Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Rauma Raju Playoff Chances 3

Beat Rats 7-1, playoff odds up 12.6 to 63.4%

4 points 2 1-0

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Saturday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Tier III	100.0*	Average seed
Raju 7 Rats 1	+6.4		+0.9		-3.3		+0.7
Buffalo 6 Mafiosos 5	*+0.1						+0.0
W. Capitals 6 Citadels 1			*-0.1
Dealers 7 B. Capitals 4					-0.2
Chevalier 2 Nightmares 6					+0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Tier III	100.0*	Average seed
Grinders vs Raju	-6.8-1.7-2.0+5.6+5.6+5.9		-1.5-0.6-0.6+1.2+1.3+1.3		+2.4+0.3+0.3-1.9-2.0-2.0		-0.7-0.2-0.2+0.6+0.6+0.6
Knights vs Tankers	+0.5+0.1+0.2-0.7-0.4-0.4						+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1*-0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Raju finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed															Tier
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	III		Count

64	-78						In		99.7	%	100															No		1,567	*
63		29	7		-	1	In		99.3		100	0														No		1,215	*
62		28	7		-	2	In		97.7		100	0														No		2,319	*
61		28	8		-	1	In		96.6		99	1														No		3,951	*
60		27	8		-	2	In		93.3		99	1														No		6,711	*
59		27	9		-	1	In		88.9		97	3	0													No		10,693	*
58		26	9		-	2	In		82.3		95	5	0													No		16,727	*
57		25	9		-	3	In		73.3		92	7	0													No		24,866	*
56		25	10		-	2	In		60.7		87	12	0	0												No		36,496	*
55		24	10		-	3	In		47.1		80	19	1	0												No		50,092	*
54		24	11		-	2	In		31.7		70	27	3	0	0											No		68,562	*
53		23	11		-	3	In		18.5		57	35	7	1	0											No		88,472	*
52		23	12		-	2	In		8.9		43	42	13	2	0	0										No		113,582	*
51		22	12		-	3	In		3.0		28	44	22	5	1	0										No		137,649	*
50		22	13		-	2	In		0.7		16	38	32	12	2	0	0									No		165,782	*
49		21	13		-	3	In		0.1		6	26	37	23	7	1	0	0								No		87,480
		22	14		-	1	100.0	%	0.1		8	28	36	21	7	1	0	0	0							No		102,768	*
48		21	14		-	2	100.0		0.0		2	15	31	31	16	4	1	0	0							No		214,533	*
47		20	14		-	3	100.0		No		0	5	18	32	28	13	3	0	0							No		106,811
		21	15		-	1	100.0		0.0		1	6	20	32	26	12	3	0	0	0						No		125,354	*
46		20	15		-	2	99.8		No		0	2	9	24	32	22	8	2	0	0						No		124,051
		19	14		-	4	99.5		No		0	1	7	20	30	26	12	3	0	0						No		124,304	*
45		19	15		-	3	97.6		No		0	0	1	8	22	32	24	10	2	0	0	0				No		116,622
		20	16		-	1	97.4		No		0	0	2	10	24	30	22	9	2	0	0					No		137,187	*
44		19	16		-	2	91.8		No			0	0	3	12	26	31	20	7	1	0	0				No		126,037
		18	15		-	4	85.6		No			0	0	2	9	21	30	24	11	3	0	0				No		128,861	*
43		18	16		-	3	67.1		No				0	0	2	10	24	30	22	9	2	0	0			No		244,655	*
42		18	17		-	2	42.6		No				0	0	0	3	13	26	31	19	6	1	0	0		No		114,732
		17	16		-	4	32.7		No					0	0	2	9	21	30	24	11	3	0	0		No		117,937	*
41		17	17		-	3	14.3		No					0	0	0	3	11	25	30	21	8	1	0	0	0.0	%	212,359	*
40		17	18		-	2	4.3		No						0	0	1	4	14	28	31	17	5	1	0	0.0		94,622
		16	17		-	4	2.9		No							0	0	3	10	24	31	22	8	1	0	0.0		95,944	*
39		16	18		-	3	0.6		No							0	0	1	4	14	29	31	17	4	0	0.4		164,541	*
38		16	19		-	2	0.1		No								0	0	1	5	18	32	29	12	2	3.7		139,240	*
37		15	19		-	3	0.0		No									0	0	1	8	25	36	24	6	15.6		113,301	*
36		15	20		-	2	0.0		No									0	0	0	3	14	34	36	13	37.8		90,913	*
35		14	20		-	3	Out		No											0	1	7	25	43	24	63.9		69,781	*
34		14	21		-	2	Out		No											0	0	3	16	43	37	83.2		52,432	*
33		13	21		-	3	Out		No											0	0	1	9	38	52	93.8		38,205	*
32		13	22		-	2	Out		No												0	0	5	31	65	98.1		26,711	*
31		12	22		-	3	Out		No													0	2	22	76	99.6		18,451	*
30		12	23		-	2	Out		No													0	1	16	83	99.9		12,311	*
29		11	23		-	3	Out		No														0	11	89	Yes		7,686	*
28		11	24		-	2	Out		No														0	7	93	Yes		4,797	*
27		10	24		-	3	Out		No														0	4	96	Yes		3,165	*
26		10	25		-	2	Out		No															2	98	Yes		1,709	*
25		9	25		-	3	Out		No															2	98	Yes		987	*
24		9	26		-	2	Out		No															1	99	Yes		562	*
23		9	27		-	1	Out		No															1	99	Yes		280	*
4	-22						Out		No																100	Yes		587	*

Total:							63.4	%	4.2	%	10	9	8	8	8	7	7	7	6	6	6	5	5	5	4	6.9	%	3,748,600

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Raju 7 Rats 1	-1.3
Buffalo 6 Mafiosos 5	*-0.0
Juice 3 Steam 0	*-0.0
Fighting Hawks 7 Attack 1	*-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Grinders vs Raju	+1.4+0.4+0.4-1.2-1.2-1.2
Canadiens vs ELe	+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

66	-78						100
65		30	6		-	1	99	1
64		29	6		-	2	100	0
63		29	7		-	1	99	1
62		28	7		-	2	98	2
61		28	8		-	1	97	3	0
60		27	8		-	2	93	7	0
59		27	9		-	1	89	11	0	0
58		26	9		-	2	82	17	1	0
57		25	9		-	3	73	24	3	0
56		25	10		-	2	61	32	6	1	0
55		24	10		-	3	47	38	12	2	0	0
54		24	11		-	2	32	41	21	6	1	0	0
53		23	11		-	3	18	37	29	12	3	0	0	0
52		23	12		-	2	9	26	32	21	9	2	0	0	0
51		22	12		-	3	3	14	27	28	18	7	2	0	0	0		0
50		22	13		-	2	1	5	16	26	26	17	7	2	0	0	0	0
49		21	13		-	3	0	1	6	15	24	25	18	9	3	1	0	0	0
48		21	14		-	2	0	0	1	5	12	21	24	19	11	4	1	0	0	0	0
47		20	14		-	3	0	0	0	1	3	9	17	23	22	15	7	3	1	0	0	0
46		20	15		-	2			0	0	0	2	7	14	22	23	18	9	4	1	0	0	0	0
		19	14		-	4			0	0	0	1	4	10	17	22	20	14	7	2	1	0	0	0
45		19	15		-	3				0	0	0	1	3	7	15	21	22	17	10	4	1	0	0	0
44		19	16		-	2					0	0	0	0	1	4	10	18	24	21	13	6	2	0	0	0	0
		18	15		-	4						0	0	0	1	3	7	13	20	22	18	10	5	1	0	0	0
43		18	16		-	3								0	0	0	1	4	10	17	22	21	14	7	3	1	0	0	0
42		18	17		-	2										0	0	0	1	5	11	18	22	20	13	6	2	1	0	0	0
41		17	17		-	3											0	0	0	0	2	6	12	19	23	19	12	5	2	0	0	0	0
40		17	18		-	2													0	0	0	1	3	7	14	21	23	17	10	4	1	0	0	0
39		16	18		-	3															0	0	0	1	4	10	18	23	21	14	6	2	0	0	0
38		16	19		-	2																0	0	0	1	2	6	14	22	24	18	9	3	1	0	0
37		15	19		-	3																		0	0	0	1	5	12	21	25	21	11	4	1	0
36		15	20		-	2																			0	0	0	1	4	10	20	27	22	12	3	0
35		14	20		-	3																				0	0	0	1	3	10	22	29	23	10	2
34		14	21		-	2																						0	0	1	4	12	26	31	20	6
33		13	21		-	3																							0	0	1	5	17	32	32	13
32		13	22		-	2																								0	0	2	9	25	40	24
31		12	22		-	3																									0	0	4	17	41	37
30		12	23		-	2																									0	0	1	11	38	50
29		11	23		-	3																											0	5	31	64
28		11	24		-	2																											0	3	23	74
27		10	24		-	3																											0	1	17	82
26		10	25		-	2																												1	11	88
25		9	25		-	3																												0	8	92
24		9	26		-	2																													4	96
23		9	27		-	1																													3	97
22		8	27		-	2																													1	99
21		8	28		-	1																														100
20		7	28		-	2																													5	95
4	-19																																			100

Total:							4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	2	2	2	2	1