Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsQualifiedChance will finish regular season at seed
11/15PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change12345678910Avg.ChangeRPIStrength3/20
BrazilWPeru 2-0278-3-11999.9%+0.299.9%+0.180182000001.2+0.371.745at UruguayBrazil
UruguayLChile 1-3237-2-31398.2-1.498.9-0.919611441000002.1-0.492.682BrazilUruguay
EcuadorWVenezuela 3-0206-2-4669.9+8.378.2+6.91103524171120003.9+0.386.576at ParaguayEcuador
ArgentinaWColombia 3-0195-4-3257.0+19.068.3+17.7072228231731004.3+0.703.533ChileArgentina
ChileWUruguay 3-1185-3-4136.6+14.049.6+15.8021321262881004.9+0.684.507at ArgentinaChile
ColombiaLArgentina 0-3185-3-4035.5-32.849.2-27.8021221272782005.0-0.945.492BoliviaColombia
ParaguayLBolivia 0-1154-3-5-62.4-5.84.9-9.100125135124507.0-0.497.378EcuadorParaguay
PeruLBrazil 0-2113-2-7-70.3-1.50.8-2.800001320462648.0-0.398.391at VenezuelaPeru
BoliviaWParaguay 1-0113-2-7-130.1+0.00.2+0.00000017245898.7+0.359.310at ColombiaBolivia
VenezuelaLEcuador 0-351-2-9-150.0-0.00.0-0.000000211869.8-0.1710.311PeruVenezuela

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 3/20
Argentina vs ChileIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Qualified100.0*Average seed
Uruguay98.298.498.1
*98.999.098.8
Ecuador69.471.769.3
78.079.177.8
3.93.83.9
Argentina73.147.127.7
82.360.542.1
3.84.65.2
Chile22.640.967.3
36.554.277.3
5.34.84.0
Colombia34.238.834.9
48.750.948.5
5.04.95.0
Paraguay2.22.82.4
4.95.24.7
Peru0.30.40.3
0.70.90.8
Colombia vs BoliviaHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Qualified100.0*Average seed
Uruguay98.098.698.8
98.899.299.3
Ecuador67.573.175.4
76.280.882.8
3.93.83.7
Argentina54.061.063.6
65.671.974.6
4.44.24.2
Chile34.140.042.3
46.453.657.0
5.04.84.8
Colombia44.124.216.0
58.337.827.8
4.75.35.7
Paraguay2.12.73.0
4.35.76.4
Peru0.30.40.4
0.61.01.1
8.08.08.2
Bolivia0.00.00.4
0.00.10.9
8.88.68.2
Venezuela9.89.99.9
Paraguay vs EcuadorHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Qualified100.0*Average seed
Uruguay98.598.497.9
99.199.098.7
2.02.12.2
Ecuador55.667.383.4
66.376.789.0
4.44.03.4
Argentina60.258.253.6
70.269.266.2
4.24.34.4
Chile40.337.832.9
51.850.747.0
4.94.95.0
Colombia39.436.731.5
51.450.346.7
4.94.95.0
Paraguay5.61.30.4
10.33.21.5
6.67.17.4
Peru0.40.30.3
0.80.80.7
8.28.07.9
Bolivia8.78.78.6
Uruguay vs BrazilHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Qualified100.0*Average seed
Brazil99.8100.0100.0
99.9100.0100.0
1.41.21.0
Uruguay99.798.296.3
99.898.997.7
1.82.22.5
Ecuador69.6*69.970.3
78.078.278.5
3.93.93.8
Argentina56.757.057.4
68.168.368.6
4.44.34.3
Chile36.336.637.1
49.449.549.9
Colombia35.135.536.0
49.049.249.5
Paraguay2.32.42.5
4.94.95.0
Venezuela vs PeruHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Qualified100.0*Average seed
Ecuador70.070.069.8
78.378.378.0
Argentina57.157.156.9
68.568.468.0
Chile36.736.736.5
49.749.749.3
Colombia35.635.535.4
49.349.348.9
Paraguay5.04.94.8
6.97.07.2
Peru0.00.10.9
0.20.41.9
8.38.17.6
Bolivia8.68.68.7
Venezuela0.00.0Out
9.79.910.0

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Markus Paminger for adding this league.