SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/30100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Mariners 198.5 Pirates 288.5 +0.8
+0.2
Astros 266 Cubs 329 -0.4
Angels 253 Reds 221 +0.2
Twins 332 Rockies 327 +0.1
Tigers 180 Giants 233 -0.1
Royals 328.5 Dodgers 294 +0.1
+0.1
Indians 225.5 Diamondbacks 222.5 +0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 7/7100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Royals vs Pirates-0.3+0.1+0.3
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Tigers vs Cubs+0.2-0.1-0.2
Red Sox vs Giants+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Rays vs Dodgers+0.0*+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Pirates finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs123456789101112Count
16.5-19In100578,586*
164-3-0In991569,054
3-2-2In9915,625
2-1-4In1006
15.53-3-1In98293,182
2-2-3In982260
153-4-0In9280570,858
2-3-2In92805,648
1-2-4In1003
14.52-4-1In85140169,860
1-3-3In84161154
142-5-0100.0%6037210341,864
1-4-2In6334212,886
0-3-4In50502
13.51-5-199.9414478027,866
0-4-3In41495541
131-6-098.21259189200114,356
0-5-297.81458161020544
12.50-6-190.433631219104,481
120-7-069.302736617122016,628
Total:99.7%86112100002,401,904

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 6/30100.0*Lottery seed
Mariners 198.5 Pirates 288.5 -0.4
Twins 332 Rockies 327 +0.1
Angels 253 Reds 221 +0.0
Royals 328.5 Dodgers 294 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 7/7100.0*Lottery seed
Royals vs Pirates+0.3+0.2-0.3
Twins vs Brewers+0.1-0.1-0.1
Nationals vs Angels-0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T123456789101112131415161718192021222324
197-0-0100
18.56-0-11000
186-1-01000
5-0-2982
17.55-1-1982
4-0-38911
175-2-09820
4-1-289110
3-0-45050
16.54-2-189110
3-1-3623611
164-3-0891100
3-2-2643430
2-1-48317
15.53-3-16434300
2-2-320502451
153-4-06334300
2-3-223492350
1-2-43367
14.52-4-12249244000
1-3-311128351861
142-5-021482550000
1-4-211333341540
0-3-45050
13.51-5-11123133174100
0-4-322741245
131-6-011129331851020
0-5-228203527620
12.50-6-1017193224782
120-7-001414252062650
Total:6622731100000
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:12 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)