"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/30100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Royals 328.5 Dodgers 294 -9.2
-0.5
Twins 332 Rockies 327 +2.5
+0.2
Indians 225.5 Diamondbacks 222.5 +2.0
+0.1
Astros 266 Cubs 329 -1.8
Tigers 180 Giants 233 -1.6
-0.1
Phillies 351 Blue Jays 243 -0.5
Angels 253 Reds 221 +0.3
Mariners 198.5 Pirates 288.5 -0.1
-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 7/7100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Rays vs Dodgers-10.7+2.0+10.6
-0.5+0.1+0.5
Blue Jays vs Rockies+3.1+2.0-3.2
+0.1+0.1-0.1
Red Sox vs Giants+2.5-1.3-2.4
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Tigers vs Cubs+2.3*+0.5-2.3
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Yankees vs Diamondbacks+1.7+1.1-1.7
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Rangers vs Phillies+0.7*+0.4-0.7
Nationals vs Angels-0.3*-0.2+0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Dodgers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs123456789101112Count
167-0-0In762416,699
15.56-0-1In53474,634
156-1-0In475210112,919
5-0-2In4456582
14.55-1-1In23743127,352
4-0-3In3167242
145-2-099.9%1769950342,553
4-1-2In1871732,874
13.54-2-199.746917100069,705
3-1-399.356814131142
134-3-095.32432724500570,509
3-2-296.32462623405,732
2-1-4In80205
12.53-3-186.20233033131092,885
2-2-383.9242733151230
123-4-053.60621263412100569,388
2-3-256.10623273310105,767
1-2-425.02550254
11.52-4-124.911014402960070,333
1-3-327.71111642246159
112-5-05.2033203828810342,685
1-4-24.9023194028812,900
0-3-4Out1001
10.51-5-10.40042543244027,793
0-4-3Out319423531
101-6-00.000073144161114,322
0-5-2Out163145161597
9.50-6-1Out110434064,799
90-7-0Out0334521116,262
Total:64.6%6281515141074102,401,904
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 6/30100.0*Lottery seed
Royals 328.5 Dodgers 294 +1.0
Indians 225.5 Diamondbacks 222.5 -0.1
Tigers 180 Giants 233 +0.1
Astros 266 Cubs 329 +0.1
Mets 186 Red Sox 237 +0.1
Angels 253 Reds 221 +0.1
Twins 332 Rockies 327 -0.1
Mariners 198.5 Pirates 288.5 +0.1
Nationals 292 Yankees 248 +0.1
Phillies 351 Blue Jays 243 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 7/7100.0*Lottery seed
Rays vs Dodgers+1.0+0.6-1.0
Blue Jays vs Rockies-0.1-0.2+0.1
Tigers vs Cubs-0.1-0.1+0.1
Yankees vs Diamondbacks-0.1-0.1+0.1
Royals vs Pirates+0.1-0.1-0.1
Red Sox vs Giants-0.0-0.1+0.0
Nationals vs Angels+0.0-0.1-0.0
Rangers vs Phillies-0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T123456789101112131415161718192021222324
167-0-041471200
15.56-0-110424080
156-1-0104140810
5-0-21113837121
14.55-1-1110383613200
4-0-3273629197
145-2-01103737142000
4-1-21626342581
13.54-2-10062334259100
3-1-33112742161
134-3-0006213225102400
3-2-20210273620210
2-1-4204040
12.53-3-100182333209410
2-2-302206237610
123-4-00141421143014200
2-3-202124281713410
1-2-4252550
11.52-4-10016191329238100
1-3-3126151429176
112-5-00014153629122000
1-4-205051833261020
0-3-4100
10.51-5-1000417333013200
0-4-31062339193
101-6-000314313316300
0-5-2031632321420
9.50-6-10021232341630
90-7-00110303519400
Total:149121211961110642110000