How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/30100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Astros 266 Cubs 329 -2.6
-0.2
Angels 253 Reds 221 -1.6
-0.0
Royals 328.5 Dodgers 294 -0.4
Phillies 351 Blue Jays 243 +0.3
Rangers 290 Brewers 266 -0.0
Nationals 292 Yankees 248 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 7/7100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Nationals vs Angels+1.0-0.7-0.8
Astros vs Mets+0.2-1.1-1.3
+0.1-0.2-0.4
Royals vs Pirates-0.2*-0.0+0.1
Blue Jays vs Rockies-0.1-0.1+0.0
-0.1-0.0+0.0
Rangers vs Phillies-0.1-0.1+0.1
Yankees vs Diamondbacks-0.1-0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Astros finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs123456789101112Count
137-0-040.7%13274910126,708
12.56-0-113.2094523533,092
126-1-06.305143510754,876
5-0-26.1051415303,716
11.55-1-10.71019774163,243
4-0-30.5018793211
115-2-00.3001280801,742,637
4-1-20.3001180914,483
3-0-4Out861414
10.54-2-10.000270280300,002
3-1-3Out276220651
104-3-00.0001593911,993,362
3-2-2Out15841020,380
2-1-4Out712921
9.53-3-1Out0306720260,266
2-2-3Out37612658
93-4-0Out019701101,200,447
2-3-2Out19719012,544
1-2-4Out20671315
8.52-4-1Out574210111,711
1-3-3Out1071190259
82-5-0Out2494910377,616
1-4-2Out1514713,498
0-3-4Out1002
7.51-5-1Out035624022,358
0-4-3Out2468838
71-6-0Out01073161057,027
0-5-2Out877141305
6.50-6-1Out36330401,646
60-7-0Out036432013,926
Total:1.5%0109513260007,205,712
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 6/30100.0*Lottery seed
Astros 266 Cubs 329 +0.6
Indians 225.5 Diamondbacks 222.5 -0.1
Phillies 351 Blue Jays 243 +0.1
Twins 332 Rockies 327 -0.0
Tigers 180 Giants 233 +0.0
Rangers 290 Brewers 266 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 7/7100.0*Lottery seed
Astros vs Mets-0.2+1.3+1.3
Red Sox vs Giants-0.0-0.0+0.2
Indians vs Reds-0.2-0.2+0.0
Rangers vs Phillies+0.0-0.2-0.0
Yankees vs Diamondbacks-0.1-0.2+0.0
Blue Jays vs Rockies-0.0-0.1+0.0
Braves vs Mariners+0.0-0.1-0.1
Tigers vs Cubs-0.1-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T123456789101112131415161718192021222324
137-0-000619143523200
12.56-0-10211835321010
126-1-000158373512100
5-0-2060320362681
11.55-1-10104203628910
4-0-30182443195
115-2-0000419362910200
4-1-2001825352470
3-0-45743
10.54-2-10017243525810
3-1-302143239130
104-3-000016223427910
3-2-201113243130
2-1-4529625
9.53-3-100011031431400
2-2-31636507
93-4-0001930451510
2-3-2004355290
1-2-476727
8.52-4-10043352110
1-3-3753381
82-5-00033251140
1-4-20646462
0-3-4100
7.51-5-105415120
0-4-3136621
71-6-004375630
0-5-2968222
6.50-6-105662530
60-7-004632940
Total:00001259131516151472000