Sporting Kansas City Playoff Chances

Beat San Jose 2-1, playoff odds up 12.1 to 75.7%
6 points   1-3-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 3/9100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Orlando 2 Minnesota 3 -0.6
-0.1
-0.1
-0.1
NYCFC 1 Portland 2 -0.6
-0.1
-0.1
-0.1
Austin 2 St Louis 2 +0.4
NY Red Bulls 2 Dallas 1 +0.3
+0.0
LAFC 0 Sporting KC 0 +0.3
-0.1
-0.2
+0.0
RSL 1 Colorado 2 -0.3
+0.1
San Jose 0 Vancouver 2 -0.1
-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Philadelphia vs Seattle+0.4*-0.0-0.9
+0.0*+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Week of 3/16100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Sporting KC 2 San Jose 1 +5.9
+0.6
+0.5
-0.9
+0.6
Austin 2 Philadelphia 2 +0.4
+0.0
Seattle 1 Colorado 1 +0.4
Houston 1 Portland 0 -0.4
Dallas 1 Vancouver 3 +0.3
LA Galaxy 3 St Louis 3 +0.2
+0.1
Minnesota 2 LAFC 0 +0.1
NYCFC 2 Toronto 1 +0.1
+0.1
Chicago 4 Montreal 3 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
New England vs Cincinnati+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Atlanta vs Orlando-0.0*+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Sporting KC finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield123456789101112131415SpoonCount
77-96In100.0%100No30,510*
7622-4-4In99.71000No3,802*
7522-3-5In99.51000No6,866*
7421-5-4In99.41000No12,585*
7321-4-5In99.11000No21,882*
7220-6-4In98.51000No37,502*
7120-5-5In97.7991No62,182*
7020-4-6In96.39910No101,904*
6919-6-5In94.39820No160,518*
6819-5-6In91.49730No251,418*
6718-7-5In87.59640No382,186*
6618-6-6In82.294600No568,327*
6518-5-7In75.391900No825,749*
6417-7-6In66.5871300No1,171,630*
6317-6-7In56.38217100No1,629,785*
6217-5-8In45.07523200No2,223,922*
6116-7-7In33.467293000No2,955,710*
6016-6-8In22.558356000No3,857,056*
5916-5-9In13.54841101000No4,921,373*
5815-7-8In7.03744162000No6,159,584*
5715-6-9In3.02745235000No7,543,263*
5614-8-8In1.018413191000No9,037,620*
5514-7-9In0.3113436163000No10,613,803*
5414-6-10In0.0525382471000No12,204,414*
5313-8-9In0.02163431143000No13,745,597*
5213-7-10100.0%0.01826352271000No15,154,407*
5113-6-11100.0No03163230143000No16,373,139*
5012-8-10100.0No018233324920000No17,308,416*
4912-7-1199.9No0031429311751000No17,940,333*
4812-6-1299.7No00161932271230000No18,176,538*
4711-8-1198.4No00021025322281000No18,055,338*
4611-7-1294.4No00004142930175100No17,542,173*
4510-9-1185.0No00016193127123000No16,682,007*
4410-8-1269.1No0002102532228100No15,517,400*
4310-7-1348.8No001415293016400No14,135,779*
429-9-1229.3No0001721332610200.0%12,590,224*
419-8-1314.8No000312283319500.010,969,578*
409-7-146.3No000151934291110.09,333,907*
398-9-132.2No00021129361930.17,763,144*
388-8-140.7No0001520372970.46,311,401*
378-7-150.2No0002133438141.55,014,520*
367-9-140.0No00172743224.23,880,626*
357-8-150.0No00031945329.42,938,171*
347-7-160.0No00112434417.32,164,974*
336-9-150.0No0017375427.71,557,017*
326-8-16OutNo004316439.41,090,883*
316-7-17OutNo002257351.5743,415*
305-9-16OutNo001188062.7492,899*
295-8-17OutNo000138672.5317,744*
285-7-18OutNo0099080.2199,159*
274-9-17OutNo0069486.3120,261*
264-8-18OutNo049690.671,316*
254-7-19OutNo039794.040,570*
243-9-18OutNo29896.022,158*
233-8-19OutNo19997.511,612*
223-7-20OutNo19998.76,233*
213-6-21OutNo19998.62,879*
202-8-20OutNo010099.41,389*
6-19OutNo100Yes27,714*
Total:75.7%2.6%789999988765421.0%311,086,512

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Sporting KC finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeMinnesotaVancouverPortlandSt LouisLA GalaxyColoradoHoustonRSLAustinSeattleDallasLAFCSan Jose
67-9612.5%Yes
6618-6-612.510000
6518-5-712.5100000000
6417-7-612.510000000000000
6317-6-712.51000000000000000
6217-5-812.51000000000000000
6116-7-712.51000000000000000
17-4-912.51000000000000000
6016-6-812.51000000000000000
15-9-612.51000000000000000
5916-5-912.4990000000000000
15-8-712.4990000000000000
5815-7-812.4980000000000000
16-4-1012.4980000000000000
5715-6-912.3951111100000000
14-9-712.3951111100000000
5614-8-812.0891111111110000
15-5-1012.1901111111100000
5514-7-911.6802222222211110
15-4-1111.7822222221111110
13-10-711.6812222222111110
5414-6-1010.9683343333221110
13-9-810.8673444433221111
15-3-1211.0703343322211110
5313-8-99.7515555544422221
14-5-119.9535555544322221
12-11-79.8525555544422221
5213-7-108.2346676655533321
12-10-88.2346676655533331
14-4-128.4376676655433221
5113-6-116.5206777755533331
12-9-96.3196777755533331
14-3-136.6216777755533331
5012-8-104.495666655433331
13-5-124.7106676655533331
11-11-84.596666655533331
4912-7-112.734454443322221
11-10-92.634454433322221
13-4-132.944555544432221
4812-6-121.512333322221111
11-9-101.412233322211111
4711-8-110.601111111111110
4611-7-120.200000000000000
4511-6-130.000000000000000
4410-8-120.000000000000000
4310-7-130.00000000000000
4210-6-140.00000000000000
419-8-130.0000000000
409-7-14No0
6-39No
Total:4.2%24.21.81.92.12.02.01.61.51.51.00.90.80.80.4
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs