Philadelphia Phillies Playoff Chances 2019 50/50
Beat Blue Jays 351-243, playoff odds up 2.8 to 19%
7-6-0 .538
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 6/30 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Phillies 351 Blue Jays 243 | +6.7 | +0.6 | ||
| Nationals 292 Yankees 248 | -4.0 | -0.1 | ||
| Twins 332 Rockies 327 | +0.6 | |||
| Royals 328.5 Dodgers 294 | +0.5 | |||
| Astros 266 Cubs 329 | -0.5 | -0.1 | ||
| Tigers 180 Giants 233 | -0.4 | -0.1 | ||
| Indians 225.5 Diamondbacks 222.5 | +0.4 | +0.1 | ||
| Braves 268.5 Rays 207.5 | -0.2 | -0.1 | ||
| Angels 253 Reds 221 | +0.2 | +0.1 | ||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 7/7 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Rangers vs Phillies | -8.2*-0.0+8.2 | -0.6-0.0+0.6 | ||
| Nationals vs Angels | -3.1+1.2+3.1 | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | ||
| Tigers vs Cubs | +1.4-0.9-1.4 | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | ||
| Blue Jays vs Rockies | +1.1*+0.3-1.1 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | ||
| Rays vs Dodgers | +0.9-0.6-0.8 | |||
| Red Sox vs Giants | +0.8*-0.4-0.8 | +0.1*-0.0-0.1 | ||
| Yankees vs Diamondbacks | +0.5*-0.4-0.5 | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | ||
| Braves vs Mariners | -0.2*+0.1+0.2 | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | ||
| Indians vs Reds | +0.2*+0.3-0.2 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | ||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Phillies finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Count | |||
| 14 | 7 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 99.9 | % | 6 | 77 | 6 | 11 | 0 | 16,440 | |||||||||
| 13 | .5 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 99.1 | 3 | 65 | 17 | 14 | 1 | 4,690 | |||||||||
| 13 | 6 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 95.7 | 0 | 35 | 27 | 33 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 114,200 | ||||||||
| 5 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 97.2 | 1 | 40 | 28 | 29 | 3 | 618 | |||||||||||
| 12 | .5 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 85.0 | 0 | 16 | 39 | 30 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 27,814 | |||||||
| 4 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 87.8 | 22 | 44 | 22 | 12 | 41 | ||||||||||||
| 12 | 5 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 59.6 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 31 | 30 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 342,359 | ||||||
| 4 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 61.4 | 4 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2,909 | |||||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | - | 4 | In | 100 | 4 | |||||||||||||||
| 11 | .5 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 32.5 | 0 | 23 | 10 | 32 | 27 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 69,522 | ||||||
| 3 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 26.4 | 22 | 4 | 30 | 33 | 11 | 125 | |||||||||||
| 11 | 4 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 11.3 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 22 | 36 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 570,643 | ||||||
| 3 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 11.8 | 8 | 4 | 22 | 37 | 23 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5,622 | ||||||||
| 2 | - | 1 | - | 4 | Out | 33 | 67 | 3 | ||||||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 4.7 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 42 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 93,401 | ||||||
| 2 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 6.2 | 6 | 4 | 22 | 43 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 260 | |||||||||
| 10 | 3 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0.5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 32 | 38 | 17 | 2 | 569,207 | |||||||
| 2 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 0.8 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 33 | 38 | 16 | 1 | 5,705 | |||||||||
| 1 | - | 2 | - | 4 | Out | 100 | 2 | |||||||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 41 | 39 | 7 | 69,565 | |||||||
| 1 | - | 3 | - | 3 | Out | 11 | 46 | 36 | 7 | 159 | ||||||||||||
| 9 | 2 | - | 5 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 47 | 25 | 342,189 | |||||||||
| 1 | - | 4 | - | 2 | Out | 0 | 4 | 23 | 50 | 24 | 2,780 | |||||||||||
| 0 | - | 3 | - | 4 | Out | 100 | 2 | |||||||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 8 | 46 | 45 | 27,892 | ||||||||||
| 0 | - | 4 | - | 3 | Out | 5 | 39 | 57 | 44 | |||||||||||||
| 8 | 1 | - | 6 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 3 | 27 | 71 | 0 | 113,791 | ||||||||||
| 0 | - | 5 | - | 2 | Out | 0 | 2 | 25 | 73 | 564 | ||||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 0 | - | 6 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 14 | 85 | 1 | 4,715 | ||||||||||
| 7 | 0 | - | 7 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 2 | 96 | 2 | 16,638 | |||||||||||
| Total: | 19.0 | % | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 9 | 0 | 2,401,904 | ||||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 6/30 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Phillies 351 Blue Jays 243 | -1.1 | |
| Nationals 292 Yankees 248 | +0.1 | |
| Rangers 290 Brewers 266 | +0.1 | |
| Tigers 180 Giants 233 | +0.1 | |
| Angels 253 Reds 221 | -0.1 | |
| Indians 225.5 Diamondbacks 222.5 | -0.1 | |
| Braves 268.5 Rays 207.5 | +0.0 | |
| Mets 186 Red Sox 237 | +0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 7/7 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Rangers vs Phillies | +1.1+0.6-1.1 | |
| Nationals vs Angels | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | |
| Tigers vs Cubs | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | |
| Yankees vs Diamondbacks | -0.1-0.1+0.1 | |
| Indians vs Reds | -0.1-0.1+0.1 | |
| Astros vs Mets | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | |
| Blue Jays vs Rockies | -0.1-0.1+0.1 | |
| Red Sox vs Giants | -0.1-0.1+0.1 | |
| Braves vs Mariners | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | |
| 14 | 7 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 5 | 26 | 39 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||
| 13 | .5 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 35 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||
| 13 | 6 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 23 | 33 | 24 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 1 | 11 | 36 | 49 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | .5 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 28 | 47 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 2 | 85 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | 5 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 34 | 15 | 17 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 0 | 5 | 56 | 2 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 3 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | - | 4 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | .5 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 3 | 13 | 24 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 26 | 1 | 10 | 24 | 22 | 14 | 2 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | 4 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 16 | 30 | 27 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 31 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 67 | 33 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 30 | 32 | 17 | 3 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | 3 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 33 | 27 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 34 | 22 | 6 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 50 | 50 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 34 | 25 | 8 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 30 | 28 | 19 | 3 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | 2 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 34 | 27 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 29 | 35 | 20 | 4 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 50 | 50 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 38 | 21 | 4 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 32 | 39 | 7 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | 1 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 39 | 24 | 5 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 2 | 12 | 42 | 37 | 7 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 0 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 39 | 35 | 9 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||
| 7 | 0 | - | 7 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 40 | 37 | 9 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:12 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
