MLS Playoff Chances

RSL +54.0, LA Galaxy -54.0
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin CupSupporters ShieldChance will finish regular season at seedWooden Spoon
SundayPGW-D-LGD%Change%Change%Change123456789101112Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrength
NY Red BullsWOrlando 1-07122-5-729In12.5%+0.0Yes+56.81001.0+0.57No1.683New York Red Bulls
Sporting KCWLAFC 2-16218-8-825In12.5+0.2No-0.01001.0+0.43No3.644Sporting Kansas City
AtlantaLToronto FC 1-46921-6-726In12.5No-56.81002.0-0.57No2.638Atlanta United
SeattleWSan Jose 2-15918-5-1115In12.5+1.0No1002.0+0.89No7.602Seattle Sounders
LAFCLSporting KC 1-25716-9-916In12.5+1.5No-0.01003.0-0.02No4.580Los Angeles FC
NYCFCWPhiladelphia 3-15616-8-1014In12.5+1.0No1003.0+0.27No5.581New York City FC
FC DallasLColorado 1-25716-9-98In8.9-2.0No1004.0-1.11No6.549FC Dallas
DC UnitedTChicago 0-05114-9-1110In9.2+3.5No1004.0+0.73No9.554DC United
PortlandLVancouver 1-25415-9-106In3.6-0.7No1005.0-0.19No8.533Portland Timbers
ColumbusWMinnesota 3-25114-9-11-2In+10.13.3+1.3No1005.0+0.56No10.482Columbus Crew
PhiladelphiaLNYCFC 1-35015-5-14-1InNo-5.8No1006.0-1.46No12.490Philadelphia Union
RSL4914-7-13-3In+54.0NoNo1006.0+0.54No11.480Real Salt Lake
LA GalaxyLHouston 2-34813-9-122Out-54.0NoNo1007.0-0.54No13.506Los Angeles Galaxy
MontrealLNew England 0-14614-4-16-6Out-10.1NoNo1007.0-0.10No15.459Montreal Impact
VancouverWPortland 2-14713-8-13-13OutNoNo1008.0No14.429Vancouver Whitecaps
New EnglandWMontreal 1-04110-11-13-6OutNoNo1008.0No16.460New England Revolution
HoustonWLA Galaxy 3-23810-8-160OutNoNo1009.0+0.83No17.496Houston Dynamo
Toronto FCWAtlanta 4-13610-6-18-5OutNoNo1009.0+0.19No18.471Toronto FC
MinnesotaLColumbus 2-33611-3-20-22OutNoNo10010.0-0.83No19.382Minnesota United FC
ChicagoTDC United 0-0328-8-18-13OutNoNo10010.0-0.15No20.422Chicago Fire
ColoradoWFC Dallas 2-1318-7-19-27OutNoNo10011.0No22.329Colorado Rapids
OrlandoLNY Red Bulls 0-1288-4-22-31OutNoNo10011.0-0.04No21.333Orlando City SC
San JoseLSeattle 1-2214-9-21-22OutNoNo10012.0Yes23.382San Jose Earthquakes

Monte Carlo simulation: Does not prove mathematical Clinching or Elimination
Tie Breakers:
1. Wins
2. Goal Differential
3. Goals Scored.
Direct Comments/Corrections to Joshuabrianlane@gmail.com

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 10/13
RSL 4 New England 1
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Portland-0.7
-0.2
RSL+22.6
+0.2
LA Galaxy-19.4
No
Vancouver-2.6
DC United 1 FC Dallas 0
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
DC United+17.2
+0.6
Columbus-0.5
-0.3
Philadelphia-0.2
Montreal-16.6
New EnglandOut
New England 2 Orlando 0
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
New England+0.1
Orlando+0.2
Minnesota 0 Colorado 2
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
ColoradoNo
Orlando+0.2
San Jose+3.7
Week of 10/21
Minnesota 1 LA Galaxy 3
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Portland-3.0
RSL-27.1
LA Galaxy+30.6
Vancouver-0.4
Montreal 2 Toronto FC 0
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
DC United-4.0
Columbus-1.8
Montreal+5.8
DC United 3 NYCFC 1
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
NYCFC-0.5
DC UnitedIn
+1.3
Columbus-0.5
-0.5
Philadelphia-0.2
Montreal-4.9
No
Portland 3 RSL 0
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Seattle-0.4
PortlandIn
+1.1
RSL-4.5
No
LA Galaxy+2.2
Vancouver+0.7
Orlando 2 Columbus 1
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
DC United+0.4
+0.8
Columbus-2.1
-1.9
Philadelphia+0.9
Montreal+1.7
OrlandoNo
San JoseYes
LAFC 2 Vancouver 2
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Seattle+0.2
LAFC-0.3
RSL+0.9
VancouverOut
Philadelphia 0 NY Red Bulls 1
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
NY Red Bulls+24.7
Atlanta-24.7
NYCFC+0.3
DC United+0.6
Columbus+1.0
Philadelphia-2.0
Houston 2 Seattle 3
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Sporting KC-0.4
Seattle+1.8
LAFC-0.6
FC Dallas-0.3
Portland-0.6
FC Dallas 0 Sporting KC 3
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Sporting KC+0.5
Seattle-0.2
FC Dallas-0.4
Atlanta 2 Chicago 1
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
NY Red Bulls-15.5
Atlanta+15.5
San Jose 0 Colorado 0
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
OrlandoNo
San JoseYes
Week of 10/28
LA Galaxy 2 Houston 3
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
RSLIn
LA GalaxyOut
Columbus 3 Minnesota 2
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
DC United-0.7
ColumbusIn
+1.5
Philadelphia-0.8
MontrealOut
New England 1 Montreal 0
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
ColumbusIn
MontrealOut
Colorado 2 FC Dallas 1
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Sporting KC+0.2
Seattle+0.3
LAFC+1.3
FC Dallas-2.9
Portland+1.2
NYCFC 3 Philadelphia 1
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
NYCFC+1.0
DC United+0.7
Columbus+1.0
Philadelphia-2.7
Chicago 0 DC United 0
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
NYCFC+0.3
DC United+1.2
Columbus-0.9
Philadelphia-0.6
Seattle 2 San Jose 1
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Seattle+1.0
LAFC-0.3
FC Dallas-0.3
Portland-0.2
Vancouver 2 Portland 1
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Seattle+0.2
LAFC+0.2
FC Dallas+0.5
Portland-0.9
Sporting KC 2 LAFC 1
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Sporting KC+0.2
Seattle+0.3
LAFC-0.9
*No
FC Dallas+0.3
Toronto FC 4 Atlanta 1
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
NY Red Bulls+36.1
Atlanta-36.1
NY Red Bulls 1 Orlando 0
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
NY Red Bulls+15.7
Atlanta-15.7

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Josh Lane for adding this league.