DC United Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.007 to 62.7%
10 points   2-4-1

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 4/6100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Columbus 1 DC United 1 -1.9
-0.3
-0.6
+0.1
-0.2
Chicago 2 Houston 1 -0.6
-0.1
+0.1
-0.1
Seattle 5 Montreal 0 +0.5
+0.1
+0.1
+0.1
Vancouver 4 Toronto 0 +0.5
+0.1
-0.1
+0.1
NYCFC 1 Atlanta 1 +0.3
Miami CF 2 Colorado 2 +0.2
+0.0
Cincinnati 1 NY Red Bulls 2 -0.1
New England 1 Charlotte 0 +0.1
Nashville 1 Philadelphia 2 -0.1
Minnesota 1 RSL 1 +0.1
LAFC 2 LA Galaxy 1 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
DC United vs Orlando+8.8-1.9-7.6
+0.9-0.3-0.8
+1.5-0.5-1.1
-1.1+0.1+1.0
+0.9-0.2-0.8
Sporting KC vs Miami CF+0.5+0.2-0.6
+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
RSL vs Columbus+0.4+0.1-0.5
+0.1+0.0-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.1+0.0-0.1
NY Red Bulls vs Chicago+0.1+0.3-0.3
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Montreal vs Cincinnati-0.2+0.3*-0.0
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Charlotte vs Toronto-0.2+0.3-0.1
NYCFC vs New England-0.1+0.4-0.1
Atlanta vs Philadelphia-0.2+0.2+0.0
+0.0+0.1-0.0
Vancouver vs LA Galaxy-0.1+0.1+0.0
Minnesota vs Houston-0.0+0.1-0.0
San Jose vs Colorado+0.1-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well DC United finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield123456789101112131415SpoonCount
79-91In100.0%100No909,866*
7822-2-3In99.91000No19,455*
7721-4-2In99.91000No39,454*
7621-3-3In99.81000No78,334*
7520-5-2In99.81000No148,823*
7420-4-3In99.71000No275,798*
7320-3-4In99.51000No495,961*
7219-5-3In99.310000No864,364*
7119-4-4In98.910000No1,474,775*
7019-3-5In98.29910No2,449,985*
6918-5-4In97.19910No3,953,494*
6818-4-5In95.598200No6,254,723*
6717-6-4In93.297300No9,636,569*
6617-5-5In89.796400No14,503,746*
6517-4-6In84.993600No21,363,053*
6416-6-5In78.49010000No30,726,638*
6316-5-6In70.08614100No43,233,573*
6216-4-7In59.88019100No59,572,258*
6115-6-6In48.272253000No80,273,364*
6015-5-7In35.963325000No105,926,580*
5914-7-6In24.1523891000No136,897,897*
5814-6-7In14.24142142000No173,241,030*
5714-5-8In7.130432250000No214,805,839*
5613-7-7In2.8194029910000No260,937,196*
5513-6-8In0.91133351640000No310,482,541*
5413-5-9100.0%0.26243625920000No362,109,057*
5312-7-8100.00.021431311751000No413,871,474*
5212-6-9100.00.01721322611200000No463,427,854*
5112-5-10100.00.00212263120710000No508,662,961*
5011-7-999.90.001516292816510000No547,045,994*
4911-6-1099.5No001720302512300000No576,471,412*
4810-8-997.6No0002102330229200000No595,208,964*
4710-7-1091.2No0000312263020710000No602,084,986*
4610-6-1176.9No000151528291751000No596,572,189*
459-8-1054.9No000016182927144100No578,904,447*
449-7-1131.7No00002821312411200No550,146,893*
439-6-1214.5No00003112531217100.0%511,762,755*
428-8-115.2No00001415293016400.0465,923,883*
418-7-121.4No0000172133261010.0415,041,728*
408-6-130.3No0000031229341940.0361,609,693*
397-8-120.1No0001620362980.3308,050,769*
387-7-130.0No00002123238151.4256,409,124*
377-6-140.0No000162543254.2208,516,859*
366-8-130.0No000031743379.9165,550,812*
356-7-140.0No000110404918.7128,229,075*
346-6-15OutNo0006336130.296,841,449*
335-8-14OutNo0003267143.071,261,649*
325-7-15OutNo0001207955.751,059,891*
315-6-16OutNo001148567.035,584,663*
304-8-15OutNo0099076.424,089,253*
294-7-16OutNo0069483.715,826,954*
284-6-17OutNo0049689.210,076,728*
273-8-16OutNo029893.06,209,878*
263-7-17OutNo019995.63,700,061*
253-6-18OutNo019997.32,121,512*
243-5-19OutNo0010098.31,171,077*
232-7-18OutNo010099.0619,723*
222-6-19OutNo010099.4314,518*
212-5-20OutNo010099.6152,063*
201-7-19OutNo010099.869,232*
191-6-20OutNo010099.930,058*
181-5-21OutNo010099.912,294*
10-17OutNo100100.0900,092*
Total:62.7%2.9%6777777777776652.1%10,414,207,340

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well DC United finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeNY Red BullsPhiladelphiaCincinnatiColumbusAtlantaMiami CFTorontoMontrealCharlotteChicagoNashvilleOrlandoNew EnglandNYCFC
69-9112.5%Yes
6818-4-512.51000
6717-6-412.5100000
6617-5-512.51000000000000000
6517-4-612.510000000000000000
6416-6-512.510000000000000000
6316-5-612.510000000000000000
6216-4-712.510000000000000000
6115-6-612.510000000000000000
6015-5-712.510000000000000000
14-8-512.510000000000000000
5914-7-612.49900000000000000
15-4-812.49900000000000000
5814-6-712.49800000000000000
15-3-912.49800000000000000
13-9-512.49800000000000000
5714-5-812.29511110000000000
13-8-612.29511110000000000
5613-7-711.88911111111111000
14-4-911.88911111111110000
5513-6-811.17922222221111111
12-9-611.17922222221111111
14-3-1011.38122222221111111
5413-5-910.26533333332222211
12-8-710.16443333332222211
14-2-1110.36733333332222111
5312-7-88.84655554443332222
13-4-109.04855444443332222
11-10-68.94755554443332222
5212-6-97.22866555554443322
11-9-77.12866555554443332
13-3-117.43165555554443322
5112-5-105.41565555554443322
11-8-85.21365555544443332
10-11-65.51565555554443332
5011-7-93.4544444433332222
12-4-113.7644444443333222
10-10-73.5544444443332222
4911-6-101.9122222222222111
10-9-81.9132222222222111
4811-5-110.8011111111111111
4710-7-100.2000000000000000
4610-6-110.1000000000000000
4510-5-120.0000000000000000
449-7-110.0000000000000000
439-6-120.000000000000000
429-5-130.000000000000000
418-7-12No00
408-6-13No0
10-39No
Total:3.3%19.61.41.31.31.31.21.21.11.00.90.90.80.70.60.6
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs