Real Salt Lake Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 1.1 to 48.5%
2 points   0-2-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 3/7100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
RSL 1 NY Red Bulls 1 -4.6
-0.6
-1.2
+0.5
-0.4
Colorado 2 Orlando 1 -0.5
-0.1
-0.0
LAFC 3 Philadelphia 3 +0.4
+0.0
Seattle 1 Columbus 1 +0.4
+0.1
+0.1
+0.0
FC Dallas 2 Montreal 2 +0.4
+0.1
+0.1
+0.0
Portland 1 Nashville 0 -0.1
LA Galaxy 0 Vancouver 1 -0.1
Sporting KC 4 Houston 0 -0.1
-0.1
San Jose 2 Minnesota 5 -0.1
Atlanta 2 Cincinnati 1 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/14100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Columbus vs RSL-4.4+0.2+11.1
-0.4-0.0+1.1
-0.6-0.1+1.7
+0.8-0.2-1.8
-0.4+0.0+0.9
New England vs Portland+0.4*-0.0-1.0
+0.0*+0.0-0.1
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Miami vs LA Galaxy+0.4*+0.0-1.0
+0.0*-0.0-0.1
+0.0-0.1-0.0
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Philadelphia vs San Jose+0.4*+0.0-1.0
+0.0*+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
NYCFC vs FC Dallas+0.5+0.1-0.8
+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Toronto FC vs Nashville+0.3*-0.0-1.0
+0.0*+0.0-0.1
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Minnesota vs NY Red Bulls-0.4+0.3+0.6
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.0+0.1+0.0
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Atlanta vs Sporting KC+0.3*-0.0-0.6
+0.0*+0.0-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Vancouver vs Colorado-0.3+0.4+0.2
+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Houston vs Seattle-0.1+0.4-0.2
+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Cincinnati vs DC United+0.0-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well RSL finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield12345678910111213SpoonCount
77-98InYes100No8,870*
7623-5-4In99.4%1000No506*
7523-4-5In99.81000No1,026*
7422-6-4In99.71000No1,779*
7322-5-5In99.31000No3,155*
7222-4-6In98.99910No5,431*
7121-6-5In98.5991No9,279*
7021-5-6In97.6982No15,192*
6920-7-5In96.29820No24,638*
6820-6-6In94.09730No38,527*
6720-5-7In91.39550No59,299*
6619-7-6In86.993700No89,037*
6519-6-7In81.4891100No131,533*
6419-5-8In74.3851410No191,296*
6318-7-7In65.4801910No271,662*
6218-6-8In55.17325300No376,054*
6117-8-7In43.56431500No512,813*
6017-7-8In31.955378100No685,181*
5917-6-9In21.24542121000No897,197*
5816-8-8In12.33444183000No1,150,509*
5716-7-9In6.22443256100No1,447,857*
5616-6-10100.0%2.5163932112000No1,786,238*
5515-8-9100.00.893136184100No2,157,923*
5415-7-10100.00.252236269200No2,561,770*
5315-6-11100.00.021431321641000No2,978,839*
5214-8-1099.80.01723332592000No3,393,951*
5114-7-1199.20.003142931175100No3,792,968*
5013-9-1097.1No0172132261130000No4,157,213*
4913-8-1191.8No0031226312071000No4,468,959*
4813-7-1281.3No0015173028144100No4,708,529*
4712-9-1164.8No00029233123102000No4,865,914*
4612-8-1244.9No0004142730186100No4,931,242*
4512-7-1326.3No0001619312713300No4,892,750*
4411-9-1212.8No000210253222810No4,760,535*
4311-8-135.2No00141630301540No4,533,145*
4211-7-141.7No00028233324810.0%4,231,850*
4110-9-130.5No00041531321630.03,872,710*
4010-8-140.1No0001824362560.13,465,956*
3910-7-150.0No00004163534110.53,045,756*
389-9-140.0No00192941191.82,611,970*
379-8-150.0No00052244295.12,194,094*
369-7-16OutNo00215434011.11,803,008*
358-9-15OutNo0019385120.21,450,328*
348-8-16OutNo005326231.51,138,693*
338-7-17OutNo003267144.0876,431*
327-9-16OutNo01207956.3655,918*
317-8-17OutNo001148567.2480,551*
307-7-18OutNo00109076.3342,543*
296-9-17OutNo0079383.6239,268*
286-8-18OutNo049689.0162,189*
276-7-19OutNo039792.8107,898*
265-9-18OutNo029895.369,490*
255-8-19OutNo019997.043,185*
245-7-20OutNo19998.326,279*
234-9-19OutNo010099.015,572*
224-8-20OutNo010099.48,719*
214-7-21OutNo010099.84,916*
203-9-20OutNo010099.62,608*
193-8-21OutNo010099.81,300*
2-18OutNo100100.09,499*
Total:48.5%2.1%46778899999883.4%86,771,548

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well RSL finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeMinnesotaSporting KCColoradoFC DallasSeattleLAFCVancouverPortlandLA GalaxySan JoseHoustonNashville
67-9812.5%Yes
6619-7-612.6100000
6519-6-712.51000000
6419-5-812.5100000000000
6318-7-712.4100000000000000
6218-6-812.5100000000000000
6117-8-712.5100000000000000
6017-7-812.599000000000000
5917-6-912.498000000000000
16-9-712.498000000000000
5816-8-812.396000000000000
17-5-1012.397000000000000
5716-7-912.293111111110000
15-10-712.293111111110000
17-4-1112.393111111100000
5616-6-1011.987222111111111
15-9-811.986222111111111
5515-8-911.376333322221111
16-5-1111.478333222221111
14-11-711.477333222221111
5415-7-1010.463444444332221
14-10-810.562444444332222
16-4-1210.665444433322211
5315-6-119.348555555443222
14-9-99.146666555443322
13-12-79.348556555443222
5214-8-107.530667666543333
15-5-127.833667666543333
13-11-87.630667666543333
5114-7-115.817667666554333
13-10-95.616667666554333
15-4-136.119777666554333
5013-9-103.87556555443333
14-6-124.18666555543333
12-12-84.08666555543333
4913-8-112.33444444332222
14-5-132.53444444333222
12-11-92.33444444332222
4813-7-121.21222222221111
12-10-101.21222222221111
4712-9-110.50111111111111
4612-8-120.20000000000000
4512-7-130.00000000000000
4412-6-140.00000000000000
4311-8-130.0000000000000
4211-7-140.0000000000000
4110-9-130.0000000000000
4010-8-14No000
398-13-11No0
2-38No
Total:3.0%16.31.61.71.71.61.51.51.31.20.90.80.70.7
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 3/7100.0*Lottery seed
RSL 1 NY Red Bulls 1 +0.9
Colorado 2 Orlando 1 +0.1
Seattle 1 Columbus 1 -0.1
FC Dallas 2 Montreal 2 -0.1
LAFC 3 Philadelphia 3 -0.1
San Jose 2 Minnesota 5 +0.0
Sporting KC 4 Houston 0 +0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/14100.0*Lottery seed
Columbus vs RSL+0.8-0.1-2.0
Atlanta vs Sporting KC-0.0-0.0+0.1
Minnesota vs NY Red Bulls+0.0-0.0-0.1
New England vs Portland-0.0-0.0+0.1
Toronto FC vs Nashville-0.0-0.0+0.1
NYCFC vs FC Dallas-0.0-0.0+0.1
Philadelphia vs San Jose-0.0-0.0+0.1
Miami vs LA Galaxy-0.0-0.0+0.1
Vancouver vs Colorado+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526
77-98100
7623-5-49900
7523-4-510000
7422-6-410000
7322-5-59900
7222-4-699010
7121-6-59811
7021-5-69812
6920-7-596220
6820-6-694330
6720-5-7914500
6619-7-68767000
6519-6-781810000
6419-5-8741114010
6318-7-7651419010
6218-6-855182403000
6117-8-744213015000
6017-7-8322335280100
5917-6-9212337412010000
5816-8-8122236818030000
5716-7-9618311224160100
5616-6-10213221629311020000
5515-8-9191318297181401000
5415-7-10056162412242902000
5315-6-110221215162661604010000
5214-8-10010761622112329020000
5114-7-110003212131625616150100
5013-9-1000107516191323311030000
4913-8-110000311191723819171000
4813-7-1200010531515152351441000
4712-9-110000020861719122111300000
4612-8-12000004112101822201031000
4512-7-1300001063161424211141000
4411-9-1200000201061725221251000
4311-8-13000104171725231462000
4211-7-14000020271624241672000
4110-9-1300000027162525167200
4010-8-140000002716252616610
3910-7-150000000281827261440
389-9-140000039213025112
379-8-15000014122632205
369-7-160001618333111
358-9-150000211283820
348-8-1600015214231
338-7-170002144044
327-9-1600183556
317-8-170042867
307-7-180022176
296-9-17011584
286-8-18001189
276-7-1900793
265-9-180595
255-8-190397
245-7-200298
234-9-19199
224-8-20199
214-7-210100
203-9-200100
193-8-210100
183-7-220100
14-17100
132-5-251189
2-12100
Total:22334343535454555444444443