MLS Playoff Chances

Portland +8.8, Nashville -9.8
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin CupSupporters ShieldChance will finish regular season at seedWooden Spoon
3/8PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change%Change12345678910111213Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrengthSaturday
Minnesota62-0-0582.8%+0.77.6%+0.113.4%+0.5211613119765432214.3+0.080.3%-0.01.477Minnesota United FC
Sporting KC62-0-0682.2+0.77.5+0.113.0+0.3211613119765433214.4+0.080.3-0.02.489at AtlantaSporting Kansas City
Atlanta62-0-0280.6-0.37.3-0.010.4+0.1211512108765443214.5-0.030.5+0.012.471Sporting KCAtlanta United
Colorado62-0-0277.8+0.86.7+0.19.9+0.3161412119876543214.9+0.080.5-0.02.471at VancouverColorado Rapids
Columbus41-1-0171.0-0.35.8-0.05.9+0.1131211109887655435.5-0.031.1+0.05.471RSLColumbus Crew
Toronto FC41-1-0169.2-0.35.5-0.05.3+0.1121111109887665435.6-0.031.2-0.012.464NashvilleToronto FC
NY Red Bulls41-1-0167.5-0.45.3-0.04.9+0.1111110109887765435.8-0.031.4+0.012.461New York Red Bulls
Montreal41-1-0167.1-0.45.2-0.04.8+0.1111110109887765435.8-0.031.4+0.05.461Montreal Impact
FC Dallas41-1-0264.3+1.14.7+0.14.8+0.291010109988776546.1+0.091.4-0.02.471at NYCFCFC Dallas
Seattle41-1-0159.9+1.14.2+0.13.8+0.178999998877646.5+0.091.8-0.15.464at HoustonSeattle Sounders
LAFCTPhiladelphia 3-341-1-0158.7-8.24.0-1.13.5-2.378999998877656.6-0.742.0+0.716.461Los Angeles FC
DC United31-0-1055.0-0.23.8-0.02.5+0.167888888888766.9-0.012.9-0.011.453at CincinnatiDC United
Vancouver31-0-1-151.2+1.13.2+0.12.4+0.156788999998877.3+0.093.0-0.110.442ColoradoVancouver Whitecaps
RSL20-2-0048.5+1.13.0+0.12.1+0.146778899999887.5+0.093.4-0.116.453at ColumbusReal Salt Lake
Chicago10-1-1-147.5-0.43.0-0.01.7+0.056678888999997.6-0.044.2+0.023.442at OrlandoChicago Fire FC
PhiladelphiaTLAFC 3-310-1-1-247.0+3.72.9+0.31.6+0.346677888999997.6+0.324.4-1.216.439San JosePhiladelphia Union
PortlandWNashville 1-031-0-1-145.6+8.82.7+0.71.8+0.645678899999987.8+0.763.9-2.59.442Portland Timbers
New England10-1-1-143.0-0.22.6+0.01.3+0.045667888991010108.0-0.025.4-0.023.442New England Revolution
Cincinnati00-0-2-242.9-0.22.6-0.01.3+0.045667788991010118.0-0.025.5-0.021.439DC UnitedFC Cincinnati
Orlando10-1-1-140.8-0.32.4-0.01.1+0.0345677889101011118.2-0.035.9+0.012.434ChicagoOrlando City SC
Miami00-0-2-237.2-0.42.1-0.00.9+0.0345567889101112138.5-0.037.3+0.123.426LA GalaxyInter Miami CF
LA Galaxy10-1-1-136.2+1.01.9+0.11.0+0.0234567899101112138.6+0.086.5-0.122.434at MiamiLos Angeles Galaxy
San Jose10-1-1-333.6+0.91.7+0.10.8+0.0234567789101113148.8+0.087.4-0.15.438at PhiladelphiaSan Jose Earthquakes
NYCFC00-0-2-231.2-0.11.6+0.00.6+0.0234556789101114179.0-0.029.8+0.023.412FC DallasNew York City FC
Houston10-1-1-429.9+0.91.4+0.10.7+0.0123456789101214179.1+0.088.9-0.216.420SeattleHouston Dynamo
NashvilleLPortland 0-100-0-2-229.1-9.81.4-0.70.6-0.7123456789101214189.2-0.869.5+3.616.426at Toronto FCNashville SC

Monte Carlo simulation: Does not prove mathematical Clinching or Elimination
Tie Breakers:
1. Wins
2. Goal Differential
3. Goals Scored.
Direct Comments/Corrections to Joshuabrianlane@gmail.com

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 3/7
LA Galaxy 0 Vancouver 1
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Vancouver+11.3
+0.9
+1.1
-3.5
LA Galaxy-10.3
-1.0
-1.4
+2.2
Colorado 2 Orlando 1
6:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Colorado+5.8
+0.7
+1.9
-0.6
Toronto FC+0.4
Seattle-0.5
DC United+0.4
RSL-0.5
Chicago+0.4
Philadelphia+0.4
New England+0.4
Cincinnati+0.4
Orlando-4.5
-0.5
-1.2
+0.7
Miami+0.4
LA Galaxy-0.5
San Jose-0.5
NYCFC+0.4
Houston-0.5
San Jose 2 Minnesota 5
5:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Minnesota+10.0
+1.4
+3.9
-0.8
San Jose-9.7
-0.9
-1.2
+2.4
DC United 2 Miami 1
12:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
DC United+6.3
+0.5
+0.5
-2.1
Miami-4.9
-0.4
-0.5
+1.5
Toronto FC 1 NYCFC 0
2:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Toronto FC+6.2
+0.7
+1.0
-1.2
NYCFC-4.8
-0.4
-0.5
+1.4
Portland 1 Nashville 0
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Portland+6.2
+0.5
+0.4
-2.1
Nashville-5.0
-0.4
-0.4
+1.4
Sporting KC 4 Houston 0
5:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Sporting KC+5.9
+0.8
+1.9
-0.6
Houston-4.9
-0.5
-0.7
+1.0
Atlanta 2 Cincinnati 1
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Atlanta+5.6
+0.8
+1.9
-0.6
Cincinnati-4.9
-0.5
-0.7
+1.1
LAFC 3 Philadelphia 3
7:30 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
FC Dallas+0.4
Seattle+0.5
LAFC-4.6
-0.6
-1.5
+0.3
Vancouver+0.4
RSL+0.4
Philadelphia+0.4
-0.4
Portland+0.4
Orlando-0.1
Miami*-0.1
LA Galaxy+0.4
San Jose+0.4
Nashville+0.5
RSL 1 NY Red Bulls 1
11:00 AM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Sporting KC+0.4
Colorado+0.4
NY Red Bulls+0.3
-0.1
-0.2
FC Dallas+0.4
Seattle+0.4
LAFC+0.4
Vancouver+0.4
RSL-4.6
-0.6
-1.2
+0.5
Portland+0.4
LA Galaxy+0.4
San Jose+0.4
Houston+0.4
Nashville+0.4
New England 1 Chicago 1
10:30 AM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Chicago+0.4
-0.1
-0.3
New England-4.7
-0.5
-0.6
+1.1
FC Dallas 2 Montreal 2
12:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Montreal+0.3
-0.1
-0.1
FC Dallas-4.3
-0.6
-1.6
+0.4
Seattle+0.4
RSL+0.4
LA Galaxy+0.4
San Jose+0.4
Houston+0.4
Nashville+0.4
Seattle 1 Columbus 1
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Colorado+0.3
Columbus+0.1
-0.2
FC Dallas+0.3
Seattle-4.3
-0.5
-1.3
+0.4
LAFC+0.4
Vancouver+0.4
RSL+0.4
Portland+0.4
LA Galaxy+0.4
San Jose+0.4
Houston+0.4
Nashville+0.4
Week of 3/14
New England vs PortlandIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
10:30 AM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Vancouver51.6*51.250.1
3.2*3.23.1
Portland41.045.556.5
2.22.63.7
1.21.63.1
4.93.71.9
New England49.138.333.9
3.12.11.8
1.80.90.6
3.66.58.3
Philadelphia vs San JoseHomeDrawAway
4:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Philadelphia53.242.237.8
3.52.52.1
2.21.10.8
2.95.47.1
San Jose29.333.443.9
1.41.72.5
0.60.81.6
9.17.13.9
Miami vs LA GalaxyHomeDrawAway
11:30 AM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Miami43.132.728.6
2.51.71.4
1.20.60.4
5.08.611.0
LA Galaxy31.735.946.6
1.61.92.8
0.70.91.9
8.16.23.4
Columbus vs RSLHomeDrawAway
2:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Columbus76.266.862.5
6.55.24.6
7.64.53.4
0.61.41.9
RSL44.148.859.6
2.53.04.1
1.42.03.8
4.23.21.6
Toronto FC vs NashvilleHomeDrawAway
1:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Toronto FC74.464.860.3
6.24.94.4
6.73.93.0
0.71.52.2
Nashville25.429.339.4
1.2*1.42.1
0.40.61.3
11.29.05.2
NYCFC vs FC DallasHomeDrawAway
9:30 AM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
FC Dallas59.063.473.2
4.14.65.9
3.44.37.3
2.01.40.6
NYCFC37.727.924.1
2.11.41.1
0.90.40.3
6.611.013.5
Minnesota vs NY Red BullsHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Minnesota86.779.876.3
8.37.06.5
16.610.88.6
0.20.40.6
NY Red Bulls63.567.877.0
4.7*5.36.6
3.54.88.3
1.71.30.6
Atlanta vs Sporting KCHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Sporting KC79.282.488.6
6.9*7.58.7
10.212.919.5
0.50.30.1
Atlanta85.177.774.0
8.16.86.2
13.38.26.2
0.30.60.9
Orlando vs ChicagoHomeDrawAway
4:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Chicago42.247.859.1
2.53.04.1
1.21.53.0
5.34.02.1
Orlando47.436.231.1
2.92.01.6
1.50.70.5
4.07.19.1
Cincinnati vs DC UnitedHomeDrawAway
2:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
DC United49.755.366.3
3.23.75.0
1.82.34.3
3.62.71.3
Cincinnati49.638.333.1
3.12.11.7
1.80.90.6
3.76.68.4
Houston vs SeattleHomeDrawAway
5:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Seattle54.4*59.970.4
3.64.15.4
2.73.56.1
2.41.70.8
Houston36.226.121.8
1.91.20.9
1.00.50.3
6.110.412.8
Vancouver vs ColoradoHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Colorado73.778.285.7
6.0*6.78.0
7.79.514.8
0.70.50.2
Vancouver58.146.841.5
3.92.72.2
3.31.71.2
1.93.64.7

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you bgix for adding this league.