Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

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Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seed
GW-L-TPCTGD%Change123456789101112Avg.ChangeRPI
Nationals9-4-0.69234489.1%+2.33295712232103.1+0.2811Washington Nationals
Phillies7-6-0.538120.519.0+2.803881114161614906.6+0.4614Philadelphia Phillies
Braves5-8-0.385-88.51.0-0.2010136112354209.2+0.2617Atlanta Braves
Mets1-12-0.077-1180Out-0.0002653311.3-0.0524New York Mets

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 6/30
Phillies 351 Blue Jays 243
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Nationals-4.5
-0.2
Phillies+6.7
+0.6
Braves-0.2
-0.1
Nationals 292 Yankees 248
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Nationals+5.5
+0.4
Phillies-4.0
-0.1
Braves-0.6
Braves 268.5 Rays 207.5
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Nationals-0.6
Phillies-0.2
-0.1
Braves+0.8
+0.3
Twins 332 Rockies 327
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Nationals+0.1
Phillies+0.6
Royals 328.5 Dodgers 294
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Nationals+0.1
Phillies+0.5
Astros 266 Cubs 329
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Nationals*-0.1
Phillies-0.5
-0.1
Tigers 180 Giants 233
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Phillies-0.4
-0.1
Indians 225.5 Diamondbacks 222.5
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Phillies+0.4
+0.1
Angels 253 Reds 221
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Phillies+0.2
+0.1
Braves+0.1
Mets 186 Red Sox 237
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Mets-0.1
Rangers 290 Brewers 266
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Mets+0.1
Week of 7/7
Rangers vs PhilliesIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Nationals93.286.885.1
2.93.23.3
Phillies10.8*19.027.2
7.36.66.0
Braves1.1*1.00.9
9.19.29.2
Nationals vs AngelsHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Nationals94.387.283.9
2.83.13.5
Phillies15.920.222.0
6.76.66.5
Braves0.61.31.5
Tigers vs CubsHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Nationals89.3*88.988.9
Phillies20.418.117.6
6.56.76.7
Braves1.1*1.00.9
Braves vs MarinersHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Nationals88.7*88.989.5
Phillies18.7*19.119.2
6.76.66.6
Braves1.8*1.00.2
8.89.29.5
Blue Jays vs RockiesHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Nationals89.2*89.388.9
Phillies20.1*19.317.9
6.66.66.7
Braves1.1*0.91.0
Red Sox vs GiantsHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Nationals89.2*89.288.9
Phillies19.8*18.618.2
6.6*6.76.7
Braves1.1*1.00.9
Rays vs DodgersHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Nationals89.2*89.089.0
Phillies19.818.418.2
Braves1.0*1.11.0
Yankees vs DiamondbacksHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Nationals89.2*89.289.0
Phillies19.5*18.618.5
6.56.76.7
Indians vs RedsHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Phillies19.2*19.318.8
6.66.66.7
Braves9.19.29.2
Astros vs MetsHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Mets11.411.311.2
Twins vs BrewersHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Mets11.211.311.4

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.