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MLS Playoff Chances

Sporting KC +13.3, Revolution -3.6
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin CupSupporters ShieldChance will finish regular season at seedWooden Spoon
5/20PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change%Change12345678910Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrengthFriday
DC United2116-3-2497.6%+0.110.9%+0.115.9%+1.0352417117421002.5+0.110.0%+0.02.529DC United
Sounders1926-1-3897.5-0.311.3-0.133.5+0.350221274211002.1-0.070.03.556Seattle Sounders
Red Bulls1724-5-1596.0+0.210.3+0.212.6+0.8292418138521002.8+0.110.11.531New York Red Bulls
RevolutionLSporting KC 2-4195-4-3292.0-3.68.7-1.35.2-4.71518201713952103.6-0.550.1+0.16.495New England Revolution
FC Dallas2116-3-2490.9-0.79.2-0.211.0+0.31923181410743113.4-0.080.0+0.07.514FC Dallas
Crew1424-2-4387.0+0.17.6+0.23.9+0.211151718151174204.0+0.080.3+0.09.501FireColumbus Crew
Whitecaps206-2-4383.8-1.27.7-0.35.7+0.211171816131075314.1-0.090.1+0.010.515Vancouver Whitecaps
Earthquakes1715-2-4181.3-1.57.1-0.35.1+0.110151716131086424.3-0.110.1+0.05.485San Jose Earthquakes
Toronto FC1033-1-5-177.7+0.45.6+0.22.0+0.161013161715117314.8+0.080.9+0.015.458Toronto FC
Sporting KCWRevolution 4-21714-5-2269.6+13.35.3+1.62.6+1.461013141413119745.2+0.830.3-0.64.491Sporting Kansas City
Orlando1213-3-5-152.9-0.32.7+0.10.3+0.01361014181915946.2+0.013.2+0.216.460Orlando City SC
Dynamo164-4-4150.0-2.13.1-0.20.7+0.0257101214141412106.4-0.101.1+0.114.485at GalaxyHouston Dynamo
Impact561-2-3-241.8+1.12.0+0.20.3+0.01357111518181396.7+0.067.1-0.117.439Montreal Impact
Fire1033-1-5-338.9+1.31.7+0.20.2+0.01247101519201486.8+0.076.1-0.119.431at CrewChicago Fire
Timbers1313-4-4-235.7-1.91.8-0.10.4+0.01257912141617187.2-0.092.7+0.111.443Portland Timbers
Galaxy143-5-4-431.4-1.11.5-0.10.2+0.01246811141719207.4-0.053.1+0.08.421DynamoLos Angeles Galaxy
Rapids1021-7-2029.9-2.41.5-0.20.2+0.01246810131619237.5-0.123.8+0.313.469Colorado Rapids
Real Salt Lake1413-5-3-529.9-2.11.4-0.10.2+0.01236811131619227.5-0.113.5+0.212.409Real Salt Lake
NYCFC711-4-6-59.0+0.40.2+0.00.0+0.000012591729378.7+0.0231.9-0.120.404New York City FC
Union92-3-7-107.1+0.30.2+0.00.000012481628418.8+0.0135.6-0.118.369Philadelphia Union

Direct Comments/Corrections to bgix on BigSoccer
Monte Carlo simulation: Does not indicate mathematical Clinching or Elimination
Tie Breakers:
1. Wins
2. Goal Differential
3. Goals Scored

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 5/17
Orlando 4 Galaxy 0
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Red Bulls-0.3
Revolution-0.3
FC Dallas+0.4
Crew-0.7
Whitecaps+0.7
Earthquakes+0.7
Toronto FC-1.2
Sporting KC+1.0
Orlando+7.1
+0.3
-3.3
Dynamo+1.1
Impact-1.7
+0.2
Fire-1.7
+0.2
Timbers+0.9
Galaxy-6.6
-0.7
-0.3
+0.4
Rapids+0.9
Real Salt Lake+0.9
NYCFC-0.7
+0.8
Union-0.4
+1.2
Sporting KC 4 Revolution 2
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
DC United+0.3
Sounders+0.7
Red Bulls+0.2
Revolution-1.4
-0.5
-2.8
FC Dallas-0.5
+0.3
Whitecaps-0.7
+0.2
Earthquakes-0.8
+0.2
Toronto FC+0.2
Sporting KC+8.1
+0.8
+0.6
-0.5
Orlando+0.3
Dynamo-1.3
Impact+0.3
Fire+0.3
Timbers-1.2
Galaxy-1.2
Rapids-1.1
Real Salt Lake-1.2
Union 1 DC United 0
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
DC United-0.6
-0.4
-5.5
Sounders+1.7
Red Bulls+0.8
Revolution+0.6
FC Dallas+0.7
Crew-0.2
+0.3
Whitecaps+0.4
Earthquakes+0.4
Toronto FC-0.3
Sporting KC+0.2
Orlando-0.4
+1.6
Dynamo+0.2
Impact-0.4
+1.0
Fire-0.5
+0.9
Timbers+0.5
Galaxy+0.2
Rapids+0.6
Real Salt Lake+0.6
NYCFC-0.2
+3.9
Union+2.8
-9.7
Week of 5/22
Toronto FC vs TimbersIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Toronto FC82.774.069.8
6.45.04.5
2.71.30.9
0.51.11.7
Orlando51.953.754.6
2.62.72.8
Dynamo50.750.047.9
3.13.12.9
Impact40.842.543.4
1.92.12.2
Fire37.939.740.5
1.71.81.9
Timbers30.935.747.8
1.51.82.8
0.20.30.8
3.52.51.1
Earthquakes vs OrlandoHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Earthquakes86.177.873.5
7.96.55.9
6.73.62.7
0.00.10.3
Toronto FC78.477.675.7
5.75.65.4
Orlando48.253.365.0
2.22.73.8
0.20.30.8
4.03.01.4
Impact42.841.739.2
2.1*2.01.9
7.17.17.3
Fire40.038.836.3
1.8*1.71.6
Galaxy vs DynamoHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Dynamo42.049.362.6
2.42.94.2
0.40.61.4
1.61.10.4
Galaxy40.227.521.6
2.01.20.9
0.40.10.1
1.63.54.9
Real Salt Lake vs NYCFCHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Dynamo48.950.751.4
3.03.13.1
1.01.11.3
Real Salt Lake36.125.121.1
1.81.10.8
0.30.10.1
1.74.26.7
NYCFC6.98.714.7
0.20.20.4
36.731.320.9
Union7.27.16.7
34.135.539.2
Impact vs FC DallasHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Sounders11.411.311.3
34.433.831.9
FC Dallas88.290.795.1
8.69.110.3
7.910.016.3
Toronto FC76.478.278.9
5.55.75.7
2.12.01.8
Orlando51.153.854.8
2.62.72.7
3.33.13.0
Impact49.438.433.9
2.61.81.5
0.50.20.1
4.58.010.0
Fire37.439.640.5
1.71.81.8
6.36.05.9
Galaxy vs Real Salt LakeHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Galaxy38.426.220.6
1.91.10.8
0.30.10.1
1.73.85.4
Real Salt Lake24.430.342.8
1.11.42.2
0.10.20.5
4.53.21.4
Timbers vs DC UnitedHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
DC United96.697.698.9
10.510.811.5
11.914.722.6
Sounders97.397.597.6
34.733.931.4
Dynamo48.650.651.3
3.03.13.1
Timbers44.032.127.5
2.51.61.3
0.60.20.1
1.43.14.2
Crew vs FireHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Crew91.184.479.4
8.47.06.3
5.22.72.0
0.10.40.7
Fire33.839.752.1
1.41.82.8
0.10.20.5
7.45.72.9
Rapids vs WhitecapsHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Whitecaps79.684.491.3
6.97.79.1
4.05.29.4
Rapids37.125.820.9
2.01.20.9
0.40.10.1
2.24.56.1
Sounders vs RapidsHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
DC United14.717.017.8
Sounders98.596.895.2
11.711.110.7
39.128.524.3
Red Bulls11.613.414.1
Rapids25.730.442.0
1.21.52.5
0.10.20.7
4.73.51.7
Sounders vs Sporting KCHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
DC United14.817.017.4
Sounders98.696.895.3
11.711.110.6
39.528.724.1
Sporting KC65.370.380.3
4.75.46.9
1.62.65.4
0.40.20.1
Red Bulls vs UnionHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Red Bulls97.494.892.7
10.89.99.4
15.39.47.4
NYCFC9.19.18.9
30.432.436.7
Union5.57.313.0
0.10.20.4
39.134.223.4
Revolution vs DC UnitedHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
DC United96.797.899.0
10.411.011.6
12.215.523.8
Sounders34.034.131.7
Revolution94.990.587.8
9.58.27.5
7.43.82.5
0.00.10.2

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you bgix for adding this league.