Chicago Fire Playoff Chances

Tied New England 2-2, playoff odds down 0.01 to 0.005%
28 points   7-7-15

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/22100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
New England 2 Chicago 2 -0.0
No
-0.2
NY Red Bulls 2 Toronto FC 0 +0.0
Columbus 2 Colorado 1 -0.1
LAFC 2 San Jose 0 -0.2
Orlando 0 Houston 0 +0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
NYCFC vs ChicagoOut-0.0+0.0
+0.1-0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.4
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/29100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Chicago vs LAFC+0.0-0.0Out
-0.1-0.0+0.1
+0.3-0.1-0.2
DC United vs Montreal+0.0+0.0Out
Toronto FC vs New England-0.1+0.0+0.1
Houston vs San Jose-0.1-0.1+0.4
Seattle vs Colorado-0.0+0.0+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Chicago finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield123456789101112SpoonCount
435-0-06.6%No7543450No933,844
414-1-00.1No01750321No4,926,578
404-0-1OutNo7395040No10,784,790
393-2-0OutNo22462130No11,465,602
383-1-1OutNo01166230No49,105,595
373-0-2OutNo0458380No52,111,680
2-3-0OutNo0351460No12,511,973
362-2-1OutNo0139591No78,254,629
352-1-2OutNo030682No161,125,657
1-4-0OutNo025732No6,366,672
342-0-3OutNo18775No109,070,586
1-3-1OutNo13826No51,438,896
331-2-2OutNo78310No153,280,253
0-5-0OutNo68410No1,216,240
321-1-3OutNo476200.0%199,223,134
0-4-1OutNo276210.011,868,235
311-0-4OutNo169300.094,940,100
0-3-2OutNo067330.045,520,458
300-2-3OutNo55450.285,467,236
290-1-4OutNo37631.078,432,787
280-0-5OutNo26741.828,234,981
Total:0.0%No0011764180.1%1,246,279,926
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 9/22100.0*Lottery seed
Minnesota 3 Portland 2 +0.1
Orlando 0 Houston 0 -0.1
Columbus 2 Colorado 1 -0.0
NY Red Bulls 2 Toronto FC 0 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
NYCFC vs Chicago+0.2-0.0-0.7
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/29100.0*Lottery seed
Chicago vs LAFC-0.5+0.1+0.4
Seattle vs Colorado-0.0+0.0+0.2
Toronto FC vs New England+0.1-0.0-0.1
Houston vs San Jose+0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223
435-0-071174227710
414-1-00011235361420
404-0-103203930700
393-2-000626412440
383-1-10011238381000
373-0-200427472100
2-3-000321472800
362-2-100110434610
352-1-2004345930
1-4-0003296530
342-0-301227070
1-3-101157590
331-2-20776161
0-5-00677161
321-1-304682620
0-4-12662930
311-0-41563760
0-3-20514180
300-2-33648160
290-1-42151281
280-0-51145422
Total:000001516532050