"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

Real Salt Lake Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.6 to 43.4%
29 points   9-2-9

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 7/14100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Average seed
Minnesota 3 RSL 2 -8.0
-0.5
-0.0
-0.3
New England 2 LA Galaxy 3 -4.7
-0.1
-0.1
DC United 3 Vancouver 1 +1.3
+0.0
Colorado 0 Houston 0 +0.7
+0.0
NY Red Bulls 3 Sporting KC 2 +0.3
+0.1
+0.0
FC Dallas 3 Chicago 1 -0.2
-0.1
LAFC 0 Portland 0 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Minnesota vs New England-0.7+0.3+0.5
-0.1+0.0+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/21100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Average seed
RSL vs Colorado+8.0-7.1-13.1
+0.4-0.4-0.6
+0.3-0.3-0.5
Houston vs Philadelphia-2.3+2.2+4.5
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Houston vs FC Dallas-2.6+1.7+3.9
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Philadelphia vs LA Galaxy+2.2+0.3-3.4
+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
LAFC vs LA Galaxy+1.4-0.2-3.5
+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Seattle vs Vancouver+0.8+0.4-2.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Portland vs Montreal-0.5+0.4+1.0
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Minnesota vs LAFC-0.6+0.3+0.3
San Jose vs Seattle+0.2+0.1-0.5

What If

Chances based on how well RSL finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield123456789101112SpoonCount
7114-0-0In88.1%9910No2,059,016
6913-1-0In72.1964No8,075
6813-0-1In60.29370No15,885
6712-2-0In48.690100No50,271
6612-1-1In35.1841510No200,801
6512-0-2In23.2772210No390,609*
6411-2-1In14.2692930No1,136,280
6311-1-2In7.15837600No2,708,431*
6210-3-1In3.247431000No5,266,890*
6110-2-2In1.2344717100No11,969,415*
6010-1-3In0.4234726400No22,677,905*
599-3-2100.0%0.11443358000No40,526,556*
589-2-3100.00.07344215200No74,933,830*
578-4-2100.00.03234425400No121,708,939*
568-3-3100.00.0114403510100No193,048,645*
558-2-499.90.007304219200No301,176,657*
547-4-399.70.003194230600No427,887,970*
537-3-498.9No0110363913100No596,020,621*
527-2-596.7No004254423300No800,149,418*
516-4-492.4No002164233700No650,761,981
7-1-691.7No001144135800No348,066,884*
506-3-584.5No0008344215100No1,217,382,616*
496-2-673.4No0003244725200No783,060,258
5-5-472.9No0003244625200No635,565,650*
485-4-559.8No001154436400No1,042,369,593
6-1-758.2No0001144438400No510,442,800*
475-3-645.2No00083747800No1,176,567,704
4-6-442.8No00073548900No474,460,895*
465-2-730.8No003275415100No841,945,752
4-5-529.7No003265316100No828,755,595*
454-4-619.0No001185424200No1,081,091,935
5-1-818.0No001175525200No512,507,718*
444-3-710.8No0001051345000No1,013,511,454
3-6-59.5No00094936600No455,303,469*
433-5-64.8No0005404411100No623,083,783
4-2-85.1No00542439000No659,512,621*
423-4-72.1No002304917100No1,054,104,493*
413-3-80.7No001204927400No831,603,786*
402-5-70.2No001143378000.0%617,672,022*
392-4-80.1No006344415100.0428,328,896*
382-3-90.0No002234724300.0282,592,763*
372-2-100.0No001144335700.0173,462,474*
361-4-90.0No00735431410.197,558,843*
351-3-100.0No00324472420.451,311,486*
341-2-11OutNo0114443561.424,507,804*
330-4-10OutNo0073645124.210,195,444*
320-3-11OutNo0032651209.93,774,892*
310-2-12OutNo0116513219.21,196,343
300-1-13OutNo008464632.5259,269
290-0-14OutNo03366148.12,083,953
Total:43.4%0.0%01361321291872000.0%19,034,979,390

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well RSL finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeFC DallasLAFCPortlandSporting KCLA GalaxyHoustonVancouverMinnesotaSeattleColoradoSan Jose
67-7112.5%Yes
6612-1-112.4100000
6512-0-212.510000000
6411-2-112.5100000000000
6311-1-212.5100000000000
6210-3-112.51000000000000
6110-2-212.49900010000000
6010-1-312.39600111100000
599-3-212.09201232100000
589-2-311.48312353200000
8-5-111.68512343200000
578-4-210.77223685400000
9-1-410.56823696500000
568-3-39.555359128710000
9-0-59.0504510138810000
7-6-19.657359118610000
558-2-47.93657131610910000
7-5-28.13947121510910000
547-4-36.523581518121110000
8-1-56.220681519121110000
537-3-44.911681619131210000
6-6-25.012581619131110000
8-0-64.59681519121210000
527-2-53.54681518111110000
6-5-33.65581518121110000
516-4-42.424612159910000
7-1-62.315612158810000
5-7-22.4236121510810000
506-3-51.50349126610000
5-6-31.51349117610000
7-0-71.40348116610000
496-2-60.9023684400000
5-5-40.9023684410000
485-4-50.5012452200000
6-1-70.5012352200000
4-7-30.5011342200000
475-3-60.2011231100000
4-6-40.2011221100000
465-2-70.1000110000000
4-5-50.1000110000000
454-4-60.0000010000000
444-3-70.0000000000000
434-2-80.0000000000000
423-4-70.000000000000
413-3-80.00000000000
403-2-90.00000000
392-4-80.000000
382-3-9No0000
372-2-10No0
29-36No
Total:1.2%3.51.42.04.05.12.92.70.30.10.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 7/14100.0*Lottery seed
Minnesota 3 RSL 2 +0.6
New England 2 LA Galaxy 3 +0.2
Colorado 0 Houston 0 -0.0
DC United 3 Vancouver 1 -0.0
NY Red Bulls 3 Sporting KC 2 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/21100.0*Lottery seed
RSL vs Colorado-0.6+0.5+1.1
Houston vs FC Dallas+0.1-0.1-0.1
Houston vs Philadelphia+0.1-0.1-0.1
LAFC vs LA Galaxy-0.0-0.0+0.1
Philadelphia vs LA Galaxy-0.1-0.0+0.1
Seattle vs Vancouver-0.0-0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223
7114-0-08811100
6913-1-0722340
6813-0-16033700
6712-2-04941910
6612-1-13549132100
6512-0-22354175100
6411-2-114551910200
6311-1-275019175100
6210-3-134317268200
6110-2-213313341241000
6010-1-30238391694000
599-3-2014439181780000
589-2-30723217251502000
578-4-20312312312504000
568-3-301014832341100100
558-2-400074273931902000
547-4-300031183752906000
537-3-4001010288390130100
527-2-500004178431230300
516-4-40000297393330700
7-1-60000186393350800
506-3-500003530442015100
496-2-600001218546125200
5-5-4000012186451252000
485-4-50000196413364000
6-1-700000185413374000
475-3-60000443254680000
4-6-400003430547100000
465-2-70001220752161000
4-5-500012198511820000
454-4-600001108492740000
5-1-80000197502740000
444-3-7000004740361120000
3-6-5000003637381320000
433-5-60000014233924810000
4-2-800014274021610000
423-4-70000212323216510000
413-3-80000141932271330000
402-5-70000182231241020000
392-4-8000021125312181000
382-3-900004142830185100
372-2-1000001518312814300
361-4-9000018223325910
351-3-100000021228331950
341-2-1100014173331121
330-4-10000182637234
320-3-11000316363510
310-2-120018294419
300-1-13003184633
290-0-14001104248
Total:000102421021832513753211000