Olo ELe Playoff Chances 3

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.4 to 30.1%

0 points 0 2-0

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Saturday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Tier III	100.0*	Average seed
Chevalier 2 Nightmares 6					*+0.1
Icicles 3 Prairie Storm 2					*+0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Tier III	100.0*	Average seed
Canadiens vs ELe	-5.9-1.6-1.3+5.3+5.5+5.8		-0.2-0.1-0.1+0.2+0.2+0.3		+5.5+0.8+0.7-5.2-5.2-5.3		-0.6-0.2-0.1+0.6+0.6+0.6
Knights vs Tankers	+0.4+0.3+0.2*-0.2-0.4-0.3				+0.1+0.2+0.3+0.1+0.3-0.2		+0.0+0.0+0.0*-0.0-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the ELe finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed															Tier
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	III		Count

61	-76						In		98.3	%	100															No		713	*
60		29	7		-	2	In		93.3		99	1														No		430	*
59		28	7		-	3	In		87.9		98	2														No		852	*
58		28	8		-	2	In		81.1		95	4	0													No		1,540	*
57		27	8		-	3	In		71.1		92	8	0													No		2,635	*
56		27	9		-	2	In		60.1		87	12	1													No		4,428	*
55		26	9		-	3	In		45.8		80	18	1	0												No		7,342	*
54		26	10		-	2	In		30.7		70	27	3	0												No		11,509	*
53		25	10		-	3	In		18.4		58	35	7	1	0											No		17,503	*
52		25	11		-	2	In		8.4		42	42	14	2	0	0										No		25,409	*
51		24	11		-	3	In		2.9		28	43	23	5	1	0	0									No		36,500	*
50		24	12		-	2	In		0.8		16	38	32	12	2	0	0	0								No		50,481	*
49		23	12		-	3	In		0.1		7	26	36	23	7	1	0	0								No		67,511	*
48		23	13		-	2	100.0	%	0.0		2	14	31	32	17	4	1	0	0							No		88,295	*
47		22	13		-	3	100.0		No		1	5	18	31	28	13	3	0	0							No		110,382	*
46		22	14		-	2	99.6		No		0	1	7	21	31	25	11	3	0	0	0					No		135,859	*
45		21	14		-	3	97.1		No		0	0	2	9	22	30	24	10	2	0	0	0				No		160,016	*
44		21	15		-	2	88.3		No			0	0	2	10	23	31	22	9	2	0	0	0			No		105,391	*
		20	14		-	4	86.1		No			0	0	2	8	21	30	25	11	3	0	0				No		81,090	*
43		20	15		-	3	64.2		No				0	0	2	9	22	30	23	10	2	0	0	0		No		208,087	*
42		20	16		-	2	40.4		No				0	0	0	3	12	26	31	20	7	1	0	0		No		105,855
		19	15		-	4	29.4		No					0	0	2	8	20	30	25	12	3	0	0	0	No		122,997	*
41		19	16		-	3	12.3		No					0	0	0	2	10	23	31	23	9	2	0	0	0.0	%	241,002	*
40		19	17		-	2	3.7		No						0	0	0	3	13	27	31	19	6	1	0	0.0		114,163
		18	16		-	4	2.3		No							0	0	2	9	22	31	24	10	2	0	0.0		135,074	*
39		18	17		-	3	0.3		No							0	0	0	3	12	27	33	19	5	0	0.5		116,807
		19	18		-	1	0.5		No							0	0	0	4	13	27	31	19	6	1	0.7		133,292	*
38		18	18		-	2	0.1		No							0	0	0	1	5	19	33	29	12	2	2.9		112,408
		17	17		-	4	0.0		No								0	0	1	4	14	30	32	16	3	6.1		132,985	*
37		17	18		-	3	0.0		No									0	0	1	6	22	37	27	7	17.9		108,180
		18	19		-	1	0.0		No									0	0	1	7	22	35	26	7	18.3		123,229	*
36		17	19		-	2	0.0		No									0	0	0	3	14	34	36	13	36.3		99,065
		16	18		-	4	Out		No										0	0	2	11	30	39	18	46.4		116,759	*
35		16	19		-	3	Out		No										0	0	1	5	23	43	28	67.1		192,542	*
34		16	20		-	2	Out		No											0	0	2	15	43	39	83.3		77,472
		15	19		-	4	Out		No												0	2	12	41	45	87.7		90,889	*
33		15	20		-	3	Out		No												0	1	7	36	56	94.9		142,277	*
32		15	21		-	2	Out		No												0	0	3	27	69	98.5		118,320	*
31		14	21		-	3	Out		No													0	1	19	79	99.6		94,388	*
30		14	22		-	2	Out		No													0	0	13	87	99.9		73,003	*
29		13	22		-	3	Out		No													0	0	8	92	100.0		55,900	*
28		13	23		-	2	Out		No														0	5	95	Yes		40,626	*
27		12	23		-	3	Out		No														0	3	97	Yes		29,261	*
26		12	24		-	2	Out		No															2	98	Yes		20,431	*
25		11	24		-	3	Out		No															1	99	Yes		13,345	*
24		11	25		-	2	Out		No															0	100	Yes		8,676	*
23		10	25		-	3	Out		No															0	100	Yes		5,592	*
22		10	26		-	2	Out		No															0	100	Yes		3,364	*
21		9	26		-	3	Out		No															0	100	Yes		1,921	*
0	-20						Out		No																100	Yes		2,804	*

Total:							30.1	%	0.6	%	2	3	3	4	4	4	5	6	6	7	8	9	10	12	17	27.2	%	3,748,600

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday	None

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Canadiens vs ELe	+1.2+0.3+0.2-1.2-1.2-1.2
Knights vs Tankers	+0.0-0.0+0.0-0.0*+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

65	-76						100
64		31	5		-	2	97	3
63		31	6		-	1	100
62		30	6		-	2	96	4
61		29	6		-	3	96	4
60		29	7		-	2	93	7	0
59		28	7		-	3	88	12	1
58		28	8		-	2	81	18	1	0
57		27	8		-	3	71	25	3	0
56		27	9		-	2	60	32	7	1	0
55		26	9		-	3	46	40	12	2	0	0
54		26	10		-	2	31	41	21	6	1	0	0
53		25	10		-	3	18	36	29	12	3	1	0
52		25	11		-	2	8	26	32	22	9	2	0	0	0
51		24	11		-	3	3	14	27	28	18	8	2	0	0	0
50		24	12		-	2	1	5	15	25	26	17	8	2	0	0	0
49		23	12		-	3	0	1	5	14	24	25	18	9	3	1	0	0	0
48		23	13		-	2	0	0	1	4	12	21	24	20	11	5	1	0	0	0
47		22	13		-	3		0	0	1	3	8	16	23	22	15	8	3	1	0	0	0
46		22	14		-	2			0	0	0	1	5	12	19	23	20	12	6	2	0	0	0	0
45		21	14		-	3					0	0	1	2	7	14	20	22	18	10	4	1	0	0	0	0
44		21	15		-	2						0	0	0	1	3	8	15	21	22	16	9	4	1	0	0	0
43		20	15		-	3							0	0	0	0	1	3	9	16	22	21	15	8	3	1	0	0	0
42		20	16		-	2									0	0	0	0	1	4	10	17	22	21	14	7	3	1	0	0	0
41		19	16		-	3											0	0	0	0	2	5	11	19	22	20	13	6	2	0	0	0	0
40		19	17		-	2											0		0	0	0	1	3	8	16	23	23	16	8	3	1	0	0
		18	16		-	4													0	0	0	0	2	5	11	18	23	20	13	6	2	0	0	0
39		18	17		-	3														0	0	0	0	1	3	9	17	23	22	15	7	2	1	0	0
38		18	18		-	2																	0	0	0	2	7	15	23	24	17	8	2	0	0	0
		17	17		-	4																	0	0	0	1	4	11	19	24	21	13	5	1	0	0
37		17	18		-	3																		0	0	0	1	4	10	19	25	22	13	4	1	0
36		17	19		-	2																			0	0	0	1	3	9	19	26	24	13	4	1
35		16	19		-	3																			0	0	0	0	1	3	9	20	29	25	12	2
34		16	20		-	2																						0	0	1	3	11	24	32	23	7
33		15	20		-	3																							0	0	1	4	15	31	34	15
32		15	21		-	2																							0	0	0	1	8	24	40	26
31		14	21		-	3																									0	0	3	16	41	40
30		14	22		-	2																									0	0	1	9	36	54
29		13	22		-	3																										0	0	5	29	66
28		13	23		-	2																											0	2	21	77
27		12	23		-	3																											0	1	15	84
26		12	24		-	2																											0	0	10	90
25		11	24		-	3																												0	6	94
24		11	25		-	2																												0	4	96
23		10	25		-	3																												0	2	98
22		10	26		-	2																													1	99
21		9	26		-	3																													1	99
20		9	27		-	2																													1	99
19		8	27		-	3																													0	100
0	-18																																			100

Total:							1	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	3	3	3	3	3	3	4	4	4	4	5	5	5	5	6	6	7	8