Liga BBVA Title Chances

																	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will win title														UEFA CL			Chance will finish season at seed																						Liga Adelante
	3/1		P	G	W	-	D	-	L	GD	%	Change		%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	Avg.	Change	%	Change		RPI	Strength	Saturday

Barcelona			68	1	22	-	2	-	1	54	98.3	%	-0.0	100.0	%		98	2	0	0	0	0															1.0		No			1	.735	at Real Madrid	FC Barcelona
Atlético Madrid			56	1	18	-	2	-	5	25	1.3		-0.0	99.9		+0.0	1	60	38	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0									2.4	-0.01	No			2	.673		Atlético Madrid
Real Madrid			52	1	16	-	4	-	5	39	0.5		+0.0	99.8		+0.0	0	38	59	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						2.6	+0.01	No			3	.722	Barcelona	Real Madrid
Málaga			42	1	12	-	6	-	7	13	0.0			43.5		-0.3	0	0	2	42	25	15	8	5	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		5.2	-0.03	0.0	%		5	.605		Málaga

Real Sociedad			40	1	11	-	7	-	7	10	0.0			25.5		-0.2	0	0	1	25	23	18	13	9	6	3	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.0	-0.05	0.0			4	.566		Real Sociedad
Valencia			41	1	12	-	5	-	8	-1	0.0			15.4		-0.5	0	0	0	15	20	20	16	11	8	5	3	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0		6.6	-0.09	0.0			6	.485	Levante	Valencia
Real Betis			39	1	12	-	3	-	10	-1	0.0			9.0		+0.1	0	0	0	9	16	19	18	14	10	7	4	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.1	-0.04	0.0		-0.0	7	.485		Real Betis
Rayo Vallecano			37	1	12	-	1	-	12	-9	0.0			2.9			0	0	0	3	6	9	12	14	14	13	11	8	5	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	9.0	-0.07	0.0		-0.0	8	.430	at Deportivo	Rayo Vallecano
Getafe	W	Real Zaragoza 2-0	38		11	-	5	-	10	-7	No			2.0		+0.9		0	0	2	5	7	11	14	15	15	13	10	5	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	9.2	+0.79	0.0		-0.1	9	.445		Getafe
Levante			34	1	10	-	4	-	11	-8	No			0.9		-0.0		0	0	1	3	5	9	12	14	15	14	12	8	4	2	1	0	0	0	0	9.9	-0.07	0.1		-0.0	11	.430	at Valencia	Levante
Real Valladolid			33	1	9	-	6	-	10	1	No			0.6		-0.0		0	0	1	2	4	6	10	13	15	16	14	10	6	3	1	0	0	0	0	10.5	-0.09	0.1		-0.0	10	.500		Real Valladolid
Sevilla			32	1	9	-	5	-	11	-3	No			0.4		+0.0		0	0	0	1	3	5	8	11	13	15	16	13	8	4	2	1	0	0	0	11.0	-0.04	0.3		-0.1	12	.470		Sevilla
Espanyol			31	1	8	-	7	-	10	-4	No			0.1		-0.0		0	0	0	0	1	2	3	5	7	11	15	19	16	11	6	3	1	0	0	12.7	-0.02	1.6		-0.2	14	.460		Espanyol
Osasuna			28	1	7	-	7	-	11	-5	No			0.0				0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	3	5	8	13	17	17	15	11	6	1	0	14.4	+0.02	7.8		-0.7	17	.438	Athletic Bilbao	Osasuna
Granada			26	1	7	-	5	-	13	-12	No			0.0					0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	5	9	14	17	18	16	12	4	0	15.3	+0.02	16.3		-0.9	13	.387		Granada
Athletic Bilbao			26	1	7	-	5	-	13	-20	No			0.0					0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	6	11	15	18	19	18	7	1	16.0	+0.07	25.6		-1.7	15	.358	at Osasuna	Athletic Bilbao
Real Zaragoza	L	Getafe 0-2	25		7	-	4	-	15	-13	No			0.0		-0.0			0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	5	9	14	18	20	20	9	2	16.3	-0.54	30.9		+7.8	16	.383		Real Zaragoza

Celta			23	1	6	-	5	-	14	-8	No			0.0					0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	5	9	13	17	20	20	10	3	16.4	+0.09	32.4		-2.5	18	.417		Celta Vigo
Real Mallorca			18	1	4	-	6	-	15	-24	No			0.0						0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	6	14	41	34	18.9	+0.04	89.2		-1.0	19	.321		Real Mallorca
Deportivo			16	1	3	-	7	-	15	-27	No			0.0						0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	8	29	59	19.4	+0.02	95.6		-0.5	20	.328	Rayo Vallecano	Deportiva La Coruña

Week of 2/23
Barcelona 2 Sevilla 1
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Liga Adelante	100.0*	Average seed
Barcelona	+0.7		Yes
Atlético Madrid	-0.5
Real Madrid	-0.2
Sevilla			-0.2				-0.3

Atlético Madrid 1 Espanyol 0
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Liga Adelante	100.0*	Average seed
Barcelona	-0.3
Atlético Madrid	+0.3
Espanyol					+0.2		-0.3

Deportivo 1 Real Madrid 2
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Liga Adelante	100.0*	Average seed
Barcelona	-0.2
Real Madrid	+0.2		+0.3
Osasuna					-0.4
Granada					-0.2
Athletic Bilbao					-0.4
Real Zaragoza					-0.3
Celta					-0.4
Real Mallorca					-0.3
Deportivo			*No		+2.1		-0.1

Real Betis 3 Málaga 0
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Liga Adelante	100.0*	Average seed
Málaga			-10.6				-0.3
Real Sociedad			+3.2
Valencia			+2.3
Real Betis			+3.1				+0.8
Rayo Vallecano			+1.0
Levante			+0.6

Rayo Vallecano 1 Real Valladolid 2
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Liga Adelante	100.0*	Average seed
Málaga			+1.1
Real Sociedad			+0.4
Valencia			+0.3
Rayo Vallecano			-2.4				-0.8
Real Valladolid			+0.2		-0.4		+1.0

Levante 0 Osasuna 2
Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Liga Adelante	100.0*	Average seed
Málaga			+0.5
Real Sociedad			+0.6
Valencia			+0.4
Levante			-1.8				-0.9
Osasuna					-10.9		+0.9
Granada					+1.7
Athletic Bilbao					+2.2
Real Zaragoza					+2.2
Celta					+2.6
Real Mallorca					+1.2
Deportivo					+0.6

Real Zaragoza 2 Valencia 2
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Liga Adelante	100.0*	Average seed
Málaga			+0.8
Real Sociedad			+0.3
Valencia			-1.3				-0.1
Osasuna					-0.4
Granada					-0.2
Athletic Bilbao					-0.3
Real Zaragoza			No		+2.1		-0.2
Celta					-0.6
Real Mallorca					-0.3

Getafe 2 Real Zaragoza 0
Fri	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Liga Adelante	100.0*	Average seed
Getafe			+0.5				+0.6
Osasuna					-0.5
Granada					-0.8
Athletic Bilbao					-1.1
Real Zaragoza					+4.9		-0.4
Celta					-1.4
Real Mallorca					-0.5
Deportivo					-0.3

Real Mallorca 1 Getafe 3
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Liga Adelante	100.0*	Average seed
Getafe			+0.3		-0.4		+0.8
Osasuna					-1.4
Granada					-0.9
Athletic Bilbao					-1.5
Real Zaragoza					-1.2
Celta					-1.8
Real Mallorca			*No		+7.8		-0.4
Deportivo					-0.4

Celta 2 Granada 1
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Liga Adelante	100.0*	Average seed
Osasuna					+1.6
Granada					+4.1		-0.5
Athletic Bilbao					+1.5
Real Zaragoza					+1.2
Celta					-9.8		+0.5
Real Mallorca					+0.7
Deportivo					+0.4

Week of 3/2
Real Madrid vs BarcelonaIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Liga Adelante	100.0*	Average seed
Barcelona	97.598.799.5		100.0YesYes

Málaga vs Atlético MadridHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Liga Adelante	100.0*	Average seed
Atlético Madrid	0.61.02.3						2.52.42.3
Málaga			53.639.332.5		NoNo0.0		4.85.35.6
Real Sociedad			21.727.129.5				6.16.06.0
Valencia			12.816.518.3				6.76.66.5
Real Betis			7.09.811.2				7.27.17.1

Real Sociedad vs Real BetisHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Liga Adelante	100.0*	Average seed
Málaga			41.546.445.2
Real Sociedad			32.519.813.1		No0.00.0		5.66.46.9
Valencia			14.616.716.1
Real Betis	No*No0.0		5.39.718.8				7.67.06.1

Osasuna vs Athletic BilbaoHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Liga Adelante	100.0*	Average seed
Osasuna					3.610.416.7		13.814.815.4
Athletic Bilbao					31.523.212.0		16.415.915.0
Real Zaragoza					30.430.932.5

Valencia vs LevanteHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Liga Adelante	100.0*	Average seed
Málaga			41.645.246.1				5.35.25.2
Real Sociedad			24.326.627.0				6.16.06.0
Valencia			20.111.68.3		No0.00.0		6.16.97.4
Levante			0.30.82.3				10.49.88.8

Deportivo vs Rayo VallecanoHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Liga Adelante	100.0*	Average seed
Rayo Vallecano			1.42.25.1				9.69.18.1
Deportivo					92.896.898.0		19.219.519.6

Espanyol vs Real ValladolidHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Liga Adelante	100.0*	Average seed
Real Valladolid			0.30.51.4				11.010.49.4
Espanyol					0.51.83.2		12.013.013.6

Sevilla vs CeltaHomeDrawAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Liga Adelante	100.0*	Average seed
Sevilla			0.70.20.1		0.10.41.0		10.411.411.9
Osasuna					7.27.99.3
Granada					15.216.618.9		15.315.315.4
Athletic Bilbao					24.225.928.8		16.016.016.1
Real Zaragoza					29.531.234.0		16.316.316.4
Celta					38.431.118.8		16.716.315.5
Real Mallorca					88.589.390.7		18.918.919.0

Granada vs Real MallorcaHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Liga Adelante	100.0*	Average seed
Granada					10.219.828.7		14.915.716.2
Real Zaragoza					31.629.930.4		16.416.316.3
Real Mallorca			NoNo0.0		93.189.278.2		19.118.918.4

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

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