How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/30100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Angels 253 Reds 221 +4.0
+0.3
Astros 266 Cubs 329 +2.6
+0.1
Rangers 290 Brewers 266 -0.5
Royals 328.5 Dodgers 294 -0.5
Mets 186 Red Sox 237 -0.2
Phillies 351 Blue Jays 243 +0.2
+0.1
Twins 332 Rockies 327 -0.1
-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 7/7100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Nationals vs Angels-2.2+0.7+2.1
-0.3-0.1+0.3
Astros vs Mets-1.4+0.9+1.4
Rangers vs Phillies-0.5*-0.2+0.5
Royals vs Pirates-0.2*+0.0+0.2
Blue Jays vs Rockies-0.1*+0.1+0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Red Sox vs Giants-0.1-0.0+0.1
Twins vs Brewers-0.1-0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Angels finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs123456789101112Count
177-0-0In10016,255
16.56-0-1In9824,604
166-1-0In9460114,540
5-0-2In964524
15.55-1-1In8317027,888
4-0-3In7721339
155-2-0In70301341,366
4-1-2In712912,921
3-0-4In1001
14.54-2-1In4550569,842
3-1-3In45533139
144-3-0In30619570,445
3-2-2In306195,778
2-1-4In1005
13.53-3-1In9603292,876
2-2-3In75934217
133-4-099.7%55539100569,806
2-3-299.745738005,701
1-2-4In2060205
12.52-4-198.90257311070,159
1-3-398.61355931148
122-5-093.7019722510342,945
1-4-293.719732512,863
0-3-4In67333
11.51-5-184.6480197027,878
0-4-382.5378351340
111-6-064.4262115191113,251
0-5-264.9262115191538
10.50-6-144.7450740804,564
100-7-020.4200652211016,563
Total:96.5%2640301220002,401,904
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 6/30100.0*Lottery seed
Angels 253 Reds 221 -0.8
Phillies 351 Blue Jays 243 -0.1
Nationals 292 Yankees 248 +0.1
Mets 186 Red Sox 237 +0.1
Astros 266 Cubs 329 -0.1
Mariners 198.5 Pirates 288.5 +0.0
Twins 332 Rockies 327 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 7/7100.0*Lottery seed
Nationals vs Angels+0.8+0.5-0.8
Twins vs Brewers+0.1-0.1-0.1
Royals vs Pirates+0.0-0.1-0.0
Rays vs Dodgers-0.1-0.1+0.1
Red Sox vs Giants+0.0-0.1-0.0
Blue Jays vs Rockies+0.0-0.1-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T123456789101112131415161718192021222324
177-0-080190
16.56-0-151464
166-1-0494650
5-0-22155231
15.55-1-118562520
4-0-32362105
155-2-0175328200
4-1-2228471840
3-0-4100
14.54-2-12254920400
3-1-31224024121
144-3-022249224000
3-2-2022035281120
2-1-420202040
13.53-3-1021835291330
2-2-3091741256
133-4-002163430143000
2-3-21519353011000
1-2-42080
12.52-4-100416333212100
1-3-35296511
122-5-00031431321352000
1-4-203246613210
0-3-4100
11.51-5-1032062365200
0-4-3833358
111-6-00021449614114100
0-5-216414121341
10.50-6-11440281718810
100-7-0020021126261220
Total:617221612107611100000