Sporting Kansas City Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 3.3 to 26.3%
11 points   2-5-4

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 5/18100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Sporting KC 1 Vancouver 1 -5.3
-0.3
+0.3
-0.3
RSL 3 Toronto FC 0 -1.4
-0.1
RSL 2 Atlanta 1 -1.2
-0.1
San Jose 4 Chicago 1 -1.0
-0.1
Orlando 0 LA Galaxy 1 -0.9
-0.1
-0.1
Minnesota 1 Columbus 0 -0.9
-0.0
-0.0
LA Galaxy 0 Colorado 1 +0.7
+0.1
+0.5
Houston 2 DC United 1 -0.3
-0.1
FC Dallas 1 LAFC 1 +0.2
+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/25100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Sporting KC vs LA Galaxy+6.2-4.3-8.4
+0.2-0.2-0.3
-1.0+0.5+1.5
+0.4-0.3-0.5
Sporting KC vs Seattle+7.1-3.3-7.2
+0.3-0.1-0.3
-1.1+0.3+1.3
+0.4-0.2-0.5
Montreal vs RSL+0.9+0.1-1.4
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Philadelphia vs Portland+0.4-0.2-1.7
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Toronto FC vs San Jose+0.5*-0.0-1.4
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Atlanta vs Minnesota+0.5-0.1-1.2
+0.0*-0.0-0.1
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Vancouver vs Toronto FC-0.8+0.4+0.8
+0.0-0.0-0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Minnesota vs Houston-0.7+0.4+0.8
Vancouver vs FC Dallas+0.2+0.6-0.9
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Philadelphia vs Colorado+0.0*-0.0-0.2
-0.2+0.1+0.6
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Colorado vs Columbus-0.1+0.0+0.1
+0.3-0.2-0.4
New England vs DC United+0.4-0.1-0.3
Cincinnati vs NY Red Bulls+0.2-0.0-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Sporting KC finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield123456789101112SpoonCount
8023-0-0In99.5%1000No15,618
73-75InYes100No7*
7220-1-2In86.78713No15*
7119-3-1In76.37624No38*
7019-2-2In62.262371No98*
6918-4-1In55.258420No203*
6818-3-2In43.946521No471*
6718-2-3In38.342562No1,055*
6617-4-2In29.0336340No2,226*
6517-3-3In21.1266770No4,231*
6417-2-4In15.01969110No8,324*
6316-4-3In9.21470151No15,287*
6216-3-4In5.09672220No28,143*
6115-5-3In2.666130400No48,912*
6015-4-4In1.235337700No83,183*
5915-3-5In0.4243431210No137,663*
5814-5-4In0.11324718200No219,644*
5714-4-5In0.00224626400No342,145*
5614-3-6100.0%0.001442349100No516,459*
5513-5-5100.00.008344015200No758,888*
5413-4-6100.00.0042542245000No1,087,813*
5312-6-5100.00.00216393210100No1,516,672*
5212-5-699.8No019323818300No2,054,752*
5112-4-799.3No0042239277100No2,713,856*
5011-6-697.8No0213353514200No3,484,250*
4911-5-794.3No0062639235000No4,358,972*
4811-4-887.2No00316363211100No5,314,578*
4710-6-775.7No0018293820400No6,307,302*
4610-5-860.3No00041938309100No7,286,101*
4510-4-943.3No00111313717300No8,201,816*
449-6-827.6No0005223926700No8,982,953*
439-5-915.4No0021335351310No9,582,378*
428-7-87.5No001727402240No9,949,159*
418-6-93.2No00318393180No10,052,065*
408-5-101.1No0011134391400.0%9,874,437*
397-7-90.4No000626442310.09,439,138*
387-6-100.1No00218443330.08,771,882*
377-5-110.0No00111404350.17,908,492*
366-7-100.0No006335290.36,936,938*
356-6-110.0No0032558141.05,900,425*
346-5-120.0No0011760212.54,874,107*
335-7-11OutNo011159295.53,898,297*
325-6-12OutNo007563710.53,017,007*
315-5-13OutNo004504617.62,261,304*
304-7-12OutNo02435526.71,635,751*
294-6-13OutNo01366337.11,142,898*
284-5-14OutNo00297148.2771,966*
273-7-13OutNo0227859.2500,304*
263-6-14OutNo0178369.1310,931*
253-5-15OutNo0128877.4186,090*
242-7-14OutNo089284.5105,993*
232-6-15OutNo069489.557,687*
222-5-16OutNo49693.529,441*
212-4-17OutNo29895.914,511*
201-6-16OutNo19998.16,495*
191-5-17OutNo19998.92,852*
181-4-18OutNo19999.11,163*
11-17OutNo100Yes16,278*
Total:26.3%0.0%001357101417191872.1%150,739,664

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Sporting KC finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeLAFCSeattleHoustonLA GalaxyMinnesotaRSLFC DallasPortlandSan JoseVancouverColorado
67-8012.7%Yes
6617-4-211.910000
6517-3-312.01000000
6417-2-412.91000000000
6316-4-312.6990000000000
6216-3-412.49800010000000
6115-5-312.49600011100000
6015-4-412.29301121110000
5915-3-512.08801232210000
5814-5-411.58003353321000
5714-4-510.96904585431100
13-7-311.07004585431100
5614-3-610.256067117541110
13-6-410.257067117541110
5513-5-59.142089149752110
14-2-79.143089139752110
12-8-39.243089139752110
5413-4-67.82909111610862210
12-7-48.02909111610862210
14-1-88.13009111610862210
5312-6-56.517010121711972210
13-3-76.518010121711972210
11-9-36.718010121712972210
5212-5-65.19010121611873210
13-2-85.210010121611973210
11-8-45.29010121611873210
5112-4-73.7408101410762210
11-7-53.7408101410762210
13-1-93.9508111510862210
5011-6-62.42068117652110
12-3-82.52068118652110
10-9-42.62068118652210
4911-5-71.5004585431110
10-8-51.5004685431110
12-2-91.6104685431110
4811-4-80.8002353221100
10-7-60.8002343221100
9-10-40.9002353221100
4710-6-70.4001221110000
11-3-90.4001231110000
4610-5-80.1000111000000
9-8-60.1000111000000
4510-4-90.0000000000000
449-6-80.0000000000000
439-5-90.000000000000
429-4-100.000000000000
418-6-90.000000000
408-5-100.00000000
398-4-11No00
11-38No
Total:0.6%1.50.00.91.21.71.10.80.70.30.20.10.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 5/18100.0*Lottery seed
Sporting KC 1 Vancouver 1 +0.6
RSL 3 Toronto FC 0 +0.1
RSL 2 Atlanta 1 +0.1
San Jose 4 Chicago 1 +0.1
Minnesota 1 Columbus 0 +0.0
Houston 2 DC United 1 +0.0
FC Dallas 1 LAFC 1 -0.0
NY Red Bulls 2 Vancouver 2 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/25100.0*Lottery seed
Sporting KC vs LA Galaxy-0.8+0.5+1.1
Sporting KC vs Seattle-0.9+0.4+1.0
Philadelphia vs Portland-0.0+0.0+0.1
Toronto FC vs San Jose-0.0-0.0+0.1
Vancouver vs Toronto FC+0.1-0.0-0.1
Atlanta vs Minnesota-0.0-0.0+0.1
Montreal vs RSL-0.0-0.0+0.1
Philadelphia vs Colorado-0.0+0.0+0.1
Vancouver vs FC Dallas+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324
8023-0-01000
73-75100
7220-1-28713
7119-3-17624
7019-2-262371
6918-4-1552420
6818-3-2442521
6718-2-3383562
6617-4-229462040
6517-3-321566070
6417-2-4154691110
6316-4-394682151
6216-3-45464322020
6115-5-333555300400
6015-4-412458370700
5915-3-501321042112010
5814-5-4012112443180200
5714-4-50011114162604000
5614-3-6005933933190100
5513-5-5002622123731502000
5413-4-60004121336623050000
5312-6-500025112811312100100
5212-5-60011717153451703000
5112-4-700004814291026170100
5011-6-60022111915314140200
4911-5-7000069172992215000
4811-4-800003313211629311200
4710-6-70001181018299195000
4610-5-8000004415221627112000
4510-4-9000011101220292161000
449-6-800000541824291541000
439-5-900002112142926123000
428-7-8000107622312392000
418-6-9000032112630196100
408-5-10000104163029154000
397-7-9000001721322610200
387-6-100000312273319500
377-5-110000151833301120
366-7-1000002927362150
356-6-1100004183631101
346-5-1200001103038183
335-7-1100042241276
325-6-12000214383611
315-5-130017314318
304-7-12004234627
294-6-13002164637
284-5-14001104248
273-7-130053559
263-6-14032869
253-5-15012177
242-7-14011584
232-6-1501089
222-5-160693
212-4-170496
201-6-160298
191-5-17199
181-4-18199
11-17100
Total:000011112243557889999752