Chicago Fire Playoff Chances

Lost to New England 1-2, playoff odds down 11.8 to 12.9%
33 points   8-9-12

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/24100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Average seed
New England 2 Chicago 1 -12.0
-0.2
-0.5
Philadelphia 3 DC United 1 +1.1
+0.0
+0.0
Toronto FC 2 Montreal 1 -0.6
-0.0
NYCFC 2 NY Red Bulls 1 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Montreal vs Vancouver-1.4+1.2+2.5
-0.1+0.1+0.2
Cincinnati vs Columbus+0.0+0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/31100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Average seed
Columbus vs Chicago-7.7-4.3+12.0
-0.1-0.0+0.1
-0.5-0.1+0.7
San Jose vs Orlando+0.7+0.2-2.2
+0.1+0.0-0.2
New England vs Toronto FC-0.5+1.1-0.1
Montreal vs DC United-0.3+0.8-0.2
NY Red Bulls vs Colorado-0.1+0.1+0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Chicago finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield123456789101112SpoonCount
485-0-099.7%No01152316000No118,841,718
464-1-089.9No1184031910No385,810,176
454-0-172.2No06273922500No569,430,159
443-2-042.0No01103138172No491,931,094
433-1-120.7No00318383290No1,408,950,505
423-0-26.9No00162744220No975,067,681
2-3-04.7No0042647230No306,055,333
412-2-11.1No0011243440No1,279,624,140
402-1-20.2No0004306320No1,726,696,508
1-4-00.1No000434611No93,269,751
392-0-30.0No0011775700.0%752,107,155
1-3-10.0No01177940No507,229,777
381-2-20.0No006831000.01,003,614,970
0-5-0OutNo098560No11,160,886
371-1-3OutNo02752300.0856,710,422
0-4-1OutNo03811600.074,230,893
361-0-4OutNo00623700.0266,741,876
0-3-2OutNo01702900.0191,912,918
350-2-3OutNo0524700.0241,268,782
340-1-4OutNo326620.4147,868,405
330-0-5OutNo177841.836,581,811
Total:12.9%No00247132245700.0%11,445,104,960

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Chicago finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeAtlantaPhiladelphiaNYCFCNY Red BullsDC UnitedToronto FCNew EnglandMontrealOrlandoColumbus
485-0-02.8%016139635300
464-1-00.702013111100
454-0-10.20105000000
443-2-00.00001000000
433-1-10.00000000000
423-0-20.0000000000
2-3-00.000000
412-2-10.00000
402-1-2No00
1-4-0No0
33-39No
Total:0.1%0.00.00.20.01.10.10.10.10.10.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 8/24100.0*Lottery seed
New England 2 Chicago 1 +1.1
Philadelphia 3 DC United 1 -0.1
Toronto FC 2 Montreal 1 +0.0
RSL 2 Colorado 0 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Montreal vs Vancouver+0.1-0.1-0.1
FC Dallas vs Houston-0.0-0.0+0.1
Cincinnati vs Columbus-0.0-0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/31100.0*Lottery seed
Columbus vs Chicago+0.9+0.3-1.3
San Jose vs Orlando-0.1-0.0+0.2
NY Red Bulls vs Colorado-0.0-0.0+0.1
New England vs Toronto FC+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sporting KC vs Houston+0.0-0.1+0.0
Montreal vs DC United+0.0-0.1-0.0
Vancouver vs NYCFC+0.1-0.0-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324
485-0-00011151525320000
464-1-01018040328451000
454-0-10060271387146100
443-2-001010031321249100
433-1-1000301811632227100
423-0-200106082735193000
2-3-0000405243823400
412-2-10010111324015100
402-1-2000003194331300
1-4-0000003184531300
392-0-3000018354610100
1-3-10000634491010
381-2-20001185622300
0-5-000119552220
371-1-300074637910
0-4-10074637910
361-0-400231442020
0-3-200231452020
350-2-30016433470
340-1-4063046180
330-0-5021646342
Total:000020407151015212310310