SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Ruzinov Mafiosos Playoff Chances 3

Lost to Buffalo 5-6, playoff odds down 8.4 to 59.8%

4 points 2 1-0

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Saturday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Tier III	100.0*	Average seed
Buffalo 6 Mafiosos 5	-6.6		-2.0		+2.1		-0.7

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Tier III	100.0*	Average seed
Knights vs Tankers	+0.5+0.1+0.3*-0.3-0.4-0.4				+0.1+0.2+0.1-0.0+0.1-0.1		+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0
Grinders vs Raju	+0.1-0.1-0.4-0.3-0.5+0.1
Canadiens vs ELe					-0.1+0.1+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Mafiosos finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed															Tier
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	III		Count

65	-78						In		Yes		100															No		750	*
64		29	6		-	2	In		99.3	%	100	0														No		461	*
63		29	7		-	1	In		99.2		100															No		948	*
62		28	7		-	2	In		98.2		100	0														No		1,767	*
61		28	8		-	1	In		96.0		99	1														No		2,988	*
60		27	8		-	2	In		92.6		98	2														No		5,144	*
59		26	8		-	3	In		88.5		98	2														No		8,450	*
58		26	9		-	2	In		82.0		95	5	0													No		13,425	*
57		25	9		-	3	In		72.3		92	8	0													No		20,317	*
56		25	10		-	2	In		59.8		87	13	1	0												No		29,966	*
55		24	10		-	3	In		46.2		80	19	1	0												No		41,968	*
54		24	11		-	2	In		31.7		70	27	3	0	0											No		58,306	*
53		23	11		-	3	In		18.4		57	35	7	1	0											No		77,415	*
52		23	12		-	2	In		8.4		42	42	14	2	0	0										No		99,748	*
51		22	12		-	3	In		3.0		28	43	23	5	1	0										No		123,422	*
50		22	13		-	2	In		0.7		15	38	32	12	2	0	0									No		150,499	*
49		21	13		-	3	In		0.1		7	26	36	22	7	1	0	0								No		177,195	*
48		21	14		-	2	100.0	%	0.0		2	14	31	31	16	4	1	0	0							No		202,501	*
47		20	14		-	3	100.0		No		0	5	19	32	27	13	3	0	0	0						No		223,323	*
46		20	15		-	2	99.6		No		0	1	8	22	31	24	11	3	0	0	0					No		241,013	*
45		19	15		-	3	97.4		No		0	0	1	8	22	31	25	10	2	0	0	0				No		115,686
		20	16		-	1	97.3		No		0	0	2	10	23	30	22	9	2	0	0					No		134,011	*
44		19	16		-	2	91.5		No			0	0	3	11	26	31	20	7	1	0	0				No		125,061
		18	15		-	4	85.1		No			0	0	2	8	21	30	25	12	3	0	0				No		130,662	*
43		18	16		-	3	64.8		No			0	0	0	2	9	23	31	23	10	2	0	0			No		116,404
		19	17		-	1	67.5		No			0	0	0	3	11	24	29	21	9	2	0	0			No		134,876	*
42		18	17		-	2	41.4		No				0	0	0	3	12	26	31	19	7	1	0	0		No		118,117
		17	16		-	4	32.3		No					0	0	2	9	21	30	24	11	3	0	0		No		123,288	*
41		17	17		-	3	13.8		No					0	0	0	3	11	24	31	21	8	2	0	0	0.0	%	223,940	*
40		17	18		-	2	3.5		No						0	0	0	3	12	26	31	20	7	1	0	0.0		203,677	*
39		16	18		-	3	0.5		No							0	0	0	4	14	28	31	17	5	0	0.5		177,853	*
38		16	19		-	2	0.1		No								0	0	1	5	18	32	29	12	2	3.9		153,250	*
37		15	19		-	3	0.0		No									0	0	1	8	24	36	24	6	16.0		126,039	*
36		15	20		-	2	0.0		No									0	0	0	3	14	34	36	13	38.6		102,647	*
35		14	20		-	3	Out		No										0	0	1	7	25	43	25	64.7		80,422	*
34		14	21		-	2	Out		No											0	0	2	16	43	38	83.8		61,577	*
33		13	21		-	3	Out		No												0	1	9	38	52	94.1		45,043	*
32		13	22		-	2	Out		No												0	0	4	31	65	98.2		32,717	*
31		12	22		-	3	Out		No												0	0	2	22	76	99.5		22,555	*
30		12	23		-	2	Out		No													0	1	16	83	99.9		15,271	*
29		11	23		-	3	Out		No													0	0	9	90	100.0		10,058	*
28		11	24		-	2	Out		No														0	6	93	Yes		6,416	*
27		10	24		-	3	Out		No														0	4	96	Yes		3,942	*
26		10	25		-	2	Out		No															2	98	Yes		2,290	*
25		10	26		-	1	Out		No															1	99	Yes		1,358	*
24		9	26		-	2	Out		No															1	99	Yes		730	*
23		9	27		-	1	Out		No															1	99	Yes		421	*
22		8	27		-	2	Out		No																100	Yes		206	*
21		8	28		-	1	Out		No															1	99	Yes		85	*
4	-20						Out		No																100	Yes		392	*

Total:							59.8	%	3.4	%	8	8	8	8	7	7	7	7	7	6	6	6	6	5	4	8.2	%	3,748,600

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Buffalo 6 Mafiosos 5	+1.4

Sunday	None

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

65	-78						100
64		29	6		-	2	99	1
63		29	7		-	1	99	1
62		28	7		-	2	98	2
61		28	8		-	1	96	4	0
60		27	8		-	2	93	7	0
59		26	8		-	3	88	11	0	0
58		26	9		-	2	82	17	1	0
57		25	9		-	3	72	25	3	0	0
56		25	10		-	2	60	33	7	1	0
55		24	10		-	3	46	39	13	2	0	0
54		24	11		-	2	32	41	21	6	1	0
53		23	11		-	3	18	36	29	12	3	0	0	0
52		23	12		-	2	8	26	32	22	9	2	0	0	0
51		22	12		-	3	3	14	26	28	18	8	2	0	0	0
50		22	13		-	2	1	5	15	25	26	17	8	2	0	0	0
49		21	13		-	3	0	1	5	15	23	25	18	9	3	1	0	0	0	0
48		21	14		-	2	0	0	1	5	14	23	25	18	10	3	1	0	0	0	0
		20	13		-	4	0	0	1	4	10	19	23	21	13	6	2	0	0	0
47		20	14		-	3		0	0	0	2	7	16	23	23	16	8	3	1	0	0
		21	15		-	1		0	0	1	4	10	18	22	21	14	7	3	1	0	0	0
46		20	15		-	2			0	0	0	2	5	12	20	23	19	12	5	2	0	0	0	0
45		19	15		-	3				0	0	0	1	2	7	14	21	22	17	10	4	1	0	0	0
44		19	16		-	2					0	0	0	0	1	4	11	19	23	21	13	5	2	0	0	0
		18	15		-	4							0	0	0	1	4	10	19	24	21	13	6	2	0	0	0	0
43		18	16		-	3							0	0	0	0	1	4	9	17	22	21	15	8	3	1	0	0	0
42		18	17		-	2									0	0	0	0	2	6	14	21	23	18	10	4	1	0	0	0
		17	16		-	4											0	0	0	2	6	13	21	23	19	11	4	1	0	0	0
41		17	17		-	3												0	0	0	2	5	12	19	23	19	12	5	2	0	0	0	0
40		17	18		-	2													0	0	0	1	2	7	14	21	22	18	10	4	1	0	0	0
39		16	18		-	3													0		0	0	0	1	4	9	17	23	22	14	7	2	0	0	0
38		16	19		-	2																0	0	0	0	2	6	14	22	24	18	9	3	1	0	0
37		15	19		-	3																		0	0	0	1	4	11	20	25	21	11	4	1	0
36		15	20		-	2																			0	0	0	1	3	10	20	27	23	12	3	0
35		14	20		-	3																				0	0	0	1	3	10	21	29	23	10	2
34		14	21		-	2																						0	0	1	3	12	25	32	21	6
33		13	21		-	3																						0	0	0	1	5	17	32	32	13
32		13	22		-	2																								0	0	2	8	25	40	24
31		12	22		-	3																									0	0	4	17	41	38
30		12	23		-	2																									0	0	1	10	37	51
29		11	23		-	3																										0	0	5	30	65
28		11	24		-	2																											0	2	23	74
27		10	24		-	3																											0	1	17	82
26		10	25		-	2																												0	11	88
25		10	26		-	1																												0	7	93
24		9	26		-	2																													4	96
23		9	27		-	1																													4	96
22		8	27		-	2																													1	99
21		8	28		-	1																													1	99
4	-20																																			100

Total:							3	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	2	2	2	1