DC United Playoff Chances 50/50

Lost to Miami CF 1-3, playoff odds down 7.2 to 57.6%
5 points   1-2-1

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 3/9100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Cincinnati 0 DC United 0 -1.7
-0.2
-0.7
+0.1
-0.2
NY Red Bulls 2 Dallas 1 -0.5
-0.1
-0.1
NYCFC 1 Portland 2 +0.5
-0.1
+0.0
Orlando 2 Minnesota 3 +0.5
-0.1
+0.0
Nashville 2 LA Galaxy 2 +0.2
+0.1
+0.0
Miami CF 2 Montreal 3 -0.1
Atlanta 4 New England 1 -0.1
Toronto 1 Charlotte 0 -0.1
Columbus 2 Chicago 1 -0.1
LAFC 0 Sporting KC 0 +0.1
Austin 2 St Louis 2 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Philadelphia vs Seattle-0.6+0.2+0.5
-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Week of 3/16100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
DC United 1 Miami CF 3 -6.9
-0.8
-1.4
+0.9
-0.7
Chicago 4 Montreal 3 -0.2
+0.1
NYCFC 2 Toronto 1 -0.2
+0.1
+0.1
Austin 2 Philadelphia 2 +0.2
+0.0
Nashville 2 Charlotte 1 -0.1
Columbus 3 NY Red Bulls 0 -0.1
Minnesota 2 LAFC 0 -0.1
Dallas 1 Vancouver 3 -0.1
LA Galaxy 3 St Louis 3 +0.1
Houston 1 Portland 0 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
New England vs Cincinnati-0.1+0.3-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Atlanta vs Orlando-0.1+0.3-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well DC United finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield123456789101112131415SpoonCount
80-95InYes100No8,517*
7923-5-2In99.4%991No154*
7823-4-3In99.7100No320*
7723-3-4In99.51000No607*
7622-5-3InYes100No1,115*
7522-4-4In99.41000No1,931*
7421-6-3In99.71000No3,478*
7321-5-4In99.51000No5,832*
7221-4-5In99.11000No9,987*
7120-6-4In98.4991No16,096*
7020-5-5In97.8991No25,852*
6920-4-6In96.69910No40,460*
6819-6-5In94.59820No61,183*
6719-5-6In92.096400No92,526*
6618-7-5In88.195500No135,960*
6518-6-6In82.892800No196,472*
6418-5-7In75.98812000No276,100*
6317-7-6In67.2831610No381,444*
6217-6-7In56.87721200No516,806*
6117-5-8In45.269283000No687,864*
6016-7-7In33.459346000No899,506*
5916-6-8In22.2493911100No1,149,762*
5815-8-7In12.93743173000No1,448,215*
5715-7-8In6.42743246100No1,786,370*
5615-6-9In2.6173931112000No2,164,444*
5514-8-8In0.81031351851000No2,573,543*
5414-7-9In0.25213526102000No3,002,955*
5314-6-10100.0%0.021229321861000No3,437,678*
5213-8-9100.00.0162032271230000No3,876,621*
5113-7-10100.00.0021025312182000No4,286,140*
5013-6-1199.9No0141528291751000No4,648,099*
4912-8-1099.4No00171930261341000No4,950,437*
4812-7-1197.2No00029223023102000No5,177,182*
4712-6-1290.5No00031225302082000No5,321,084*
4611-8-1176.2No00015152728176100No5,363,017*
4511-7-1255.0No00016182927144100No5,304,003*
4410-9-1132.6No00002922302410200No5,152,275*
4310-8-1215.5No0000312263120710No4,909,766*
4210-7-135.9No0001516302915400.0%4,584,207*
419-9-121.8No00028223325910.04,204,540*
409-8-130.4No000031330331730.03,780,345*
399-7-140.1No0001722362770.23,329,504*
388-9-130.0No00003143336140.92,879,755*
378-8-140.0No00172742233.12,434,253*
368-7-150.0No00041944347.62,014,979*
357-9-14OutNo00112414515.11,636,597*
347-8-15OutNo0017365725.41,300,804*
337-7-16OutNo004296737.61,007,996*
326-9-15OutNo002227650.1764,997*
316-8-16OutNo001168361.8568,044*
306-7-17OutNo000128871.9410,590*
295-9-16OutNo089280.1290,689*
285-8-17OutNo059586.2199,777*
275-7-18OutNo039790.8133,784*
264-9-17OutNo0029894.287,719*
254-8-18OutNo019996.455,388*
244-7-19OutNo19997.833,921*
234-6-20OutNo0010098.620,559*
223-8-19OutNo010099.011,747*
213-7-20OutNo010099.56,355*
203-6-21OutNo010099.73,540*
192-8-20OutNo010099.71,895*
5-18OutNo100100.010,022*
Total:57.6%2.6%5666777777777773.1%97,685,808

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well DC United finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeColumbusMiami CFTorontoMontrealNY Red BullsCincinnatiNashvilleAtlantaPhiladelphiaChicagoCharlotteNYCFCOrlandoNew England
68-9512.5%Yes
6719-5-612.61000
6618-7-512.410000
6518-6-612.51000
6418-5-712.51000000000
6317-7-612.610000000000000000
6217-6-712.410000000000000000
6117-5-812.610000000000000000
16-8-612.610000000000000000
6016-7-712.59900000000000000
17-4-912.510000000000000000
5916-6-812.59900000000000000
15-9-612.59900000000000000
5815-8-712.39700000000000000
16-5-912.49700000000000000
5715-7-812.19311111111000000
16-4-1012.29411111000000000
14-10-611.99311111111000000
5615-6-911.78711111111111111
14-9-711.68611111111111111
16-3-1111.88711111111111110
5514-8-810.97522222222111111
15-5-1011.07722222222111111
13-11-610.97622222222111111
5414-7-99.96144333333222222
15-4-1110.06333333333222221
13-10-79.86044333333222222
5314-6-108.64455444444333322
13-9-88.44155444444333322
15-3-128.74555444444333322
5213-8-96.82565555544444333
14-5-117.12865555544444332
12-11-76.82566555544444333
5113-7-105.11355555444434332
12-10-84.91255555444433332
14-4-125.31455555444444333
5013-6-113.4544444333333322
12-9-93.1444333333333222
14-3-133.4544444333333322
4912-8-101.7122222222222111
13-5-121.8122222222222211
4812-7-110.8011111111111111
11-10-90.7011111111111111
4712-6-120.2000000000000000
4611-8-110.1000000000000000
4511-7-120.0000000000000000
4411-6-130.0000000000000000
4310-8-120.000000000000000
4210-7-13No000
5-41No
Total:2.9%17.01.21.21.11.11.11.01.01.00.80.80.80.70.60.6
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs