MLS Playoff Chances

Montreal +0.7, Columbus -0.7
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin CupSupporters ShieldChance will finish regular season at seedWooden Spoon
SundayPGW-D-LGD%Change%Change%Change123456789101112Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrengthWednesday
AtlantaWColumbus 3-151115-6-424In+0.012.5%+0.040.7%+7.44338180001.8+0.15No1.651Atlanta United
NY Red Bulls48215-3-622100.0%12.5+0.042.3-4.8453520000001.8-0.07No4.654at NYCFCNew York Red Bulls
NYCFC47114-5-615100.012.4+0.010.8-1.4122758300002.5-0.04No3.594NY Red BullsNew York City FC
FC Dallas45213-6-5999.9+0.012.1-0.04.0-0.751291352000001.8+0.01No2.563FC Dallas
Sporting KC42212-6-61599.5-0.011.8-0.01.9-0.4353418941000002.2No6.600Sporting Kansas City
ColumbusLAtlanta 1-339111-6-8097.9-0.77.6-0.60.0-0.100370186200004.3-0.13No8.492Columbus Crew
LAFCColorado39211-6-7895.5-0.09.2-0.00.2-0.081827231373100003.6-0.01No5.543Los Angeles FC
Portland37310-7-6290.3+0.17.6+0.00.1-0.0512222416106310004.1+0.01No7.507Portland Timbers
Seattle35210-5-9575.1-0.24.5-0.00.0-0.0141117231914831005.3-0.010.0%9.540Seattle Sounders
Philadelphia33210-3-11-571.8-0.12.3+0.20.00001433251693005.8+0.030.013.455Philadelphia Union
LA Galaxy3710-7-9156.5-0.22.2-0.00.0015101822221552006.2-0.01No10.499Los Angeles Galaxy
RSL3811-5-10-853.5+0.51.8+0.00.001491623251551006.3+0.02No12.437Real Salt Lake
DC UnitedNew England2456-6-9-346.0+0.11.2+0.10.0-0.000061822211910416.8+0.020.114.470DC United
New Englandat DC United2937-8-8040.6+0.10.9+0.10.000041521232210316.9+0.010.1+0.016.492New England Revolution
Montreal3310-3-13-936.2+0.70.6+0.1No0031221262411207.0+0.030.015.425Montreal Impact
Vancouver3419-7-9-923.7-0.20.6-0.00.000137122033176107.5-0.010.011.436Vancouver Whitecaps
Toronto FC2426-6-12-56.6+0.00.1+0.0No00251018372188.8-0.011.7+0.020.460Toronto FC
Houston2727-6-1143.6-0.00.1No00001251330341219.3-0.010.4+0.018.521Houston Dynamo
Minnesota2919-2-14-122.3+0.00.0+0.0No00001241131361519.4+0.010.2+0.017.417Minnesota United FC
Orlando2327-2-15-200.8+0.00.0+0.0No00012518383610.010.8-0.119.377Orlando City SC
Chicago236-5-15-150.2+0.00.0No0001311315410.3+0.0116.4-0.422.396Chicago Fire
Coloradoat LAFC2426-6-12-90.2+0.00.0No00000002718591310.77.0-0.021.423Colorado Rapids
San Jose1723-8-13-100.00.0No0000002138411.863.4+0.423.422San Jose Earthquakes

Monte Carlo simulation: Does not prove mathematical Clinching or Elimination
Tie Breakers:
1. Wins
2. Goal Differential
3. Goals Scored.
Direct Comments/Corrections to Joshuabrianlane@gmail.com

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 8/18
Houston 1 RSL 2
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
LAFC-0.7
Portland-0.9
Seattle-3.9
LA Galaxy-3.2
-0.2
RSL+21.0
+0.9
*No
Vancouver-3.0
Houston-8.4
-0.2
+0.4
Minnesota-0.6
Philadelphia 2 NYCFC 0
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Atlanta+2.7
NY Red Bulls+3.8
NYCFC-7.1
Philadelphia+13.2
+0.6
DC United-3.5
New England-4.0
Montreal-3.6
Toronto FC-1.4
Seattle 5 LA Galaxy 0
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Seattle+11.9
+0.9
LA Galaxy-8.0
-1.1
RSL-1.2
Vancouver-1.3
Houston-0.6
Montreal 2 Chicago 1
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Philadelphia-2.4
DC United-2.2
New England-2.2
Montreal+8.5
+0.2
Toronto FC-0.8
-0.3
Orlando-0.8
Chicago-0.6
+4.3
Colorado-0.7
San Jose-2.2
Vancouver 2 NY Red Bulls 2
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Atlanta+2.4
NY Red BullsIn
-4.9
NYCFC+1.9
FC Dallas+0.3
LAFC+0.2
Portland+0.2
Seattle+0.7
LA Galaxy+0.6
RSL+0.6
Vancouver-2.6
No
Houston+0.3
FC Dallas 2 Minnesota 0
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
NY Red Bulls-0.4
FC Dallas+0.3
+0.3
+0.9
Seattle+0.4
LA Galaxy+0.3
RSL+0.3
Vancouver+0.3
Minnesota-1.9
Sporting KC 3 Portland 0
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Sporting KC+0.8
+0.5
+0.5
Portland-1.4
-0.6
-0.2
San Jose 1 Toronto FC 1
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Philadelphia+0.3
DC United+0.2
New England+0.2
Montreal+0.2
Toronto FC-1.1
-1.1
Orlando-1.9
Chicago-2.6
Colorado-1.5
San Jose*No
+7.2
Atlanta 3 Columbus 1
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
AtlantaIn
+7.0
NY Red Bulls-4.1
NYCFC-1.6
FC Dallas-0.7
Sporting KC-0.4
Columbus-0.4
-0.3
DC United vs New EnglandIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
DC United57.639.528.2
1.60.90.6
0.0NoNo
0.00.20.4
New England29.942.261.3
0.60.91.7
No*No0.0
LA Galaxy vs LAFCHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
LAFC93.196.499.1
8.39.410.9
0.00.10.4
LA Galaxy68.649.040.7
3.21.61.0
RSL49.856.058.0
*1.81.91.7
LAFC vs ColoradoHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
LAFC97.993.590.4
10.18.47.6
Colorado0.10.10.7
8.96.11.9
Houston vs FC DallasHomeDrawAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
FC Dallas12.0*12.112.4
2.13.38.3
Orlando vs AtlantaHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Atlanta28.134.651.1
NY Red Bulls50.146.135.9
NYCFC13.712.28.4
Orlando1.80.50.3
4.010.414.8
San Jose67.263.761.0
NYCFC vs NY Red BullsHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Atlanta43.743.933.5
NY Red Bulls31.542.059.0
NYCFC12.5*12.412.3
18.07.13.0
Week of 8/25
Philadelphia vs New EnglandIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Philadelphia83.466.753.9
3.01.91.3
0.00.0No
No*0.00.0
New England29.841.361.1
0.50.91.8
No*No0.0
DC United vs PhiladelphiaHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Philadelphia63.874.988.3
1.72.43.5
No0.00.0
0.00.0No
DC United56.338.429.0
1.60.80.4
0.00.0No
0.00.20.4
Colorado vs RSLHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Seattle77.075.370.8
4.64.54.1
LA Galaxy59.256.950.3
2.32.32.0
RSL45.052.972.7
1.21.63.1
0.0No0.0
Vancouver25.4*23.819.9
0.7*0.60.6
Colorado3.29.212.9
Toronto FC vs MontrealHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Philadelphia73.172.567.4
2.3*2.32.1
DC United47.446.541.4
1.2*1.21.1
New England42.041.136.0
0.9*0.90.8
Montreal28.637.455.8
0.40.61.2
0.00.0No
Toronto FC9.73.61.7
0.10.00.0
0.62.43.8
NY Red Bulls vs DC UnitedHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Atlanta36.546.350.2
NY Red BullsIn*In100.0
49.033.327.1
Philadelphia72.971.267.3
2.3*2.22.0
DC United41.448.363.7
1.01.22.0
New England41.939.935.3
0.9*0.90.8
Montreal37.635.430.8
0.7*0.60.5
San Jose vs VancouverHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
LA Galaxy58.256.852.5
2.3*2.32.1
RSL55.353.849.1
1.8*1.81.7
Vancouver17.122.639.3
0.40.61.3
0.00.0No
Orlando13.68.86.7
Chicago20.813.210.3
San Jose53.470.877.3
Portland vs Toronto FCHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Portland94.387.182.5
8.66.85.9
Toronto FC4.26.314.0
0.00.10.2
2.31.40.3
Portland vs SeattleHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Portland95.488.182.1
9.07.05.5
Seattle68.175.788.6
3.3*4.56.9
NY Red Bulls vs HoustonHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Atlanta36.045.849.8
NY Red BullsIn*In100.0
49.834.027.7
Houston2.23.49.0
0.00.10.2
0.50.30.0
Sporting KC vs MinnesotaHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Minnesota1.32.46.6
0.0*0.00.1
Chicago vs ColumbusHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Chicago8.319.025.2
San Jose68.361.957.9
San Jose vs FC DallasHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
FC Dallas11.9*12.112.3
1.82.87.2
Orlando14.79.67.5
Chicago22.314.511.4
San Jose49.867.774.6

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Josh Lane for adding this league.