Sporting Kansas City Playoff Chances

Lost to LA Galaxy 2-3, playoff odds down 14.2 to 61.7%
6 points   1-3-1

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 3/9100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Orlando 2 Minnesota 3 -0.6
-0.1
-0.1
-0.1
NYCFC 1 Portland 2 -0.6
-0.1
-0.1
-0.1
Austin 2 St Louis 2 +0.4
NY Red Bulls 2 Dallas 1 +0.3
+0.0
LAFC 0 Sporting KC 0 +0.3
-0.1
-0.2
+0.0
RSL 1 Colorado 2 -0.3
+0.1
San Jose 0 Vancouver 2 -0.1
-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Philadelphia vs Seattle+0.4-0.0-1.1
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Week of 3/16100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Sporting KC 2 San Jose 1 +5.9
+0.6
+0.5
-0.9
+0.6
Austin 2 Philadelphia 2 +0.4
+0.0
Seattle 1 Colorado 1 +0.4
Houston 1 Portland 0 -0.4
Dallas 1 Vancouver 3 +0.3
LA Galaxy 3 St Louis 3 +0.2
+0.1
Minnesota 2 LAFC 0 +0.1
New England 1 Cincinnati 2 -0.1
-0.1
NYCFC 2 Toronto 1 +0.1
+0.1
Chicago 4 Montreal 3 +0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Sporting KC finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield123456789101112131415SpoonCount
75-93In100.0%100No28,272*
7421-5-3In99.31000No1,647*
7321-4-4In99.31000No3,238*
7221-3-5In98.61000No5,963*
7120-5-4In97.51000No10,793*
7020-4-5In96.5991No19,297*
6919-6-4In94.39910No33,551*
6819-5-5In91.59820No56,547*
6719-4-6In87.79730No92,945*
6618-6-5In82.29640No149,436*
6518-5-6In75.29370No235,898*
6418-4-7In66.3901000No361,764*
6317-6-6In55.88614100No542,020*
6217-5-7In44.18019100No794,153*
6116-7-6In32.37325200No1,141,684*
6016-6-7In21.464315000No1,598,897*
5916-5-8In12.554378100No2,192,319*
5815-7-7In6.24342132000No2,942,545*
5715-6-8In2.53244204000No3,860,888*
5615-5-9In0.822422771000No4,957,927*
5514-7-8In0.2143734132000No6,231,634*
5414-6-9In0.0728372161000No7,658,533*
5313-8-8In0.03193529122000No9,216,473*
5213-7-9100.0%0.011028342061000No10,860,811*
5113-6-10100.00.005183229133000No12,514,551*
5012-8-9100.0No02925332281000No14,118,469*
4912-7-10100.0No004152930165100No15,583,217*
4812-6-1199.7No0017203226113000No16,832,162*
4711-8-1098.6No00021025322181000No17,788,014*
4611-7-1194.7No0004152930175100No18,396,525*
4511-6-1285.3No00016203227123000No18,593,372*
4410-8-1168.9No0002102532228100No18,398,549*
4310-7-1248.1No000415293116400No17,787,691*
4210-6-1328.3No0001721332710200.0%16,821,829*
419-8-1213.8No000211273320500.015,546,106*
409-7-135.7No000151834291120.014,039,188*
399-6-142.0No00021028362040.012,391,507*
388-8-130.6No001519373080.310,669,795*
378-7-140.1No0002123238151.08,982,203*
368-6-150.0No000162543243.17,374,258*
357-8-140.0No00031844357.15,902,389*
347-7-150.0No00111414713.64,611,217*
336-9-140.0No0007355822.73,505,940*
326-8-15OutNo004286833.62,595,526*
316-7-16OutNo002227645.31,872,219*
306-6-17OutNo01168356.71,314,183*
295-8-16OutNo00118867.0895,129*
285-7-17OutNo0089275.6592,200*
275-6-18OutNo059582.6379,205*
264-8-17OutNo039787.9237,147*
254-7-18OutNo029891.8141,249*
244-6-19OutNo019994.682,798*
233-8-18OutNo19996.646,264*
223-7-19OutNo010097.824,890*
213-6-20OutNo010098.712,815*
202-8-19OutNo010099.06,454*
192-7-20OutNo010099.43,136*
6-18OutNo100100.029,080*
Total:61.7%0.9%356778899998762.1%311,086,512

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Sporting KC finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeMinnesotaLA GalaxyVancouverHoustonRSLSt LouisLAFCPortlandColoradoDallasSeattleAustinSan Jose
65-9312.5%Yes
6418-4-712.510000000
6317-6-612.5100000000000000
6217-5-712.51000000000000000
6116-7-612.51000000000000000
6016-6-712.51000000000000000
15-9-512.51000000000000000
5916-5-812.5990000000000000
15-8-612.5990000000000000
5815-7-712.4980000000000000
16-4-912.4980000000000000
5715-6-812.3960000000000000
14-9-612.4960000000000000
16-3-1012.3960000000000000
5615-5-912.2921111111100000
14-8-712.1911111111100000
5514-7-811.7842222222211000
15-4-1011.8852222211110000
13-10-611.7842222212111000
5414-6-911.1723333333211111
13-9-711.0713333333311111
15-3-1111.1743333323211111
5313-8-89.9564554444422111
14-5-1010.1584544444421111
12-11-610.1574544444421111
5213-7-98.5386666655532221
14-4-118.8415665555532211
12-10-78.5386666655532222
5113-6-106.7236776666632222
12-9-86.5226776666633222
14-3-126.9256776666633222
5012-8-94.5106666655532222
13-5-114.9126666655533222
11-11-74.7116666656532222
4912-7-102.844554444422221
13-4-123.154555544422222
11-10-82.744544444422221
4812-6-111.512333333311111
11-9-91.312333322211111
13-3-131.613333333321111
4711-8-100.601111111111100
12-5-120.601111111111110
4611-7-110.200000000000000
4511-6-120.000000000000000
4410-8-110.000000000000000
4310-7-120.00000000000000
4210-6-130.00000000000000
4110-5-140.00000000000
408-10-11No00
6-39No
Total:2.6%14.11.41.51.51.41.41.31.31.30.70.60.50.40.4
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs