Miami Dealers Playoff Chances 3

Beat B. Capitals 7-4, playoff odds up 9.4 to 71.4%

6 points 3 1-0

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Saturday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Tier III	100.0*	Average seed
Dealers 7 B. Capitals 4	+5.8		+1.2		-2.2		+0.6

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Tier III	100.0*	Average seed
Knights vs Tankers	-0.4-0.4-0.3-0.1*+0.2+0.4
Canadiens vs ELe			-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.1		-0.1+0.1-0.0+0.2+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Dealers finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed															Tier
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	III		Count

65	-78						In		99.8	%	100															No		1,415	*
64		28	6		-	2	In		99.1		100	0														No		1,173	*
63		28	7		-	1	In		99.3		100	0														No		2,155	*
62		27	7		-	2	In		98.3		99	1														No		3,759	*
61		27	8		-	1	In		96.3		98	2														No		6,377	*
60		26	8		-	2	In		93.9		96	4	0													No		10,484	*
59		26	9		-	1	In		90.0		94	6	0													No		16,194	*
58		25	9		-	2	In		83.0		90	10	0	0												No		24,939	*
57		24	9		-	3	In		73.8		84	15	1	0												No		35,892	*
56		24	10		-	2	In		61.6		76	22	2	0	0											No		51,043	*
55		23	10		-	3	In		47.3		66	30	4	0	0											No		67,803	*
54		23	11		-	2	In		32.1		54	37	8	1	0											No		90,152	*
53		22	11		-	3	In		18.8		41	43	14	2	0	0										No		114,005	*
52		22	12		-	2	In		8.6		27	44	23	5	0	0										No		142,331	*
51		21	12		-	3	In		3.1		16	39	32	11	2	0	0									No		168,837	*
50		21	13		-	2	In		0.8		9	31	36	19	4	0	0	0								No		101,637
		20	12		-	4	In		0.7		7	28	36	21	6	1	0	0								No		94,926	*
49		20	13		-	3	In		0.1		3	16	34	31	13	3	0	0								No		99,074
		21	14		-	1	In		0.1		4	19	35	29	12	2	0	0								No		118,725	*
48		20	14		-	2	100.0	%	0.0		1	9	27	34	21	6	1	0	0							No		122,744
		19	13		-	4	100.0		0.0		1	7	23	34	24	9	2	0	0							No		117,292	*
47		19	14		-	3	100.0		No		0	2	12	28	33	19	5	1	0	0						No		114,603
		20	15		-	1	99.9		No		0	3	15	30	30	16	5	1	0	0	0					No		136,247	*
46		19	15		-	2	99.7		No		0	1	5	19	33	27	12	3	0	0	0					No		132,123
		18	14		-	4	99.3		No		0	1	4	16	29	29	15	4	1	0	0					No		127,169	*
45		18	15		-	3	96.3		No			0	1	5	18	31	28	13	3	0	0					No		161,362	*
		19	16		-	1	98.7		No		0	0	2	10	25	33	21	7	1	0	0					No		95,003
44		18	16		-	2	89.0		No			0	0	2	9	23	32	23	9	2	0	0				No		248,397	*
43		17	16		-	3	70.0		No			0	0	0	2	11	25	31	21	7	1	0	0			No		232,423	*
42		17	17		-	2	43.6		No				0	0	0	3	13	27	31	19	6	1	0	0		No		212,967	*
41		16	17		-	3	19.7		No						0	1	4	15	29	30	16	5	1	0	0	No		186,977	*
40		16	18		-	2	6.6		No							0	1	6	18	31	28	13	3	0	0	0.0	%	162,347	*
39		15	18		-	3	1.4		No							0	0	1	7	22	32	25	10	2	0	0.5		133,476	*
38		15	19		-	2	0.2		No								0	0	2	11	26	33	21	6	1	4.0		109,346	*
37		14	19		-	3	0.0		No									0	1	4	16	32	32	14	2	16.7		86,279	*
36		14	20		-	2	0.0		No									0	0	1	7	24	37	26	6	40.2		65,976	*
35		13	20		-	3	Out		No										0	0	3	14	34	36	13	66.1		48,901	*
34		13	21		-	2	Out		No											0	1	7	26	43	23	84.9		34,984	*
33		12	21		-	3	Out		No												0	3	17	44	36	95.0		24,529	*
32		12	22		-	2	Out		No												0	1	11	40	49	98.6		16,563	*
31		11	22		-	3	Out		No													0	5	33	62	99.7		10,921	*
30		11	23		-	2	Out		No													0	3	26	72	99.9		6,969	*
29		10	23		-	3	Out		No													0	1	17	82	Yes		4,182	*
28		10	24		-	2	Out		No														0	12	88	Yes		2,464	*
27		9	24		-	3	Out		No															7	93	Yes		1,435	*
26		9	25		-	2	Out		No															4	96	Yes		810	*
25		9	26		-	1	Out		No															4	96	Yes		419	*
24		8	26		-	2	Out		No															3	97	Yes		234	*
23		8	27		-	1	Out		No															1	99	Yes		108	*
6	-22						Out		No																100	Yes		429	*

Total:							71.4	%	5.8	%	10	10	10	10	9	8	8	7	6	6	5	4	3	3	2	4.7	%	3,748,600

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Dealers 7 B. Capitals 4	-1.2
Buffalo 6 Mafiosos 5	*-0.0
Raju 7 Rats 1	*-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Canadiens vs ELe	+0.0+0.0+0.0*+0.1+0.0-0.0
Knights vs Tankers	-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

67	-78						100
66		29	5		-	2	100	0
65		29	6		-	1	100	0
64		28	6		-	2	99	1
63		28	7		-	1	99	1
62		27	7		-	2	98	2
61		27	8		-	1	96	4	0
60		26	8		-	2	94	6	0
59		26	9		-	1	90	10	0	0
58		25	9		-	2	83	16	1	0
57		24	9		-	3	74	23	3	0	0
56		24	10		-	2	62	31	6	1	0
55		23	10		-	3	47	38	12	2	0	0
54		23	11		-	2	32	40	21	6	1	0	0
53		22	11		-	3	19	36	29	12	3	0	0	0
52		22	12		-	2	9	26	32	22	9	2	0	0	0
51		21	12		-	3	3	14	27	28	18	7	2	0	0	0
50		21	13		-	2	1	5	16	26	26	17	8	2	0	0	0	0
49		20	13		-	3	0	1	4	13	23	26	19	10	3	1	0	0
		21	14		-	1	0	1	6	16	24	24	17	8	3	1	0	0	0
48		20	14		-	2	0	0	1	5	12	21	24	20	11	5	1	0	0	0	0
47		19	14		-	3		0	0	0	2	7	16	23	23	16	8	3	1	0	0
		20	15		-	1		0	0	1	4	10	18	23	21	14	7	2	1	0	0	0	0
46		19	15		-	2			0	0	0	2	5	12	20	23	19	12	5	2	0	0	0
45		18	15		-	3				0	0	0	1	2	7	14	21	22	17	10	4	1	0	0	0	0
44		18	16		-	2						0	0	0	1	3	9	16	22	22	15	8	3	1	0	0	0
43		17	16		-	3								0	0	0	1	4	10	17	22	21	14	7	3	1	0	0	0
42		17	17		-	2										0	0	0	1	5	11	18	22	20	13	6	2	1	0	0	0
41		16	17		-	3											0	0	0	0	2	6	12	19	23	19	12	5	2	0	0	0
40		16	18		-	2												0	0	0	0	1	2	7	14	21	22	17	10	4	1	0	0	0
39		15	18		-	3														0	0	0	0	1	4	10	18	23	21	14	7	2	0	0	0
38		15	19		-	2																	0	0	0	2	6	14	22	24	18	10	3	1	0	0
37		14	19		-	3																		0	0	0	1	4	11	20	25	21	12	4	1	0
36		14	20		-	2																				0	0	1	3	10	20	26	23	13	4	0
35		13	20		-	3																				0	0	0	1	3	10	21	29	24	11	2
34		13	21		-	2																						0	0	1	3	11	24	32	22	7
33		12	21		-	3																							0	0	1	4	15	31	34	15
32		12	22		-	2																									0	1	8	24	40	28
31		11	22		-	3																										0	3	15	40	42
30		11	23		-	2																									0	0	1	8	34	57
29		10	23		-	3																											0	4	27	70
28		10	24		-	2																											0	2	19	79
27		9	24		-	3																												0	12	88
26		9	25		-	2																													8	92
25		9	26		-	1																													5	95
24		8	26		-	2																													4	96
23		8	27		-	1																													3	97
22		7	27		-	2																														100
21		7	28		-	1																													3	97
6	-20																																			100

Total:							6	6	5	5	5	5	5	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	2	2	2	2	2	2	1	1	1