Sporting Kansas City Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.2 to 98.9%
32 points   8-8-4

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 7/19100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Average seed
NY Red Bulls 5 San Jose 1 +0.1
Seattle 4 DC United 3 -0.1
Portland 1 Real Salt Lake 4 +0.1
+0.1
Minnesota 0 Houston 0 +0.0
NYCFC 2 Toronto FC 2 +0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/21100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Average seed
Real Salt Lake vs Sporting KC-1.1-0.1+0.8
-1.8-1.1+1.9
-0.4-0.1+0.3
New England vs Los Angeles+0.1*+0.0-0.2
Vancouver vs Portland+0.0+0.0-0.1
Seattle vs San Jose+0.0+0.1-0.1
DC United vs Houston+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Toronto FC vs Colorado+0.0-0.0-0.1
-0.5+0.6+1.0
Montreal vs FC Dallas+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.1+0.0-0.1
NYCFC vs Chicago+0.4+0.2-0.8
Orlando vs Atlanta+0.1+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Sporting KC finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield1234567891011SpoonCount
7414-0-0In99.3%100No272,710
7213-1-0In96.51000No249,418
7113-0-1In94.31000No264,247
7012-2-0In89.51000No1,027,221
6912-1-1In84.91000No2,160,965
6811-3-0In76.49910No3,709,899*
6711-2-1In67.69910No8,087,614
6611-1-2In56.99820No12,764,031*
6510-3-1In44.49640No21,211,579*
6410-2-2In33.39460No33,666,449*
639-4-1In22.39190No47,228,826*
629-3-2In13.6871300No67,158,445*
619-2-3In7.48119000No88,504,341*
608-4-2In3.47426000No110,304,483*
598-3-3In1.36633100No134,577,919*
587-5-2In0.45542300No76,222,590
8-2-4In0.55641300No77,671,721*
577-4-3In0.14549600No124,587,213
8-1-5In0.14649600No44,698,294*
567-3-4In0.0345411100No120,551,425
6-6-2In0.034561000No59,078,339*
556-5-3In0.0245718100No104,490,126
7-2-5In0.0245618200No76,148,569*
546-4-4100.0%0.01553284000No125,413,110
5-7-2In0.0155427400No49,585,808*
536-3-5100.00.0945379100No95,115,497
5-6-3100.00.0847368000No67,578,571*
525-5-4100.0No4344416200No89,119,006
6-2-6100.0No4344316200No54,895,009*
515-4-5100.0No22244275000No122,641,835*
505-3-6100.0No111373712100No51,975,825
4-6-4100.0No012383611100No47,881,215*
494-5-599.8No052742224000No77,469,193*
484-4-699.0No0215393410100No57,592,700*
474-3-796.3No006284121400No40,797,433*
463-5-689.2No00216393310100No27,440,601*
453-4-775.7No0007284020400No17,584,463*
443-3-856.2No00216383310100No10,668,098*
432-5-735.1No0007284021400No6,097,630*
422-4-817.9No0021638331010No3,286,928*
412-3-97.3No017284121300.0%1,653,330*
401-5-82.3No002164033700.0772,462*
391-4-90.5No001732431620.0334,369*
381-3-100.1No00320462740.1131,143*
370-5-90.0No0110413890.745,853*
360-4-10OutNo043345172.414,191*
350-3-11OutNo012248286.43,674*
340-2-12OutNo0014473911.4711
330-1-13OutNo18444715.491
320-0-14OutNo03306736.5244,546
Total:98.9%3.3%343317942100000.0%2,162,979,716

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 7/19100.0*Lottery seed
Portland 1 Real Salt Lake 4 -0.1
Los Angeles 0 Vancouver 1 +0.1
Minnesota 0 Houston 0 -0.0
Seattle 4 DC United 3 +0.0
NY Red Bulls 5 San Jose 1 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/21100.0*Lottery seed
Real Salt Lake vs Sporting KC+0.7+0.2-0.6
Montreal vs FC Dallas-0.1-0.0+0.2
DC United vs Houston-0.1-0.1+0.1
Vancouver vs Portland+0.1-0.1-0.0
Seattle vs San Jose+0.0-0.1-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L12345678910111213141516171819202122
7414-0-0991
7213-1-09730
7113-0-19460
7012-2-0891000
6912-1-1851500
6811-3-07623100
6711-2-16831100
6611-1-25741200
6510-3-14452300
6410-2-233615100
639-4-122697200
629-3-2147385000
619-2-387499000
8-5-177410100000
608-4-237191600000
598-3-316482510000
587-5-205563621000
8-2-405663521000
577-4-3045446330000
567-3-40342524700000
6-6-2034254460000
556-5-302415741410000
7-2-502415541410000
546-4-40150533242200000
5-7-201505432322000
536-3-5090452353510000
5-6-3080472343500000
525-5-4403514341210000
6-2-64033143413100000
515-4-52022044324320000
505-3-610110372365810000
4-6-400120382355710000
494-5-505027141517310000
484-4-6020150383305510000
474-3-70006028139615310000
463-5-6002016038428542000
453-4-7000070282386962000
443-3-80020161385131682000
432-5-700007028211222082000
422-4-8002016161929207100
412-3-9010702112731185000
401-5-8000200416313014200
391-4-9001016213527810
381-3-10000021029371940
370-5-90004173732101
360-4-100182940202
350-3-11021842316
340-2-120011344411
330-1-137275115
320-0-1401144837
Total:3313302151813010000000000