"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/30100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Tigers 180 Giants 233 +8.5
+0.6
Twins 332 Rockies 327 +2.4
+0.1
Astros 266 Cubs 329 -2.0
-0.1
Royals 328.5 Dodgers 294 +1.7
+0.1
Indians 225.5 Diamondbacks 222.5 +1.4
+0.1
Angels 253 Reds 221 +0.4
+0.1
Phillies 351 Blue Jays 243 -0.2
-0.1
Nationals 292 Yankees 248 -0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 7/7100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Red Sox vs Giants-10.9+1.0+10.9
-0.6+0.1+0.6
Tigers vs Cubs+3.2+1.5-3.3
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Rays vs Dodgers+2.8+1.5-2.9
+0.1+0.1-0.1
Blue Jays vs Rockies+2.3-1.9-2.2
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Yankees vs Diamondbacks+1.4*+0.4-1.5
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Rangers vs Phillies+0.5*+0.4-0.5
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Nationals vs Angels-0.2*-0.1+0.2
Indians vs Reds+0.2*-0.1-0.2
Royals vs Pirates+0.1*+0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Giants finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs123456789101112Count
157-0-0In62360116,493
14.56-0-1In3163434,569
146-1-099.6%21605130113,848
5-0-2In2164511573
13.55-1-199.15581720128,050
4-0-3In45213333
135-2-089.823715361000342,475
4-1-290.72401732902,870
3-0-4In50502
12.54-2-179.10162241191069,537
3-1-382.3182441162147
124-3-044.70511284014200570,749
3-2-245.1611294113105,620
2-1-440.02020605
11.53-3-120.10514433060093,492
2-2-321.661639327282
113-4-05.3014233926710569,401
2-3-24.7132239277005,401
1-2-4Out2040405
10.52-4-10.30062842213069,734
1-3-30.6153047152167
102-5-00.0001103239162342,089
1-4-2Out0832421612,828
0-3-4Out25754
9.51-5-1Out01134436528,094
0-4-3Out286026450
91-6-0Out004284919113,662
0-5-2Out2265319512
8.50-6-1Out001253344,689
80-7-0Out043659116,523
Total:34.8%211715191613106202,401,904
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 6/30100.0*Lottery seed
Tigers 180 Giants 233 -1.0
Indians 225.5 Diamondbacks 222.5 -0.1
Twins 332 Rockies 327 -0.1
Astros 266 Cubs 329 +0.1
Angels 253 Reds 221 -0.1
Mets 186 Red Sox 237 +0.1
Rangers 290 Brewers 266 +0.0
Phillies 351 Blue Jays 243 +0.0
Royals 328.5 Dodgers 294 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 7/7100.0*Lottery seed
Red Sox vs Giants+1.1+0.7-1.1
Tigers vs Cubs-0.1-0.1+0.1
Rays vs Dodgers-0.1-0.1+0.1
Yankees vs Diamondbacks-0.1-0.1+0.1
Rangers vs Phillies-0.0-0.1+0.0
Blue Jays vs Rockies-0.1-0.1+0.1
Nationals vs Angels+0.0-0.1-0.0
Royals vs Pirates+0.0-0.1-0.0
Astros vs Mets+0.0-0.1-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T123456789101112131415161718192021222324
157-0-0134137910
14.56-0-10832381840
146-1-0073038205100
5-0-202173029183
13.55-1-1003142932174100
4-0-36153642
135-2-0002112530174910
4-1-20516363454000
3-0-4100
12.54-2-1003133231118200
3-1-3114683653
124-3-00027181829215000
3-2-20173861919920
2-1-440202020
11.53-3-1003178262814300
2-2-302141326181330
113-4-0001592934185100
2-3-2005031529291440
1-2-4206020
10.52-4-1000313303217410
1-3-312163329154
102-5-00002112834195100
1-4-2031331311740
0-3-4502525
9.51-5-100212303318400
0-4-328344682
91-6-000211293519400
0-5-203153333134
8.50-6-1021333341520
80-7-0021233351520
Total:012457881114121085321000