"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

MLS Playoff Chances

Season starts March 6th
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin CupSupporters ShieldChance will finish regular season at seedWooden Spoon
PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change%Change12345678910Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrength3/6
FC Dallas00-0-0060.0%5.0%5.0%101010101010101010105.55.0%1.500UnionFC Dallas
DC United00-0-0060.05.05.0101010101010101010105.55.01.500at GalaxyDC United
Galaxy00-0-0060.05.05.0101010101010101010105.55.01.500DC UnitedLos Angeles Galaxy
NYCFC00-0-0060.05.05.0101010101010101010105.55.01.500at FireNew York City FC
Crew00-0-0060.05.05.0101010101010101010105.55.01.500at TimbersColumbus Crew
Toronto FC00-0-0060.05.05.0101010101010101010105.55.01.500at Red BullsToronto FC
Dynamo00-0-0060.05.05.0101010101010101010105.55.01.500RevolutionHouston Dynamo
Impact00-0-0060.05.05.0101010101010101010105.55.01.500at WhitecapsMontreal Impact
Earthquakes00-0-0060.05.05.0101010101010101010105.55.01.500RapidsSan Jose Earthquakes
Sporting KC00-0-0060.05.05.0101010101010101010105.55.01.500at SoundersSporting Kansas City
Sounders00-0-0060.05.05.0101010101010101010105.55.01.500Sporting KCSeattle Sounders
Union00-0-0060.05.05.0101010101010101010105.55.01.500at FC DallasPhiladelphia Union
Red Bulls00-0-0060.05.05.0101010101010101010105.55.01.500Toronto FCNew York Red Bulls
Orlando00-0-0060.05.05.0101010101010101010105.55.01.500Real Salt LakeOrlando City SC
Whitecaps00-0-0060.05.05.0101010101010101010105.55.01.500ImpactVancouver Whitecaps
Real Salt Lake00-0-0060.05.05.0101010101010101010105.55.01.500at OrlandoReal Salt Lake
Revolution00-0-0060.05.05.0101010101010101010105.55.01.500at DynamoNew England Revolution
Timbers00-0-0060.05.05.0101010101010101010105.55.01.500CrewPortland Timbers
Rapids00-0-0060.05.05.0101010101010101010105.55.01.500at EarthquakesColorado Rapids
Fire00-0-0060.05.05.0101010101010101010105.55.01.500NYCFCChicago Fire

Direct Comments/Corrections to bgix on BigSoccer
Monte Carlo simulation: Does not prove mathematical Clinching or Elimination
Tie Breakers:
1. Wins
2. Goal Differential
3. Goals Scored

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 3/6
Dynamo vs RevolutionIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
3:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Dynamo66.055.851.3
5.74.54.0
6.63.82.9
3.36.07.7
Sporting KC59.360.561.0
4.95.15.1
5.05.14.9
Sounders59.360.561.0
4.95.15.1
*5.05.14.9
Whitecaps59.360.561.0
4.95.15.1
5.05.14.9
Real Salt Lake59.360.561.0
4.95.15.1
5.05.14.9
Revolution55.760.169.9
4.55.06.3
3.74.98.2
6.24.72.5
Whitecaps vs ImpactHomeDrawAway
5:30 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Galaxy59.360.561.0
4.95.15.1
*5.05.14.9
Dynamo59.360.561.0
4.95.15.1
5.05.14.9
Impact55.760.169.9
4.55.06.3
3.74.98.2
6.24.72.5
Earthquakes59.360.561.0
4.95.15.1
5.05.14.9
Sporting KC59.360.561.0
4.95.15.1
*5.05.14.9
Whitecaps66.055.851.3
5.74.54.0
6.63.82.9
3.36.07.7
Timbers59.360.561.0
4.95.15.1
*5.05.14.9
Orlando vs Real Salt LakeHomeDrawAway
2:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
DC United59.360.561.0
4.95.15.1
5.05.14.9
NYCFC59.360.561.0
4.95.15.1
5.05.14.9
Crew59.360.561.0
4.95.15.1
5.05.14.9
Toronto FC59.360.561.0
4.95.15.1
*5.05.14.9
Union59.360.561.0
4.95.15.1
*5.05.14.9
Red Bulls59.360.561.0
4.95.15.1
*5.05.14.9
Orlando66.055.851.3
5.74.54.0
6.63.82.9
3.36.07.7
Real Salt Lake55.760.169.9
4.55.06.3
3.74.88.2
6.24.72.5
Revolution59.360.561.0
4.95.15.1
5.05.14.9
Timbers vs CrewHomeDrawAway
4:30 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
FC Dallas59.360.561.0
4.95.15.1
*5.05.14.9
Galaxy59.360.561.0
4.95.15.1
5.05.14.9
Crew55.760.169.9
4.55.06.3
3.74.88.2
6.24.72.5
Earthquakes59.360.561.0
4.95.15.1
*5.05.14.9
Sounders59.360.561.0
4.95.15.1
*5.05.14.9
Whitecaps59.360.561.0
4.95.15.1
*5.05.14.9
Real Salt Lake59.360.561.0
4.95.15.1
*5.05.14.9
Timbers66.055.851.3
5.74.54.0
6.63.82.9
3.36.07.7
FC Dallas vs UnionHomeDrawAway
3:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
FC Dallas66.055.851.3
5.74.54.0
6.63.82.9
3.36.07.7
Galaxy59.360.561.0
4.95.15.1
5.05.14.9
Dynamo59.360.561.0
4.95.15.1
5.05.14.9
Earthquakes59.360.561.0
4.95.15.1
*5.05.14.9
Sporting KC59.360.561.0
4.95.15.1
*5.05.14.9
Sounders59.360.561.0
4.95.15.1
*5.05.14.9
Union55.760.169.9
4.55.06.3
3.74.98.2
6.24.72.5
Whitecaps59.360.561.0
4.95.15.1
5.05.14.9
Rapids59.360.561.0
4.95.15.1
5.05.14.9
Galaxy vs DC UnitedHomeDrawAway
10:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
DC United55.760.169.9
4.5*5.06.3
3.74.88.2
6.24.72.5
Galaxy66.055.851.3
5.74.54.0
6.63.82.9
3.36.07.7
Dynamo59.360.561.0
4.95.15.1
*5.05.14.9
Earthquakes59.360.561.0
4.95.15.1
*5.05.14.9
Sounders59.360.561.0
4.95.15.1
*5.05.14.9
Whitecaps59.360.561.0
4.95.15.1
5.05.14.9
Real Salt Lake59.360.561.0
4.95.15.1
5.05.14.9
Rapids59.360.561.0
4.95.15.1
*5.05.14.9
Rapids vs GalaxyHomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Galaxy55.060.670.9
4.45.06.4
3.74.88.2
6.24.72.6
Rapids66.555.850.2
5.84.53.8
6.63.82.9
3.36.07.7
Revolution vs DC UnitedHomeDrawAway
3:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
DC United55.060.670.9
4.45.06.4
3.74.88.2
6.24.72.6
Revolution66.555.850.2
5.84.53.8
6.63.82.9
3.36.07.7
Fire vs NYCFCHomeDrawAway
2:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
NYCFC55.060.670.8
4.45.06.4
3.74.88.2
6.24.82.6
Fire66.555.850.2
5.84.53.8
6.63.82.9
3.36.07.7
Sporting KC vs WhitecapsHomeDrawAway
8:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Sporting KC66.555.850.2
5.84.53.8
6.63.82.9
3.36.07.7
Whitecaps55.060.670.8
4.45.06.4
3.74.88.2
6.24.72.5
Crew vs UnionHomeDrawAway
7:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Crew66.555.850.2
5.84.53.8
6.63.82.9
3.36.07.7
Union55.060.670.8
4.45.06.4
3.74.88.2
6.24.72.5
Impact vs Red BullsHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Impact66.555.850.2
5.84.53.8
6.63.82.9
3.36.07.7
Red Bulls55.060.670.8
4.45.06.4
3.74.88.2
6.24.72.6
Earthquakes vs RapidsHomeDrawAway
3:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Earthquakes66.555.850.2
5.84.53.8
6.63.82.9
3.36.07.7
Rapids55.060.670.8
4.45.06.4
3.74.88.1
6.24.72.6
Dynamo vs FC DallasHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
FC Dallas55.060.670.8
4.45.06.4
3.74.88.2
6.24.72.5
Dynamo66.555.850.2
5.84.53.8
6.63.82.9
3.36.07.7
Real Salt Lake vs SoundersHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Sounders55.060.670.8
4.45.06.4
3.74.88.2
6.24.72.6
Real Salt Lake66.555.850.2
5.84.53.8
6.63.82.9
3.36.07.7
Red Bulls vs Toronto FCHomeDrawAway
1:30 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Toronto FC55.060.670.8
4.45.06.4
3.74.88.2
6.24.72.6
Red Bulls66.555.850.2
5.84.53.8
6.63.82.9
3.36.07.7
Sounders vs Sporting KCHomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Sporting KC55.060.670.8
4.45.06.4
3.74.98.2
6.24.72.5
Sounders66.555.850.2
5.84.53.8
6.63.82.9
3.36.07.7
Orlando vs FireHomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Orlando66.555.850.2
5.84.53.8
6.63.82.9
3.36.07.7
Fire55.060.670.8
4.45.06.4
3.74.88.2
6.24.72.5
Week of 3/13
Red Bulls vs DynamoIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
DC United59.360.561.0
4.95.15.1
*5.05.14.9
NYCFC59.360.561.0
4.95.15.1
*5.05.14.9
Toronto FC59.360.561.0
4.95.05.1
5.05.14.9
Dynamo55.760.169.9
4.55.06.3
3.74.98.2
6.24.72.5
Impact59.360.561.0
4.95.15.1
*5.05.14.9
Union59.360.561.0
4.95.15.1
5.05.14.9
Red Bulls66.055.851.3
5.74.54.0
6.63.82.9
3.36.07.7
Orlando59.360.561.0
4.95.15.1
*5.05.14.9
Revolution59.360.561.0
4.95.15.1
5.05.14.9
FC Dallas vs ImpactHomeDrawAway
9:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
FC Dallas66.055.851.3
5.74.54.0
6.63.82.9
3.36.07.7
Galaxy59.360.561.0
4.95.15.1
5.05.14.9
Dynamo59.360.561.0
4.95.15.1
*5.05.14.9
Impact55.760.169.9
4.55.06.3
3.74.98.2
6.24.72.5
Earthquakes59.360.561.0
4.95.15.1
5.05.14.9
Whitecaps59.360.561.0
4.95.15.1
5.05.14.9
Timbers59.360.561.0
4.95.15.1
5.05.14.9
Sounders vs WhitecapsHomeDrawAway
10:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Sounders66.555.850.2
5.84.53.8
6.63.82.9
3.36.07.7
Whitecaps55.060.670.8
4.45.06.4
3.74.88.1
6.24.72.6
Fire vs CrewHomeDrawAway
5:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Crew55.060.670.8
4.45.06.4
3.74.88.2
6.24.72.6
Fire66.555.850.2
5.84.53.8
6.63.82.9
3.36.07.7
NYCFC vs OrlandoHomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
NYCFC66.555.850.2
5.84.53.8
6.63.82.9
3.36.07.7
Orlando55.060.670.8
4.45.06.4
3.74.88.2
6.24.72.6
Galaxy vs EarthquakesHomeDrawAway
10:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Galaxy66.555.850.2
5.84.53.8
6.63.82.9
3.36.07.7
Earthquakes55.060.670.8
4.45.06.4
3.74.88.2
6.24.82.6
Earthquakes vs TimbersHomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Earthquakes66.555.850.2
5.84.53.8
6.63.82.9
3.36.07.7
Timbers55.060.670.8
4.45.06.4
3.74.88.2
6.24.82.6
NYCFC vs Toronto FCHomeDrawAway
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
NYCFC66.555.850.2
5.84.53.8
6.63.82.9
3.36.07.7
Toronto FC55.060.670.8
4.45.06.4
3.74.88.2
6.24.72.5
Timbers vs Real Salt LakeHomeDrawAway
10:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Real Salt Lake55.060.670.8
4.45.06.4
3.74.88.1
6.24.72.6
Timbers66.555.850.2
5.84.53.8
6.63.82.9
3.36.07.7

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you bgix for adding this league.