Real Salt Lake Playoff Chances

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 58.3%
0 points   0-0-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/2100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Houston vs RSL-4.9+0.5+10.9
-0.6+0.0+1.3
-1.1-0.2+2.7
+1.0-0.2-2.1
-0.4+0.0+0.9
FC Dallas vs New England-0.5+0.4+0.8
-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.0+0.1
San Jose vs Montreal-0.5+0.4+0.8
-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Seattle vs Cincinnati-0.5+0.4+0.8
-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.0+0.1
LA Galaxy vs Chicago-0.5+0.4+0.8
-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Colorado vs Portland-0.1+0.4-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
LAFC vs Sporting KC-0.1+0.4-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Vancouver vs Minnesota-0.1+0.4-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
DC United vs Atlanta-0.0+0.1-0.0
Philadelphia vs Toronto FC-0.0+0.1-0.0
Columbus vs NY Red Bulls-0.0+0.1-0.0
Orlando vs NYCFC-0.0+0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/9100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
RSL vs Vancouver+6.4-4.4-9.9
+0.7-0.5-1.1
+1.3-1.1-1.8
-1.4+0.9+2.3
+0.5-0.4-0.8
Sporting KC vs Philadelphia-0.5+0.4+0.8
-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Houston vs Montreal-0.5+0.4+0.8
-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.0+0.1
FC Dallas vs LA Galaxy-0.1+0.4-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Seattle vs Colorado-0.1+0.4-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
San Jose vs Minnesota-0.1+0.4-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
LAFC vs Portland-0.1+0.4-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
NYCFC vs DC United-0.0+0.1-0.0
New England vs Columbus-0.0+0.1-0.0
Atlanta vs Cincinnati-0.0+0.1-0.0
Chicago vs Orlando-0.0+0.1-0.0

What If

Chances based on how well RSL finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield123456789101112SpoonCount
83-102In100.0%100No210,566*
8226-4-4In99.91000No723*
79-81In99.9100No9,890*
7824-6-4In99.91000No10,325*
7724-5-5In99.91000No18,841*
7624-4-6In99.91000No33,510*
7523-6-5In99.91000No58,569*
7423-5-6In99.81000No99,849*
7322-7-5In99.71000No165,948*
7222-6-6In99.51000No272,167*
7122-5-7In99.310000No434,686*
7021-7-6In98.91000No683,486*
6921-6-7In98.29910No1,049,541*
6821-5-8In97.29910No1,581,164*
6720-7-7In95.59820No2,340,294*
6620-6-8In93.197300No3,383,902*
6519-8-7In89.695400No4,819,493*
6419-7-8In84.893700No6,723,136*
6319-6-9In78.39010000No9,192,581*
6218-8-8In69.98614100No12,348,909*
6118-7-9In59.780191000No16,273,903*
6018-6-10In48.073253000No21,043,318*
5917-8-9In35.664315000No26,720,977*
5817-7-10In23.9543791000No33,318,468*
5716-9-9In14.04341142000No40,765,946*
5616-8-10100.0%6.932432040000No48,963,400*
5516-7-11100.02.7224127810000No57,747,411*
5415-9-10100.00.81435331530000No66,862,930*
5315-8-11100.00.27273522710000No75,996,922*
5215-7-12100.00.041832291430000No84,817,877*
5114-9-1199.80.0110263221820000No92,923,575*
5014-8-1299.20.0051730281551000No99,941,841*
4914-7-1397.10.00292330231030000No105,508,130*
4813-9-1292.0No0141427291871000No109,367,065*
4713-8-1382.0No0017192926134100No111,206,748*
4613-7-1466.4No0003102330229200No111,003,283*
4512-9-1347.4No0001515272917610No108,729,834*
4412-8-1429.1No00002720302612300.0%104,509,550*
4311-10-1315.2No0000312263121710.098,516,326*
4211-9-146.7No000161831291320.091,091,059*
4111-8-152.5No000021026342250.182,613,623*
4010-10-140.8No00015183531100.473,485,696*
3910-9-150.2No0002113039181.564,040,878*
3810-8-160.0No000162343274.654,714,832*
379-10-150.0No000316423810.645,807,782*
369-9-160.0No000110395019.937,559,688*
359-8-170.0No0006336131.730,159,223*
348-10-160.0No0003267144.723,717,979*
338-9-17OutNo002207957.318,244,817*
328-8-18OutNo001148568.613,733,812*
317-10-17OutNo000109077.810,105,639*
307-9-18OutNo0079384.97,267,766*
297-8-19OutNo0049690.05,104,556*
286-10-18OutNo039793.63,499,361*
276-9-19OutNo0029896.02,346,013*
266-8-20OutNo019997.61,529,671*
255-10-19OutNo019998.6972,478*
245-9-20OutNo0010099.2601,704*
235-8-21OutNo010099.5362,592*
224-10-20OutNo010099.7211,842*
214-9-21OutNo010099.8120,543*
204-8-22OutNo010099.965,862*
194-7-23OutNo010099.935,615*
16-18OutNo100100.031,691*
152-9-23OutNo010099.91,979*
0-14OutNo100100.0211,303*
Total:58.3%4.2%8888888888884.2%2,025,293,088

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well RSL finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeColoradoPortlandFC DallasHoustonSporting KCLA GalaxyMinnesotaLAFCSeattleSan JoseVancouver
67-10212.5%Yes
6620-6-812.51000000
6519-8-712.5100000000000
6419-7-812.510000000000000
6319-6-912.510000000000000
6218-8-812.510000000000000
6118-7-912.510000000000000
6018-6-1012.510000000000000
5917-8-912.510000000000000
18-5-1112.510000000000000
5817-7-1012.59900000000000
16-10-812.49900000000000
5716-9-912.49800000000000
17-6-1112.49800000000000
5616-8-1012.39500000000000
17-5-1212.39500000000000
5516-7-1112.19011111111111
15-10-912.09011111111111
5415-9-1011.68122222222222
16-6-1211.78322222222222
14-12-811.68122222222222
5315-8-1110.96933333333333
14-11-910.76733333333333
16-5-1311.07133333333333
5215-7-129.85544444444444
14-10-109.65244444444444
16-4-149.85444444444444
5114-9-118.13655555555555
15-6-138.43955555555555
13-12-98.13555555555555
5014-8-126.42255555555555
13-11-106.12055555555555
15-5-146.62355555555555
4914-7-134.61255555555555
13-10-114.31055555555555
15-4-154.51155555555555
4813-9-122.7444444444444
14-6-142.8544444444444
4713-8-131.5222222222222
12-11-111.4122222222222
4613-7-140.7011111111111
4512-9-130.2000000000000
4412-8-140.1000000000000
4312-7-150.0000000000000
4211-9-140.0000000000000
4111-8-150.0000000000000
4011-7-160.000000000000
3910-9-150.000000000000
3810-8-16No0000000
0-37No
Total:4.2%25.01.51.51.51.51.51.51.51.51.51.51.5
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/2100.0*Lottery seed
Houston vs RSL+0.8-0.1-1.9
FC Dallas vs New England+0.1-0.1-0.1
San Jose vs Montreal+0.1-0.1-0.1
Seattle vs Cincinnati+0.1-0.1-0.1
LA Galaxy vs Chicago+0.1-0.1-0.1
Vancouver vs Minnesota+0.0-0.1+0.0
LAFC vs Sporting KC+0.0-0.1+0.0
Colorado vs Portland+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/9100.0*Lottery seed
RSL vs Vancouver-1.1+0.8+1.7
Sporting KC vs Philadelphia+0.1-0.1-0.1
Houston vs Montreal+0.1-0.1-0.1
LAFC vs Portland+0.0-0.1+0.0
San Jose vs Minnesota+0.0-0.1+0.0
FC Dallas vs LA Galaxy+0.0-0.1+0.0
Seattle vs Colorado+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324
84-102100
8326-5-31000
8226-4-41000
8125-6-31000
8025-5-41000
7925-4-51000
7824-6-410000
7724-5-510000
7624-4-610000
7523-6-510000
7423-5-610000
7322-7-510000
7222-6-610000
7122-5-799000
7021-7-69910
6921-6-798110
6821-5-897210
6720-7-7963200
6620-6-89343000
6519-8-79064000
6419-7-88587000
6319-6-978121000000
6218-8-870161401000
6118-7-9602018010000
6018-6-10482524130000
5917-8-93628292500000
5817-7-1024303248010000
5716-9-91429338130200000
5616-8-1072529141914000000
5516-7-113192219243801000000
5415-9-1011313222571403000000
5315-8-11075212114202701000000
5215-7-120421613192361303000000
5114-9-1101010520191319280200000
5014-8-12000511610192171415010000
4914-7-13000209319151520310030000
4813-9-12001041137201910171610000
4713-8-13000107217111820613410000
4613-7-1400000301042015151911310000
4512-9-130000105114720191911310000
4412-8-1400000020721812222112410000
4311-10-13000000301151524231351000
4211-9-14000010616162524145100
4111-8-15000000202718272514510
4010-10-140000100281928251330
3910-9-150000000310223024102
3810-8-1600000014132732195
379-10-150000001619333011
369-9-16000000211293920
359-8-17000015214232
348-10-16000002134045
338-9-170000173457
328-8-1800042769
317-10-1700022078
307-9-180011485
297-8-190001090
286-10-1800694
276-9-1900496
266-8-200298
255-10-190199
245-9-200199
235-8-210100
224-10-200100
214-9-210100
204-8-220100
194-7-230100
183-9-220100
173-8-230100
163-7-240100
152-9-230100
142-8-240100
0-13100
Total:444444444444444444444444