London Devils Playoff Chances 3

Did not play, playoff odds up 1.2 to 52.8%

2 points 1 1-0

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Saturday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Tier III	100.0*	Average seed
Chevalier 2 Nightmares 6	*+0.1				*+0.0
Raju 7 Rats 1	*+0.1				*+0.0
Buffalo 6 Mafiosos 5			*+0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Tier III	100.0*	Average seed
Knights vs Tankers	+0.5+0.3+0.1*-0.2-0.5-0.4		+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1		+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0*-0.0-0.0
Canadiens vs ELe	-0.0-0.3-0.1-0.3-0.5+0.1
Grinders vs Raju	+0.1-0.5-0.3-0.1-0.4+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Devils finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed															Tier
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	III		Count

64	-78						In		99.5	%	100															No		817	*
63		30	7		-	1	In		99.3		100	0														No		573	*
62		29	7		-	2	In		97.1		100	0														No		1,087	*
61		28	7		-	3	In		96.0		99	1														No		1,921	*
60		28	8		-	2	In		93.1		99	1														No		3,373	*
59		27	8		-	3	In		88.1		97	3	0													No		5,784	*
58		27	9		-	2	In		80.5		95	5	0													No		9,251	*
57		26	9		-	3	In		72.0		92	8	0													No		14,002	*
56		26	10		-	2	In		59.1		86	13	1	0												No		21,359	*
55		25	10		-	3	In		44.7		79	20	1	0												No		30,850	*
54		25	11		-	2	In		30.5		68	28	4	0												No		43,617	*
53		24	11		-	3	In		17.7		56	36	7	1	0											No		59,018	*
52		24	12		-	2	In		8.3		42	42	14	2	0	0										No		78,041	*
51		23	12		-	3	In		2.7		27	43	24	6	1	0										No		99,877	*
50		23	13		-	2	In		0.6		15	38	32	13	2	0	0									No		124,791	*
49		22	13		-	3	In		0.1		6	26	36	23	7	1	0	0								No		149,159	*
48		22	14		-	2	100.0	%	0.0		2	14	30	32	17	5	1	0	0							No		175,309	*
47		21	14		-	3	100.0		No		0	4	17	32	29	14	3	0	0	0						No		92,158
		22	15		-	1	100.0		0.0		1	6	19	31	27	13	3	0	0	0						No		105,921	*
46		21	15		-	2	99.8		No		0	1	9	24	32	23	9	2	0	0	0					No		106,772
		20	14		-	4	99.4		No		0	1	6	19	30	27	13	4	1	0	0					No		114,590	*
45		20	15		-	3	97.5		No		0	0	1	8	22	32	25	10	2	0	0					No		109,883
		21	16		-	1	97.2		No		0	0	2	10	23	30	22	10	2	0	0	0				No		126,221	*
44		20	16		-	2	92.1		No			0	0	3	12	26	30	20	7	1	0	0				No		145,117	*
		19	15		-	4	82.1		No			0	0	1	6	18	30	28	14	4	1	0	0			No		103,324	*
43		19	16		-	3	65.7		No			0	0	0	2	10	23	30	23	9	2	0	0	0		No		250,392	*
42		19	17		-	2	41.5		No					0	0	3	12	26	31	20	7	1	0	0		No		118,716
		18	16		-	4	31.0		No				0	0	0	2	8	21	30	25	11	3	0	0		No		129,423	*
41		18	17		-	3	13.3		No					0	0	0	3	10	24	31	22	8	2	0	0	0.0	%	236,969	*
40		18	18		-	2	4.0		No							0	1	4	14	28	31	18	5	1	0	0.0		106,544
		17	17		-	4	2.7		No							0	0	2	10	23	31	23	9	2	0	0.0		116,923	*
39		17	18		-	3	0.5		No							0	0	0	4	14	28	31	18	5	0	0.5		201,928	*
38		17	19		-	2	0.1		No								0	0	1	6	20	33	28	11	1	2.6		85,717
		16	18		-	4	0.1		No								0	0	1	4	15	31	31	15	3	5.6		94,019	*
37		16	19		-	3	0.0		No									0	0	1	8	24	36	25	6	16.8		153,285	*
36		16	20		-	2	0.0		No									0	0	0	3	14	34	36	14	39.6		129,696	*
35		15	20		-	3	Out		No										0	0	1	6	24	43	26	65.7		104,247	*
34		15	21		-	2	Out		No											0	0	2	16	43	39	84.7		83,063	*
33		14	21		-	3	Out		No												0	1	8	37	54	94.6		63,308	*
32		14	22		-	2	Out		No												0	0	4	30	66	98.3		47,599	*
31		13	22		-	3	Out		No													0	2	22	76	99.7		34,445	*
30		13	23		-	2	Out		No														1	15	84	99.9		24,206	*
29		12	23		-	3	Out		No														0	10	90	100.0		16,639	*
28		12	24		-	2	Out		No														0	6	94	100.0		11,051	*
27		11	24		-	3	Out		No															4	96	Yes		6,997	*
26		11	25		-	2	Out		No														0	2	98	Yes		4,387	*
25		10	25		-	3	Out		No															1	99	Yes		2,588	*
24		10	26		-	2	Out		No															1	99	Yes		1,552	*
23		9	26		-	3	Out		No															1	99	Yes		815	*
2	-22						Out		No																100	Yes		1,276	*

Total:							52.8	%	2.4	%	6	6	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	11.6	%	3,748,600

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Fighting Hawks 7 Attack 1	*-0.0
Raju 7 Rats 1	*-0.0
Chevalier 2 Nightmares 6	*-0.0
W. Capitals 6 Citadels 1	*-0.0
Dealers 7 B. Capitals 4	*-0.0

Sunday	None

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

66	-78						100
65		31	6		-	1	99	1
64		30	6		-	2	99	1
63		30	7		-	1	99	1
62		29	7		-	2	97	3
61		28	7		-	3	96	4	0
60		28	8		-	2	93	7	0
59		27	8		-	3	88	11	1
58		27	9		-	2	80	18	1	0
57		26	9		-	3	72	25	3	0	0
56		26	10		-	2	59	33	7	1	0
55		25	10		-	3	45	39	13	2	0	0
54		25	11		-	2	30	40	22	6	1	0	0
53		24	11		-	3	18	36	30	13	3	1	0	0
52		24	12		-	2	8	25	32	22	9	2	0	0	0
51		23	12		-	3	3	13	26	28	19	8	2	0	0	0	0
50		23	13		-	2	1	5	15	25	26	18	8	2	1	0	0	0
49		22	13		-	3	0	1	5	14	23	25	18	9	3	1	0	0
48		22	14		-	2	0	0	1	4	12	20	24	20	12	5	1	0	0	0
47		21	14		-	3	0	0	0	1	3	8	17	23	22	16	8	3	1	0	0	0
46		21	15		-	2		0	0	0	0	1	5	12	19	23	20	12	5	2	0	0	0	0
45		20	15		-	3				0	0	0	1	2	7	14	21	22	18	10	4	1	0	0	0
44		20	16		-	2					0	0	0	0	1	4	10	18	23	21	14	6	2	0	0	0	0
		19	15		-	4						0	0	0	1	2	6	13	20	22	18	11	5	1	0	0	0
43		19	16		-	3								0	0	0	1	3	8	16	22	23	16	8	3	1	0	0
		20	17		-	1								0	0	0	1	4	10	17	21	20	14	8	3	1	0	0	0
42		19	17		-	2									0	0	0	0	1	4	10	18	22	20	14	7	2	1	0	0	0	0
41		18	17		-	3											0	0	0	0	2	5	11	19	23	20	12	6	2	0	0	0	0
40		18	18		-	2												0		0	0	1	3	8	16	23	23	16	7	3	1	0	0
		17	17		-	4														0	0	0	2	5	11	19	23	20	12	5	2	0	0	0
39		17	18		-	3															0	0	0	1	4	9	17	23	22	15	7	2	0	0	0
38		17	19		-	2																	0	0	0	2	6	13	21	24	18	10	3	1	0	0
37		16	19		-	3																		0	0	0	1	4	11	20	25	21	12	4	1	0
36		16	20		-	2																				0	0	1	3	10	20	27	23	12	4	0
35		15	20		-	3																				0	0	0	1	3	10	21	29	24	11	2
34		15	21		-	2																					0	0	0	1	3	11	25	32	22	6
33		14	21		-	3																							0	0	1	5	16	31	33	14
32		14	22		-	2																								0	0	1	8	25	40	25
31		13	22		-	3																									0	0	3	17	41	39
30		13	23		-	2																										0	1	9	36	53
29		12	23		-	3																									0	0	0	5	30	65
28		12	24		-	2																										0	0	2	23	75
27		11	24		-	3																												1	16	83
26		11	25		-	2																												0	10	89
25		10	25		-	3																												0	7	93
24		10	26		-	2																													4	96
23		9	26		-	3																													3	97
22		9	27		-	2																													2	98
21		8	27		-	3																													0	100
2	-20																																			100

Total:							2	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	3	3	3	2