UFA 00 Gold Title Chances Fall2014

Did not play, title odds down 0.9 to 1%

2 points 0-1-1

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 9/6	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
UFA 00 Gold 0 Concorde Fire C 3	-2.1		-2.1		+7.3		-1.0
UFA 00 Black 1 AFC Lightning 0 2	-0.2		-0.2		-0.3
AFC Lightning 0 0 Lady Chiefs Pre 0	+0.2		+0.2
Augusta Arsenal 0 UFA 00 Red 2	-0.2		-0.2		-0.6
Lady Chiefs Pre 0 SSA Chelsea 00G 1	+0.1		+0.1		+0.1
ATHENS UNITED - 6 Roswell Santos 1					*+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the UFA 00 Gold finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance				Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W	-	D	-	L	wins title		Promoted		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	Relegated		Count

52		10	-	0	-	0	82.9	%	82.9	%	83	17	0											No		18,321
49		9	-	1	-	0	54.0		54.0		54	41	5	0										No		50,235
47		9	-	0	-	1	34.1		34.1		34	51	14	1	0									No		111,223
46		8	-	2	-	0	24.7		24.7		25	54	20	1	0									No		73,933
44		8	-	1	-	1	9.7		9.7		10	43	40	8	0									No		325,743
43		7	-	3	-	0	6.5		6.5		7	39	44	10	0									No		64,296
42		8	-	0	-	2	3.1		3.1		3	27	49	20	2	0								No		351,890
41		7	-	2	-	1	1.3		1.3		1	18	49	29	3	0								No		418,986
40		6	-	4	-	0	0.8		0.8		1	15	47	32	5	0								No		36,306
39		7	-	1	-	2	0.2		0.2		0	6	35	45	13	0	0							No		901,059
38		6	-	3	-	1	0.1		0.1		0	3	29	49	18	1	0							No		313,287
37		7	-	0	-	3	0.0		0.0		0	1	18	48	29	3	0	0						No		637,424
		5	-	5	-	0	0.0		0.0		0	2	25	50	21	1	0							No		14,089
36		6	-	2	-	2	0.0		0.0		0	0	11	44	39	6	0	0						No		1,001,393
35		5	-	4	-	1	No		No			0	8	40	43	8	0	0						No		149,846
34		6	-	1	-	3	0.0		0.0		0	0	3	25	49	20	2	0	0					No		1,409,647	*
33		5	-	3	-	2	No		No			0	1	19	50	26	4	0	0					No		632,752
32		6	-	0	-	4	No		No			0	0	10	42	37	10	1	0					No		732,125
		4	-	5	-	1	No		No			0	1	14	46	31	7	0	0					No		47,465
31		5	-	2	-	3	No		No			0	0	5	33	42	18	2	0	0				No		1,321,422	*
30		4	-	4	-	2	No		No				0	3	26	44	23	4	0	0				No		247,769
29		5	-	1	-	4	No		No				0	1	13	37	36	12	1	0				No		1,364,401
		3	-	6	-	1	No		No				0	2	18	42	30	8	1					No		10,058
28		4	-	3	-	3	No		No					0	7	31	40	19	3	0	0			No		688,723	*
27		5	-	0	-	5	No		No					0	3	19	40	30	8	1	0	0		0.0	%	556,257
		3	-	5	-	2	No		No					0	4	24	41	25	5	0	0			No		62,351
26		4	-	2	-	4	No		No					0	1	10	33	38	16	2	0	0		0.0		1,056,766	*
25		3	-	4	-	3	No		No					0	0	6	26	41	23	4	0	0		0.0		213,637	*
24		4	-	1	-	5	No		No						0	2	13	36	35	13	1	0		0.0		864,270	*
23		3	-	3	-	4	No		No						0	0	6	27	41	21	4	0	0	0.2		434,813	*
22		4	-	0	-	6	No		No						0	0	2	16	39	32	9	1	0	0.8		284,309
		2	-	5	-	3	No		No						0	0	3	20	41	28	7	0	0	0.5		39,421
21		3	-	2	-	5	No		No							0	1	8	30	40	19	3	0	3.0		523,903	*
20		2	-	4	-	4	No		No								0	3	21	42	28	6	0	6.3		100,156	*
19		3	-	1	-	6	No		No								0	1	10	35	38	14	1	15.7		349,879	*
18		2	-	3	-	5	No		No									0	5	25	43	24	4	27.4		159,130	*
17		3	-	0	-	7	No		No									0	2	16	42	34	7	40.7		96,990
		1	-	5	-	4	No		No									0	2	18	42	32	6	37.9		12,095
16		2	-	2	-	6	No		No									0	1	8	34	43	15	58.0		156,829	*
15		1	-	4	-	5	No		No										0	3	26	48	23	71.0		24,113
14		2	-	1	-	7	No		No										0	1	16	47	35	82.3		87,108	*
13		1	-	3	-	6	No		No											0	9	42	49	91.0		31,178
12		2	-	0	-	8	No		No											0	5	37	58	94.8		22,254	*
11		1	-	2	-	7	No		No											0	2	26	72	97.9		26,169
10		0	-	4	-	6	No		No												1	18	81	99.4		2,323
9		1	-	1	-	8	No		No											0	0	12	88	99.8		12,433
8		0	-	3	-	7	No		No												0	6	94	100.0		2,595
7		1	-	0	-	9	No		No												0	5	95	100.0		2,555
6		0	-	2	-	8	No		No													1	99	Yes		1,872
2	-4						No		No														100	Yes		4,021	*

Total:							1.0	%	1.0	%	1	3	8	14	18	15	12	10	7	5	3	2	1	2.8	%	16,049,820

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Win Championship