Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleUEFA CLChance will finish season at seedSegunda Division
MondayPGW-D-LGD%Change%Change1234567891011121314151617181920Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrength8/28
Real MadridWReal Sociedad 3-031-0-039.3%+4.331.7%+11.7987766655554444333228.3+2.167.2%-7.81.470Celta de VigoReal Madrid
LeganésWCelta de Vigo 1-031-0-019.3+4.431.7+11.7987766655554444333228.3+2.157.2-7.81.470Atlético MadridLeganés
BarcelonaWReal Betis 6-231-0-048.3+3.329.3+9.3877766655555444433328.7+1.798.1-6.91.464at Athletic ClubBarcelona
Sporting GijónWAthletic Club 2-131-0-017.7+2.728.0+8.0877666655555444443328.9+1.588.7-6.31.460at AlavésSporting Gijón
La CoruñaWEibar 2-131-0-017.7+2.728.0+8.0877666655555444443328.9+1.588.7-6.31.460at Real BetisDeportivo La Coruña
Las PalmasWValencia 4-231-0-027.7+2.728.0+8.0877666655555444443328.9+1.588.7-6.31.460GranadaLas Palmas
SevillaWEspanyol 6-431-0-027.3+2.326.8+6.8776666655555544444339.1+1.409.3-5.71.457at VillarrealSevilla
OsasunaTMálaga 1-110-1-004.2-0.818.1-1.94455555555555555555510.7-0.2215.1+0.18.452Real SociedadOsasuna
MálagaTOsasuna 1-110-1-004.2-0.818.1-1.94455555555555555555510.7-0.2215.2+0.28.452at EspanyolMálaga
Atlético MadridTAlavés 1-110-1-004.2-0.918.1-1.94455555555555555555510.7-0.2315.2+0.28.452at LeganésAtlético Madrid
VillarrealTGranada 1-110-1-004.1-0.918.1-1.94455555555555555555510.7-0.2315.2+0.28.452SevillaVillarreal
AlavésTAtlético Madrid 1-110-1-004.1-0.918.1-1.94555555555555555555510.7-0.2315.2+0.28.452Sporting GijónDeportivo Alavés
GranadaTVillarreal 1-110-1-004.1-0.918.1-1.94455555555555555555510.7-0.2315.2+0.28.452at Las PalmasGranada
EspanyolLSevilla 4-600-0-1-22.9-2.113.9-6.13344445555555666667711.7-1.2019.7+4.78.447MálagaEspanyol
Athletic ClubLSporting Gijón 1-200-0-1-12.7-2.313.2-6.83344444555555666667711.9-1.3820.6+5.68.444BarcelonaAthletic Club
EibarLLa Coruña 1-200-0-1-12.7-2.313.2-6.83344444555555666667711.9-1.3820.7+5.78.444ValenciaEibar
ValenciaLLas Palmas 2-400-0-1-22.7-2.313.2-6.83344444555555666667711.9-1.3820.6+5.68.444at EibarValencia
Real BetisLBarcelona 2-600-0-1-42.5-2.512.4-7.62334444455555666677812.1-1.6021.8+6.88.440La CoruñaReal Betis
Celta de VigoLLeganés 0-100-0-1-12.1-2.911.0-9.02333444445555666778912.5-1.9623.8+8.88.433at Real MadridCelta de Vigo
Real SociedadLReal Madrid 0-300-0-1-32.1-2.911.0-9.02333444445555666778912.5-1.9723.9+8.98.433at OsasunaReal Sociedad

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 8/22
Barcelona 6 Real Betis 2
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Barcelona+2.0
+5.5
-4.4
+1.1
Espanyol-0.1
Eibar-0.1
Real Betis-1.6
-4.6
+4.0
-0.9
Real Sociedad-0.1
Real Sociedad 0 Real Madrid 3
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Real Madrid+2.0
+5.5
-4.4
+1.1
Leganés-0.1
Málaga-0.1
Alavés-0.1
Espanyol-0.1
Real Betis-0.1
Real Sociedad-1.6
-4.6
+4.0
-0.9
La Coruña 2 Eibar 1
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Real Madrid-0.1
La Coruña+2.0
+5.5
-4.4
+1.1
Atlético Madrid-0.1
Eibar-1.6
-4.6
+4.0
-0.9
Valencia 2 Las Palmas 4
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Real Madrid-0.1
Barcelona-0.1
La Coruña-0.1
Las Palmas+2.0
+5.5
-4.4
+1.1
Valencia-1.6
-4.6
+4.0
-0.9
Sporting Gijón 2 Athletic Club 1
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Sporting Gijón+2.0
+5.5
-4.4
+1.1
Athletic Club-1.6
-4.6
+4.0
-0.9
Eibar-0.1
Celta de Vigo 0 Leganés 1
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Leganés+1.9
+5.5
-4.4
+1.1
Sevilla-0.1
Osasuna-0.1
Granada-0.1
Celta de Vigo-1.6
-4.6
+4.0
-0.9
Sevilla 6 Espanyol 4
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Sevilla+1.9
+5.5
-4.4
+1.1
Villarreal-0.1
Espanyol-1.6
-4.6
+4.0
-0.9
Real Betis-0.1
Atlético Madrid 1 Alavés 1
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Leganés+0.2
Barcelona+0.2
Sevilla+0.2
Málaga+0.2
Atlético Madrid-0.6
-1.4
+0.7
-0.2
Villarreal+0.2
Alavés-0.6
-1.4
+0.7
-0.2
Granada+0.2
Athletic Club+0.2
Eibar+0.2
Valencia+0.2
Real Sociedad+0.2
Málaga 1 Osasuna 1
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Real Madrid+0.2
Barcelona+0.2
Las Palmas+0.2
Osasuna-0.6
-1.4
+0.7
-0.2
Málaga-0.6
-1.4
+0.7
-0.2
Alavés+0.2
Espanyol+0.2
Athletic Club+0.2
Eibar+0.2
Valencia+0.2
Real Betis+0.2
Celta de Vigo+0.2
Granada 1 Villarreal 1
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Leganés+0.2
Barcelona+0.2
La Coruña+0.2
Las Palmas+0.2
Málaga+0.2
Villarreal-0.6
-1.4
+0.6
-0.2
Granada-0.5
-1.4
+0.7
-0.2
Espanyol+0.2
Eibar+0.2
Real Betis+0.2
Celta de Vigo+0.2
Real Sociedad+0.2
Leganés vs Atlético MadridIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Real Madrid9.29.59.4
31.532.0*31.8
Leganés12.48.46.7
38.529.825.6
4.77.69.7
7.38.69.3
La Coruña7.67.87.8
27.828.2*28.0
8.7*8.78.8
Atlético Madrid2.73.76.0
13.816.923.6
18.915.710.7
11.610.99.6
Real Madrid vs Celta de VigoHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Real Madrid12.28.36.7
38.229.725.6
4.77.69.7
7.48.69.3
Leganés9.19.49.5
31.431.931.9
7.1*7.27.3
Barcelona8.18.48.4
29.129.529.4
8.0*8.18.3
Las Palmas7.67.97.9
27.728.228.1
8.6*8.78.8
Sevilla7.17.47.4
26.627.027.0
9.2*9.29.4
Athletic Club2.62.72.7
13.113.313.3
20.520.620.9
Celta de Vigo1.31.93.2
8.010.215.1
28.724.617.7
13.312.711.4
Las Palmas vs GranadaHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Las Palmas10.46.95.5
34.526.322.3
5.89.211.5
7.99.19.9
Granada2.73.75.9
13.716.823.5
19.015.810.7
11.710.99.6
Alavés vs Sporting GijónHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Leganés9.49.49.2
*31.732.031.5
Sporting Gijón5.56.910.4
22.326.334.5
11.59.15.8
9.99.17.9
Alavés5.93.72.7
23.516.813.7
10.715.819.0
9.610.911.7
Athletic Club vs BarcelonaHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Real Madrid9.59.59.2
31.831.931.5
7.3*7.17.1
Barcelona5.97.411.0
23.427.535.8
10.98.65.3
9.78.97.7
La Coruña7.87.87.6
28.128.227.8
8.88.78.7
Athletic Club4.02.41.7
17.712.29.7
15.121.425.2
10.812.112.8
Villarreal vs SevillaHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Sevilla5.16.59.8
21.325.233.3
12.29.76.1
10.09.38.0
Villarreal5.93.72.7
23.516.813.7
10.715.819.1
9.610.911.7
Real Betis vs La CoruñaHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Real Madrid9.49.59.2
31.832.031.5
7.2*7.17.1
Leganés9.49.59.2
31.831.931.5
7.3*7.27.1
La Coruña5.56.910.3
22.326.234.3
11.69.25.8
9.99.27.9
Real Betis3.62.21.6
16.611.49.0
16.122.526.5
11.012.313.0
Espanyol vs MálagaHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Málaga2.83.75.8
13.816.823.2
19.315.910.7
11.711.09.7
Espanyol4.22.51.9
18.312.710.2
14.320.524.4
10.611.912.6
Osasuna vs Real SociedadHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Osasuna5.83.62.8
23.116.713.7
10.715.919.4
9.711.011.7
Real Sociedad1.31.83.1
8.010.114.9
29.024.717.8
13.412.711.4
Eibar vs ValenciaHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Eibar3.92.31.8
17.412.09.7
15.121.525.6
10.812.112.8
Valencia1.72.33.9
9.712.017.3
25.621.515.1
12.812.110.8

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you MarkusPaminger for adding this league.