Sporting Kansas City Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.002 to 99.99%
51 points   15-6-7

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/15100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Average seed
San Jose 1 Sporting KC 5 +0.4
+0.6
+1.2
+0.4
Vancouver 1 Seattle 2 +0.1
-0.2
-0.1
RSL 1 Minnesota 1 +0.1
+0.1
Toronto FC 5 LA Galaxy 3 +0.1
Houston 4 Portland 1 +0.1
+0.1
+0.0
LAFC 1 New England 1 +0.1
+0.1
Seattle 0 Philadelphia 1 +0.1
+0.1
FC Dallas 0 Columbus 0 +0.1
San Jose 3 Atlanta 4 -1.6
Colorado 0 Atlanta 3 -0.7
DC United 3 NY Red Bulls 3 +0.4
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/22100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Average seed
Philadelphia vs Sporting KC-0.2-0.0+0.2
-1.5-1.0+2.1
-0.3-0.1+0.3
Vancouver vs FC Dallas+0.1+0.0-0.1
Minnesota vs Portland+0.0+0.0-0.1
Atlanta vs RSL+0.0*-0.0-0.1
-0.9+0.8+2.1
LA Galaxy vs Seattle+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
LAFC vs San Jose-0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.1+0.1
NY Red Bulls vs Toronto FC-0.4+0.5+0.8

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Sporting KC finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield123456789101112SpoonCount
67-69In30.0%100No1,473,263,148*
665-0-1In11.51000No1,435,598,143
654-2-0In4.21000No1,612,541,045
644-1-1In1.69730No3,984,620,686
634-0-2In0.49370No2,390,052,144
3-3-0In0.29640No1,201,132,387
623-2-1In0.18515000No4,362,662,940
613-1-2In0.07127200No5,122,008,242
2-4-0In0.08217100No496,505,417
602-3-1InNo5936500No2,356,097,467
3-0-3In0.05440500No1,936,653,103
592-2-2InNo36481510No4,061,804,494
1-5-0InNo45431210No108,078,109
582-1-3InNo205027400No3,004,074,244
1-4-1InNo254824300No628,220,425
571-3-2InNo938401210No1,414,449,851
2-0-4InNo839421110No801,165,198
0-6-0InNo93640141No9,680,827
561-2-3100.0%No2224525400No1,536,685,063
0-5-1100.0No3234326500No66,212,849
551-1-4100.0No01039381210No803,712,078
0-4-2100.0No11036391410No182,699,316
540-3-3100.0No0221443040No259,521,900
1-0-5100.0No0222442830No161,868,610
530-2-499.6No00834451300No199,905,098
520-1-597.3No00218473030No79,220,118
510-0-691.5No006345280No16,939,764
Total:100.0%1.9%61231041000No39,705,372,666

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Sporting KC finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeFC DallasLAFCSeattlePortlandRSLVancouverLA GalaxyHoustonMinnesota
63-6912.5%Yes
623-2-112.51000000000
613-1-212.510000000000
2-4-012.51000000000
602-3-112.5100000000000
3-0-312.5100000000000
592-2-212.599000000000
1-5-012.599000000000
582-1-312.496001110000
1-4-112.496001110000
571-3-212.087114530000
2-0-412.188013430000
0-6-012.085115530000
561-2-311.470139971000
0-5-111.369239971000
551-1-410.449241514132000
0-4-210.247351615121000
540-3-38.623362221183100
1-0-58.724252319193100
530-2-46.78362421204100
520-1-54.52242116183100
510-0-62.4012149122100
Total:12.3%94.80.20.41.51.51.20.20.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 9/15100.0*Lottery seed
San Jose 1 Sporting KC 5 -0.8
Seattle 0 Philadelphia 1 -0.1
Vancouver 1 Seattle 2 +0.1
LAFC 1 New England 1 -0.1
FC Dallas 0 Columbus 0 -0.1
Houston 4 Portland 1 -0.1
RSL 1 Minnesota 1 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/22100.0*Lottery seed
Philadelphia vs Sporting KC+0.5+0.1-0.5
Vancouver vs FC Dallas-0.2-0.1+0.2
LAFC vs San Jose+0.1-0.1-0.2
LA Galaxy vs Seattle-0.1-0.0+0.1
Minnesota vs Portland-0.0-0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223
696-0-05446
675-1-02377
665-0-1128800
654-2-049500
644-1-12951200
634-0-20922500
3-3-00961300
623-2-10852130000
613-1-20712251000
2-4-00821161000
602-3-1591354100
3-0-30542395100
592-2-236148114100
1-5-04504284100
582-1-32005017104000
1-4-12504814103000
571-3-29038202012010
2-0-48039231811010
0-6-0903617231311
561-2-322215302424000
0-5-132311322335000
551-1-401083133512010
0-4-211063033614010
540-3-3022193212300400
1-0-5023193410280300
530-2-40008171742213000
520-1-5000261240730030
510-0-600015259511800
Total:26012255301000000