MLS Playoff Chances

Sounders +12.9, Timbers -10.5
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin CupSupporters ShieldChance will finish regular season at seedWooden Spoon
8/30PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change%Change12345678910Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrengthSaturday
DC UnitedLRed Bulls 0-34413-5-101100.0%-0.011.3%-0.52.5%-5.112372816610002.7-0.42No9.502DC United
Red BullsWDC United 3-042312-6-715100.0+0.012.4+0.334.7+11.67217731000001.4+0.36No-0.06.608New York Red Bulls
Crew41111-8-8199.9+0.08.9+0.20.7-0.0416223023300003.6+0.060.0%11.499Columbus Crew
Toronto FC37311-4-10299.7-0.09.9-0.02.3-0.3923272116400003.2-0.020.013.505at SoundersToronto FC
Whitecaps45114-3-101099.6-0.011.8+0.030.3-2.647261473100002.0+0.02No4.579Vancouver Whitecaps
Galaxy4613-7-81699.2-0.111.3+0.014.7-1.7263221126210002.5+0.01No1.605Los Angeles Galaxy
Revolution37210-7-9-197.8-0.16.2+0.00.2-0.0261425371420004.4-0.010.08.485OrlandoNew England Revolution
FC Dallas41312-5-8593.9-0.48.7+0.17.6-0.71316202015942003.6+0.03No5.535FC Dallas
Sporting KC40311-7-7588.0-0.97.4+0.14.5-0.48131819161274104.1+0.020.02.529Sporting Kansas City
Earthquakes38211-5-10383.8-1.25.9+0.12.0-0.24915192115105104.6+0.010.03.520UnionSan Jose Earthquakes
Impact2858-4-11-470.7+0.61.2+0.00.0-0.001251449168426.2+0.021.6-0.117.457FireMontreal Impact
TimbersLSounders 1-240111-7-9-364.6-10.52.7-1.10.3-0.71361219242011405.8-0.480.07.465Portland Timbers
SoundersWTimbers 2-138112-2-13242.5+12.91.5+0.60.1+0.0013612192621926.6+0.520.0-0.012.511Toronto FCSeattle Sounders
Dynamo3519-8-10120.6-0.10.5+0.00.0-0.0001261220312177.6-0.070.0+0.010.501Houston Dynamo
Orlando2917-8-12-1410.4-0.00.0+0.0No000019252321208.2+0.0119.6-0.216.394at RevolutionOrlando City SC
Fire2727-6-13-710.0-0.30.0+0.0No000019202324238.3-0.0222.1+0.320.435at ImpactChicago Fire
NYCFC2817-7-13-87.5+0.10.0+0.0No000017222524218.3+0.0220.5-0.418.439New York City FC
Rapids3328-9-9-26.7+0.40.1+0.00.000012492041238.6-0.020.4-0.015.471Colorado Rapids
Union2717-6-14-114.0-0.20.0No000004152127348.7-0.0232.6+0.519.412at EarthquakesPhiladelphia Union
Real Salt Lake3218-8-11-111.1+0.00.0+0.00.00000012722689.5-0.043.3-0.114.402Real Salt Lake

Direct Comments/Corrections to bgix on BigSoccer
Monte Carlo simulation: Does not indicate mathematical Clinching or Elimination
Tie Breakers:
1. Wins
2. Goal Differential
3. Goals Scored

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 8/28
Sounders 2 Timbers 1
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Sporting KC-0.8
Earthquakes-1.0
Timbers-8.6
-0.9
-0.6
Sounders+11.0
+0.5
Earthquakes 1 Galaxy 0
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
DC United+0.7
Red Bulls+1.7
Whitecaps+4.0
Galaxy-0.5
-8.7
FC Dallas-0.9
-0.3
+0.4
Sporting KC-0.6
-0.2
+0.8
Earthquakes+10.4
+1.5
+0.9
Timbers-1.9
-0.3
Sounders-3.7
Dynamo-1.8
Rapids-0.7
NYCFC 1 Crew 2
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Crew+2.4
+1.8
+0.3
No
Revolution+1.4
-0.6
Impact+2.5
-0.3
Orlando+0.7
-2.3
Fire+0.7
-3.4
NYCFC-8.7
-0.2
+10.1
Union+0.6
-2.6
Union 0 Revolution 1
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Revolution+7.7
+1.8
Impact+0.6
-0.3
-0.4
Orlando-0.7
-3.2
Fire-4.5
NYCFC-1.0
-2.4
Rapids-0.8
Union-6.4
+12.4
Real Salt Lake-0.8
Dynamo 2 Whitecaps 0
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
DC United+1.5
Red Bulls+3.6
Whitecaps-0.2
-11.8
Galaxy+3.1
FC Dallas-1.3
+0.7
Sporting KC-0.7
+1.8
Earthquakes-1.3
+0.4
Timbers-2.2
Sounders-1.5
Dynamo+7.9
+0.2
-0.6
Toronto FC 2 Impact 1
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Toronto FC+1.2
+0.9
+0.7
Revolution+0.5
Impact-5.8
-0.7
+0.7
Orlando+1.1
Fire+0.8
NYCFC+1.2
Union+0.7
Orlando 1 Fire 1
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Revolution+1.0
Impact+2.1
Orlando-4.1
+4.6
Fire-0.9
-2.2
NYCFC+0.9
-0.7
Union+0.6
-0.9
FC Dallas 2 Real Salt Lake 0
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Whitecaps-0.5
FC Dallas+5.0
+1.1
+1.7
*No
Timbers-0.5
-0.3
Sounders-1.3
Dynamo-0.8
Orlando-0.4
Real Salt Lake-1.7
No
+1.4
Rapids 2 Sporting KC 1
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Red Bulls+0.7
Whitecaps+1.7
Galaxy+0.5
Sporting KC-2.8
-0.9
-3.8
Orlando+0.7
Fire+0.7
Rapids+2.9
-2.7
Union+0.6
Red Bulls 3 DC United 0
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
DC United-0.3
-4.1
Red Bulls+0.2
+8.4
*No
Whitecaps-1.9
Galaxy-1.1
FC Dallas-0.6
Week of 9/5
Timbers vs Sporting KCIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Sporting KC81.889.196.4
6.07.49.5
2.13.59.2
0.0NoNo
Timbers79.958.647.2
4.22.01.2
0.70.10.0
No0.00.0
Sounders39.343.946.0
1.51.61.5
Impact vs FireHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Impact81.364.751.6
1.60.80.6
0.42.14.1
Fire4.210.224.5
0.00.00.1
28.320.77.9
Union3.15.24.9
30.632.937.3
Sounders vs Toronto FCHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Toronto FC99.699.8100.0
9.310.011.2
1.11.96.0
Earthquakes81.785.386.9
5.86.16.2
Timbers60.767.470.3
2.62.82.9
Sounders54.633.724.8
2.21.00.6
Dynamo18.422.223.9
Earthquakes vs UnionHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Earthquakes90.678.471.1
7.24.83.9
3.10.80.4
No0.00.0
Timbers63.065.967.7
2.52.93.1
Sounders40.544.046.4
1.41.71.8
Orlando10.610.49.5
17.620.224.5
Fire10.310.09.0
19.922.628.0
NYCFC7.77.66.8
18.421.026.2
Union2.23.610.5
39.630.813.6
Revolution vs OrlandoHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Revolution99.497.393.6
7.25.34.4
Impact72.470.965.1
1.01.31.5
1.41.62.0
Orlando6.610.222.4
0.00.00.1
24.617.76.8
Fire10.310.18.8
20.822.625.4
Union4.14.13.6
30.833.337.2
Whitecaps vs RapidsHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Red Bulls31.038.340.8
Whitecaps99.999.498.6
12.211.511.0
39.621.515.1
Galaxy11.311.311.4
12.516.918.6
Rapids4.06.215.8
0.10.10.4
0.50.20.0
Crew vs FC DallasHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
FC Dallas91.494.498.5
7.88.610.4
4.46.515.1

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you bgix for adding this league.