"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

Chicago Fire FC Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.4 to 47.5%
1 points   0-1-1

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 3/7100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Colorado 2 Orlando 1 +0.4
+0.0
New England 1 Chicago 1 +0.4
-0.1
-0.3
+0.0
Toronto FC 1 NYCFC 0 -0.1
DC United 2 Miami 1 -0.1
Atlanta 2 Cincinnati 1 -0.1
San Jose 2 Minnesota 5 -0.1
-0.1
LA Galaxy 0 Vancouver 1 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/14100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Orlando vs Chicago-5.3+0.3+11.6
-0.5-0.0+1.1
-0.5-0.1+1.3
+1.1-0.2-2.2
-0.5+0.0+1.0
Philadelphia vs San Jose-0.6+0.4+0.8
-0.0+0.0+0.1
*-0.0-0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
New England vs Portland-0.6+0.4+0.8
-0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Miami vs LA Galaxy-0.5+0.4+0.8
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Toronto FC vs Nashville-0.5+0.4+0.8
-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.1*+0.0+0.2
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Columbus vs RSL-0.5+0.4+0.8
-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
NYCFC vs FC Dallas-0.6+0.3+0.6
+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Minnesota vs NY Red Bulls+0.3*-0.0-0.9
+0.0*-0.0-0.1
-0.0+0.1+0.0
+0.0*-0.0-0.1
Atlanta vs Sporting KC-0.4+0.3+0.6
-0.1+0.0+0.1
*+0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Cincinnati vs DC United-0.1+0.4-0.2
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Vancouver vs Colorado+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Houston vs Seattle+0.1-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Chicago finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield12345678910111213SpoonCount
75-97In100.0%100No9,567*
7423-4-5In99.51000No1,042*
7322-6-4In99.41000No1,961*
7222-5-5In99.01000No3,542*
7122-4-6In98.41000No6,059*
7021-6-5In97.69910No10,001*
6921-5-6In96.2991No16,434*
6820-7-5In94.19820No26,628*
6720-6-6In91.39730No41,642*
6620-5-7In87.196400No64,010*
6519-7-6In81.99460No96,683*
6419-6-7In74.991900No142,138*
6319-5-8In66.3871210No204,807*
6218-7-7In56.28217100No289,537*
6118-6-8In44.97523200No400,541*
6017-8-7In33.267294000No545,838*
5917-7-8In22.458357100No723,834*
5817-6-9In13.3474011100No945,764*
5716-8-8In6.8364317300No1,206,883*
5616-7-9In2.82643246100No1,512,788*
5516-6-10100.0%0.9173931112000No1,857,513*
5415-8-9100.00.21032351851000No2,239,791*
5315-7-10100.00.0522352692000No2,641,349*
5215-6-1199.90.02143032175100No3,061,464*
5114-8-1099.70.017223325102000No3,475,662*
5014-7-1198.8No031328311861000No3,867,964*
4913-9-1095.9No016193027134100No4,220,285*
4813-8-1189.0No0021024312292000No4,521,095*
4713-7-1276.0No0014152829176100No4,742,565*
4612-9-1157.4No00017193026133000No4,881,665*
4512-8-1236.9No0002102431229200No4,920,554*
4412-7-1319.8No001415282917510No4,867,265*
4311-9-128.7No000172031261120No4,715,950*
4211-8-133.1No000312263220610.0%4,476,184*
4111-7-140.9No000151832291220.04,161,279*
4010-9-130.2No00021027352150.13,790,570*
3910-8-140.0No0001519363190.43,385,179*
3810-7-150.0No0002113139171.62,957,728*
379-9-140.0No00162443264.62,528,115*
369-8-15OutNo00317433710.32,117,992*
359-7-16OutNo00111404818.91,733,028*
348-9-15OutNo0006345930.01,388,202*
338-8-16OutNo0003276942.41,087,916*
328-7-17OutNo002217754.7831,393*
317-9-16OutNo01158465.9621,953*
307-8-17OutNo00118975.3455,830*
297-7-18OutNo0079382.9324,457*
286-9-17OutNo059588.4225,812*
276-8-18OutNo039792.3152,066*
266-7-19OutNo029895.0100,984*
255-9-18OutNo019997.164,509*
245-8-19OutNo019998.240,375*
235-7-20OutNo010099.024,639*
224-9-19OutNo010099.314,566*
214-8-20OutNo010099.68,259*
204-7-21OutNo010099.74,584*
193-9-20OutNo010099.82,394*
183-8-21OutNo010099.81,256*
1-17OutNo100100.09,457*
Total:47.5%1.7%56678888999994.2%86,771,548

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Chicago finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeAtlantaColumbusToronto FCNY Red BullsMontrealDC UnitedPhiladelphiaNew EnglandCincinnatiOrlandoMiamiNYCFC
67-9712.6%Yes
6620-5-712.51000
6519-7-612.4Yes
6419-6-712.710000
6319-5-812.6100000000000
6218-7-712.4100000000000000
6118-6-812.4100000000000000
6017-8-712.5100000000000000
5917-7-812.599000000000000
5817-6-912.499000000000000
16-9-712.499000000000000
5716-8-812.497000000000000
17-5-1012.497000000000000
5616-7-912.293111111000000
15-10-712.393111111110000
17-4-1112.394111111000000
5516-6-1011.987111111111111
15-9-811.986111111111111
5415-8-911.376333222222111
16-5-1111.578222222211111
14-11-711.276333322222111
5315-7-1010.563444443322222
14-10-810.261444443332222
16-4-1210.565444443222222
5215-6-119.247555554433332
14-9-99.045555554443332
13-12-79.046555554433332
5114-8-107.329666665444433
15-5-127.731666665444433
13-11-87.228666665444433
5014-7-115.516666665444443
13-10-95.215666665444433
15-4-135.717666665544443
4913-9-103.56555554433333
14-6-123.88555555444333
12-12-83.57555554443333
4813-8-112.02333333322222
14-5-132.23444443333222
12-11-91.92333333322222
4713-7-121.01222222211111
12-10-100.91222222111111
4613-6-130.40111111111110
4512-8-120.10000000000000
4412-7-130.00000000000000
4312-6-140.00000000000000
4211-8-130.0000000000000
4111-7-140.0000000000000
4010-9-13No000000
3910-8-14No00
1-38No
Total:3.0%16.81.51.51.51.51.51.31.11.01.01.00.90.7
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 3/7100.0*Lottery seed
New England 1 Chicago 1 -0.0
Colorado 2 Orlando 1 -0.0
LAFC 3 Philadelphia 3 -0.0
Toronto FC 1 NYCFC 0 +0.0
DC United 2 Miami 1 +0.0
Atlanta 2 Cincinnati 1 +0.0
Seattle 1 Columbus 1 -0.0
RSL 1 NY Red Bulls 1 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/14100.0*Lottery seed
Orlando vs Chicago+0.9-0.0-2.0
Minnesota vs NY Red Bulls-0.0-0.0+0.1
Atlanta vs Sporting KC+0.1-0.0-0.1
Columbus vs RSL+0.0-0.1-0.1
New England vs Portland+0.0-0.1-0.1
NYCFC vs FC Dallas+0.1-0.0-0.0
Philadelphia vs San Jose+0.0-0.1-0.1
Toronto FC vs Nashville+0.0-0.1-0.1
Cincinnati vs DC United+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526
77-97100
7624-3-51000
7523-5-41000
7423-4-510000
7322-6-49910
7222-5-59910
7122-4-69810
7021-6-598210
6921-5-69631
6820-7-594420
6720-6-6916300
6620-5-78794000
6519-7-68212600
6419-6-775169000
6319-5-8662112010
6218-7-756261601000
6118-6-845302112000
6017-8-7333426340000
5917-7-82235296701000
5817-6-9133430101101000
5716-8-873027161613000
5616-7-93232122214601000
5516-6-10116132623811120000
5415-8-9010625201516250100000
5315-7-100522014222069020000
5215-6-11020137241913152501000
5114-8-100107220122019610120000
5014-7-110030135231614163601000
4913-9-10001061189211891213100
4813-8-110002010321131817592000
4713-7-1200104014622161315720000
4612-9-11000010711892118157200000
4512-8-12000020103211320179310000
4412-7-13000104114616232011410000
4311-9-120000107271724221351000
4211-8-13000030281725231461000
4111-7-14000010028172524156100
4010-9-130000002817262515510
3910-8-140000000281927251340
3810-7-15000001310223023102
379-9-140000014132731195
369-8-1500001619332910
359-7-16000311293819
348-9-150016224130
338-8-160003144042
328-7-1700193655
317-9-1600052966
307-8-170022275
297-7-180011683
286-9-17001188
276-8-1800792
266-7-190595
255-9-180397
245-8-190298
235-7-200199
224-9-19199
214-8-200100
204-7-210100
193-9-200100
183-8-210100
173-7-220100
162-9-210100
1-15100
Total:23243434343545444455555554