Toronto Blue Jays Playoff Chances 2019 50/50

Lost to Phillies 243-351, playoff odds down 12.7 to 70.6%

9-4-0 .692

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Blue Jays finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Count

16		7	-	0	-	0	In		92	7	0										16,663
15	.5	6	-	0	-	1	In		81	18	0	0									4,709
15		6	-	1	-	0	In		61	34	4	1									114,248
		5	-	0	-	2	In		62	35	3	0									607
14	.5	5	-	1	-	1	100.0	%	39	49	8	4	0								27,851
		4	-	0	-	3	In		45	40	13	3									40
14		5	-	2	-	0	99.9		19	48	23	10	0								342,098
		4	-	1	-	2	In		19	49	23	9									2,830
		3	-	0	-	4	In			33	67										3
13	.5	4	-	2	-	1	98.2		6	43	32	17	2								70,030
		3	-	1	-	3	96.3		6	48	29	14	4								161
13		4	-	3	-	0	94.9		2	21	44	29	5	0							569,717
		3	-	2	-	2	95.5		1	22	45	28	5								5,662
		2	-	1	-	4	88.9			11	44	33	11								9
12	.5	3	-	3	-	1	79.8		0	11	39	30	20	0							93,152
		2	-	2	-	3	78.7			10	37	32	21								216
12		3	-	4	-	0	67.1		0	2	31	33	31	2	0						569,574
		2	-	3	-	2	66.1		0	2	30	34	32	2							5,698
		1	-	2	-	4	Out						100								1
11	.5	2	-	4	-	1	37.2			1	18	18	55	8	0						69,628
		1	-	3	-	3	44.7			1	22	22	51	5							190
11		2	-	5	-	0	23.2			0	9	14	51	24	2	0					342,394
		1	-	4	-	2	22.6			0	8	14	52	23	2	0					2,813
10	.5	1	-	5	-	1	6.0				3	3	46	41	7	0					27,876
		0	-	4	-	3	3.7					4	63	22	11						27
10		1	-	6	-	0	2.3				1	1	20	48	25	4	0				113,893
		0	-	5	-	2	1.6				1	1	24	48	24	2	0				566
9	.5	0	-	6	-	1	0.2				0	0	7	39	42	11	1				4,620
9		0	-	7	-	0	0.0					0	1	15	41	34	9	0			16,628

Total:							70.6	%	7	16	26	21	20	7	2	0	0	0			2,401,904

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24

16		7	-	0	-	0	45	48	7	0
15	.5	6	-	0	-	1	13	49	32	6	0
15		6	-	1	-	0	12	46	35	7	0	0
		5	-	0	-	2	1	12	40	34	11	2	0
14	.5	5	-	1	-	1	1	13	38	34	12	2	0	0	0
		4	-	0	-	3			5	25	38	25	8
14		5	-	2	-	0	1	12	37	35	13	2	0	0	0
		4	-	1	-	2		1	7	24	37	24	7	1
		3	-	0	-	4							67	33
13	.5	4	-	2	-	1	0	1	7	24	34	24	8	1	2	0
		3	-	1	-	3				1	13	30	30	23	3	1
13		4	-	3	-	0	0	0	6	22	33	24	9	1	5	0	0
		3	-	2	-	2			0	2	11	27	36	20	4	1	0	0
		2	-	1	-	4								89		11
12	.5	3	-	3	-	1			0	1	8	22	31	17	16	4	1	0
		2	-	2	-	3						2	17	59	8	6	6	1	1
12		3	-	4	-	0		0	0	1	6	18	26	15	25	7	1	0	0
		2	-	3	-	2					0	2	14	50	9	13	8	3	0	0
		1	-	2	-	4												100
11	.5	2	-	4	-	1					0	1	8	28	15	25	17	5	1	0	0
		1	-	3	-	3							2	43		2	12	17	17	6	1
11		2	-	5	-	0				0	0	0	5	18	18	30	21	7	1	0	0
		1	-	4	-	2							0	22	1	4	15	26	21	8	2	0
10	.5	1	-	5	-	1							0	6	1	5	19	32	26	10	2	0	0
		0	-	4	-	3								4				4	11	44	30	7
10		1	-	6	-	0						0	0	2	0	4	18	32	28	12	2	0	0	0
		0	-	5	-	2								2			0	2	15	30	32	16	3
9	.5	0	-	6	-	1								0			0	3	13	31	32	17	3	0
9		0	-	7	-	0								0		0	0	2	12	28	33	19	5	1	0

Total:							1	5	9	12	13	12	11	8	11	7	5	3	2	1	0	0	0	0	0