Boston Red Sox Playoff Chances 2019 50/50

Beat Mets 237-186, playoff odds up 8.5 to 65.7%

9-4-0 .692

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Red Sox finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Count

16		7	-	0	-	0	In		74	25	1										16,357
15	.5	6	-	0	-	1	In		70	29	1	0									4,571
15		6	-	1	-	0	In		38	52	9	1									113,519
		5	-	0	-	2	In		38	52	9	0									545
14	.5	5	-	1	-	1	100.0	%	31	54	11	4	0								27,982
		4	-	0	-	3	In		23	71	3	3									35
14		5	-	2	-	0	99.5		8	49	33	10	0								342,945
		4	-	1	-	2	99.8		8	51	32	8	0								2,702
		3	-	0	-	4	In			50	50										2
13	.5	4	-	2	-	1	97.7		4	42	34	17	2								69,566
		3	-	1	-	3	97.1		4	49	30	14	3								136
13		4	-	3	-	0	90.4		0	17	48	25	10	0							569,437
		3	-	2	-	2	90.1		0	17	49	24	10	0							5,745
		2	-	1	-	4	In				80	20									5
12	.5	3	-	3	-	1	77.3		0	11	39	27	23	0							93,931
		2	-	2	-	3	80.4			7	46	27	19	0							240
12		3	-	4	-	0	56.6			2	32	22	41	2	0						570,253
		2	-	3	-	2	55.1			2	31	22	42	2	0						5,676
		1	-	2	-	4	66.7				33	33	33								6
11	.5	2	-	4	-	1	33.0			1	18	14	59	8	0						70,060
		1	-	3	-	3	39.2			1	24	15	52	9							176
11		2	-	5	-	0	17.1			0	10	7	59	23	2	0					341,669
		1	-	4	-	2	14.8			0	9	6	60	23	1	0					2,932
		0	-	3	-	4	Out							100							1
10	.5	1	-	5	-	1	4.6			0	3	2	46	42	7	0	0				27,961
		0	-	4	-	3	2.1				2		30	62	6						47
10		1	-	6	-	0	1.7			0	1	0	26	50	19	3	0				113,864
		0	-	5	-	2	0.5				1		27	49	21	2	0				581
9	.5	0	-	6	-	1	0.1				0		8	41	40	10	1				4,600
9		0	-	7	-	0	Out						2	23	43	26	6	0			16,360

Total:							65.7	%	4	17	29	16	25	7	2	0	0	0			2,401,904

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24

16		7	-	0	-	0	41	47	12	0
15	.5	6	-	0	-	1	10	43	40	8	1
15		6	-	1	-	0	10	42	40	8	0	0
		5	-	0	-	2	1	9	42	34	12	2
14	.5	5	-	1	-	1	1	10	39	36	12	2	0		0
		4	-	0	-	3			11	29	40	14	3	3
14		5	-	2	-	0	1	10	37	36	13	2	0	0	0
		4	-	1	-	2		0	7	27	35	23	7	1	0
		3	-	0	-	4					50			50
13	.5	4	-	2	-	1	0	0	7	24	33	24	8	1	2	0
		3	-	1	-	3			1		13	24	43	18	3
13		4	-	3	-	0	0	0	6	21	31	23	8	1	9	0	0
		3	-	2	-	2			0	2	10	26	33	19	8	2	0
		2	-	1	-	4							40	60
12	.5	3	-	3	-	1		0	0	1	8	22	29	17	18	4	1	0
		2	-	2	-	3						3	17	61	6	8	4	2	0
12		3	-	4	-	0		0	0	1	6	15	22	13	34	9	1	0	0
		2	-	3	-	2					0	1	12	41	12	18	11	3	1	0
		1	-	2	-	4								67				17	17
11	.5	2	-	4	-	1					0	1	7	25	16	26	18	6	1	0	0
		1	-	3	-	3							1	38	1	7	11	19	18	5
11		2	-	5	-	0					0	0	4	13	19	32	23	8	1	0	0
		1	-	4	-	2							0	14	1	4	18	30	23	8	2	0
		0	-	3	-	4														100
10	.5	1	-	5	-	1						0	0	4	0	5	19	32	26	11	2	0	0
		0	-	4	-	3								2				2	13	34	32	15	2
10		1	-	6	-	0							0	2	0	4	18	33	28	12	3	0	0
		0	-	5	-	2								1		0	1	3	12	33	31	17	4
9	.5	0	-	6	-	1								0			0	3	13	29	33	18	4	0
9		0	-	7	-	0										0	0	2	12	28	33	19	5	1	0

Total:							1	4	9	12	12	11	9	7	14	8	5	3	2	1	0	0	0	0	0