MLS Playoff Chances

Revolution +21.3, NYCFC -16.1
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin CupSupporters ShieldChance will finish regular season at seedWooden Spoon
4/19PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change%Change12345678910Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrengthFriday
Red Bulls1133-2-0595.1%+0.310.7%-0.024.0%-0.443211386421102.5-0.020.2%-0.01.514New York Red Bulls
Whitecaps165-1-2390.0-1.39.5-0.219.3-1.3332014108643213.1-0.130.1+0.04.507Vancouver Whitecaps
DC United1123-2-1184.8+0.68.2-0.07.4-0.21619161411865323.80.9+0.02.478DC United
Crew822-2-2382.4+1.37.9+0.16.6+0.21518161411975424.0+0.061.2-0.19.502Columbus Crew
Sounders1023-1-2481.2-0.77.9-0.011.5+0.22017141210875434.0-0.020.5-0.17.511Seattle Sounders
RevolutionWUnion 2-11113-2-2-175.8+21.36.4+2.63.9+2.510131514131197534.6+1.391.8-4.313.449New England Revolution
FC Dallas1314-1-2066.6-1.85.4-0.24.7-0.191112121211109865.1-0.101.2-0.111.465at RapidsFC Dallas
Galaxy1113-2-2165.0-2.75.3-0.34.2-0.3811121211111010875.3-0.171.4+0.03.478Los Angeles Galaxy
Dynamo912-3-2263.9-2.05.3-0.24.2-0.1811111111111010975.3-0.121.6-0.115.505Houston Dynamo
Real Salt Lake922-3-1163.0-2.45.1-0.24.1-0.2810111111111110985.4-0.141.7-0.010.478Real Salt Lake
Orlando812-2-3-255.9+1.43.8+0.01.247911121313121185.9+0.075.7-0.212.436Orlando City SC
Toronto FC331-0-4-354.9+1.33.8+0.01.3-0.0479111212121211106.0+0.066.8-0.214.438Toronto FC
Fire632-0-3-253.5+0.83.7-0.01.3-0.0479101212131312106.1+0.046.8-0.116.437NYCFCChicago Fire
TimbersWNYCFC 1-0912-3-2046.2+16.93.2+1.51.7+1.146791011121314156.5+1.074.0-7.28.465Portland Timbers
Earthquakes913-0-4-244.4-1.73.0-0.11.5-0.035781011121315166.6-0.114.4-0.25.440San Jose Earthquakes
Sporting KC912-3-2-141.6-2.32.7-0.11.3-0.13568911121315186.8-0.155.0-0.16.451Sporting Kansas City
NYCFCLTimbers 0-1611-3-3-140.0-16.12.4-1.70.5-1.024681012131516166.9-0.9811.3+5.620.446at FireNew York City FC
Rapids621-3-2038.2-1.92.5-0.11.1-0.03467810121316217.0-0.136.4-0.217.463FC DallasColorado Rapids
Impact240-2-2-430.8+0.41.7-0.00.3-0.01346810121518257.5+0.0419.3-0.118.405Montreal Impact
UnionLRevolution 1-261-3-4-426.7-11.21.4-0.90.2-0.3123579121620267.7-0.6719.5+7.319.425Philadelphia Union

Direct Comments/Corrections to bgix on BigSoccer
Monte Carlo simulation: Does not indicate mathmatical Clinching or Elimination
Tie Breakers:
1. Wins
2. Goal Differential
3. Goals Scored

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 4/17
NYCFC 0 Timbers 1
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
DC United+0.8
Crew+0.9
Sounders-0.9
Revolution+1.3
FC Dallas-1.3
Galaxy-1.3
Dynamo-1.3
Real Salt Lake-1.3
Orlando+1.4
+0.2
Toronto FC+1.3
+0.2
Fire+1.3
+0.2
Timbers+10.5
+0.9
+0.6
-5.2
Earthquakes-1.3
Sporting KC-1.3
NYCFC-9.8
-1.0
-0.8
+3.6
Rapids-1.3
Impact+1.1
+0.4
Union+1.3
+0.2
Union 1 Revolution 2
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Revolution+12.5
+1.4
+1.2
-3.3
Orlando-0.3
-0.2
Fire-0.3
-0.3
NYCFC-0.3
-0.2
Union-10.6
-0.8
-0.3
+5.8
Rapids 1 Sounders 3
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Sounders+11.1
+1.6
+3.6
-1.2
Rapids-10.1
-1.3
-2.6
+1.3
FC Dallas 3 Toronto FC 2
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Whitecaps-0.6
DC United+0.3
Crew+0.6
Sounders-0.8
Revolution+0.6
FC Dallas+6.7
+0.7
+1.1
-1.3
Galaxy-0.8
Dynamo-0.8
Real Salt Lake-0.6
Orlando+0.5
Toronto FC-4.5
-0.5
-0.7
+1.4
Fire+0.6
Timbers-0.7
Earthquakes-0.8
Sporting KC-0.8
NYCFC+0.6
Rapids-0.7
Impact+0.5
Union+0.6
Real Salt Lake 0 Whitecaps 1
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Red Bulls-0.5
Whitecaps+7.9
+1.4
+6.1
-0.4
Real Salt Lake-8.2
-1.3
-4.1
+0.7
Red Bulls 2 Earthquakes 0
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Red Bulls+2.9
+0.6
+3.9
-0.3
Whitecaps+0.4
-0.4
Sounders+0.5
-0.2
FC Dallas+0.6
Galaxy+0.6
Dynamo+0.5
-0.2
Real Salt Lake+0.4
-0.3
Fire-0.4
Timbers+0.4
Earthquakes-4.5
-0.5
-1.3
+0.7
Sporting KC+0.6
NYCFC-0.4
Rapids+0.5
-0.2
Union-0.4
Galaxy 2 Sporting KC 1
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Galaxy+7.3
+0.8
+1.0
-1.4
Sporting KC-5.8
-0.6
-0.8
+1.0
Crew 3 Orlando 0
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Crew+7.2
+0.9
+0.9
-1.8
Revolution-0.4
Orlando-4.7
-0.7
-1.3
+0.7
DC United 1 Dynamo 1
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Red Bulls+0.6
DC United-2.2
-0.5
-2.1
+0.2
Crew+0.3
Revolution+0.3
Dynamo-0.1
-0.1
-0.3
Toronto FC+0.3
Fire+0.3
NYCFC+0.3
Impact+0.2
Union+0.3
Week of 4/24
Revolution vs Real Salt LakeIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Revolution81.572.568.2
7.35.95.3
5.32.82.0
1.02.23.0
Real Salt Lake58.162.973.2
4.55.06.4
2.93.97.0
2.31.60.7
Timbers46.846.244.9
3.23.23.0
Fire vs NYCFCHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Fire61.049.042.5
4.43.22.6
1.80.90.6
4.38.010.6
NYCFC34.140.452.8
1.92.43.5
0.30.41.0
13.910.96.1
Orlando vs Toronto FCHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Orlando63.451.144.6
4.63.32.7
1.70.80.5
3.66.99.1
Toronto FC49.255.767.1
3.23.95.2
0.91.22.4
8.46.53.5
Dynamo vs Sporting KCHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Dynamo70.659.252.8
6.14.74.0
5.63.02.3
0.92.12.9
Sporting KC36.142.354.7
2.22.84.0
0.81.22.5
6.24.72.4
Red Bulls vs RapidsHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Red Bulls96.894.192.4
11.210.410.0
28.720.216.9
0.10.20.4
Whitecaps90.3*90.089.4
9.6*9.59.4
18.320.220.6
Timbers46.8*46.244.7
3.23.23.1
1.51.81.8
4.04.14.2
Earthquakes45.044.443.0
3.0*3.02.9
1.31.51.6
4.44.54.6
Sporting KC42.2*41.640.2
2.82.72.6
1.21.31.4
5.05.05.2
Rapids33.638.249.6
2.12.53.6
0.71.12.4
7.86.13.3
Rapids vs FC DallasHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
FC Dallas61.367.477.8
4.85.57.0
3.44.47.8
1.61.10.4
Rapids45.133.428.0
3.12.11.6
1.60.70.5
4.27.79.9
Red Bulls vs GalaxyHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Red Bulls96.794.092.3
11.210.410.0
28.720.016.4
0.10.20.4
Galaxy60.865.575.7
4.85.36.8
2.94.37.9
1.81.30.5
Sounders vs TimbersHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Sounders85.877.772.6
8.77.36.6
14.38.97.1
0.20.61.0
Timbers41.247.159.4
2.73.34.6
1.11.63.3
5.03.71.8
Crew vs UnionHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Crew86.879.274.3
8.67.36.6
8.54.93.8
0.71.52.3
Union22.427.238.5
1.11.42.3
0.10.20.4
22.618.811.7
Whitecaps vs DC UnitedHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Whitecaps93.087.985.0
10.29.18.5
23.815.712.3
0.00.10.3
DC United82.285.391.0
7.78.29.4
5.37.512.7
1.10.80.3

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you bgix for adding this league.