Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleUEFA CLChance will finish season at seedSegunda Division
SundayPGW-D-LGD%Change%Change1234567891011121314151617181920Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrength12/11
Real MadridTBarcelona 1-13410-4-02570.0%+2.397.5%+0.770187311000000000000001.5+0.070.0%1.647La CoruñaReal Madrid
BarcelonaTReal Madrid 1-1288-4-21913.6+0.175.6+3.11428201396421100000000003.4+0.160.02.611at OsasunaBarcelona
Atlético MadridTEspanyol 0-0257-4-3177.1-0.062.5+2.57202016129643211000000004.2+0.130.05.626at VillarrealAtlético Madrid
VillarrealTLeganés 0-0236-5-392.5-0.337.9-0.239121414121086432110000005.8-0.020.0+0.06.587Atlético MadridVillarreal
Real Sociedadat La Coruña2317-2-482.6+0.238.5+2.539131413121086532110000005.8+0.140.0+0.03.550ValenciaReal Sociedad
SevillaLGranada 1-2278-3-352.7-2.137.4-10.538121414121086532100000005.8-0.710.0+0.07.518at Celta de VigoSevilla
Athletic ClubWEibar 3-1237-2-530.6+0.417.7+9.213681011121110975321000007.6+1.480.1-0.29.507at Real BetisAthletic Club
EibarLAthletic Club 1-3216-3-520.2-0.48.9-6.301356810111111109642110009.0-1.070.3+0.211.496AlavésEibar
Las PalmasTAlavés 1-1205-5-430.2-0.07.3-0.40124689111111119743110009.3-0.100.4+0.18.501LeganésLas Palmas
MálagaTValencia 2-2205-5-420.2-0.06.0-0.401235781011121110853210009.7-0.130.5+0.114.494GranadaMálaga
Celta de VigoTReal Betis 3-3216-3-5-20.1-0.04.9-0.301134689111212119642100010.0-0.110.7+0.113.464SevillaCelta de Vigo
EspanyolTAtlético Madrid 0-0194-7-300.1-0.04.3+0.201124579111212119642110010.2+0.050.9+0.14.478Sporting GijónEspanyol
AlavésTLas Palmas 1-1174-5-5-30.0-0.01.1-0.000011235681113141296421012.2-0.063.6+0.410.443at EibarDeportivo Alavés
Real BetisTCelta de Vigo 3-3154-3-7-110.00.1+0.0000000112358111415131085214.5-0.0114.6+0.612.391Athletic ClubReal Betis
ValenciaTMálaga 2-2123-3-8-70.00.1-0.0000000011246912151513118415.3-0.1022.4+1.716.422at Real SociedadValencia
LeganésTVillarreal 0-0144-2-8-140.00.0-0.0000000001124691315161511616.1-0.2432.5+4.215.344at Las PalmasLeganés
Sporting GijónWOsasuna 3-1123-3-8-130.00.0+0.0000000001123591214161613816.3+0.8636.6-15.318.372at EspanyolSporting Gijón
La CoruñaReal Sociedad1012-4-7-100.00.0+0.00000000011235811141516141016.5-0.1039.4+2.619.385at Real MadridDeportivo La Coruña
GranadaWSevilla 2-181-5-8-170.00.000000000000112471116243318.3+0.4973.3-9.020.342at MálagaGranada
OsasunaLSporting Gijón 1-371-4-9-160.0-0.00.0-0.000000000000112471015243618.4-0.7474.5+14.517.347BarcelonaOsasuna

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 12/4
Granada 2 Sevilla 1
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Real Madrid+1.1
+0.2
Barcelona+0.4
+1.2
Atlético Madrid+0.2
+1.6
Villarreal+1.6
Real Sociedad+1.5
Sevilla-2.0
-9.5
-0.6
Athletic Club+0.6
Eibar+0.9
Las Palmas+0.5
Málaga+0.5
Real Betis+0.8
Valencia+1.1
Leganés+1.2
Sporting Gijón+1.4
La Coruña+1.4
Granada-7.7
+0.4
Osasuna+1.2
Barcelona 1 Real Madrid 1
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Real Madrid-1.0
-0.1
No
-0.0
Barcelona-0.8
-1.0
-0.1
Atlético Madrid+0.6
+0.3
Villarreal+0.3
+0.2
Real Sociedad+0.2
Sevilla+0.4
+0.2
Atlético Madrid 0 Espanyol 0
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Real Madrid+0.7
Barcelona+0.3
+0.5
Atlético Madrid-1.3
-3.4
-0.2
Villarreal+0.6
Real Sociedad+0.6
Sevilla+0.7
Athletic Club+0.3
Eibar+0.3
Las Palmas+0.2
Espanyol-0.3
-0.0
Leganés 0 Villarreal 0
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Real Madrid+0.5
Barcelona+0.6
Atlético Madrid+0.8
Villarreal-0.8
-4.6
-0.3
Real Sociedad+0.8
Sevilla+0.8
Athletic Club+0.3
Eibar+0.3
Las Palmas+0.2
Málaga+0.2
Celta de Vigo+0.2
Valencia*+0.1
LeganésNo
-0.8
+0.0
Sporting Gijón+0.2
La Coruña+0.1
Osasuna+0.2
Athletic Club 3 Eibar 1
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Athletic Club+4.0
+0.8
Eibar-0.3
-4.8
-0.7
Alavés 1 Las Palmas 1
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Sevilla+0.3
Las Palmas-1.2
-0.2
Alavés-0.2
-0.1
Valencia 2 Málaga 2
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Atlético Madrid+0.2
Villarreal+0.2
Málaga-1.1
-0.2
Valencia+0.4
-0.1
Leganés*-0.1
Sporting Gijón*-0.1
La Coruña-0.1
Real Betis 3 Celta de Vigo 3
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Sevilla+0.2
Celta de Vigo-1.0
-0.2
Real Betis+0.2
-0.1
Sporting Gijón 3 Osasuna 1
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Valencia+0.2
Leganés+0.3
Sporting Gijón-10.8
+0.6
La Coruña+0.4
Granada+0.2
OsasunaNo
+9.2
-0.5
La Coruña vs Real SociedadIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Real Sociedad1.41.93.5
29.634.544.9
6.56.15.3
Leganés34.4*32.531.5
16.2*16.116.1
Sporting Gijón38.5*36.635.6
16.416.316.3
La Coruña0.0No0.0
29.2*39.344.7
15.816.516.8
Week of 12/11
Real Madrid vs La CoruñaIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Real Madrid74.666.061.2
98.496.895.6
NoNo0.1
1.41.61.7
Barcelona11.715.317.2
75.5*75.775.9
3.53.43.4
Atlético Madrid5.98.09.2
62.462.662.8
Leganés31.732.734.6
16.116.116.2
Sporting Gijón35.836.838.6
16.316.316.4
La CoruñaNo0.00.1
43.738.328.3
16.816.415.7
Osasuna vs BarcelonaHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Real Madrid73.271.868.1
97.697.697.4
1.51.51.6
Barcelona8.911.116.3
66.971.880.2
4.03.73.2
Osasuna0.0NoNo
64.374.078.2
17.818.318.6
Villarreal vs Atlético MadridHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Atlético Madrid4.56.19.8
53.060.671.8
4.84.43.7
Villarreal4.12.21.4
48.636.629.6
5.05.86.3
Celta de Vigo vs SevillaHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Sevilla1.62.23.9
29.334.845.5
6.46.05.2
Celta de Vigo7.94.32.8
0.30.61.0
9.210.110.6
Real Sociedad vs ValenciaHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Real Sociedad3.62.01.5
45.334.930.0
5.36.06.4
Valencia26.9*22.514.9
15.715.414.6
Real Betis vs Athletic ClubHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Athletic Club0.30.50.9
12.215.222.5
8.47.97.0
Real Betis0.30.10.1
9.0*14.618.1
13.714.615.0
Eibar vs AlavésHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Eibar0.40.20.1
12.27.55.7
0.1*0.30.6
8.39.29.8
Alavés0.60.92.0
5.03.61.8
12.812.311.4
Las Palmas vs LeganésHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Las Palmas0.30.10.1
9.75.84.3
0.20.50.9
8.79.610.1
Leganés37.732.322.7
16.516.115.4
Sporting Gijón35.6*36.638.4
16.316.316.4
Málaga vs GranadaHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Málaga8.04.63.4
0.20.61.1
9.110.010.5
GranadaNoNo0.0
78.273.863.7
18.618.317.8
Espanyol vs Sporting GijónHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Espanyol6.03.42.4
0.41.01.7
9.610.511.0
Sporting GijónNoNo0.0
42.637.126.9
16.716.415.7
La Coruña38.3*39.341.2
16.516.516.6

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you MarkusPaminger for adding this league.