Chicago Fire Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 4.2 to 63.1%
16 points   4-4-5

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 5/18100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
San Jose 4 Chicago 1 -6.5
-0.8
-0.1
+0.1
-0.5
Orlando 0 LA Galaxy 1 +1.8
+0.1
+0.1
NY Red Bulls 1 Atlanta 0 -1.3
NY Red Bulls 2 Vancouver 2 +1.0
+0.1
+0.0
Montreal 0 New England 0 +0.7
+0.1
+0.0
RSL 3 Toronto FC 0 +0.7
+0.1
+0.1
Minnesota 1 Columbus 0 +0.6
+0.0
LAFC 4 Montreal 2 +0.4
+0.0
RSL 2 Atlanta 1 +0.4
+0.1
+0.0
Orlando 5 Cincinnati 1 -0.4
Houston 2 DC United 1 +0.1
+0.1
+0.0
Philadelphia 0 Seattle 0 +0.1
+0.0
LA Galaxy 0 Colorado 1 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/25100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Chicago vs NYCFC+7.4-5.2-11.4
+0.7-0.6-1.1
-0.1+0.1+0.2
+0.5-0.3-0.7
DC United vs Chicago-4.8+0.8+12.4
-0.6+0.1+1.5
-0.0-0.0+0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.2
-0.3+0.0+0.9
Montreal vs RSL-1.3+0.7+1.6
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Toronto FC vs San Jose-0.9+0.8+1.6
-0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Vancouver vs Toronto FC+0.9+0.1-1.4
+0.1+0.0-0.2
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Colorado vs Columbus+0.6+0.1-1.5
+0.0-0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Cincinnati vs NY Red Bulls+0.9+0.6-1.2
+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Atlanta vs Minnesota-0.5+0.4+0.9
-0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Philadelphia vs Colorado-0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Philadelphia vs Portland-0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.0+0.1+0.1
New England vs DC United+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Chicago finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield123456789101112SpoonCount
75-79In97.4%100No25,241*
7419-1-1In78.3982No60
7318-3-0In80.0100No155*
7218-2-1In73.01000No463
7118-1-2In64.11000No1,046*
7017-3-1In55.11000No2,341*
6917-2-2In48.1991No5,626*
6816-4-1In39.69820No11,282*
6716-3-2In31.89640No22,841*
6616-2-3In24.39460No44,380*
6515-4-2In17.59190No80,069*
6415-3-3In11.7871300No144,065*
6315-2-4In7.4801910No245,587*
6214-4-3In4.1732520No403,383*
6114-3-4In2.063334000No646,871*
6013-5-3In0.95339700No994,882*
5913-4-4In0.3414513100No1,481,353*
5813-3-5In0.1304720300No2,150,240*
5712-5-4In0.02045286100No2,999,039*
5612-4-5In0.012393512200No4,076,946*
5512-3-6100.0%0.073039194000No5,377,202*
5411-5-5100.0No32139288100No6,859,631*
5311-4-6100.0No1123335153000No8,515,650*
5210-6-5100.0No062437247100No10,252,614*
5110-5-699.9No0315343313200No11,976,162*
5010-4-799.5No0182637226100No13,607,197*
499-6-698.2No00317353112200No14,997,768*
489-5-795.1No0019283721500No16,044,258*
479-4-888.8No000418363010100No16,681,384*
468-6-778.2No00110303719300No16,837,894*
458-5-863.4No00042038297100No16,490,725*
448-4-946.6No000212333715200No15,680,263*
437-6-830.3No0006244124400No14,470,519*
427-5-917.3No00021538341010No12,945,907*
417-4-108.6No001831411720No11,240,333*
406-6-93.7No003214327500.0%9,439,699*
396-5-101.3No0011339371010.07,684,341*
385-7-90.4No000731441710.06,053,265*
375-6-100.1No00322462630.14,619,864*
365-5-110.0No00114433670.33,399,596*
354-7-100.0No0073644121.02,414,776*
344-6-110.0No0042850192.61,654,717*
334-5-12OutNo021951285.91,091,324*
323-7-11OutNo0112493811.2692,593*
313-6-12OutNo007444918.8420,992*
303-5-13OutNo004375928.3244,642*
293-4-14OutNo02296938.8136,835*
282-6-13OutNo01227750.272,585*
272-5-14OutNo0168461.036,148*
262-4-15OutNo0109069.917,358*
251-6-14OutNo079378.27,817*
241-5-15OutNo49685.23,194*
231-4-16OutNo29887.81,184*
221-3-17OutNo29892.7480*
16-21OutNo10099.625,389*
Total:63.1%0.1%247912141514117310.2%243,330,176

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Chicago finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByePhiladelphiaDC UnitedNYCFCAtlantaToronto FCMontrealNY Red BullsOrlandoColumbusCincinnatiNew England
65-7912.6%Yes
6415-3-312.51000000
6315-2-412.610000000000
6214-4-312.5100000000000
6114-3-412.410000000000000
6013-5-312.51000000000000
14-2-512.41000000000000
5913-4-412.49900000000000
5813-3-512.49700111000000
12-6-312.49700111000000
5712-5-412.29311111110000
13-2-612.29311111110000
5612-4-511.98712222210000
11-7-311.98612232210000
5512-3-611.47723443321000
11-6-411.37623444321000
5411-5-510.56235675541000
12-2-710.76435665441000
10-8-310.56145676541000
5311-4-69.54757897661100
10-7-49.34557998761100
12-1-89.54847897661100
5210-6-57.9306810119872100
11-3-78.2325810119872100
9-9-37.9306810119872100
5110-5-66.41869111210982100
11-2-86.61969111210882100
9-8-46.21669111210982100
5010-4-74.995810119882100
9-7-54.685810119872100
11-1-94.995811119882100
499-6-63.2346897762100
10-3-83.4447998762100
8-9-43.1346897762100
489-5-72.0134665541100
8-8-51.9134665541100
10-2-92.2135776551100
479-4-81.1023443331100
8-7-61.0013343321100
468-6-70.5011222110000
9-3-90.5011222110000
458-5-80.2001111110000
448-4-90.1000000000000
437-6-80.0000000000000
427-5-90.0000000000000
417-4-100.000000000000
406-6-90.0000000000
396-5-100.000000
386-4-11No0
16-37No
Total:2.9%13.21.82.73.53.83.12.72.50.70.40.10.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 5/18100.0*Lottery seed
San Jose 4 Chicago 1 +0.9
Orlando 0 LA Galaxy 1 -0.1
Montreal 0 New England 0 -0.1
NY Red Bulls 2 Vancouver 2 -0.1
RSL 3 Toronto FC 0 -0.1
NY Red Bulls 1 Atlanta 0 +0.1
LAFC 4 Montreal 2 -0.0
Philadelphia 0 Seattle 0 -0.0
Houston 2 DC United 1 -0.0
RSL 2 Atlanta 1 -0.0
Orlando 5 Cincinnati 1 +0.0
Minnesota 1 Columbus 0 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/25100.0*Lottery seed
Chicago vs NYCFC-1.0+0.7+1.5
DC United vs Chicago+0.7-0.1-1.8
Montreal vs RSL+0.1-0.1-0.1
Toronto FC vs San Jose+0.1-0.1-0.1
Vancouver vs Toronto FC-0.1-0.0+0.1
Atlanta vs Minnesota+0.1-0.1-0.1
Cincinnati vs NY Red Bulls-0.1-0.1+0.1
Colorado vs Columbus-0.0-0.0+0.1
New England vs DC United-0.0-0.0+0.1
Philadelphia vs Colorado+0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324
7921-0-0973
76-77100
7519-2-0919
7419-1-178202
7318-3-08020
7218-2-173270
7118-1-264360
7017-3-155450
6917-2-248501
6816-4-14058200
6716-3-23265300
6616-2-32470500
6515-4-21773810
6415-3-31275112000
6315-2-4773145100
6214-4-34691782000
6114-3-4261181440000
6013-5-3152182271000
5913-4-404115301021000
5813-3-503011361453000
5712-5-40207381711601000
5612-4-501233616191012000
5512-3-6071291326154400000
5411-5-530208311810811000
5311-4-610124301718132300000
5210-6-50061231226186601000
5110-5-600301562819141212000
5010-4-700108224152218460100
499-6-6000301682720111112000
489-5-7000109325172018350000
479-4-80000041171026219102000
468-6-7000101042619181651000
458-5-800004119122621123000
448-4-9000020115282020103000
437-6-800000622315252082000
427-5-900002015822271871000
417-4-100001083132728165100
406-6-9000316193026123000
396-5-10000102102431228100
385-7-900000414293117400
375-6-100000162033281020
365-5-110000021128352040
354-7-1000015183530101
344-6-1100002103038183
334-5-1200052140286
323-7-1100213373811
313-6-120016304519
303-5-13003214728
293-4-1401144639
282-6-130084150
272-5-140053461
262-4-15022870
251-6-14012178
241-5-1501485
231-4-1601288
221-3-17793
210-5-16397
200-4-17298
18-19100
160-0-210100
Total:021415374858686665543210