AFC Lightning 00 Elite Title Chances Fall2014
Lost to UFA 00 Red 1-4, title odds down 0.2 to 0.005%
9 points 1-2-2
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 9/6 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
| UFA 00 Black 1 AFC Lightning 0 2 | +6.5 | +6.5 | -0.9 | +0.6 | ||||
| AFC Lightning 0 0 Lady Chiefs Pre 0 | -1.3 | -1.3 | +0.2 | -0.2 | ||||
| Lady Chiefs Pre 0 SSA Chelsea 00G 1 | +1.0 | +1.0 | ||||||
| Augusta Arsenal 0 UFA 00 Red 2 | -0.9 | -0.9 | -0.1 | |||||
| UFA 00 Gold 0 Concorde Fire C 3 | *-0.1 | *-0.1 | ||||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||||
| GSA 00 Red vs NASA G18 Premier | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | |||||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the AFC Lightning 0 finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | Relegated | Count | |||||
| 44 | 7 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 10.7 | % | 10.7 | % | 11 | 46 | 39 | 5 | 0 | No | 5,300 | |||||||||||
| 41 | 6 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 20 | 53 | 23 | 2 | 0 | No | 9,193 | ||||||||||||
| 39 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0 | 7 | 40 | 42 | 10 | 0 | 0 | No | 32,490 | |||||||||||
| 38 | 5 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0 | 4 | 36 | 46 | 13 | 1 | No | 16,114 | ||||||||||||
| 36 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 46 | 34 | 6 | 0 | 0 | No | 113,266 | ||||||||||
| 35 | 4 | - | 3 | - | 0 | No | No | 0 | 10 | 43 | 38 | 8 | 0 | No | 15,197 | ||||||||||||
| 34 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 2 | No | No | 0 | 3 | 26 | 47 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 198,245 | ||||||||||
| 33 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 1 | No | No | 0 | 2 | 20 | 47 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 160,686 | ||||||||||
| 32 | 3 | - | 4 | - | 0 | No | No | 1 | 15 | 44 | 32 | 7 | 0 | 0 | No | 8,567 | |||||||||||
| 31 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 2 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 29 | 43 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 565,592 | |||||||||
| 30 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 1 | No | No | 0 | 3 | 23 | 43 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 0 | No | 121,818 | ||||||||||
| 29 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 3 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 9 | 33 | 38 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 657,867 | |||||||||
| 2 | - | 5 | - | 0 | No | No | 1 | 15 | 41 | 33 | 9 | 1 | No | 2,836 | |||||||||||||
| 28 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 2 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 5 | 26 | 41 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 636,398 | |||||||||
| 27 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 1 | No | No | 0 | 3 | 19 | 39 | 30 | 8 | 1 | 0 | No | 51,206 | ||||||||||
| 26 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 3 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 7 | 28 | 40 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 1,475,393 | ||||||||
| 1 | - | 6 | - | 0 | No | No | 1 | 10 | 36 | 37 | 13 | 2 | No | 541 | |||||||||||||
| 25 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 2 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 40 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 354,946 | |||||||||
| 24 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 4 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 9 | 32 | 39 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | 1,279,041 | |||||||||
| 1 | - | 5 | - | 1 | No | No | 0 | 2 | 13 | 36 | 36 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 11,492 | |||||||||||
| 23 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 3 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 42 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.2 | 1,221,683 | |||||||||
| 0 | - | 7 | - | 0 | No | No | 6 | 24 | 32 | 38 | No | 34 | |||||||||||||||
| 22 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 2 | No | No | 0 | 2 | 16 | 40 | 34 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0.6 | 97,368 | ||||||||||
| 21 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 4 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 5 | 27 | 43 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 3.1 | 2,108,509 | ||||||||||
| 0 | - | 6 | - | 1 | No | No | 1 | 7 | 28 | 41 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 3.1 | 1,063 | ||||||||||||
| 20 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 3 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 43 | 29 | 5 | 0 | 5.7 | 446,052 | ||||||||||
| 19 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 5 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 9 | 36 | 40 | 13 | 1 | 14.1 | 1,450,911 | |||||||||||
| 0 | - | 5 | - | 2 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 12 | 38 | 38 | 11 | 1 | 11.5 | 10,756 | ||||||||||||
| 18 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 4 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 45 | 22 | 3 | 24.4 | 1,149,177 | |||||||||||
| 17 | 0 | - | 4 | - | 3 | No | No | 0 | 2 | 20 | 45 | 29 | 5 | 33.4 | 60,142 | ||||||||||||
| 16 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 5 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 10 | 38 | 41 | 11 | 51.7 | 1,566,221 | ||||||||||||
| 15 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 4 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 5 | 32 | 46 | 17 | 62.4 | 205,237 | ||||||||||||
| 14 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 2 | 23 | 49 | 26 | 74.9 | 891,258 | |||||||||||||
| 13 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 5 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 14 | 47 | 38 | 85.0 | 419,590 | |||||||||||||
| 11 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 5 | 36 | 59 | 95.0 | 473,750 | ||||||||||||||
| 9 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 22 | 77 | 98.7 | 231,881 | ||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0.0 | % | 0.0 | % | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 15 | 17 | 17 | 13 | 7 | 20.2 | % | 16,049,820 | |||||||
Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:32 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
