Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Sports Club Stats, which I have open
in like seven browser tabs always
-Katie Baker

Yukon Grinders Playoff Chances 3

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.5 to 59.1%

4 points 2 1-0

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Saturday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Tier III	100.0*	Average seed
Buffalo 6 Mafiosos 5					*+0.1
Dealers 7 B. Capitals 4					*-0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Tier III	100.0*	Average seed
Grinders vs Raju	+6.3+5.9+6.1-1.6-1.5-6.8		+1.1+1.1+1.1-0.5-0.4-1.2		-2.4-2.4-2.4+0.3+0.3+2.7		+0.7+0.6+0.6-0.2-0.2-0.7
Knights vs Tankers	+0.5+0.0-0.0-0.6-0.4-0.4						+0.1-0.0+0.0-0.0*-0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Grinders finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed															Tier
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	III		Count

65	-78						In		Yes		100															No		733	*
64		29	6		-	2	In		99.1	%	100	0														No		448	*
63		29	7		-	1	In		98.6		100	0														No		871	*
62		28	7		-	2	In		97.1		100	0														No		1,610	*
61		28	8		-	1	In		96.4		99	1														No		2,830	*
60		27	8		-	2	In		92.9		99	1														No		5,034	*
59		26	8		-	3	In		88.6		98	2	0													No		8,018	*
58		26	9		-	2	In		81.8		96	4	0													No		12,749	*
57		25	9		-	3	In		72.2		92	8	0	0												No		19,388	*
56		25	10		-	2	In		60.3		87	13	1	0												No		28,952	*
55		24	10		-	3	In		46.2		80	19	1	0												No		40,970	*
54		24	11		-	2	In		31.5		70	27	3	0	0											No		56,645	*
53		23	11		-	3	In		18.1		57	35	7	1	0	0										No		75,110	*
52		23	12		-	2	In		8.5		42	42	14	2	0	0										No		97,574	*
51		22	12		-	3	In		2.9		28	43	23	5	1	0										No		122,064	*
50		22	13		-	2	In		0.7		15	38	32	12	2	0	0									No		148,330	*
49		21	13		-	3	100.0	%	0.1		7	27	36	22	7	1	0	0	0							No		174,127	*
48		21	14		-	2	100.0		0.0		2	14	31	31	16	4	1	0	0							No		200,737	*
47		20	14		-	3	100.0		No		1	5	19	32	28	13	3	0	0	0						No		220,493	*
46		20	15		-	2	99.7		No		0	1	8	22	31	25	11	3	0	0	0					No		238,740	*
45		19	15		-	3	97.4		No		0	0	1	8	22	32	24	10	2	0	0	0				No		115,465
		20	16		-	1	97.3		No		0	0	2	10	23	30	22	10	2	0	0					No		133,400	*
44		19	16		-	2	91.3		No			0	0	3	11	26	31	21	7	1	0	0				No		125,107
		18	15		-	4	85.0		No		0	0	0	2	8	21	30	25	12	3	0	0				No		130,101	*
43		18	16		-	3	66.2		No			0	0	0	2	10	23	30	22	9	2	0	0			No		251,889	*
42		18	17		-	2	41.6		No				0	0	0	3	12	26	31	20	7	1	0	0		No		118,319
		17	16		-	4	31.9		No					0	0	2	8	21	30	24	11	3	0	0	0	No		123,877	*
41		17	17		-	3	12.0		No					0	0	0	2	10	24	32	22	8	1	0	0	0.0	%	104,651
		18	18		-	1	15.3		No						0	0	3	12	25	30	20	8	2	0	0	No		120,920	*
40		17	18		-	2	3.4		No					0	0	0	0	3	12	26	31	20	7	1	0	0.0		205,487	*
39		16	18		-	3	0.6		No								0	1	4	14	28	31	17	4	0	0.5		181,217	*
38		16	19		-	2	0.1		No								0	0	1	5	18	32	30	13	2	3.9		156,290	*
37		15	19		-	3	0.0		No									0	0	1	8	24	36	24	6	16.1		129,316	*
36		15	20		-	2	Out		No										0	0	3	14	34	36	13	39.0		105,382	*
35		14	20		-	3	Out		No											0	1	7	25	43	25	64.5		82,019	*
34		14	21		-	2	Out		No											0	0	3	16	43	38	83.5		63,258	*
33		13	21		-	3	Out		No												0	1	9	39	51	93.9		46,602	*
32		13	22		-	2	Out		No												0	0	4	31	64	98.3		33,718	*
31		12	22		-	3	Out		No													0	2	22	76	99.5		23,276	*
30		12	23		-	2	Out		No													0	1	16	83	99.9		15,850	*
29		11	23		-	3	Out		No														0	10	90	100.0		10,519	*
28		11	24		-	2	Out		No														0	7	93	Yes		6,668	*
27		10	24		-	3	Out		No														0	4	96	Yes		4,137	*
26		10	25		-	2	Out		No															3	97	Yes		2,425	*
25		9	25		-	3	Out		No															1	99	Yes		1,386	*
24		9	26		-	2	Out		No															1	99	Yes		794	*
23		8	26		-	3	Out		No															0	100	Yes		401	*
22		8	27		-	2	Out		No															0	100	Yes		210	*
21		7	27		-	3	Out		No															1	99	Yes		98	*
4	-20						Out		No																100	Yes		395	*

Total:							59.1	%	3.3	%	8	8	8	7	7	7	7	7	7	6	6	6	6	5	5	8.5	%	3,748,600

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday	100.0*	Lottery seed
W. Capitals 6 Citadels 1	*-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Grinders vs Raju	-1.3-1.2-1.3+0.3+0.3+1.4
Knights vs Tankers	-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0*+0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

65	-78						100
64		29	6		-	2	99	1
63		29	7		-	1	99	1
62		28	7		-	2	97	3
61		28	8		-	1	96	4	0
60		27	8		-	2	93	7	0
59		26	8		-	3	89	11	0	0
58		26	9		-	2	82	17	1	0
57		25	9		-	3	72	24	3	0	0
56		25	10		-	2	60	32	7	1	0	0
55		24	10		-	3	46	39	13	2	0	0
54		24	11		-	2	32	41	21	6	1	0	0
53		23	11		-	3	18	37	29	13	3	0	0	0
52		23	12		-	2	9	26	32	22	9	2	0	0	0
51		22	12		-	3	3	14	27	28	18	8	2	0	0	0		0
50		22	13		-	2	1	5	15	25	26	17	8	2	0	0	0		0
49		21	13		-	3	0	1	6	14	23	25	18	9	3	1	0	0	0
48		21	14		-	2	0	0	1	4	12	21	24	20	11	5	1	0	0	0
47		20	14		-	3		0	0	1	3	9	17	23	22	15	8	3	1	0	0	0		0
46		20	15		-	2			0	0	0	2	5	12	19	23	19	12	5	2	0	0	0	0
45		19	15		-	3			0	0	0	0	0	2	5	13	21	24	19	11	4	1	0	0	0	0
		20	16		-	1				0	0	0	1	3	8	15	20	21	16	10	4	1	0	0	0
44		19	16		-	2						0	0	0	1	3	8	15	22	22	16	9	3	1	0	0	0
43		18	16		-	3								0	0	0	1	3	8	16	23	23	16	8	3	1	0	0	0
		19	17		-	1								0	0	0	1	4	10	17	21	20	14	7	3	1	0	0	0
42		18	17		-	2										0	0	0	2	5	12	20	24	19	11	5	1	0	0	0
		17	16		-	4										0	0	0	1	3	8	15	21	22	16	9	3	1	0	0
41		17	17		-	3												0	0	0	2	5	12	19	23	19	12	5	2	0	0	0	0
40		17	18		-	2													0	0	0	1	2	7	14	21	23	18	10	4	1	0	0	0
39		16	18		-	3															0	0	0	1	4	10	17	23	22	15	7	2	0	0	0
38		16	19		-	2																0	0	0	0	2	6	14	22	24	18	10	3	1	0	0
37		15	19		-	3																		0	0	0	1	4	11	20	25	21	12	4	1	0
36		15	20		-	2																			0	0	0	1	3	10	20	26	23	12	4	0
35		14	20		-	3																					0	0	1	3	10	21	29	24	10	2
34		14	21		-	2																						0	0	1	4	12	25	31	21	6
33		13	21		-	3																							0	0	1	5	17	32	32	13
32		13	22		-	2																								0	0	2	9	26	40	24
31		12	22		-	3																									0	0	4	17	41	38
30		12	23		-	2																									0	0	1	10	37	52
29		11	23		-	3																										0	0	5	30	65
28		11	24		-	2																											0	3	24	74
27		10	24		-	3																											0	1	18	81
26		10	25		-	2																											0	0	12	88
25		9	25		-	3																												0	8	92
24		9	26		-	2																												0	5	94
23		8	26		-	3																													2	98
22		8	27		-	2																													1	99
21		7	27		-	3																													2	98
20		7	28		-	2																													2	98
4	-19																																			100

Total:							3	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	2	2	2