Roswell Santos Blue Title Chances Fall2014

Did not play, title odds down 0.02 to 0.03%

0 points 0-0-2

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 9/6	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Roswell Santos 0 TopHat-18 Navy 1	-3.9		-3.9		+7.1		-1.1
ATHENS UNITED - 6 Roswell Santos 1	-0.5		-0.5		+12.6		-0.9
AFC Lightning 0 0 Lady Chiefs Pre 0	+0.2		+0.2
UFA 00 Black 1 AFC Lightning 0 2	-0.1		-0.1		-0.5
Augusta Arsenal 0 UFA 00 Red 2					-1.0
Lady Chiefs Pre 0 SSA Chelsea 00G 1					+0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
GSA 00 Red vs NASA G18 Premier					-0.1*+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Roswell Santos finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance				Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W	-	D	-	L	wins title		Promoted		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	Relegated		Count

50		10	-	0	-	0	84.7	%	84.7	%	85	15	0											No		3,146
47		9	-	1	-	0	51.5		51.5		52	42	6											No		433
45		9	-	0	-	1	24.8		24.8		25	52	22	2										No		1,529
44		8	-	2	-	0	18.1		18.1		18	52	27	3										No		1,091
42		8	-	1	-	1	6.5		6.5		7	36	43	14	1									No		7,852
41		7	-	3	-	0	3.2		3.2		3	26	46	22	2									No		1,699
40		8	-	0	-	2	1.1		1.1		1	15	44	34	6	0								No		14,080
39		7	-	2	-	1	0.5		0.5		1	10	39	40	10	0								No		17,893
38		6	-	4	-	0	0.1		0.1		0	5	33	44	17	1	0							No		1,636
37		7	-	1	-	2	0.0		0.0		0	2	21	47	26	3	0							No		62,079
36		6	-	3	-	1	0.0		0.0		0	1	13	44	35	7	0	0						No		23,219
35		7	-	0	-	3	0.0		0.0		0	0	6	34	44	14	1	0	0					No		72,282	*
34		6	-	2	-	2	No		No			0	3	25	46	22	3	0	0					No		119,240
33		5	-	4	-	1	No		No			0	1	18	46	29	6	0						No		19,171
32		6	-	1	-	3	No		No			0	0	10	38	38	12	1	0					No		273,083	*
31		5	-	3	-	2	No		No				0	5	28	43	21	3	0	0				No		128,919
30		6	-	0	-	4	No		No				0	2	18	41	31	8	1	0				No		233,134
		4	-	5	-	1	No		No				0	2	21	44	26	6	0					No		10,036
29		5	-	2	-	3	No		No				0	1	10	34	37	15	2	0				No		438,502	*
28		4	-	4	-	2	No		No					0	5	26	41	23	4	0	0			No		85,728
27		5	-	1	-	4	No		No					0	2	16	38	33	11	1	0			No		745,728	*
26		4	-	3	-	3	No		No					0	1	8	29	40	19	3	0	0		0.0	%	385,452	*
25		5	-	0	-	5	No		No					0	0	3	19	40	30	8	1	0		0.0		500,569
		3	-	5	-	2	No		No						0	4	22	40	28	6	0	0		0.0		36,160
24		4	-	2	-	4	No		No						0	1	10	33	38	15	2	0	0	0.1		973,062	*
23		3	-	4	-	3	No		No							0	4	24	41	25	5	0	0	0.2		200,619	*
22		4	-	1	-	5	No		No						0	0	2	14	38	36	11	1	0	0.9		1,307,840	*
21		3	-	3	-	4	No		No							0	0	6	28	42	21	3	0	3.3		668,931	*
20		4	-	0	-	6	No		No							0	0	2	17	42	31	7	0	7.6		720,536
		2	-	5	-	3	No		No								0	2	18	42	30	7	0	7.2		62,290
19		3	-	2	-	5	No		No							0	0	1	9	34	40	14	1	15.9		1,333,668	*
18		2	-	4	-	4	No		No								0	0	4	24	44	25	4	28.5		256,146	*
17		3	-	1	-	6	No		No									0	1	16	42	34	7	40.3		1,466,085
		1	-	6	-	3	No		No									0	2	17	42	33	6	39.3		10,479
16		2	-	3	-	5	No		No									0	0	8	34	43	14	57.2		672,676	*
15		3	-	0	-	7	No		No										0	4	27	48	22	69.6		687,524
		1	-	5	-	4	No		No										0	3	25	48	23	71.1		51,191
14		2	-	2	-	6	No		No									0	0	2	18	48	33	80.9		1,099,174	*
13		1	-	4	-	5	No		No										0	0	10	42	47	89.8		167,351
12		2	-	1	-	7	No		No										0	0	6	38	55	93.8		1,027,944	*
11		1	-	3	-	6	No		No											0	3	28	69	97.3		362,604
10		2	-	0	-	8	No		No											0	1	23	76	98.6		414,718
		0	-	5	-	5	No		No											0	1	18	82	99.1		16,497
9		1	-	2	-	7	No		No											0	0	14	86	99.5		502,640
8		0	-	4	-	6	No		No												0	7	93	99.9		44,348
7		1	-	1	-	8	No		No												0	5	95	100.0		404,176
6		0	-	3	-	7	No		No												0	1	99	100.0		81,184
5		1	-	0	-	9	No		No													2	98	Yes		144,218
4		0	-	2	-	8	No		No													0	100	Yes		97,658
0	-2						No		No														100	Yes		93,600	*

Total:							0.0	%	0.0	%	0	0	0	1	2	4	6	8	11	14	16	17	20	37.5	%	16,049,820

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Win Championship