MLS Playoff Chances

DC United +0.8, Crew -4.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin CupSupporters ShieldChance will finish regular season at seedWooden Spoon
SaturdayPGW-D-LGD%Change%Change%Change12345678910Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrengthSunday
RapidsSporting KC3439-7-2899.7%-0.012.1%-0.046.8%+0.149291452100001.80.0%1.600Colorado Rapids
Galaxy3328-9-21599.5-0.011.9+0.030.4-0.032342183100002.20.02.630Los Angeles Galaxy
FC DallasFire3711-4-6298.710.9+0.013.2+0.0152533177310002.90.04.504FC Dallas
Union2928-5-6696.9+0.110.8+0.03.3+0.0382315107421002.5+0.010.0-0.08.537Red BullsPhiladelphia Union
Impact2636-8-4393.1+0.29.7+0.01.7252217139642103.1+0.010.1-0.05.512NYCFCMontreal Impact
Red Bulls2718-3-9589.5+0.38.5+0.00.6-0.01518181613963103.7+0.010.2-0.014.533at UnionNew York Red Bulls
NYCFC3018-6-6-388.6+0.47.8+0.00.6-0.011171918141063103.9+0.020.2-0.010.462at ImpactNew York City FC
Real Salt LakeRevolution2928-5-6-186.2+0.06.6-0.02.4-0.0381728191274214.50.0-0.03.477Real Salt Lake
Toronto FCat Earthquakes2235-7-6-176.0+0.65.9+0.00.2-0.071114151613107424.8+0.031.1-0.17.472Toronto FC
WhitecapsOrlando2818-4-8-255.9-0.02.4-0.00.2-0.00141219191714946.30.5-0.06.470Vancouver Whitecaps
Sporting KCat Rapids288-4-9055.7+0.02.5+0.00.2+0.00141218191714946.30.4-0.09.486Sporting Kansas City
DC UnitedTCrew 1-12225-7-7-348.0+0.82.6-0.00.0-0.02469121517161276.4+0.054.6-0.916.446DC United
Orlandoat Whitecaps2134-9-5-342.5+0.62.2+0.00.0-0.013581115171714106.7+0.036.3-0.312.459Orlando City SC
Timbers2616-8-6-141.0-0.01.5+0.00.1-0.00138131719181586.91.3-0.113.477SoundersPortland Timbers
EarthquakesToronto FC2235-7-6-235.8-0.01.3-0.00.1-0.001271115171917117.22.6-0.211.460San Jose Earthquakes
Revolutionat Real Salt Lake2225-7-7-733.4+0.71.5+0.00.01236913171918137.2+0.049.0-0.417.425New England Revolution
Fireat FC Dallas1744-5-8-519.1+0.40.7+0.00.0012358121623308.1+0.0422.4-0.720.418Chicago Fire
Sounders2036-2-10-218.4+0.00.5-0.00.0001369131725278.18.0-0.415.460at TimbersSeattle Sounders
CrewTDC United 1-11823-9-7-612.9-4.00.4-0.20.0-0.0001236101624378.5-0.2528.1+3.919.429Columbus Crew
Dynamo1824-6-9-39.1+0.00.2+0.00.000013591423458.815.3-0.818.454Houston Dynamo

Direct Comments/Corrections to bgix on BigSoccer
Monte Carlo simulation: Does not prove mathematical Clinching or Elimination
Tie Breakers:
1. Wins
2. Goal Differential
3. Goals Scored

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 7/10
Fire 1 Sporting KC 0
8:30 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Whitecaps+1.8
Sporting KC-7.6
-0.7
Timbers+1.9
Earthquakes+1.8
+0.3
Revolution-0.7
+0.9
Fire+5.0
+0.2
-8.7
Sounders+0.4
+2.8
Crew-0.5
+1.7
Dynamo+0.9
+1.3
Sporting KC 3 NYCFC 1
8:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
NYCFC-2.6
-0.7
-0.5
Whitecaps-2.1
Sporting KC+8.7
+0.6
-0.4
Timbers-2.1
Earthquakes-2.0
Dynamo-1.1
Whitecaps 2 Real Salt Lake 0
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Rapids+0.6
Real Salt Lake-3.4
-0.8
-1.6
Whitecaps+9.8
+0.5
-0.7
Sporting KC-1.6
Timbers-1.9
Earthquakes-1.5
Red Bulls 2 Orlando 0
7:30 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Red Bulls+6.6
+1.1
-0.2
Orlando-6.7
-0.7
+0.8
Timbers 1 Impact 1
10:30 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Impact+0.3
-0.3
Real Salt Lake+0.5
Whitecaps+1.4
Sporting KC+1.3
Timbers-5.7
-0.4
Earthquakes+1.3
Dynamo+0.7
Crew 1 Toronto FC 1
7:30 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Toronto FC+0.6
Fire-0.7
Sounders-0.7
Crew-4.4
-0.3
+2.7
Crew 1 DC United 1
7:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Toronto FC+0.6
DC United+0.4
-0.8
Orlando+0.8
-0.3
Revolution+0.7
-0.5
Fire+0.5
-0.9
Sounders-0.4
Crew-4.2
-0.2
+4.3
Dynamo-0.8
Red Bulls 0 Timbers 0
6:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Red Bulls-3.6
-0.7
Toronto FC+0.5
Whitecaps-0.2
Sporting KC-0.2
DC United+0.6
Orlando+0.6
Timbers+0.6
Earthquakes-0.1
Revolution+0.6
Crew+0.4
Sounders 5 FC Dallas 0
10:30 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Rapids+3.5
Galaxy+2.1
FC Dallas-0.3
-0.4
-7.3
Revolution+1.1
Fire+3.0
Sounders+3.1
-9.0
Crew+2.0
Dynamo+1.0
Galaxy 1 Dynamo 0
11:00 PM Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Rapids-2.6
Galaxy+0.7
+0.3
+4.7
FC Dallas-1.0
Whitecaps+0.4
Sporting KC+0.4
Timbers+0.3
Earthquakes+0.3
Fire-0.6
Crew-0.6
Dynamo-2.7
+2.4
Whitecaps vs OrlandoIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Whitecaps64.949.342.5
3.11.91.5
0.40.10.1
0.10.61.2
Orlando36.3*42.557.6
1.72.13.5
8.15.82.4
Timbers39.042.444.0
1.51.61.7
Earthquakes vs Toronto FCHomeDrawAway
10:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Toronto FC71.276.286.3
5.1*5.87.6
0.10.20.6
1.61.00.3
Earthquakes44.030.124.6
1.81.00.7
1.23.34.8
Real Salt Lake vs RevolutionHomeDrawAway
10:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Real Salt Lake91.182.878.2
7.55.95.2
3.51.51.0
Revolution27.533.248.5
1.11.42.5
11.38.43.7
Rapids vs Sporting KCHomeDrawAway
9:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Rapids99.999.699.2
12.312.011.8
53.740.434.8
NoNo0.0
Galaxy26.933.836.2
Sporting KC50.157.071.8
2.02.53.9
0.00.10.6
0.60.30.1
FC Dallas vs FireHomeDrawAway
9:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
FC Dallas99.598.397.2
11.410.510.0
17.09.77.2
NoNo0.0
Fire15.319.230.6
0.50.71.4
26.321.412.2
Week of 7/17
Toronto FC vs DC UnitedIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Toronto FC83.471.262.9
6.95.14.1
0.40.10.1
0.51.52.4
DC United40.849.365.4
1.92.64.2
5.94.11.5
Timbers vs SoundersHomeDrawAway
3:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Timbers50.334.426.4
2.11.10.8
0.51.72.9
Sounders13.118.831.2
0.30.51.1
10.27.33.2
Revolution vs FireHomeDrawAway
7:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Revolution42.227.020.4
2.01.00.7
4.711.116.4
Fire13.919.331.4
0.50.71.4
27.621.211.5
Crew vs OrlandoHomeDrawAway
7:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Orlando34.842.658.0
1.62.13.4
8.95.31.9
Crew18.39.46.0
0.60.30.2
0.00.0No
19.732.739.9
Real Salt Lake vs EarthquakesHomeDrawAway
11:00 PM Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Real Salt Lake91.983.176.1
7.65.94.9
3.51.51.0
Earthquakes29.036.451.9
0.91.32.4
3.42.30.8
Dynamo vs WhitecapsHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Whitecaps48.356.571.7
1.82.33.7
0.10.20.6
0.70.30.1
Dynamo13.26.23.7
0.30.10.1
9.718.623.6
Timbers vs GalaxyHomeDrawAway
3:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Rapids50.948.641.3
Galaxy99.099.699.9
11.6*11.912.2
22.927.639.9
0.00.0No
Sporting KC52.956.458.0
2.42.52.5
Timbers53.137.831.3
2.31.31.0
0.41.32.2
Impact vs NYCFCHomeDrawAway
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Impact96.091.187.6
10.59.18.1
2.51.00.6
0.00.10.3
NYCFC85.689.795.7
7.08.19.9
0.30.51.6
0.20.10.0
Union vs Red BullsHomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Red Bulls86.590.395.6
7.78.610.1
0.30.51.4
Impact vs UnionHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Impact96.291.688.6
10.59.28.4
2.71.00.6
0.00.10.3
Rapids vs FC DallasHomeDrawAway
9:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Rapids99.999.699.3
12.312.011.8
55.140.130.7
NoNo0.0
Galaxy27.934.032.7
FC Dallas98.399.099.7
10.511.011.7
8.414.726.4
0.0NoNo

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you bgix for adding this league.