MLS Playoff Chances

Red Bulls +17.2, DC United -16.2
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin CupSupporters ShieldChance will finish regular season at seedWooden Spoon
3/22PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change%Change12345678910Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrengthSaturday
FC Dallas93-0-0590.8%-0.39.8%-0.124.7%-0.637191397543212.9-0.050.2%-0.04.496SoundersFC Dallas
NYCFC51-2-0283.8+0.28.3-0.010.5-0.32317141210865323.70.9-0.09.484Sporting KCNew York City FC
Red BullsWDC United 2-0411-1-0279.5+17.27.6+2.58.3+4.81916141210976434.1+1.301.3-2.93.468at CrewNew York Red Bulls
Crew311-0-1173.1+0.76.5+0.15.7-0.114141312111098644.6+0.042.2-0.17.460Red BullsColumbus Crew
EarthquakesWFire 2-162-0-1172.5+9.66.4+1.37.2+2.612141312111098644.7+0.681.3-1.62.453at RevolutionSan Jose Earthquakes
Toronto FC311-0-1070.8+0.66.1+0.04.9-0.112131212111098754.8+0.042.5-0.16.441Toronto FC
Whitecaps62-0-1067.5-1.15.6-0.25.7-0.3101212121111109865.1-0.081.8-0.18.444TimbersVancouver Whitecaps
Rapids210-2-0067.0-1.25.8-0.25.9-0.3101212121110109865.1-0.092.1-0.012.482at DynamoColorado Rapids
Galaxy51-2-0265.7-1.25.5-0.25.1-0.391112121111109865.2-0.092.0-0.19.465at DC UnitedLos Angeles Galaxy
Orlando41-1-1063.2+1.55.1+0.13.1+0.1910111111111110975.4+0.093.7-0.31.444at ImpactOrlando City SC
DC UnitedLRed Bulls 0-2311-0-1-159.9-16.24.6-2.42.7-4.6791011111111111085.6-1.224.6+2.717.423GalaxyDC United
Impact110-1-1-159.1+0.84.6+0.12.6-0.1791011111111111085.6+0.054.8-0.320.441OrlandoMontreal Impact
Sounders311-0-1258.3-0.94.6-0.13.7-0.1791011111111111095.7-0.063.4-0.113.455at FC DallasSeattle Sounders
Dynamo41-1-1052.9-1.63.9-0.22.7-0.2579101111121212116.1-0.104.2+0.05.444RapidsHouston Dynamo
Real Salt Lake210-2-0049.7-1.13.6-0.12.4-0.157891011121213136.3-0.075.2-0.218.441Real Salt Lake
Timbers30-3-0046.0-1.53.2-0.21.8-0.146791011121314156.5-0.095.8-0.115.444at WhitecapsPortland Timbers
Revolution10-1-2-543.2+0.42.9-0.01.0-0.03578911121415166.7+0.039.7-0.319.423EarthquakesNew England Revolution
Union20-2-1-241.8+0.72.8+0.00.9-0.03568911121416166.7+0.0510.1-0.515.423Philadelphia Union
Sporting KC20-2-1-229.5-0.51.7-0.10.7-0.0134579111418287.6-0.0312.8-0.511.416at NYCFCSporting Kansas City
FireLEarthquakes 1-200-0-3-425.6-5.81.4-0.50.3-0.2123568101419327.8-0.3821.3+4.414.394Chicago Fire

Direct Comments/Corrections to bgix on BigSoccer
Monte Carlo simulation: Does not indicate mathmatical Clinching or Elimination
Tie Breakers:
1. Wins
2. Goal Differential
3. Goals Scored

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 3/21
Orlando 0 Whitecaps 1
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
NYCFC+0.6
Red Bulls+0.9
Crew+0.8
+0.2
Earthquakes-1.3
-0.2
Toronto FC+0.9
+0.2
Whitecaps+11.0
+1.2
+2.1
-2.6
Rapids-1.2
-0.2
Galaxy-1.2
Orlando-7.8
-1.1
-2.9
+1.3
DC United+0.7
Impact+1.0
Sounders-1.3
-0.2
Dynamo-1.4
-0.2
Real Salt Lake-1.3
Timbers-1.4
Revolution+1.0
Union+0.9
+0.2
Sporting KC-1.2
Fire+0.9
+0.2
Union 0 FC Dallas 2
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
FC Dallas+6.5
+1.1
+6.0
-0.5
NYCFC+0.8
-0.5
Red Bulls+1.1
-0.2
Crew+1.0
-0.4
Earthquakes-0.7
-0.3
Toronto FC+1.0
-0.3
Whitecaps-0.8
-0.2
Rapids-0.7
-0.3
Orlando+0.9
-0.5
DC United+0.9
-0.4
Impact+1.1
-0.2
Sounders-0.7
-0.2
Dynamo-0.8
-0.2
Real Salt Lake-0.8
-0.2
Timbers-0.8
Revolution+1.0
-0.2
Union-8.7
-1.0
-1.6
+2.5
Sporting KC-0.7
-0.2
Fire+0.9
-0.3
Earthquakes 2 Fire 1
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
NYCFC+0.3
Red Bulls+0.4
Crew+0.4
Earthquakes+5.6
+0.7
+1.3
-1.1
Toronto FC+0.4
Whitecaps-0.6
Rapids-0.6
Galaxy-0.6
Orlando+0.5
DC United+0.4
Impact+0.5
Sounders-0.7
Dynamo-0.7
Real Salt Lake-0.7
Timbers-0.7
Revolution+0.5
Union+0.5
-0.2
Sporting KC-0.6
-0.3
Fire-3.7
-0.3
-0.2
+2.7
Red Bulls 2 DC United 0
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Red Bulls+6.6
+0.8
+1.3
-1.5
DC United-4.2
-0.7
-1.8
+0.5
Sporting KC 0 Timbers 0
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Timbers+0.3
-0.1
-0.3
Sporting KC-4.2
-0.4
-0.4
+1.7
Revolution 0 Impact 0
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Impact+0.3
-0.1
-0.4
Revolution-4.1
-0.4
-0.3
+2.0
Rapids 0 NYCFC 0
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
FC Dallas+0.3
+0.2
NYCFC+0.2
-0.2
Earthquakes+0.4
Whitecaps+0.4
Rapids-3.9
-0.5
-1.4
+0.6
Galaxy+0.4
Sounders+0.4
Dynamo+0.5
Real Salt Lake+0.5
Timbers+0.4
Sporting KC+0.5
Galaxy 1 Dynamo 1
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Galaxy-4.0
-0.6
-1.5
+0.4
Dynamo+0.8
+0.1
-0.1
-0.3
Week of 3/28
DC United vs GalaxyIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Galaxy61.065.575.0
4.85.46.7
3.74.88.2
2.71.90.9
DC United66.556.051.4
5.44.13.7
3.72.01.4
2.95.36.9
Revolution42.443.744.3
2.82.93.0
9.89.79.6
Union40.942.242.9
2.72.82.9
10.210.010.0
Real Salt Lake vs Toronto FCHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Toronto FC66.971.079.6
5.6*6.17.4
3.64.78.0
3.22.31.1
Dynamo52.153.554.0
3.83.94.0
Real Salt Lake56.045.240.7
4.23.12.7
3.31.71.2
3.46.28.0
Timbers45.146.547.1
3.13.23.3
Revolution vs EarthquakesHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Earthquakes68.472.580.9
5.86.37.7
5.56.911.2
1.81.20.5
Impact58.359.760.2
4.54.74.7
2.72.72.5
4.94.74.6
Revolution49.939.034.6
3.52.52.1
1.50.70.5
6.811.313.8
NYCFC vs Sporting KCHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
NYCFC87.581.077.5
9.07.87.3
13.18.36.6
0.51.11.7
Sporting KC25.729.639.8
1.41.72.6
0.40.61.4
15.012.37.4
Whitecaps vs TimbersHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Whitecaps73.963.657.7
6.55.14.4
7.44.33.3
1.02.23.1
Timbers40.546.558.1
2.63.24.4
1.21.73.3
7.25.63.0
Impact vs OrlandoHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Orlando58.063.974.1
4.45.16.5
2.22.95.3
4.73.51.8
Impact65.954.848.9
5.44.13.4
3.61.91.4
3.25.87.4
Dynamo vs RapidsHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Rapids61.867.476.9
5.1*5.87.1
4.45.69.3
2.82.01.0
Dynamo60.348.843.0
4.73.42.8
3.72.01.4
2.65.06.5
Fire vs UnionHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Union36.2*41.753.1
2.32.73.8
0.60.81.7
12.89.55.3
Fire31.422.017.8
1.81.20.9
0.50.20.1
16.024.128.9
FC Dallas vs SoundersHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
FC Dallas93.588.985.8
10.49.48.8
29.220.817.3
0.10.20.4
Sounders54.059.069.4
4.04.66.0
2.63.86.8
4.13.11.6
Crew vs Red BullsHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Red Bulls75.880.187.1
6.97.78.9
6.48.113.0
1.71.20.6
Crew78.869.764.7
7.46.05.3
7.54.43.2
1.32.63.5

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you bgix for adding this league.