How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/30100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Braves 268.5 Rays 207.5 -0.1
-0.4
Indians 225.5 Diamondbacks 222.5 -0.1
Tigers 180 Giants 233 +0.1
Mariners 198.5 Pirates 288.5 +0.1
Rangers 290 Brewers 266 -0.1
Nationals 292 Yankees 248 +0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 7/7100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Rays vs Dodgers+0.0*OutOut
+0.4-0.0-0.4
Tigers vs Cubs-0.1+0.1+0.1
Indians vs Reds-0.1+0.0+0.1
Braves vs Mariners+0.1-0.0-0.1
Yankees vs Diamondbacks-0.1-0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Rays finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs123456789101112Count
107-0-00.3%01065232016,436
9.56-0-1Out1325016104,742
96-1-0Out0184528710114,001
5-0-2Out019482670564
8.55-1-1Out22346254027,705
4-0-3Out4254023848
85-2-0Out11135361610342,260
4-1-2Out01035381612,768
3-0-4Out1001
7.54-2-1Out011645353070,095
3-1-3Out11437452161
2-0-5Out1001
74-3-0Out0062851141570,098
3-2-2Out0528511415,636
2-1-4Out171733336
6.53-3-1Out1145627292,960
2-2-3Out1457272237
63-4-0Out00441469569,516
2-3-2Out04414595,662
1-2-4Out60405
5.52-4-1Out0125542069,679
1-3-3Out1344421152
52-5-0Out0115038342,592
1-4-2Out01150392,895
0-3-4Out50502
4.51-5-1Out04385827,998
0-4-3Out425831
41-6-0Out12673113,889
0-5-2Out12772583
3.50-6-1Out012874,633
30-7-0Out079316,548
Total:0.0%00249163026142,401,904
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 6/30100.0*Lottery seed
Braves 268.5 Rays 207.5 +0.7
Indians 225.5 Diamondbacks 222.5 +0.1
Mariners 198.5 Pirates 288.5 -0.1
Tigers 180 Giants 233 -0.1
Nationals 292 Yankees 248 -0.0
Rangers 290 Brewers 266 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 7/7100.0*Lottery seed
Rays vs Dodgers-0.5+0.5+0.5
Indians vs Reds+0.1-0.1-0.1
Tigers vs Cubs+0.1-0.1-0.1
Braves vs Mariners-0.0-0.1+0.0
Astros vs Mets-0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T123456789101112131415161718192021222324
107-0-0000212303417400
9.56-0-1021028362040
96-1-0001926362250
5-0-22154132110
8.55-1-10021234371400
4-0-3631584
85-2-000021133391500
4-1-207344990
3-0-4100
7.54-2-10063252900
3-1-35474071
2-0-5100
74-3-0000631531000
3-2-207473880
2-1-45050
6.53-3-10064838810
2-2-31341388
63-4-00064838810
2-3-2015423480
1-2-42080
5.52-4-1014433490
1-3-321841327
52-5-00014433490
1-4-211541367
0-3-4100
4.51-5-111442376
0-4-3365535
41-6-0011441376
0-5-22165131
3.50-6-101155232
30-7-001145133
Total:00000012481632211141