MLS Playoff Chances

Sounders +14.0, Timbers -13.7
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin CupSupporters ShieldChance will finish regular season at seedWooden Spoon
8/21PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change%Change12345678910Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrengthWednesday
FC Dallas45113-6-7599.9%-0.011.8%-0.023.1%-0.4273027123000002.4-0.02No3.528FC Dallas
NYCFC41111-8-7199.9+0.011.9+0.04.8+0.033342193100002.2+0.030.0%6.496New York City FC
Rapids43311-10-3799.9+0.012.1+0.042.0+1.047291661000001.9+0.02No1.569Colorado Rapids
Toronto FC38210-8-71099.8+0.011.9+0.07.1+0.145271783100002.0+0.030.05.575at OrlandoToronto FC
Galaxy3939-12-31599.6-0.011.5-0.018.5-0.1222828165100002.60.02.616at FireLos Angeles Galaxy
Red BullsTDC United 2-237110-7-91099.4+0.210.7-0.10.9-0.61523291910310003.0-0.080.0-0.08.559New York Red Bulls
Real Salt Lake40111-7-8196.7-0.18.2+0.03.0+0.0410213519731003.90.04.497Real Salt Lake
Impact3338-9-7193.5+0.46.8+0.10.2+0.0481628261242004.3+0.040.0+0.011.495DC UnitedMontreal Impact
Union3429-7-9393.3+0.66.5+0.20.1+0.0371426291351004.4+0.060.013.509at CrewPhiladelphia Union
Sporting KC3811-5-11283.5+0.03.9+0.00.1+0.0016193622114105.30.07.508Sporting Kansas City
Earthquakes3137-10-7-146.0-0.01.2+0.00.0+0.00016162223181036.7-0.030.2+0.09.478RevolutionSan Jose Earthquakes
Orlando2835-13-6-343.4+1.21.0+0.00.00015122525181046.8+0.032.8+0.114.467Toronto FCOrlando City SC
DC UnitedTRed Bulls 2-22836-10-8-441.0-3.60.8-0.20.0-0.00014102524181156.9-0.153.8+0.318.449at ImpactDC United
SoundersWTimbers 3-13039-3-12-235.5+14.00.8+0.40.0+0.00013112022211477.1+0.640.5-1.512.470at DynamoSeattle Sounders
TimbersLSounders 1-33218-8-10-227.1-13.70.5-0.40.0-0.0000271724251777.4-0.510.3+0.115.474Portland Timbers
Crew2344-11-8-712.9+0.60.2+0.00.0000139162124268.3+0.0221.3+0.116.433UnionColumbus Crew
Fire2245-7-11-710.5+0.20.1-0.00.0000127142025318.525.8+0.519.421GalaxyChicago Fire
Whitecaps3018-6-12-98.6-0.20.1-0.00.0000026122036238.5-0.052.7+0.110.424Vancouver Whitecaps
Revolution2626-8-11-176.2+0.30.1+0.00.0000015112029348.7+0.0228.0+0.020.365at EarthquakesNew England Revolution
Dynamo2435-9-10-33.2-0.10.0-0.00.000001251022599.3-0.0514.6+0.317.459SoundersHouston Dynamo

Direct Comments/Corrections to bgix on BigSoccer
Monte Carlo simulation: Does not prove mathematical Clinching or Elimination
Tie Breakers:
1. Wins
2. Goal Differential
3. Goals Scored

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 8/21
Sounders 3 Timbers 1
9:30 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Real Salt Lake+0.1
Sporting KC+0.3
Earthquakes+1.0
Orlando+0.1
DC United+0.1
Sounders+9.5
+0.2
-1.3
Timbers-11.3
-0.4
+0.1
Crew+0.3
Fire+0.2
Whitecaps+0.3
Revolution+0.3
Dynamo+0.1
+0.1
DC United 2 Red Bulls 2
3:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
FC Dallas+0.2
Rapids+0.2
Toronto FC+0.1
Galaxy+0.1
Red Bulls+0.2
-0.6
Impact+0.5
+0.1
Union+0.5
+0.1
Orlando+1.5
DC United-4.3
-0.3
+0.3
Crew+0.7
Fire+0.5
Revolution+0.4
-0.1
Dynamo-0.1
Crew vs EarthquakesIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
7:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Sporting KC85.383.580.0
4.03.93.5
Earthquakes37.145.663.3
0.81.12.2
0.40.10.0
Sounders38.235.630.3
0.80.80.7
Timbers29.527.222.3
0.50.50.4
Crew18.69.16.5
0.30.10.1
13.225.332.1
Revolution5.86.46.6
30.826.724.3
Earthquakes vs RevolutionHomeDrawAway
10:30 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Sporting KC81.785.186.7
3.74.04.1
Earthquakes55.337.529.6
1.60.80.6
0.00.30.9
Sounders32.738.140.5
0.70.80.8
0.40.50.7
Timbers24.529.531.5
0.40.50.5
Crew13.213.012.1
19.821.725.1
Fire10.710.59.8
24.126.330.3
Revolution3.85.914.1
0.00.00.2
No0.00.0
33.726.412.3
DC United vs FireHomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Orlando40.846.845.9
2.52.83.4
DC United51.533.123.9
1.20.50.3
1.24.99.1
Fire5.810.822.6
0.10.10.3
31.624.412.1
Impact vs DC UnitedHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Impact97.491.685.0
7.96.04.9
0.30.10.0
Orlando45.243.538.1
0.91.11.1
DC United33.642.261.1
0.40.81.9
5.13.20.8
Dynamo vs SoundersHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Earthquakes48.046.441.1
1.31.21.2
Sounders27.535.653.5
0.50.71.5
0.80.30.0
Timbers28.827.422.8
Revolution30.126.825.0
Dynamo5.31.60.7
7.918.624.7
Union vs Sporting KCHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Union97.091.387.1
7.65.74.9
Sporting KC78.384.694.1
3.13.85.7
0.00.10.5
0.00.0No
Orlando vs Toronto FCHomeDrawAway
7:30 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Toronto FC11.611.912.3
3.35.213.1
0.00.0No
Orlando56.439.131.5
1.60.80.5
0.82.95.0
DC United36.042.745.5
Crew vs UnionHomeDrawAway
7:30 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Union89.494.098.2
5.46.38.2
Crew19.89.46.4
0.30.10.0
12.624.331.0
Revolution31.027.024.7
Galaxy vs WhitecapsHomeDrawAway
10:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Rapids12.112.212.2
39.945.046.2
Galaxy99.999.498.6
11.811.110.6
23.312.28.7
No0.00.0
Whitecaps6.19.119.8
0.00.10.3
3.51.90.3
Fire vs GalaxyHomeDrawAway
8:30 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Rapids45.343.838.0
Galaxy99.299.699.9
11.011.412.0
11.015.027.5
0.00.0No
Fire17.58.65.9
0.30.10.1
14.627.434.1
Revolution5.76.36.5
31.927.425.2
Toronto FC vs ImpactHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Toronto FC100.099.899.5
12.211.711.1
10.33.92.4
No0.00.0
Impact91.694.398.0
6.17.08.9
0.10.10.7
Real Salt Lake vs RapidsHomeDrawAway
8:00 PM Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
FC Dallas11.611.911.9
26.024.217.9
Rapids11.912.212.4
32.040.558.2
Galaxy11.411.611.7
20.919.713.9
Real Salt Lake99.096.193.7
9.57.76.7
5.71.50.5
No0.00.0
Dynamo vs FC DallasHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
FC Dallas11.511.812.2
15.821.136.0
Rapids45.442.936.1
Revolution30.427.125.4
Dynamo5.51.91.2
7.217.323.1
Week of 8/28
Timbers vs SoundersIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Sounders25.437.557.2
0.40.71.5
0.70.30.0
Timbers38.519.010.2
0.70.20.1
0.00.40.9
FC Dallas vs TimbersHomeDrawAway
9:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
FC Dallas12.111.611.1
30.617.012.4
Rapids38.744.746.9
Sporting KC84.983.679.6
3.83.93.8
Earthquakes48.246.040.3
Sounders37.435.530.7
Timbers20.026.845.5
0.20.41.1
0.50.20.0
NYCFC vs DC UnitedHomeDrawAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
NYCFC12.211.611.1
7.12.41.4
No*No0.0
Orlando46.043.136.3
DC United34.541.759.3
0.50.81.7
5.13.20.8
Orlando vs NYCFCHomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
NYCFC11.611.912.3
2.44.010.6
Orlando54.036.929.5
1.50.70.5
0.93.45.8
DC United37.043.646.3
Galaxy vs CrewHomeDrawAway
10:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Rapids12.112.212.2
39.844.946.2
Galaxy99.999.498.7
11.811.210.7
23.412.38.8
No0.00.0
Crew10.013.625.5
0.10.20.5
24.818.99.3
Revolution6.46.15.4
26.828.932.1
Fire vs UnionHomeDrawAway
8:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Union89.393.998.2
5.46.38.2
Fire16.57.64.8
0.20.10.0
15.929.336.2
Revolution31.526.824.5
Whitecaps vs Red BullsHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Whitecaps14.66.24.0
0.20.00.0
0.52.85.0
Red Bulls vs RevolutionHomeDrawAway
2:30 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Crew13.113.012.2
20.122.025.3
Fire10.610.59.9
24.426.630.6
Revolution4.26.515.4
0.00.10.2
No0.00.0
32.425.311.8
Revolution vs RapidsHomeDrawAway
7:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
FC Dallas27.424.718.5
Rapids11.912.112.4
30.337.554.9
Galaxy22.020.214.5
Crew12.413.113.3
24.620.818.8
Fire10.010.610.8
29.825.222.8
Revolution11.54.62.9
0.10.00.0
0.0NoNo
14.730.137.7

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you bgix for adding this league.