MLS Playoff Chances

Season starts March 3rd
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin CupSupporters ShieldChance will finish regular season at seedWooden Spoon
PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change%Change1234567891011Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrength3/3
Minnesota00-0-0054.6%4.5%4.5%999999999996.04.5%1.500at TimbersMinnesota United FC
Atlanta00-0-0054.64.54.5999999999996.04.51.500Atlanta United FC
Union00-0-0054.64.54.5999999999996.04.51.500Philadelphia Union
Orlando00-0-0054.64.54.5999999999996.04.51.500Orlando City SC
Earthquakes00-0-0054.64.54.5999999999996.04.51.500San Jose Earthquakes
Crew00-0-0054.64.54.5999999999996.04.51.500Columbus Crew
Rapids00-0-0054.54.54.5999999999996.04.51.500Colorado Rapids
Sounders00-0-0054.54.54.5999999999996.04.51.500Seattle Sounders
Dynamo00-0-0054.54.54.5999999999996.04.51.500Houston Dynamo
FC Dallas00-0-0054.54.54.5999999999996.04.51.500FC Dallas
Red Bulls00-0-0054.54.54.5999999999996.04.51.500New York Red Bulls
Galaxy00-0-0054.54.54.5999999999996.04.51.500Los Angeles Galaxy
DC United00-0-0054.54.54.5999999999996.04.51.500DC United
Fire00-0-0054.54.54.5999999999996.04.51.500Chicago Fire
Timbers00-0-0054.54.54.5999999999996.04.51.500MinnesotaPortland Timbers
Real Salt Lake00-0-0054.54.54.5999999999996.04.51.500Real Salt Lake
Sporting KC00-0-0054.54.54.5999999999996.04.51.500Sporting Kansas City
Revolution00-0-0054.54.54.5999999999996.04.51.500New England Revolution
Toronto FC00-0-0054.54.54.5999999999996.04.51.500Toronto FC
NYCFC00-0-0054.54.54.5999999999996.04.51.500New York City FC
Impact00-0-0054.54.54.5999999999996.04.51.500Montreal Impact
Whitecaps00-0-0054.54.54.5999999999996.04.51.500Vancouver Whitecaps

Direct Comments/Corrections to bgix on BigSoccer
Monte Carlo simulation: Does not prove mathematical Clinching or Elimination
Tie Breakers:
1. Wins
2. Goal Differential
3. Goals Scored

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 3/3
Whitecaps vs UnionIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
9:30 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Minnesota53.955.055.5
4.54.64.6
4.54.64.5
Union50.154.665.0
4.04.55.8
3.44.47.5
5.74.32.3
Rapids53.955.055.4
4.54.64.6
*4.54.64.5
Sounders53.955.055.4
4.54.64.6
*4.54.64.5
Dynamo53.955.055.4
4.54.64.7
4.54.64.5
Red Bulls55.0*54.553.5
4.6*4.54.4
4.54.64.5
Timbers53.955.055.4
4.54.64.6
*4.54.64.5
Real Salt Lake53.955.055.4
4.54.64.6
4.54.64.5
Sporting KC53.955.055.4
4.54.64.6
4.54.64.5
Whitecaps60.750.145.6
5.34.03.5
6.03.42.6
3.05.57.1
Real Salt Lake vs Toronto FCHomeDrawAway
4:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Minnesota53.955.055.4
4.54.64.6
4.54.64.5
Rapids53.955.055.4
4.54.64.6
*4.54.64.5
Sounders53.955.055.4
4.54.64.6
4.54.64.5
Dynamo53.955.055.4
4.54.64.6
4.54.64.5
FC Dallas53.955.055.4
4.54.64.7
4.54.64.5
Timbers53.955.055.4
4.54.64.6
4.54.64.5
Real Salt Lake60.850.245.6
5.34.03.5
6.03.42.6
3.05.57.1
Sporting KC53.955.055.4
4.54.64.7
*4.54.64.5
Toronto FC50.154.664.9
4.04.55.8
3.44.47.5
5.74.32.3
Rapids vs RevolutionHomeDrawAway
6:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Minnesota53.955.055.5
4.54.64.6
4.54.64.5
Rapids60.850.245.6
5.34.03.5
6.03.42.6
3.05.57.1
Galaxy53.955.055.5
4.54.64.6
4.54.64.5
Revolution50.154.664.9
4.04.55.8
3.44.47.5
5.64.32.3
Whitecaps53.955.055.4
4.54.64.6
4.54.64.5
Earthquakes vs ImpactHomeDrawAway
10:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Earthquakes60.850.245.6
5.34.03.5
6.03.42.6
3.05.57.1
Dynamo53.955.055.4
4.54.64.7
*4.54.64.5
Galaxy53.955.055.5
4.54.64.6
*4.54.64.5
Timbers53.955.055.5
4.54.64.6
*4.54.64.5
Real Salt Lake53.955.055.4
4.54.64.7
4.54.64.5
Impact50.154.664.9
4.04.55.8
3.44.47.5
5.74.32.3
DC United vs Sporting KCHomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Atlanta53.955.055.4
4.54.64.6
*4.54.64.5
Union53.955.055.5
4.54.64.7
*4.54.64.5
Red Bulls53.955.055.4
4.54.64.6
*4.54.64.5
DC United60.750.245.6
5.34.03.5
6.03.42.6
3.05.57.1
Fire53.955.055.4
4.54.64.6
4.54.64.5
Sporting KC50.154.664.9
4.04.55.8
3.44.47.5
5.74.32.3
Revolution53.955.055.4
4.54.64.6
4.54.64.5
Impact53.955.055.4
4.54.64.6
4.54.64.5
Atlanta vs Red BullsHomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Atlanta61.250.144.6
5.34.03.4
6.03.42.6
3.05.57.0
Red Bulls49.455.065.8
3.94.65.9
3.44.47.5
5.74.32.3
Timbers vs MinnesotaHomeDrawAway
9:30 PM Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Minnesota49.455.165.9
3.94.65.9
3.44.47.5
5.64.32.3
Timbers61.250.144.6
5.34.03.4
6.03.42.6
3.05.57.1
Orlando vs NYCFCHomeDrawAway
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Orlando61.250.244.6
5.34.03.4
6.03.42.6
3.05.47.0
NYCFC49.455.065.8
3.94.65.9
3.44.47.5
5.64.32.3
Crew vs FireHomeDrawAway
2:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Crew61.250.244.6
5.34.03.4
6.03.42.6
3.05.57.0
Fire49.455.065.8
3.94.65.9
3.44.47.5
5.64.32.3
Galaxy vs FC DallasHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
FC Dallas49.455.065.8
3.94.65.9
3.44.47.5
5.64.32.3
Galaxy61.250.144.6
5.34.03.4
6.03.42.6
3.05.57.1
Dynamo vs SoundersHomeDrawAway
8:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Sounders49.455.065.8
3.94.65.9
3.44.47.5
5.64.32.3
Dynamo61.250.244.6
5.34.03.4
6.03.42.6
3.05.57.1
Week of 3/11
Minnesota vs AtlantaIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Minnesota60.850.245.6
5.24.03.5
6.03.42.6
3.05.57.1
Atlanta50.154.665.0
4.04.55.8
3.44.47.5
5.64.32.3
Earthquakes53.955.055.5
4.54.64.6
4.54.64.5
Rapids53.955.055.4
4.54.64.6
4.54.64.5
Dynamo53.955.055.4
4.54.64.6
*4.54.64.5
FC Dallas53.955.055.4
4.54.64.7
4.54.64.5
Timbers53.955.055.4
4.54.64.6
4.54.64.5
Real Salt Lake53.955.055.4
4.54.64.6
4.54.64.5
NYCFC55.0*54.553.5
4.6*4.64.4
4.54.64.5
Fire vs Real Salt LakeHomeDrawAway
2:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Union53.955.055.4
4.54.64.7
4.54.64.5
Crew53.955.055.5
4.54.64.6
*4.54.64.5
Red Bulls53.955.055.5
4.54.64.6
4.54.64.5
Fire60.850.245.6
5.34.03.5
6.03.42.6
3.05.57.1
Real Salt Lake50.154.665.0
4.04.55.8
3.44.47.5
5.74.32.3
Revolution53.955.055.4
4.54.64.6
*4.54.64.5
Toronto FC53.955.055.4
4.54.64.6
4.54.64.5
Impact53.955.055.4
4.54.64.6
*4.54.64.5
Red Bulls vs RapidsHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Union53.955.055.5
4.54.64.6
*4.54.64.5
Orlando53.955.055.4
4.54.64.6
4.54.64.5
Crew53.955.055.4
4.54.64.6
4.54.64.5
Rapids50.154.665.0
4.04.55.8
3.44.47.5
5.74.32.3
Red Bulls60.850.245.6
5.34.03.5
6.03.42.6
3.05.57.1
Fire53.955.055.4
4.54.64.7
4.54.64.5
Toronto FC53.955.055.4
4.54.64.6
4.54.64.5
Impact53.955.055.4
4.54.64.6
4.54.64.5
Impact vs SoundersHomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Atlanta53.955.055.5
4.54.64.6
4.54.64.5
Orlando53.955.055.4
4.54.64.7
4.54.64.5
Sounders50.154.664.9
4.04.55.8
3.44.47.5
5.64.32.3
Fire53.955.055.4
4.54.64.6
*4.54.64.5
Toronto FC53.955.055.4
4.54.64.6
4.54.64.5
Impact60.750.145.6
5.34.03.5
6.03.42.6
3.05.57.1
Dynamo vs CrewHomeDrawAway
8:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Minnesota53.955.055.4
4.54.64.6
*4.54.64.5
Earthquakes53.955.055.4
4.54.64.6
*4.54.64.5
Crew50.154.665.0
4.04.55.8
3.44.47.5
5.74.32.3
Dynamo60.750.245.6
5.34.03.5
6.03.42.6
3.05.57.1
FC Dallas53.955.055.4
4.54.64.7
*4.54.64.5
Galaxy53.955.055.4
4.54.64.6
4.54.64.5
Timbers53.955.055.4
4.54.64.6
4.54.64.5
Sporting KC53.955.055.4
4.54.64.6
4.54.64.5
Sporting KC vs FC DallasHomeDrawAway
9:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
FC Dallas49.455.065.8
3.94.65.9
3.44.47.5
5.64.32.3
Sporting KC61.250.144.6
5.34.03.4
6.03.42.6
3.05.57.0
Galaxy vs TimbersHomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Galaxy61.250.144.6
5.34.03.4
6.03.42.6
3.05.57.1
Timbers49.455.165.8
3.94.65.9
3.44.47.5
5.64.32.3
Revolution vs OrlandoHomeDrawAway
2:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Orlando49.455.065.8
3.94.65.9
3.44.47.5
5.64.32.3
Revolution61.250.244.6
5.34.03.4
6.03.42.6
3.05.57.0
NYCFC vs DC UnitedHomeDrawAway
2:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
DC United49.455.165.8
3.94.65.9
3.44.47.5
5.64.32.3
NYCFC61.250.144.6
5.34.03.4
6.03.42.6
3.05.57.1
Union vs Toronto FCHomeDrawAway
4:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Union61.250.244.6
5.34.03.4
6.03.42.6
3.05.47.1
Toronto FC49.455.065.8
3.94.65.9
3.44.47.5
5.64.32.3
Earthquakes vs WhitecapsHomeDrawAway
9:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Earthquakes61.250.244.6
5.34.03.4
6.03.42.6
3.05.57.1
Whitecaps49.455.065.8
3.94.65.9
3.44.47.5
5.64.32.3

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you bgix for adding this league.