"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

MLS Playoff Chances

Portland +14.4, Minnesota -10.7
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin CupSupporters ShieldChance will finish regular season at seedWooden Spoon
4/22PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change%Change123456789101112Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrengthFriday
NYCFCLPortland 0-3175-2-1796.4%-2.010.9%-0.723.4%-12.2382515963210002.5-0.470.0%+0.01.541New York City FC
Atlanta1615-1-1995.4-0.010.6+0.020.6+2.93425161064211002.6+0.100.0+0.03.546Atlanta United
Sporting KC175-2-1992.4-0.510.1-0.115.9+2.234221510753211002.9-0.050.0+0.05.543Sporting Kansas City
LAFC1224-0-2386.5-0.58.8-0.110.4+1.623201612975322103.6-0.040.1+0.04.493Los Angeles FC
FC Dallas1223-3-0685.7-0.88.9-0.110.2+1.522201612975432103.6-0.060.1+0.02.555FC Dallas
New England1113-2-2478.9+0.16.8+0.14.4+0.891317161411864214.5+0.070.4+0.17.516New England Revolution
NY Red Bulls923-0-3674.1+0.76.1+0.23.7+0.7711151514121075314.9+0.100.6+0.119.521New York Red Bulls
Orlando1314-1-2272.2+0.35.6+0.12.9+0.5610141514131085315.0+0.070.5+0.112.492Orlando City SC
Columbus113-2-3262.9-0.24.3+0.01.4+0.2371113141413107525.7+0.021.0+0.122.501Columbus Crew
Houston822-2-2557.0-1.54.5-0.11.8+0.3581011111110987546.0-0.111.2+0.118.512Houston Dynamo
Colorado822-2-2155.3-2.04.2-0.21.6+0.3581011111110987646.2-0.151.3+0.29.485Colorado Rapids
PortlandWNYCFC 3-0812-2-3-245.9+14.43.1+1.30.8+0.6358910111110109866.9+1.072.1-2.711.461Portland Timbers
LA Galaxy1013-1-3-244.9-2.03.0-0.20.8+0.1357910111111109866.9-0.162.1+0.36.454Los Angeles Galaxy
Chicago722-1-3-142.6-0.12.4+0.00.6+0.1236811131414121076.9+0.013.8+0.514.466Chicago Fire
RSL1013-1-3-536.6-2.22.2-0.10.5+0.12467910111111111197.5-0.193.2+0.510.433at VancouverReal Salt Lake
San Jose521-2-3-228.0-2.01.6-0.10.3+0.0124578910111214158.3-0.206.0+0.817.461San Jose Earthquakes
DC United521-2-3-426.5+0.21.2+0.00.2+0.0113571012151616147.9+0.018.5+0.813.433DC United
Vancouver103-1-4-922.8-1.51.1-0.10.2+0.0123467910121415178.7-0.177.0+0.98.398RSLVancouver Whitecaps
MinnesotaLSeattle 1-3612-0-5-622.6-10.71.2-0.80.2-0.1123467910121416188.7-0.907.6+3.420.427Minnesota United FC
SeattleWMinnesota 3-1431-1-3-322.2+9.41.2+0.60.2+0.1123467810111316208.8+0.958.8-8.416.441Seattle Sounders
Montreal612-0-5-821.3+0.40.9+0.00.1+0.001246811141718188.3+0.0310.8+0.921.416Montreal Impact
Toronto FC331-0-4-717.0+0.40.7+0.00.1+0.00123579131620248.7+0.0315.6+1.123.411Toronto FC
Philadelphia521-2-3-512.7+0.30.5+0.00.0+0.00012358121622309.0+0.0219.3+1.315.402Philadelphia Union

Monte Carlo simulation: Does not prove mathematical Clinching or Elimination
Tie Breakers:
1. Wins
2. Goal Differential
3. Goals Scored.
Direct Comments/Corrections to Joshuabrianlane@gmail.com

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 4/21
Montreal 3 LAFC 5
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
LAFC+7.2
+1.2
+2.8
-0.2
New England+0.7
Orlando+1.0
Columbus+0.9
Chicago+0.8
-0.2
DC United+0.7
-0.2
Montreal-7.0
-0.5
+3.1
Toronto FC+0.8
-0.3
LA Galaxy 0 Atlanta 2
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
NYCFC-1.2
Atlanta+4.7
+1.0
+4.5
Houston+1.0
Portland+0.9
LA Galaxy-8.1
-1.0
-1.2
+0.5
San Jose+0.9
Vancouver+0.8
Minnesota+0.9
NY Red Bulls 1 Chicago 2
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
NY Red Bulls-8.4
-1.3
-2.5
+0.3
Chicago+10.8
+0.8
+0.3
-4.0
Orlando 3 San Jose 2
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
New England-0.6
NY Red Bulls-0.6
Orlando+6.1
+0.7
+0.6
-0.5
Columbus-0.8
Houston+0.5
Colorado+0.4
Portland+0.5
LA Galaxy+0.5
Chicago-0.7
San Jose-4.4
-0.4
-0.2
+1.0
DC United-0.7
Vancouver+0.4
Minnesota+0.5
Montreal-0.8
Toronto FC-0.7
Philadelphia-0.6
Houston 5 Toronto FC 1
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
LAFC-0.5
FC Dallas-0.5
NY Red Bulls+0.4
Orlando+0.5
Columbus+0.5
Houston+5.7
+0.5
+0.3
-1.2
Colorado-0.5
Portland-0.6
LA Galaxy-0.6
Chicago+0.4
RSL-0.5
San Jose-0.6
DC United+0.4
Vancouver-0.6
Minnesota-0.6
Montreal+0.4
Toronto FC-3.5
-0.2
+1.6
Portland 3 NYCFC 0
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
NYCFC-0.7
-0.3
-6.2
Atlanta+1.4
Sporting KC-0.3
+1.3
LAFC-0.5
+0.8
FC Dallas-0.5
+0.8
Houston-0.9
+0.2
Colorado-0.9
Portland+7.8
+0.6
+0.2
-2.0
LA Galaxy-0.9
RSL-0.9
San Jose-0.8
Minnesota-0.9
FC Dallas 2 Philadelphia 0
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
FC Dallas+4.5
+0.7
+1.4
-0.2
Orlando+0.4
Columbus+0.5
Houston-0.5
Minnesota-0.5
Philadelphia-3.2
-0.2
+1.9
RSL 3 Colorado 0
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Colorado-5.9
-0.9
-1.5
+0.2
RSL+7.1
+0.5
-3.1
Seattle 3 Minnesota 1
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Minnesota-5.1
-0.4
+1.3
Seattle+3.7
+0.2
-4.4
Philadelphia+0.6
Columbus 2 New England 2
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
New England+0.7
+0.1
-0.2
Columbus-4.2
-0.6
-0.6
+0.2
Vancouver vs RSLIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
RSL30.836.348.3
1.82.23.2
0.30.40.9
4.33.01.4
Vancouver28.619.015.0
1.50.90.7
0.20.10.1
4.48.310.6
Week of 4/28
Columbus vs San JoseIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Columbus68.857.652.6
5.03.73.2
2.00.90.7
0.51.21.9
Chicago41.643.444.2
2.32.52.5
San Jose24.328.138.6
1.31.62.5
0.20.30.6
7.35.63.0
Colorado vs OrlandoHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Orlando68.272.481.3
5.05.66.9
2.02.75.0
0.70.50.2
Colorado61.950.645.7
4.93.63.2
2.21.10.8
0.71.62.2
LA Galaxy vs NY Red BullsHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
NY Red Bulls69.373.481.8
5.46.07.3
2.53.25.8
0.80.60.2
LA Galaxy52.841.136.4
3.72.62.2
1.20.50.3
1.12.43.3
Minnesota vs HoustonHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Houston50.156.067.3
3.74.35.7
1.11.53.0
1.71.10.5
Minnesota29.319.715.6
1.71.00.7
0.30.10.1
4.88.610.8
Toronto FC vs ChicagoHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Chicago36.241.753.3
1.92.33.3
0.30.51.0
5.23.71.8
Toronto FC22.214.411.1
1.00.60.4
11.017.621.2
New England vs Sporting KCHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Sporting KC90.692.696.0
9.710.211.0
12.515.523.2
New England83.875.871.8
7.66.35.7
6.03.22.2
0.20.40.7
Philadelphia vs DC UnitedHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
DC United21.726.136.4
0.91.21.9
0.10.10.4
10.98.04.2
Philadelphia16.510.17.6
0.60.30.2
14.122.226.8
LAFC vs SeattleHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
LAFC90.283.980.0
9.58.37.7
13.08.06.4
0.00.10.2
Seattle18.4*22.231.9
0.9*1.21.9
0.10.20.4
10.58.44.8
Atlanta vs MontrealHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Atlanta97.094.292.0
11.010.29.7
24.316.513.8
Montreal18.221.831.4
0.70.91.5
0.10.10.3
12.510.15.8
Toronto FC vs PhiladelphiaHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Toronto FC21.013.810.9
0.90.50.4
11.218.423.2
Philadelphia9.912.619.8
0.30.40.8
23.218.311.0
NYCFC vs FC DallasHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
NYCFC97.895.794.3
11.310.610.2
28.819.715.5
FC Dallas83.086.091.4
8.48.910.0
7.3*10.216.4

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Josh Lane for adding this league.