Helsinki Tankers Playoff Chances 3

Did not play, playoff odds up 1.2 to 54.1%

4 points 2 2-0

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Saturday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Tier III	100.0*	Average seed
Dealers 7 B. Capitals 4					-0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Tier III	100.0*	Average seed
Knights vs Tankers	-7.1-1.8-1.6+5.6+5.7+5.7		-0.9-0.4-0.3+0.6+0.7+0.8		+3.5+0.8+0.6-2.8-2.7-2.8		-0.7-0.2-0.2+0.6+0.6+0.6
Canadiens vs ELe	+0.0-0.4-0.4*-0.4-0.5+0.1				-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.2+0.2+0.1
Grinders vs Raju	+0.0-0.4-0.5-0.4-0.4+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Tankers finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed															Tier
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	III		Count

63	-76						In		99.4	%	100															No		1,088	*
62		28	6		-	2	In		97.6		99	1														No		786	*
61		28	7		-	1	In		95.3		99	1														No		1,499	*
60		27	7		-	2	In		93.7		99	1														No		2,888	*
59		27	8		-	1	In		88.2		97	3														No		4,849	*
58		26	8		-	2	In		80.8		95	5	0													No		8,161	*
57		26	9		-	1	In		72.1		92	8	0	0												No		12,741	*
56		25	9		-	2	In		60.0		87	13	1													No		19,982	*
55		24	9		-	3	In		45.7		79	19	1	0												No		29,383	*
54		24	10		-	2	In		31.4		70	27	3	0												No		42,261	*
53		23	10		-	3	In		18.0		56	36	7	1	0											No		57,935	*
52		23	11		-	2	In		8.5		42	42	14	2	0	0										No		78,154	*
51		22	11		-	3	In		2.8		28	44	23	5	1	0	0									No		100,382	*
50		22	12		-	2	In		0.7		15	38	32	12	2	0	0									No		126,858	*
49		21	12		-	3	In		0.1		7	26	36	23	7	1	0	0								No		152,586	*
48		21	13		-	2	100.0	%	0.0		3	16	33	31	14	3	0	0	0							No		92,192
		20	12		-	4	100.0		0.0		2	12	29	32	18	5	1	0	0							No		88,359	*
47		20	13		-	3	100.0		No		0	4	18	32	29	13	3	0	0	0						No		93,633
		21	14		-	1	100.0		No		1	6	20	32	26	12	3	0	0	0						No		111,258	*
46		20	14		-	2	99.7		No		0	1	8	22	31	25	11	3	0	0	0					No		228,213	*
45		19	14		-	3	97.5		No		0	0	1	8	22	32	24	10	2	0	0					No		111,816
		20	15		-	1	97.6		No		0	0	2	10	23	30	22	9	2	0	0	0				No		132,063	*
44		19	15		-	2	92.3		No			0	0	3	13	26	31	19	6	1	0	0				No		161,028	*
		18	14		-	4	82.6		No			0	0	1	6	18	30	27	13	4	1	0	0			No		95,266	*
43		18	15		-	3	61.0		No				0	0	2	8	21	31	25	11	3	0	0			No		164,652	*
		19	16		-	1	77.0		No			0	0	1	4	15	28	29	17	5	1	0	0			No		93,360
42		18	16		-	2	44.2		No				0	0	0	3	13	27	30	19	6	1	0	0		No		159,073	*
		17	15		-	4	26.3		No					0	0	1	6	19	30	27	13	3	0	0		No		95,804	*
41		17	16		-	3	14.3		No					0	0	0	3	11	24	31	21	8	1	0	0	0.0	%	241,701	*
40		17	17		-	2	3.6		No						0	0	0	3	12	26	31	20	6	1	0	0.0		224,885	*
39		16	17		-	3	0.4		No							0	0	0	3	13	28	32	18	4	0	0.4		92,325
		17	18		-	1	0.8		No							0	0	1	4	16	28	30	16	4	0	0.5		108,808	*
38		16	18		-	2	0.1		No								0	0	1	5	18	32	29	12	2	3.9		177,318	*
37		15	18		-	3	0.0		No									0	0	1	8	24	36	24	6	15.9		149,406	*
36		15	19		-	2	Out		No										0	0	3	14	34	36	13	38.7		124,604	*
35		14	19		-	3	Out		No										0	0	1	7	25	43	24	64.3		98,659	*
34		14	20		-	2	Out		No											0	0	3	16	43	38	83.6		76,905	*
33		13	20		-	3	Out		No												0	1	9	38	52	94.0		57,732	*
32		13	21		-	2	Out		No												0	0	4	30	65	98.3		42,987	*
31		12	21		-	3	Out		No												0	0	2	22	75	99.6		30,113	*
30		12	22		-	2	Out		No													0	1	15	84	99.9		20,733	*
29		11	22		-	3	Out		No														0	10	90	100.0		13,681	*
28		11	23		-	2	Out		No														0	6	94	Yes		8,803	*
27		10	23		-	3	Out		No														0	4	96	Yes		5,657	*
26		10	24		-	2	Out		No															2	98	Yes		3,412	*
25		9	24		-	3	Out		No															1	99	Yes		1,912	*
24		9	25		-	2	Out		No															1	99	Yes		1,128	*
23		9	26		-	1	Out		No															0	100	Yes		635	*
22		8	26		-	2	Out		No															1	99	Yes		320	*
4	-21						Out		No																100	Yes		606	*

Total:							54.1	%	2.3	%	6	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	6	6	10.4	%	3,748,600

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday	None

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Knights vs Tankers	+1.5+0.4+0.4-1.2-1.2-1.2

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

65	-76						100
64		29	5		-	2	100	0
63		29	6		-	1	99	1
62		28	6		-	2	98	2
61		28	7		-	1	95	5
60		27	7		-	2	94	6	0
59		27	8		-	1	88	11	0
58		26	8		-	2	81	18	1	0
57		26	9		-	1	72	24	3	0
56		25	9		-	2	60	33	7	1	0
55		24	9		-	3	46	39	13	2	0	0
54		24	10		-	2	31	41	21	6	1	0	0
53		23	10		-	3	18	36	29	13	3	0	0	0
52		23	11		-	2	8	26	32	22	9	2	0	0	0	0
51		22	11		-	3	3	14	27	28	18	7	2	0	0	0	0
50		22	12		-	2	1	5	15	25	26	17	8	2	0	0	0	0
49		21	12		-	3	0	1	5	15	23	25	18	9	3	1	0	0	0
48		21	13		-	2	0	0	1	5	12	21	24	20	11	5	1	0	0	0
47		20	13		-	3		0	0	0	2	8	16	23	23	16	8	3	1	0	0
		21	14		-	1		0	0	1	4	10	18	23	21	14	7	3	1	0	0	0
46		20	14		-	2		0	0	0	0	2	5	12	20	23	19	12	5	2	0	0	0
45		19	14		-	3				0	0	0	1	3	7	15	21	22	17	10	4	1	0	0	0	0
44		19	15		-	2						0	0	0	1	5	11	19	23	20	13	5	2	0	0	0	0
		18	14		-	4							0	0	0	1	4	11	19	23	21	13	6	2	0	0	0	0
43		18	15		-	3							0	0	0	0	1	4	10	17	22	21	14	7	3	1	0	0	0	0
42		18	16		-	2								0	0	0	0	0	2	5	13	21	24	19	11	4	1	0	0	0
		17	15		-	4										0	0	0	1	4	9	16	21	21	16	8	3	1	0	0	0
41		17	16		-	3											0	0	0	0	2	6	12	20	23	19	12	5	2	0	0	0	0
40		17	17		-	2													0	0	0	1	3	8	17	23	22	15	7	2	1	0	0
		16	16		-	4														0	0	1	2	6	12	19	23	19	12	5	1	0	0
39		16	17		-	3															0	0	0	1	4	10	18	23	21	14	7	2	0	0	0
38		16	18		-	2																0	0	0	1	2	6	14	22	24	18	9	3	1	0	0
37		15	18		-	3																		0	0	0	1	5	11	20	25	21	11	4	1	0
36		15	19		-	2																			0	0	0	1	4	10	20	27	23	12	3	0
35		14	19		-	3																				0	0	0	1	3	10	22	29	23	10	2
34		14	20		-	2																						0	0	1	4	12	25	32	21	6
33		13	20		-	3																							0	0	1	5	16	32	33	13
32		13	21		-	2																							0	0	0	2	8	25	40	24
31		12	21		-	3																									0	0	4	17	41	38
30		12	22		-	2																										0	1	10	37	52
29		11	22		-	3																										0	0	5	29	65
28		11	23		-	2																											0	2	22	75
27		10	23		-	3																											0	1	15	84
26		10	24		-	2																											0	0	11	89
25		9	24		-	3																												0	7	93
24		9	25		-	2																													5	95
23		9	26		-	1																													3	97
22		8	26		-	2																													1	99
21		7	26		-	3																													3	97
4	-20																																			100

Total:							2	3	3	3	3	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	2