
7-2-86.0327841666541
496-4-75.0126838655431
5-7-54.9127839655431
486-3-84.0015634554431
5-6-63.9016734544431
475-5-72.9014528433321
6-2-93.0014528443321
465-4-82.1013421322210
455-3-91.3002214211110
444-5-80.700119111100
434-4-90.300014000000
424-3-100.100002000000
413-5-90.00001000000
403-4-100.00000000000
393-3-110.00000000000
382-5-100.00000000000
372-4-110.00000000
362-3-12No0
27-35No
Total:7.1%24.31.24.75.428.63.93.53.73.12.40.5
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 6/23100.0*Lottery seed
LAFC vs Columbus+0.5+0.0-1.0
NY Red Bulls vs FC Dallas+0.1-0.0-0.1
Seattle vs Chicago-0.0-0.0+0.1
NYCFC vs Toronto FC+0.0-0.1-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223
7817-0-010000
7616-1-09900
7516-0-19901
7415-2-09811
7315-1-196120
7214-3-0933400
7114-2-1894700
7014-1-284610000
6913-3-176815000
6813-2-2671121010
6713-1-35614270200
6612-3-244173414000
6512-2-332194017000
6411-4-22119443120100
6311-3-31318445190200
6211-2-4715409260300
6110-4-331133123317000
6010-3-4172315393110000
5910-2-5041416406180100
589-4-4027153710261200
579-3-50131230163423000
568-5-40018202039560000
558-4-5000511214012110000
548-3-6000251935211610000
537-5-5000121526302141000
527-4-6000010163725930000
517-3-7000057382418500000
506-5-6000033341930921000
496-4-70001126124112620000
486-3-80000176451314410000
475-5-700000102431124731000
465-4-80005134634107300000
454-6-700020243381013820000
444-5-800101413571617720000
434-4-900070274142417610000
423-6-800030171923261541000
413-5-90109041629251230000
403-4-100004018223023102000
392-6-9001003122630207100
382-5-10000001516292916410
372-4-110000172032261120
362-3-120000021126332161
351-5-1100014163231132
341-4-12000182537245
331-3-13000316363411
320-5-12019294219
310-4-13004214431
300-3-1401134243
290-2-15083853
280-1-1633166
270-0-170022375
Total:113388151711154722211000000