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MLS Playoff Chances

Earthquakes +11.2, Orlando -8.2
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin CupSupporters ShieldChance will finish regular season at seedWooden Spoon
4/24PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change%Change12345678910Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrengthWednesday
Toronto FC1123-2-2394.5%+0.010.4%+0.114.1%+0.1352315107432102.7+0.050.1%+0.07.517Toronto FC
Rapids1615-1-2492.3+0.29.7+0.119.4+0.9282216129642103.0+0.040.1+0.03.529Colorado Rapids
Galaxy1424-2-11092.3-0.29.8-0.020.7+0.3302116128642103.0-0.010.1+0.01.551Los Angeles Galaxy
Union1224-0-3391.1-0.19.5+0.19.0+0.0252217129643113.2+0.040.3+0.113.506Philadelphia Union
Impact1224-0-3289.0+0.19.0+0.17.4+0.12121171310753213.5+0.050.4+0.110.493at NYCFCMontreal Impact
FC Dallas175-2-2284.2-0.47.6-0.18.8+0.114161615131075314.0-0.030.2+0.05.493FC Dallas
Real Salt Lake1424-2-1181.4-0.37.2-0.08.1+0.213151615131186324.2-0.020.3+0.12.480Real Salt Lake
OrlandoLRed Bulls 2-3922-3-2270.4-8.25.6-1.21.7-1.671013141412119645.1-0.602.1+1.112.488Orlando City SC
EarthquakesWSporting KC 1-01414-2-2169.2+11.25.2+1.33.7+1.661012141414129635.2+0.680.7-0.64.484San Jose Earthquakes
Sporting KCLEarthquakes 0-11214-0-4164.4-7.84.6-1.12.9-1.758111314141311845.5-0.521.0+0.56.486at WhitecapsSporting Kansas City
DC United912-3-3057.4+0.13.9+0.10.6+0.036912131413121075.94.2+0.711.473DC United
Crew822-2-3-256.5-0.33.8+0.10.8-0.046911131313121185.9-0.024.6+0.816.446Columbus Crew
Fire631-3-2-147.4+0.13.0+0.10.5+0.025791113141414116.5-0.027.3+1.220.456Chicago Fire
Whitecaps1013-1-4-240.5-0.72.2-0.00.8+0.023581013151616136.8-0.033.7+0.79.450Sporting KCVancouver Whitecaps
Revolution811-5-2-539.1+0.42.1+0.10.2+0.013581012141617156.9-0.029.5+1.518.419TimbersNew England Revolution
NYCFC621-3-3-336.0-0.42.0+0.00.2-0.01357911131617187.1-0.0711.8+2.015.443ImpactNew York City FC
Timbers822-2-3-331.6-0.51.6-0.00.5+0.01246811141719197.4-0.036.5+1.18.447at RevolutionPortland Timbers
Sounders722-1-4-324.3-1.01.1-0.00.3-0.0113469121721267.8-0.069.6+1.714.436Seattle Sounders
Dynamo521-2-4-119.9-0.40.9-0.00.2+0.0012358111622318.1-0.0212.2+1.919.464Houston Dynamo
Red BullsWOrlando 3-2612-0-6-918.6+8.20.8+0.40.0+0.0012357101421368.2+0.5825.6-12.917.393New York Red Bulls

Direct Comments/Corrections to bgix on BigSoccer
Monte Carlo simulation: Does not prove mathematical Clinching or Elimination
Tie Breakers:
1. Wins
2. Goal Differential
3. Goals Scored

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 4/24
Earthquakes 1 Sporting KC 0
3:30 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Toronto FC+0.1
Rapids-0.2
+0.1
Galaxy-0.2
+0.1
FC Dallas-0.3
Real Salt Lake-0.3
Earthquakes+7.7
+0.8
+0.9
-0.6
Sporting KC-5.3
-0.7
-1.3
+0.2
Whitecaps-0.5
Timbers-0.4
Sounders-0.4
Dynamo-0.3
Red Bulls+0.1
Red Bulls 3 Orlando 2
7:30 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Toronto FC+0.1
+0.1
Rapids+0.2
Galaxy+0.2
Union+0.1
+0.1
Impact+0.1
+0.1
FC Dallas+0.1
Real Salt Lake+0.1
Orlando-5.5
-0.8
-1.2
+0.6
Earthquakes+0.2
Sporting KC+0.1
+0.1
DC United+0.2
+0.1
+0.4
Crew+0.2
+0.1
+0.5
Fire+0.2
+0.1
+0.8
Whitecaps+0.4
Revolution+0.2
+0.1
+1.0
NYCFC+0.2
+0.1
+1.1
Timbers+0.7
Sounders+1.0
Dynamo+1.3
Red Bulls+4.4
+0.2
-8.4
NYCFC vs WhitecapsIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Orlando69.571.071.6
5.55.75.7
Earthquakes70.069.367.5
5.35.25.0
Sporting KC65.264.462.5
4.74.64.5
DC United56.458.158.7
3.84.04.0
4.34.14.1
Crew55.557.257.9
3.73.83.9
4.74.54.4
Fire46.448.048.7
2.93.03.0
7.67.27.0
Whitecaps35.540.252.1
1.82.13.2
0.50.71.5
4.93.31.5
Revolution38.139.740.4
2.12.22.2
9.79.39.1
NYCFC42.531.527.2
2.51.61.3
0.30.10.1
8.313.917.2
Timbers32.331.629.9
1.61.61.5
6.76.36.1
Revolution vs TimbersHomeDrawAway
7:30 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Orlando69.471.071.6
5.55.75.7
Earthquakes69.969.367.7
5.25.25.1
Sporting KC65.164.562.7
4.74.64.5
DC United56.358.058.7
3.84.04.0
4.34.14.1
Crew55.457.257.9
3.73.83.9
Fire46.348.048.7
2.93.03.0
7.47.27.3
Whitecaps41.240.638.9
2.22.22.1
3.83.63.6
Revolution46.034.730.0
2.71.81.4
0.40.10.1
6.211.014.2
NYCFC35.136.737.3
1.92.02.0
12.011.711.7
Timbers26.831.041.9
1.31.52.4
0.30.41.0
8.36.13.1
Sounders vs CrewHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Orlando71.070.468.9
5.75.65.4
DC United58.157.455.7
4.03.93.7
4.34.14.1
Crew51.656.567.6
3.33.75.0
0.50.71.5
5.94.22.0
Fire48.147.445.7
3.03.02.8
7.57.27.1
Revolution39.839.137.4
2.22.12.0
9.79.39.2
NYCFC36.736.034.4
2.02.01.9
12.111.611.5
Sounders29.620.417.1
1.50.90.7
0.40.20.1
6.511.414.4
Fire vs DC UnitedHomeDrawAway
5:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
DC United51.258.069.9
3.23.95.3
0.40.61.3
5.43.91.9
Fire55.142.736.3
3.72.52.0
0.70.30.2
4.88.711.1
Union vs EarthquakesHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Union93.889.386.7
10.19.08.5
11.66.95.2
0.10.30.6
Earthquakes65.169.779.3
4.65.26.6
2.63.66.7
0.90.60.2
Sporting KC65.064.362.8
4.74.64.4
2.93.03.0
Whitecaps41.240.438.8
2.32.22.1
Timbers32.131.530.1
1.61.61.5
Whitecaps vs Sporting KCHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Sporting KC58.165.076.0
3.94.66.0
2.02.75.0
1.30.90.3
Whitecaps48.536.029.7
2.81.81.4
1.20.50.3
2.24.45.9
Red Bulls vs FC DallasHomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
FC Dallas80.083.489.9
6.97.58.8
6.17.712.8
0.30.10.0
Dynamo20.420.019.3
1.00.90.9
13.311.811.1
Red Bulls24.516.413.4
1.10.70.5
18.727.732.2
Revolution vs OrlandoHomeDrawAway
7:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Orlando64.070.280.1
4.85.56.9
1.11.53.0
3.02.00.9
Revolution47.735.529.5
2.81.81.4
0.40.10.1
6.010.613.4
NYCFC vs ImpactHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Impact85.789.293.9
8.38.910.0
5.36.811.3
0.60.30.1
NYCFC43.732.327.4
2.61.71.3
0.30.10.1
8.013.416.4
Real Salt Lake vs DynamoHomeDrawAway
9:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Real Salt Lake86.378.373.1
8.06.65.9
10.46.24.9
0.10.30.6
Dynamo16.020.029.7
0.70.91.6
0.10.20.5
14.511.86.8
Impact vs RapidsHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Rapids90.592.595.9
9.39.710.7
15.319.027.9
Impact92.487.284.3
9.78.58.0
10.15.73.9
0.20.50.7
Week of 5/1
Whitecaps vs TimbersIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Whitecaps47.935.529.3
2.81.81.4
1.10.50.3
2.24.56.2
Timbers26.232.043.8
1.21.62.5
0.30.41.0
8.06.13.2
Timbers vs Toronto FCHomeDrawAway
3:30 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Toronto FC92.994.597.1
10.010.411.1
10.713.120.1
0.20.10.0
Earthquakes68.269.870.3
5.15.25.3
3.93.83.4
Sporting KC63.264.965.6
4.54.64.7
3.13.02.7
Whitecaps39.441.041.6
3.83.73.6
Timbers38.728.124.2
2.11.31.1
0.80.30.2
4.07.39.3
Orlando vs Red BullsHomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Orlando76.265.659.5
6.34.94.3
2.31.10.8
1.22.74.1
Red Bulls15.119.328.9
0.60.81.4
29.124.516.0
Dynamo vs Sporting KCHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Sporting KC58.764.975.6
4.04.66.0
2.02.75.1
1.30.80.3
Dynamo25.316.412.7
1.20.70.5
0.30.10.1
8.514.317.4
Red Bulls26.425.124.3
Sounders vs EarthquakesHomeDrawAway
10:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Earthquakes63.569.679.6
4.55.16.6
2.63.46.2
0.90.60.2
Sounders30.620.616.3
1.50.90.7
0.40.20.1
6.411.213.9
Crew vs ImpactHomeDrawAway
7:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Impact86.089.494.1
8.39.010.1
5.46.911.5
0.60.30.1
Crew64.152.446.8
4.63.32.7
1.20.50.3
2.85.47.0
Sporting KC vs GalaxyHomeDrawAway
8:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Galaxy89.792.496.0
9.2*9.810.8
16.319.728.3
Sporting KC72.261.155.6
5.64.23.5
4.42.21.4
0.41.11.6
Toronto FC vs FC DallasHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Toronto FC96.493.391.5
10.910.19.6
17.811.28.4
0.10.20.3
FC Dallas81.484.790.8
7.17.79.0
6.48.814.7
0.20.10.0
Rapids vs Real Salt LakeHomeDrawAway
9:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Rapids94.890.587.7
10.49.38.6
23.715.612.2
Real Salt Lake78.382.389.1
6.67.38.7
6.08.414.0
0.40.20.1

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you bgix for adding this league.