Cincinatti Reds Playoff Chances 2019 50/50
Lost to Angels 221-253, playoff odds down 3.6 to 3%
6-7-0 .462
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 6/30 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Angels 253 Reds 221 | -3.8 | -0.5 | ||
| Twins 332 Rockies 327 | +1.1 | +0.1 | ||
| Tigers 180 Giants 233 | -0.9 | -0.1 | ||
| Indians 225.5 Diamondbacks 222.5 | +0.6 | +0.1 | ||
| Astros 266 Cubs 329 | -0.6 | -0.1 | ||
| Royals 328.5 Dodgers 294 | +0.5 | |||
| Mariners 198.5 Pirates 288.5 | -0.1 | |||
| Phillies 351 Blue Jays 243 | -0.1 | -0.1 | ||
| Braves 268.5 Rays 207.5 | -0.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 7/7 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Indians vs Reds | -2.0-0.8+2.1 | -0.5-0.1+0.5 | ||
| Red Sox vs Giants | +0.6+0.3-0.6 | |||
| Blue Jays vs Rockies | +0.5-0.3-0.5 | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | ||
| Tigers vs Cubs | +0.4-0.3-0.4 | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | ||
| Rays vs Dodgers | +0.3*+0.2-0.3 | |||
| Yankees vs Diamondbacks | +0.2-0.3-0.2 | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | ||
| Rangers vs Phillies | +0.1*-0.0-0.1 | +0.1*-0.0-0.1 | ||
| Nationals vs Angels | -0.0*-0.1+0.1 | |||
| Braves vs Mariners | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Reds finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Count | |||
| 13 | 7 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 83.7 | % | 0 | 1 | 0 | 82 | 16 | 1 | 16,426 | ||||||||
| 12 | .5 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 64.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 64 | 31 | 4 | 0 | 4,742 | |||||||
| 12 | 6 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 34.8 | 35 | 45 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 114,425 | ||||||||||
| 5 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 35.2 | 35 | 43 | 19 | 3 | 528 | ||||||||||||
| 11 | .5 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 10.9 | 11 | 39 | 37 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 27,582 | ||||||||
| 4 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 8.8 | 9 | 38 | 44 | 9 | 34 | ||||||||||||
| 11 | 5 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 3.2 | 3 | 21 | 39 | 28 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 341,969 | ||||||||
| 4 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 3.4 | 3 | 21 | 39 | 28 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2,840 | |||||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | - | 4 | Out | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 0.1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 42 | 29 | 6 | 0 | 69,481 | |||||||
| 3 | - | 1 | - | 3 | Out | 3 | 18 | 42 | 31 | 6 | 147 | |||||||||||
| 10 | 4 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 30 | 39 | 19 | 2 | 570,901 | ||||||||
| 3 | - | 2 | - | 2 | Out | 1 | 8 | 31 | 39 | 19 | 2 | 5,691 | ||||||||||
| 2 | - | 1 | - | 4 | Out | 100 | 2 | |||||||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 0 | 8 | 36 | 47 | 9 | 92,645 | ||||||||
| 2 | - | 2 | - | 3 | Out | 0 | 10 | 31 | 51 | 8 | 239 | |||||||||||
| 9 | 3 | - | 4 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 50 | 24 | 569,434 | |||||||||
| 2 | - | 3 | - | 2 | Out | 0 | 3 | 22 | 51 | 25 | 5,696 | |||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 6 | 47 | 47 | 69,640 | ||||||||||
| 1 | - | 3 | - | 3 | Out | 5 | 40 | 55 | 130 | |||||||||||||
| 8 | 2 | - | 5 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 66 | 1 | 342,575 | |||||||||
| 1 | - | 4 | - | 2 | Out | 0 | 2 | 29 | 68 | 1 | 2,793 | |||||||||||
| 0 | - | 3 | - | 4 | Out | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 16 | 83 | 1 | 28,244 | ||||||||||
| 0 | - | 4 | - | 3 | Out | 16 | 84 | 38 | ||||||||||||||
| 7 | 1 | - | 6 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 0 | 6 | 86 | 8 | 0 | 113,876 | |||||||||
| 0 | - | 5 | - | 2 | Out | 4 | 90 | 7 | 541 | |||||||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 0 | - | 6 | - | 1 | Out | 1 | 88 | 11 | 0 | 4,727 | ||||||||||
| 6 | 0 | - | 7 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 66 | 33 | 1 | 16,556 | |||||||||||
| Total: | 3.0 | % | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 19 | 25 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 2,401,904 | |||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 6/30 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Angels 253 Reds 221 | +0.9 | |
| Tigers 180 Giants 233 | +0.1 | |
| Rangers 290 Brewers 266 | +0.1 | |
| Phillies 351 Blue Jays 243 | +0.1 | |
| Indians 225.5 Diamondbacks 222.5 | -0.1 | |
| Nationals 292 Yankees 248 | -0.1 | |
| Twins 332 Rockies 327 | -0.1 | |
| Braves 268.5 Rays 207.5 | +0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 7/7 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Indians vs Reds | +0.9+0.7-0.9 | |
| Astros vs Mets | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | |
| Rangers vs Phillies | +0.0-0.2-0.0 | |
| Braves vs Mariners | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | |
| Yankees vs Diamondbacks | +0.0-0.2+0.0 | |
| Tigers vs Cubs | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | |
| Red Sox vs Giants | -0.0-0.1+0.0 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | |
| 13 | 7 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 30 | 25 | 7 | 14 | 2 | 0 | |||||||||||||||
| 12 | .5 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 38 | 9 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 0 | |||||||||||||||
| 12 | 6 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 20 | 18 | 28 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | 3 | 32 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 23 | 12 | 3 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
| 11 | .5 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 31 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 41 | 24 | 6 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | 5 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 25 | 34 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 28 | 33 | 18 | 5 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | - | 4 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 26 | 34 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 3 | 19 | 29 | 38 | 10 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | 4 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 25 | 35 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 33 | 34 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 34 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 0 | 8 | 24 | 36 | 29 | 3 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | 3 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 31 | 35 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 38 | 26 | 6 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 38 | 28 | 7 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 3 | 12 | 38 | 38 | 7 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | 2 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 37 | 30 | 8 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 38 | 37 | 10 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 36 | 40 | 11 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 8 | 24 | 50 | 13 | 5 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | 1 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 34 | 42 | 12 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 0 | 4 | 36 | 41 | 17 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 0 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 0 | 5 | 34 | 41 | 17 | 3 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||
| 6 | 0 | - | 7 | - | 0 | 0 | 4 | 31 | 43 | 18 | 3 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 16 | 15 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:12 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
