Houston Astros Playoff Chances 2019 50/50
Lost to Cubs 266-329, playoff odds down 8.8 to 4.4%
6-7-0 .462
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 6/30 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Astros 266 Cubs 329 | -5.6 | -0.5 | ||
| Angels 253 Reds 221 | -3.1 | -0.1 | ||
| Royals 328.5 Dodgers 294 | -1.1 | |||
| Mets 186 Red Sox 237 | -0.5 | |||
| Phillies 351 Blue Jays 243 | +0.5 | |||
| Rangers 290 Brewers 266 | -0.2 | -0.1 | ||
| Nationals 292 Yankees 248 | +0.1 | +0.1 | ||
| Twins 332 Rockies 327 | -0.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 7/7 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Astros vs Mets | +2.6-1.3-2.6 | +0.4-0.1-0.4 | ||
| Nationals vs Angels | +1.5-1.1-1.5 | |||
| Royals vs Pirates | -0.6*+0.0+0.6 | |||
| Blue Jays vs Rockies | -0.3-0.3+0.3 | |||
| Rangers vs Phillies | -0.1*-0.1+0.1 | -0.1-0.1+0.1 | ||
| Red Sox vs Giants | -0.1*+0.1+0.1 | |||
| Yankees vs Diamondbacks | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Astros finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Count | |||
| 13 | 7 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 85.4 | % | 1 | 29 | 33 | 22 | 14 | 1 | 16,663 | ||||||||
| 12 | .5 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 63.6 | 0 | 10 | 24 | 30 | 32 | 4 | 4,731 | ||||||||
| 12 | 6 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 41.7 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 13 | 40 | 18 | 0 | 113,779 | ||||||||
| 5 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 40.6 | 4 | 24 | 13 | 43 | 16 | 556 | |||||||||||
| 11 | .5 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 17.3 | 0 | 9 | 8 | 45 | 37 | 1 | 27,701 | ||||||||
| 4 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 6.5 | 2 | 4 | 41 | 52 | 46 | ||||||||||||
| 11 | 5 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 9.0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 28 | 59 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 341,678 | |||||||
| 4 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 8.6 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 27 | 59 | 5 | 2,868 | ||||||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | - | 4 | Out | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 1.3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 68 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 69,753 | ||||||
| 3 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 1.9 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 70 | 18 | 155 | |||||||||||
| 10 | 4 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0.6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 62 | 30 | 2 | 0 | 570,165 | ||||||||
| 3 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 61 | 32 | 2 | 0 | 5,765 | |||||||||
| 2 | - | 1 | - | 4 | Out | 50 | 50 | 4 | ||||||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 37 | 51 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 93,509 | |||||||
| 2 | - | 2 | - | 3 | Out | 1 | 38 | 48 | 13 | 251 | ||||||||||||
| 9 | 3 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 51 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 570,085 | |||||||
| 2 | - | 3 | - | 2 | Out | 0 | 21 | 52 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 5,654 | ||||||||||
| 1 | - | 2 | - | 4 | Out | 100 | 3 | |||||||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 1 | Out | 5 | 38 | 45 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 70,164 | ||||||||
| 1 | - | 3 | - | 3 | Out | 6 | 40 | 44 | 10 | 144 | ||||||||||||
| 8 | 2 | - | 5 | - | 0 | Out | 2 | 21 | 48 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 341,045 | |||||||||
| 1 | - | 4 | - | 2 | Out | 1 | 20 | 49 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 2,844 | ||||||||||
| 0 | - | 3 | - | 4 | Out | 50 | 50 | 4 | ||||||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 5 | 34 | 44 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 27,923 | |||||||
| 0 | - | 4 | - | 3 | Out | 37 | 51 | 12 | 41 | |||||||||||||
| 7 | 1 | - | 6 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 1 | 17 | 39 | 34 | 9 | 0 | 114,571 | ||||||||
| 0 | - | 5 | - | 2 | Out | 1 | 17 | 39 | 33 | 10 | 0 | 598 | ||||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 0 | - | 6 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 4 | 25 | 46 | 22 | 3 | 4,583 | ||||||||
| 6 | 0 | - | 7 | - | 0 | Out | 1 | 9 | 35 | 45 | 10 | 16,620 | ||||||||||
| Total: | 4.4 | % | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 34 | 27 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2,401,904 | |||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 6/30 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Astros 266 Cubs 329 | +1.1 | |
| Rangers 290 Brewers 266 | +0.1 | |
| Tigers 180 Giants 233 | +0.1 | |
| Nationals 292 Yankees 248 | -0.1 | |
| Phillies 351 Blue Jays 243 | +0.1 | |
| Royals 328.5 Dodgers 294 | +0.0 | |
| Mets 186 Red Sox 237 | +0.0 | |
| Indians 225.5 Diamondbacks 222.5 | -0.0 | |
| Twins 332 Rockies 327 | -0.0 | |
| Braves 268.5 Rays 207.5 | +0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 7/7 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Astros vs Mets | -0.9+0.8+0.9 | |
| Indians vs Reds | -0.1-0.2+0.1 | |
| Rangers vs Phillies | +0.0-0.2-0.0 | |
| Yankees vs Diamondbacks | +0.0-0.2+0.0 | |
| Braves vs Mariners | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | |
| 13 | 7 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 31 | 22 | 5 | 13 | 2 | 0 | |||||||||||||||
| 12 | .5 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 36 | 11 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
| 12 | 6 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 25 | 17 | 25 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 39 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 24 | 12 | 4 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||
| 11 | .5 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 29 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 35 | 17 | 9 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | 5 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 22 | 32 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 25 | 31 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | - | 4 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 35 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 31 | 32 | 11 | 3 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | 4 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 25 | 35 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 33 | 32 | 15 | 2 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 31 | 34 | 16 | 3 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 34 | 22 | 8 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | 3 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 30 | 35 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 38 | 25 | 6 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 38 | 28 | 7 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 3 | 16 | 38 | 33 | 9 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | 2 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 38 | 30 | 8 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 39 | 36 | 10 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 25 | 50 | 25 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 36 | 38 | 12 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 7 | 24 | 46 | 20 | 2 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | 1 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 35 | 39 | 14 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 0 | 5 | 33 | 39 | 19 | 3 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 0 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 0 | 5 | 27 | 42 | 21 | 3 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||
| 6 | 0 | - | 7 | - | 0 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 42 | 24 | 4 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:12 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
