How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/17100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Average seed
New England 1 Chicago 2 +2.5
+8.7
+0.5
Orlando 3 Montreal 3 +0.2
+0.1
NYCFC 2 Seattle 1 -0.1
-0.3
-0.0
DC United 2 Atlanta 1 +0.1
+0.3
Atlanta 3 Columbus 1 -0.1
Toronto FC 2 DC United 0 -1.3
-0.0
San Jose 0 Sporting KC 0 +0.5
Colorado 2 Portland 1 +0.3
Vancouver 1 FC Dallas 1 +0.3
Minnesota 3 Portland 2 +0.2
Los Angeles 2 Houston 2 +0.1
Colorado 1 Los Angeles 3 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 6/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Average seed
Chicago vs Orlando+0.6-0.4-1.5
+5.3-5.3-9.1
+0.2-0.2-0.4
Toronto FC vs New England+0.1*-0.0-0.2
-2.6+2.5+4.3
-0.0+0.1+0.1
Atlanta vs Colorado-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.2
NY Red Bulls vs NYCFC-0.1+0.0+0.1
+0.7+0.3-1.0
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Columbus vs Montreal-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Philadelphia vs DC United-0.0+0.1+0.0
NYCFC vs Minnesota-0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.5+0.6+0.9
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Los Angeles vs Sporting KC+0.9+0.6-1.4
Houston vs FC Dallas+0.3+0.4-0.8
Portland vs Seattle-0.1+0.1+0.1
Minnesota vs Vancouver+0.1+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Chicago finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield1234567891011SpoonCount
79-85In100.0%100No119,675*
7815-2-1In99.91000No60,211
7715-1-2In99.91000No117,065*
7614-3-1In99.91000No241,598*
7514-2-2In99.81000No473,749*
7413-4-1In99.61000No832,134*
7313-3-2In99.29910No1,484,237*
7213-2-3In98.79910No2,452,132*
7112-4-2In97.89820No3,876,869*
7012-3-3In96.49730No5,982,105*
6911-5-2In94.39550No8,720,050*
6811-4-3In91.192800No12,312,684*
6711-3-4In86.9891100No16,804,635*
6610-5-3In81.1841600No21,926,762*
6510-4-4In73.7782100No27,747,648*
6410-3-5In64.8722810No33,827,841*
639-5-4In54.3633510No39,725,613*
629-4-5In43.05443300No45,183,415*
618-6-4In30.94451500No25,351,205
9-3-6In32.54650500No24,195,666*
608-5-5In21.235569000No52,424,911*
598-4-6In12.626591410No53,673,315*
587-6-5In6.5185921200No52,979,850*
577-5-6100.0%2.81155304000No50,521,121*
567-4-7100.00.9747387000No46,547,010*
556-6-6100.00.23374513100No41,326,559*
546-5-7100.00.012647223000No35,413,380*
536-4-8100.00.011644327100No29,242,910*
525-6-799.90.0083539152000No23,251,701*
515-5-899.40.0042441256100No17,800,361*
504-7-797.6No01133634132000No13,099,933*
494-6-892.7No0062538247100No9,254,933*
484-5-982.4No002143333153000No6,272,326*
473-7-865.6No0162336258100No4,069,433*
463-6-944.8No00212303417400No2,523,724*
453-5-1025.4No0052036281010No1,490,027*
443-4-1111.6No0021029372040No838,051*
432-6-104.1No00418373191No445,538*
422-5-111.1No00192940192No224,074*
412-4-120.2No00319423150.0%105,873*
401-6-110.0No001103643100.046,627*
391-5-12OutNo042749190.119,100*
381-4-13OutNo011752290.47,255*
370-6-12OutNo01947432.22,456*
360-5-13OutNo0541544.7743*
350-4-14OutNo307013.2189*
340-3-15OutNo178333.348
330-2-16OutNo336733.33
320-1-17OutNo100Yes1
310-0-18OutNo069454.480,622
Total:98.9%26.6%343617831100000.0%713,097,368

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 6/17100.0*Lottery seed
New England 1 Chicago 2 -1.0
DC United 2 Atlanta 1 -0.1
NYCFC 2 Seattle 1 +0.1
Toronto FC 2 DC United 0 +0.1
Atlanta 3 Columbus 1 +0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 6/23100.0*Lottery seed
Chicago vs Orlando-0.4+0.4+0.9
NYCFC vs Minnesota+0.1-0.1-0.1
Toronto FC vs New England+0.1-0.1-0.1
NY Red Bulls vs NYCFC-0.1-0.0+0.1
Atlanta vs Colorado+0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L12345678910111213141516171819202122
82-85100
8116-2-01000
8016-1-1100
7915-3-01000
7815-2-110000
7715-1-210000
7614-3-110000
7514-2-210000
7413-4-110000
7313-3-299010
7213-2-399010
7112-4-298020
7012-3-396030
6911-5-2941500
6811-4-39118000
6711-3-487211000
6610-5-381316000
6510-4-474521000
6410-3-565728010
639-5-4549350100
629-4-543114303000
618-6-432134915000
608-5-52114532900000
598-4-61314545140100
587-6-56125092102000
577-5-639411429140000
567-4-7162819363700000
556-6-60316213861301000
546-5-7017193413211300000
536-4-8012142419283701000
525-6-70018132230914020000
515-5-80004519251623260100
504-7-700111214222771302000
494-6-80000652023142226100
484-5-900021131320276143000
473-7-80010651823132491000
463-6-90002111121828206100
453-5-10000054162330165100
443-4-110000119132928144100
432-6-10000044183127133000
422-5-1100011721312511200
412-4-12000292432238100
401-6-110000312273319510
391-5-120141632311430
381-4-1301722372670
370-6-12003133135162
360-5-13162039295
350-4-14311383613
340-3-154174633
330-2-16333333
320-1-17100
310-0-180063954
Total:2772971446231101000000000