Sporting Kansas City Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.7 to 82.2%
6 points   2-0-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 3/7100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Sporting KC 4 Houston 0 +5.9
+0.8
+1.9
-0.6
+0.5
Colorado 2 Orlando 1 -0.5
-0.1
-0.1
-0.0
RSL 1 NY Red Bulls 1 +0.4
+0.1
+0.1
+0.0
Seattle 1 Columbus 1 +0.3
+0.1
+0.0
FC Dallas 2 Montreal 2 +0.3
+0.1
+0.1
+0.0
LAFC 3 Philadelphia 3 +0.3
+0.1
+0.2
+0.0
LA Galaxy 0 Vancouver 1 -0.1
Portland 1 Nashville 0 -0.1
San Jose 2 Minnesota 5 -0.2
Atlanta 2 Cincinnati 1 -0.1
New England 1 Chicago 1 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/14100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Atlanta vs Sporting KC-3.1+0.1+6.4
-0.6*-0.0+1.2
-2.9-0.2+6.4
+0.1-0.0-0.2
-0.3-0.0+0.7
New England vs Portland+0.3*+0.0-0.7
+0.0*+0.0-0.1
*+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Columbus vs RSL+0.3*-0.0-0.7
+0.0*+0.0-0.1
-0.1+0.2+0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Miami vs LA Galaxy+0.3*+0.0-0.7
+0.0*+0.0-0.1
+0.0*+0.0-0.1
Philadelphia vs San Jose+0.3*+0.0-0.6
+0.0*+0.0-0.1
-0.0+0.1*+0.0
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Toronto FC vs Nashville+0.2*+0.0-0.6
+0.0*-0.0-0.1
-0.1+0.2+0.2
+0.0-0.0-0.1
NYCFC vs FC Dallas+0.3+0.1-0.5
+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Minnesota vs NY Red Bulls-0.2+0.2+0.4
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2+0.4+0.2
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Vancouver vs Colorado-0.2+0.3+0.1
*-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.2+0.1-0.5
Houston vs Seattle-0.1+0.3-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.2
Cincinnati vs DC United+0.0+0.1-0.1
Orlando vs Chicago*+0.0+0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Sporting KC finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield12345678910111213SpoonCount
78-102In99.9%100No27,649*
7722-5-5In99.81000No13,631*
7622-4-6In99.81000No22,533*
7521-6-5In99.71000No35,427*
7421-5-6In99.61000No54,617*
7320-7-5In99.41000No83,016*
7220-6-6In99.110000No123,040*
7120-5-7In98.69910No178,912*
7019-7-6In97.79910No254,179*
6919-6-7In96.69820No356,458*
6819-5-8In94.79730No484,650*
6718-7-7In92.19640No649,602*
6618-6-8In88.49460No851,450*
6517-8-7In83.391800No1,096,145*
6417-7-8In76.8881200No1,379,814*
6317-6-9In68.48316100No1,706,068*
6216-8-8In58.57721200No2,063,990*
6116-7-9In47.369273000No2,455,889*
6016-6-10In35.561336000No2,860,219*
5915-8-9In24.3513991000No3,269,284*
5815-7-10In14.84043152000No3,667,538*
5714-9-9In7.73044214000No4,032,952*
5614-8-10100.0%3.320422881000No4,349,187*
5514-7-11100.01.1133634143000No4,599,628*
5413-9-10100.00.3727372261000No4,769,860*
5313-8-11100.00.03183429123000No4,854,780*
5213-7-1299.90.011027332071000No4,845,669*
5112-9-1199.50.0051832281330000No4,745,921*
5012-8-1298.2No021025322282000No4,551,984*
4912-7-1394.4No0141629291651000No4,278,912*
4811-9-1285.9No0018213125113000No3,947,456*
4711-8-1371.3No00031226302071000No3,569,419*
4611-7-1451.9No0015172928154100No3,157,890*
4510-9-1332.1No0002822312410200No2,741,225*
4410-8-1416.5No000313273119610No2,328,557*
4310-7-157.0No00161831281330No1,936,387*
429-9-142.4No000210253322710.0%1,581,781*
419-8-150.7No00151732311420.01,260,619*
408-10-140.2No0002925362350.1983,672*
398-9-150.0No0014173532100.4750,630*
388-8-160.0No002103039181.7560,863*
377-10-150.0No00152343274.9409,325*
367-9-16OutNo00316433911.0291,705*
357-8-17OutNo00110394919.8203,425*
346-10-16OutNo006336131.3137,053*
336-9-17OutNo003277043.791,322*
326-8-18OutNo02207856.358,957*
316-7-19OutNo01158467.236,948*
305-9-18OutNo0118976.722,480*
295-8-19OutNo079384.113,376*
285-7-20OutNo059589.68,032*
274-9-19OutNo39792.94,323*
264-8-20OutNo029895.42,352*
254-7-21OutNo19996.51,287*
243-9-20OutNo19998.7614*
233-8-21OutNo19998.7304*
223-7-22OutNo100Yes131*
212-9-21OutNo29898.257*
6-20OutNo100Yes8,354*
Total:82.2%13.0%211613119765433210.3%86,771,548

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Sporting KC finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeMinnesotaColoradoFC DallasSeattleLAFCVancouverRSLPortlandLA GalaxySan JoseHoustonNashville
66-10212.5%Yes
6517-8-712.5100000000
6417-7-812.510000000000000
6317-6-912.510000000000000
16-9-712.5100000000000000
6216-8-812.6100000000000000
17-5-1012.5100000000000000
6116-7-912.5100000000000000
15-10-712.5100000000000000
6016-6-1012.5100000000000000
15-9-812.5100000000000000
5915-8-912.599000000000000
16-5-1112.499000000000000
5815-7-1012.498000000000000
14-10-812.498000000000000
16-4-1212.398000000000000
5714-9-912.395111110000000
15-6-1112.395011000000000
5614-8-1012.190111111111100
15-5-1212.191111111111000
13-11-812.190111111111100
5514-7-1111.883222222111111
13-10-911.781222222211111
15-4-1311.883222222111111
5413-9-1011.070333333222211
14-6-1211.272333332222211
12-12-811.070333333222211
5313-8-1110.155454444433222
14-5-1310.358444443332222
12-11-910.053555444433222
5213-7-128.840666555443333
12-10-108.537666665543333
14-4-148.839666555543333
5112-9-116.922666665554433
13-6-137.225666665554433
11-12-96.822676665554433
5012-8-125.112666665554333
11-11-105.011666665554333
4912-7-133.45455554443333
11-10-113.24455444443322
4811-9-121.81333333222222
4711-8-130.80112111111111
4611-7-140.30111111110000
4510-9-130.10000000000000
4410-8-140.00000000000000
4310-7-150.0000000000000
429-9-140.0000000000000
419-8-15No0000000000
409-7-16No00
6-39No
Total:7.5%49.42.02.12.12.01.91.71.71.61.21.11.01.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 3/7100.0*Lottery seed
Sporting KC 4 Houston 0 -1.1
LAFC 3 Philadelphia 3 -0.1
Colorado 2 Orlando 1 +0.1
FC Dallas 2 Montreal 2 -0.1
RSL 1 NY Red Bulls 1 -0.1
Seattle 1 Columbus 1 -0.1
San Jose 2 Minnesota 5 +0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/14100.0*Lottery seed
Atlanta vs Sporting KC+0.7-0.0-1.5
Minnesota vs NY Red Bulls+0.1-0.1-0.1
NYCFC vs FC Dallas-0.1-0.0+0.1
Columbus vs RSL-0.0-0.0+0.1
New England vs Portland-0.0-0.0+0.1
Miami vs LA Galaxy-0.0-0.0+0.1
Houston vs Seattle-0.0-0.0+0.1
Vancouver vs Colorado+0.0-0.1+0.0
Philadelphia vs San Jose-0.0-0.0+0.1
Toronto FC vs Nashville-0.0-0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526
85-102100
8425-3-41000
8324-5-3100
8224-4-41000
8123-6-31000
8023-5-41000
7923-4-51000
7822-6-41000
7722-5-510000
7622-4-610000
7521-6-510000
7421-5-610000
7320-7-59900
7220-6-699000
7120-5-799110
7019-7-698110
6919-6-797220
6819-5-8953300
6718-7-7924400
6618-6-8886600
6517-8-78388000
6417-7-8771112000
6317-6-968141601000
6216-8-859182102000
6116-7-9472227130000
6016-6-10362532260000
5915-8-924263549010000
5815-7-10152535814020000
5714-9-9822321220140000
5614-8-1031724172638010000
5514-7-11111152028614030000
5413-9-100772025122026010000
5313-8-1103315171724512030000
5213-7-120111081923111917010000
5112-9-1100053161517235130300000
5012-8-12002096192012202802000
4912-7-1300104214111822715151000
4811-9-1200010741716152141130000
4711-8-130000031117191911188200000
4611-7-1400010521511182117820000
4510-9-130000208318152318931000
4410-8-1400000311271724201141000
4310-7-15000106281825221351000
429-9-14000020281725231461000
419-8-150010028172524156100
408-10-140000002817262515510
398-9-1500000281927251440
388-8-1600000310213024102
377-10-1500014132632205
367-9-160001619333011
357-8-17000211293820
346-10-160015214231
336-9-17002144044
326-8-180183556
316-7-190042867
305-9-18022177
295-8-190011584
285-7-20001090
274-9-190793
264-8-200495
254-7-21397
243-9-20199
233-8-210199
223-7-22100
212-9-21298
6-20100
Total:1381068564534342332221111110