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Chicago Cubs Playoff Chances 2019 50/50
Beat Astros 329-266, playoff odds up 11.9 to 35.6%
8-5-0 .615
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 6/30 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Astros 266 Cubs 329 | +8.5 | +0.5 | ||
| Twins 332 Rockies 327 | +2.1 | +0.1 | ||
| Royals 328.5 Dodgers 294 | +1.5 | |||
| Indians 225.5 Diamondbacks 222.5 | +1.5 | +0.1 | ||
| Tigers 180 Giants 233 | -1.3 | -0.1 | ||
| Angels 253 Reds 221 | +0.8 | +0.1 | ||
| Phillies 351 Blue Jays 243 | -0.7 | -0.1 | ||
| Nationals 292 Yankees 248 | -0.3 | |||
| Mariners 198.5 Pirates 288.5 | -0.3 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 7/7 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Tigers vs Cubs | -10.9*-0.6+10.9 | -0.5+0.1+0.5 | ||
| Red Sox vs Giants | +2.3-1.0-2.2 | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | ||
| Blue Jays vs Rockies | +2.3*+0.3-2.3 | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | ||
| Rangers vs Phillies | +1.8+1.2-1.9 | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | ||
| Rays vs Dodgers | +1.8*+0.0-1.8 | |||
| Yankees vs Diamondbacks | +1.4*+0.5-1.4 | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | ||
| Indians vs Reds | +0.7*+0.1-0.7 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | ||
| Nationals vs Angels | -0.7*+0.5+0.6 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Cubs finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Count | |||
| 15 | 7 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 34 | 2 | 0 | 64 | 16,663 | |||||||||||
| 14 | .5 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 28 | 3 | 0 | 69 | 4,647 | ||||||||||
| 14 | 6 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 99.9 | % | 7 | 3 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 113,603 | |||||||||
| 5 | - | 0 | - | 2 | In | 9 | 3 | 0 | 88 | 574 | ||||||||||||
| 13 | .5 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 99.1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 91 | 1 | 27,803 | |||||||||
| 4 | - | 0 | - | 3 | In | 6 | 3 | 91 | 34 | |||||||||||||
| 13 | 5 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 92.3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 91 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 341,998 | ||||||||
| 4 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 94.1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 93 | 6 | 0 | 2,870 | ||||||||||
| 12 | .5 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 79.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 78 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 70,241 | |||||||
| 3 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 80.3 | 1 | 80 | 18 | 1 | 137 | ||||||||||||
| 12 | 4 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 47.2 | 47 | 40 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 569,581 | |||||||||
| 3 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 48.9 | 49 | 40 | 10 | 1 | 5,773 | ||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 75.0 | 75 | 25 | 4 | ||||||||||||||
| 11 | .5 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 18.4 | 18 | 45 | 30 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 93,101 | ||||||||
| 2 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 19.6 | 20 | 47 | 29 | 4 | 0 | 225 | |||||||||||
| 11 | 3 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 5.0 | 5 | 23 | 38 | 26 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 570,546 | ||||||||
| 2 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 4.2 | 4 | 23 | 39 | 26 | 7 | 0 | 5,786 | ||||||||||
| 1 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 25.0 | 25 | 50 | 25 | 4 | |||||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 0.3 | 0 | 6 | 28 | 41 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 69,793 | |||||||
| 1 | - | 3 | - | 3 | Out | 6 | 29 | 41 | 22 | 2 | 156 | |||||||||||
| 10 | 2 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 30 | 40 | 19 | 1 | 341,838 | ||||||||
| 1 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 0.1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 29 | 43 | 18 | 1 | 2,733 | |||||||||
| 0 | - | 3 | - | 4 | Out | 50 | 50 | 2 | ||||||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 1 | 14 | 42 | 38 | 5 | 28,057 | ||||||||
| 0 | - | 4 | - | 3 | Out | 12 | 53 | 32 | 3 | 34 | ||||||||||||
| 9 | 1 | - | 6 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 56 | 16 | 114,003 | |||||||||
| 0 | - | 5 | - | 2 | Out | 3 | 22 | 60 | 15 | 541 | ||||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 0 | - | 6 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 9 | 54 | 37 | 4,663 | ||||||||||
| 8 | 0 | - | 7 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 2 | 48 | 50 | 0 | 16,494 | ||||||||||
| Total: | 35.6 | % | 1 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 19 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2,401,904 | ||||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 6/30 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Astros 266 Cubs 329 | -1.1 | |
| Tigers 180 Giants 233 | +0.1 | |
| Indians 225.5 Diamondbacks 222.5 | -0.1 | |
| Twins 332 Rockies 327 | -0.1 | |
| Angels 253 Reds 221 | -0.1 | |
| Phillies 351 Blue Jays 243 | +0.1 | |
| Mets 186 Red Sox 237 | +0.1 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 7/7 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Tigers vs Cubs | +1.0+0.7-1.0 | |
| Rangers vs Phillies | -0.1-0.1+0.1 | |
| Rays vs Dodgers | -0.1-0.1+0.1 | |
| Red Sox vs Giants | -0.1-0.1+0.1 | |
| Blue Jays vs Rockies | -0.1-0.1+0.1 | |
| Yankees vs Diamondbacks | -0.1-0.1+0.1 | |
| Nationals vs Angels | +0.0-0.1-0.0 | |
| Indians vs Reds | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | |
| Royals vs Pirates | +0.0-0.1-0.0 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | |
| 15 | 7 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 12 | 39 | 38 | 10 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14 | .5 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 0 | 7 | 29 | 37 | 20 | 5 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||
| 14 | 6 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 6 | 28 | 38 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 29 | 35 | 18 | 3 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 13 | .5 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 28 | 33 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 9 | 24 | 26 | 41 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 13 | 5 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 31 | 19 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 37 | 37 | 3 | 3 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | .5 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 31 | 32 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 15 | 66 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 3 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | 4 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 27 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 41 | 5 | 16 | 18 | 10 | 2 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 75 | 25 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | .5 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 8 | 26 | 29 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 20 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 20 | 27 | 11 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | 3 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 29 | 34 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 30 | 29 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 25 | 25 | 50 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 30 | 32 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 2 | 13 | 33 | 35 | 13 | 5 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | 2 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 28 | 33 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 29 | 35 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 29 | 34 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 3 | 12 | 24 | 47 | 15 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | 1 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 28 | 35 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 34 | 35 | 12 | 2 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 0 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 36 | 15 | 3 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||
| 8 | 0 | - | 7 | - | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 32 | 36 | 17 | 3 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:12 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
