Saskatchewan Wife Stealers Playoff Chances 3

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.5 to 14.9%

0 points 0 4-0

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Saturday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Tier III	100.0*	Average seed
Fighting Hawks 7 Attack 1	+0.1		-0.3		+0.0
Raju 7 Rats 1			*+0.1
Dealers 7 B. Capitals 4			-0.2
Chevalier 2 Nightmares 6			*+0.2

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Tier III	100.0*	Average seed
Knights vs Tankers	-0.3-0.2-0.1-0.1+0.2+0.3		+0.2+0.1+0.2+0.2-0.1-0.2
Canadiens vs ELe			-0.3-0.0+0.4+0.6*+0.2+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Wife Stealers finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed															Tier
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	III		Count

62	-72						In		Yes		100															No		316	*
61		30	5		-	1	In		90.0	%	90	10														No		10	*
60		29	5		-	2	In		Yes		100															No		21	*
59		29	6		-	1	In		89.5		91	9														No		57	*
58		28	6		-	2	In		87.3		93	7														No		142	*
57		28	7		-	1	In		81.3		88	12														No		284	*
56		27	7		-	2	In		59.9		77	22	1													No		606	*
55		27	8		-	1	In		49.6		70	28	3	0												No		1,086	*
54		26	8		-	2	In		33.9		57	34	8	1	0											No		1,942	*
53		25	8		-	3	In		21.8		45	41	13	2	0	0										No		3,408	*
52		25	9		-	2	In		9.3		30	44	22	4	1											No		5,712	*
51		24	9		-	3	In		3.4		18	41	30	10	2	0										No		8,917	*
50		24	10		-	2	In		0.9		9	31	36	19	5	1	0	0								No		14,513	*
49		23	10		-	3	In		0.1		4	19	35	29	12	2	0	0								No		21,750	*
48		23	11		-	2	In		0.0		1	9	26	33	22	8	1	0								No		31,937	*
47		22	11		-	3	99.9	%	No		0	3	14	29	31	17	5	1	0	0						No		44,769	*
46		22	12		-	2	99.4		No		0	1	5	18	30	28	14	4	1	0						No		61,218	*
45		21	12		-	3	96.9		No		0	0	1	7	20	31	26	12	3	0	0					No		81,262	*
44		21	13		-	2	87.6		No			0	0	2	8	22	32	24	10	2	0	0				No		104,074	*
43		20	13		-	3	67.0		No				0	0	2	10	24	31	22	9	2	0	0			No		128,908	*
42		20	14		-	2	39.6		No					0	0	3	11	25	31	21	7	1	0	0		No		156,523	*
41		19	14		-	3	16.8		No					0	0	0	3	13	27	30	19	6	1	0		No		183,193	*
40		19	15		-	2	5.1		No						0	0	1	4	15	29	30	16	4	1	0	0.0	%	207,805	*
39		18	15		-	3	1.1		No							0	0	1	6	19	31	28	12	3	0	0.6		229,184	*
38		18	16		-	2	0.2		No							0	0	0	2	10	26	33	21	6	1	3.1		116,203
		17	15		-	4	0.1		No								0	0	1	7	22	33	26	9	1	6.6		131,152	*
37		17	16		-	3	0.0		No								0	0	0	3	13	30	34	17	3	19.1		118,705
		18	17		-	1	0.0		No									0	0	3	14	30	33	17	3	19.1		136,304	*
36		17	17		-	2	0.0		No									0	0	1	6	21	36	29	8	43.6		259,089	*
35		16	17		-	3	Out		No										0	0	2	11	32	39	16	70.5		118,166
		17	18		-	1	Out		No										0	0	2	12	32	38	16	68.3		134,347	*
34		16	18		-	2	Out		No										0	0	1	6	25	43	25	84.7		113,224
		15	17		-	4	Out		No											0	0	5	21	44	30	89.1		127,956	*
33		15	18		-	3	Out		No											0	0	2	15	43	41	95.6		223,068	*
32		15	19		-	2	Out		No											0	0	1	8	37	54	98.8		200,019	*
31		14	19		-	3	Out		No												0	0	4	30	66	99.7		173,506	*
30		14	20		-	2	Out		No													0	2	22	76	100.0		146,587	*
29		13	20		-	3	Out		No													0	1	16	84	100.0		120,260	*
28		13	21		-	2	Out		No													0	0	10	89	100.0		95,852	*
27		12	21		-	3	Out		No													0	0	7	93	Yes		73,743	*
26		12	22		-	2	Out		No														0	4	96	Yes		54,822	*
25		11	22		-	3	Out		No														0	2	98	Yes		39,658	*
24		11	23		-	2	Out		No														0	1	99	Yes		27,917	*
23		10	23		-	3	Out		No															1	99	Yes		18,903	*
22		10	24		-	2	Out		No															0	100	Yes		12,420	*
21		9	24		-	3	Out		No															0	100	Yes		7,683	*
20		9	25		-	2	Out		No															0	100	Yes		4,823	*
19		8	25		-	3	Out		No															0	100	Yes		2,841	*
18		8	26		-	2	Out		No															0	100	Yes		1,645	*
0	-17						Out		No																100	Yes		2,070	*

Total:							14.9	%	0.1	%	0	1	1	1	2	3	3	4	5	6	8	10	13	17	26	46.8	%	3,748,600

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Fighting Hawks 7 Attack 1	*-0.0
Buffalo 6 Mafiosos 5	*+0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Canadiens vs ELe	-0.0*+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

62	-72						100
61		30	5		-	1	90	10
60		29	5		-	2	100
59		29	6		-	1	89	11
58		28	6		-	2	87	12	1
57		28	7		-	1	81	18	1
56		27	7		-	2	60	35	5
55		27	8		-	1	50	40	9	1	0
54		26	8		-	2	34	41	19	6	1	0	0
53		25	8		-	3	22	37	27	12	3	0
52		25	9		-	2	9	27	34	20	8	2	0	0
51		24	9		-	3	3	15	29	27	17	7	2	0	0
50		24	10		-	2	1	6	17	25	25	16	7	2	0	0		0
49		23	10		-	3	0	1	6	16	25	24	17	8	3	1	0	0
48		23	11		-	2	0	0	1	5	13	21	24	19	11	4	1	0	0
47		22	11		-	3		0	0	1	3	9	18	23	22	14	7	2	1	0	0	0
46		22	12		-	2			0	0	0	2	6	12	20	23	19	11	5	2	0	0	0	0
45		21	12		-	3					0	0	1	3	7	14	21	22	17	10	4	1	0	0	0
44		21	13		-	2						0	0	0	1	3	9	16	21	22	16	8	3	1	0	0	0
43		20	13		-	3								0	0	0	1	4	9	17	22	21	15	8	3	1	0	0	0	0
42		20	14		-	2									0	0	0	0	1	4	10	18	22	20	14	7	2	1	0	0
41		19	14		-	3											0	0	0	0	2	5	11	19	22	20	13	6	2	0	0	0
40		19	15		-	2												0	0	0	0	1	2	6	13	20	23	18	10	4	1	0	0	0
39		18	15		-	3															0	0	0	1	3	9	17	22	22	15	8	3	1	0	0
38		18	16		-	2																	0	0	0	2	5	13	21	24	19	11	4	1	0	0
37		17	16		-	3																		0	0	0	1	3	9	19	26	23	13	5	1	0
		18	17		-	1																		0	0	0	1	4	10	19	24	22	13	5	1	0
36		17	17		-	2																		0		0	0	1	3	10	21	27	23	12	3	0
		16	16		-	4																			0	0	0	0	2	7	16	25	26	16	6	1
35		16	17		-	3																				0	0	0	1	2	9	19	28	26	13	3
34		16	18		-	2																					0	0	0	0	3	10	23	32	24	8
33		15	18		-	3																							0	0	1	4	13	30	35	17
32		15	19		-	2																							0	0	0	1	6	22	40	30
31		14	19		-	3																								0	0	0	3	14	39	45
30		14	20		-	2																										0	1	7	33	59
29		13	20		-	3																									0	0	0	3	25	71
28		13	21		-	2																										0	0	2	17	81
27		12	21		-	3																											0	1	12	88
26		12	22		-	2																												0	7	92
25		11	22		-	3																												0	4	96
24		11	23		-	2																												0	2	98
23		10	23		-	3																												0	2	98
22		10	24		-	2																													1	99
21		9	24		-	3																													0	100
20		9	25		-	2																													0	100
19		8	25		-	3																													0	100
18		8	26		-	2																													0	100
16	-17																																			100
15		7	28		-	1																													1	99
0	-14																																			100

Total:							0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	2	2	3	3	3	4	4	5	6	6	8	9	12	18