Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleUEFA CLChance will finish season at seedSegunda Division
9/2PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change1234567891011121314151617181920Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrengthFriday
BarcelonaWHuesca 8-293-0-01022.5%+8.471.5%+13.4221511976544332221111005.0+1.531.2%-1.72.501Barcelona
Real Madrid93-0-0821.5+0.570.5+1.8221511976544332221111005.1+0.181.3-0.14.499Real Madrid
Celta Vigo72-1-0312.2+0.356.5+2.0121110987665444332221116.7+0.213.0-0.31.485Celta Vigo
SevillaLBetis 0-141-1-125.4-2.337.7-5.7567776666655544443329.1-0.757.8+1.818.479Sevilla
Ath Bilbao411-1-015.4+0.237.2+1.7566666666555554443329.2+0.228.3-0.57.459Ath Bilbao
LevanteTValencia 2-241-1-124.6-0.634.7-0.5566666666655554444329.5-0.059.0-0.06.469Levante
EspanyolLAlaves 1-241-1-114.2-3.133.2-9.5456666666655555444339.7-1.289.7+3.410.465Espanyol
Getafe41-1-103.4+0.129.6+1.83455666666655555544310.2+0.2611.5-0.88.454Getafe
Real Sociedad41-1-103.2+0.128.4+1.73455566666665555554310.4+0.2512.1-0.817.454Real Sociedad
Valladolid20-2-1-13.0+0.127.6+1.83455556666665555554410.5+0.2812.7-1.09.472Valladolid
Atl. Madrid41-1-1-12.3+0.123.6+1.62344555556666666655511.2+0.2715.3-1.113.439Atl. Madrid
HuescaLBarcelona 2-841-1-1-52.0-3.221.8-13.82344455555666666666511.5-2.1316.7+7.93.432Rayo VallecanoHuesca
Girona41-1-1-21.9+0.120.9+1.52334455555666666666611.7+0.2617.5-1.112.429Girona
AlavesWEspanyol 2-141-1-1-21.9-0.320.9-0.22334455555666666666611.7+0.0117.6-0.35.429Alaves
Eibar31-0-2-21.7+0.118.9+1.22234445555566666677612.1+0.2219.6-1.014.435Eibar
BetisWSevilla 1-041-1-1-21.5-0.717.6-3.31233444555566666777712.3-0.5920.8+2.811.418Betis
ValenciaTLevante 2-220-2-1-21.3+0.116.0+1.71233344455566667778812.7+0.4123.0-2.716.435Valencia
Leganes10-1-2-40.8+0.012.1+1.011223334455566778891113.5+0.2428.8-1.515.429Leganes
Rayo Vallecano010-0-2-40.8+0.011.5+1.0112233344455666789101213.8+0.2430.7-1.520.422at HuescaRayo Vallecano
Villarreal10-1-2-20.6+0.09.8+0.8111223334445567789111414.2+0.2333.5-1.619.418Villarreal

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 8/31
Barcelona 8 Huesca 2
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Barcelona+4.1
+7.5
-1.2
+0.9
Real Madrid-0.5
Celta Vigo-0.3
Espanyol-0.2
Huesca-1.8
-6.2
+2.5
-0.9
Real Madrid 4 Leganes 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Barcelona-0.5
-0.2
Real Madrid+3.8
+7.3
-1.4
+0.9
Celta Vigo-0.2
-0.2
Sevilla-0.3
-0.2
Ath Bilbao-0.2
-0.2
Espanyol-0.3
-0.2
Real Sociedad-0.2
-0.2
Valladolid-0.2
-0.2
Atl. Madrid-0.2
-0.2
Girona-0.2
Alaves-0.2
Eibar-0.2
Betis-0.2
Valencia-0.2
Leganes-0.8
-4.4
+4.4
-0.8
Rayo Vallecano-0.3
Villarreal-0.3
Celta Vigo 2 Atl. Madrid 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Celta Vigo+2.4
+7.8
-2.9
+1.1
Atl. Madrid-2.1
-6.8
+2.6
-0.9
Betis 1 Sevilla 0
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Barcelona+0.2
Real Madrid+0.2
Sevilla-2.3
-7.0
+2.2
-0.9
Levante*+0.1
Huesca*+0.1
Betis+1.1
+6.2
-5.1
+1.1
Valencia+0.3
Leganes+0.3
Rayo Vallecano+0.3
Villarreal+0.3
Alaves 2 Espanyol 1
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Real Madrid+0.3
Sevilla+0.1
Espanyol-2.2
-7.0
+2.3
-0.9
Alaves+1.1
+6.2
-5.1
+1.1
Valencia+0.3
Leganes+0.3
Rayo Vallecano+0.3
Eibar 2 Real Sociedad 1
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Barcelona+0.2
+0.2
Real Madrid+0.2
+0.2
Celta Vigo+0.2
+0.2
Sevilla+0.2
Ath Bilbao+0.2
+0.2
Levante+0.2
+0.2
Espanyol+0.2
Getafe+0.2
+0.2
Real Sociedad-1.8
-6.6
+3.2
-1.0
Valladolid+0.3
Atl. Madrid+0.2
Huesca+0.2
+0.2
Girona+0.4
Alaves+0.3
Eibar+0.5
+4.1
-7.2
+1.0
Betis+0.3
Valencia+0.3
Leganes+0.3
Rayo Vallecano+0.4
Villarreal+0.3
Levante 2 Valencia 2
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Barcelona+0.2
Real Madrid+0.2
Celta Vigo+0.2
Sevilla+0.2
Levante-0.7
-2.1
+0.6
-0.3
Espanyol+0.2
Atl. Madrid+0.2
Huesca+0.2
Valencia-0.2
-1.0
+0.8
-0.2
Rayo Vallecano-0.1
Villarreal-0.1
Getafe 0 Valladolid 0
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Getafe-0.5
-1.6
+0.6
-0.2
Valladolid-0.3
-1.5
+0.8
-0.2
Villarreal 0 Girona 1
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Girona+0.6
+4.5
-6.8
+1.0
Villarreal-0.6
-4.2
+5.7
-0.9
Rayo Vallecano vs Ath BilbaoIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Barcelona22.722.622.2
71.771.771.3
Real Madrid21.821.721.2
70.770.770.3
Celta Vigo12.312.312.0
56.756.756.3
Sevilla5.45.45.3
37.937.937.5
7.97.77.7
Ath Bilbao3.74.77.2
30.535.144.2
11.38.85.4
10.19.48.2
Levante4.64.64.5
34.934.934.5
9.28.98.9
Espanyol4.34.34.1
33.333.432.9
9.99.69.6
Getafe3.43.43.3
29.729.729.3
11.711.411.3
Real Sociedad3.33.33.2
28.528.628.1
12.312.012.0
Valladolid3.03.02.9
27.827.827.4
13.012.712.6
Atl. Madrid23.723.723.4
15.515.215.1
Huesca21.922.021.6
17.016.616.6
Girona21.021.020.7
17.717.417.3
Alaves21.021.020.7
17.917.517.4
Eibar19.019.018.7
19.919.519.4
Betis17.817.817.5
21.120.720.6
Valencia16.116.115.8
23.322.822.7
Leganes12.212.212.0
29.128.628.5
Rayo Vallecano1.30.70.5
15.810.68.4
23.631.736.3
12.713.914.5
Villarreal9.89.89.6
33.933.433.3

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you MarkusPaminger for adding this league.