How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Tier III100.0*Average seed
Fighting Hawks 7 Attack 1 *+0.1
Buffalo 6 Mafiosos 5 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Tier III100.0*Average seed
Knights vs Tankers-0.4-0.5*-0.1*+0.1*+0.1+0.4
-0.0-0.1-0.0*+0.0+0.0+0.0
Canadiens vs ELe-0.1*+0.0*-0.1*+0.1*+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Lions finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seedTier
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy123456789101112131415IIICount
65-78In99.8%100No928*
64286-2In99.41000No725*
63287-1In98.81000No1,367*
62277-2In98.4991No2,401*
61278-1In96.5982No4,198*
60268-2In93.59630No7,053*
59269-1In89.39460No11,289*
58259-2In82.89090No17,365*
57249-3In73.9851510No26,151*
562410-2In62.17721200No37,896*
552310-3In47.36729400No52,811*
542311-2In32.35537810No71,739*
532211-3In18.6414314200No92,768*
522212-2In8.6284423500No117,859*
512112-3In3.116393111200No143,212*
502113-2In0.782936205100No172,606*
492013-3100.0%0.13173430133000No197,584*
482014-2100.00.0192734227100No112,042
1913-4100.00.01723332510200No110,019*
471914-399.9No02122833196100No110,183
2015-199.9No03142930175100No129,022*
461915-299.5No0151731291440000No252,587*
451815-397.0No001720312612300No256,703*
441816-290.9No002102533228100No128,076
1715-485.7No001720312611300No128,710*
431716-369.0No002102531228100No246,340*
421717-242.6No003122731196100No231,901*
411617-316.8No003132831185100.0%96,396
1718-121.0No014162929165100No112,872*
401618-27.1No0016203227122000.092,242
1517-45.4No0015162930164000.093,109*
391518-31.4No001722332510200.5158,829*
381519-20.3No00211263321614.0132,719*
371419-30.0No00416323214216.4105,933*
361420-20.0No0017243725639.683,986*
351320-3OutNo0031534361265.263,426*
341321-2OutNo01727432284.347,117*
331221-3OutNo00318443494.533,539*
321222-2OutNo00111414798.323,237*
311122-3OutNo006346099.615,696*
301123-2OutNo03277099.910,285*
291023-3OutNo021979100.06,434*
281024-2OutNo11386Yes3,935*
27924-3OutNo0990Yes2,272*
26925-2OutNo0595Yes1,282*
25926-1OutNo397Yes697*
24826-2OutNo199Yes372*
22-23OutNo100Yes292*
21728-1OutNo298Yes50*
6-20OutNo100Yes345*
Total:65.9%4.4%8899988876654326.2%3,748,600

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Chevalier 2 Nightmares 6 *-0.0
Raju 7 Rats 1 *-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Knights vs Tankers*-0.0+0.1*-0.0*+0.0+0.0*+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
66-78100
65296-1991
64286-2991
63287-1991
62277-2982
61278-19730
60268-294600
59269-1891000
58259-2831610
57249-37423300
562410-26231610
552310-3473812200
542311-23241215100
532211-3193729123000
522212-2926322292000
512112-3314272818820000
502113-21515262517821000
492013-301514232518931000
482014-20015132225191031000
1913-40014101923211362000
471914-30013817232215831000
461915-200261321241910410000
1814-400014101722211472100
451815-3000251321241911410000
1916-10013815212116941000
441816-2000141119232113620000
1715-400014101923211362000
431716-300014917222115831000
421717-2000141018222114721000
411617-30000251219231912520000
401618-2000127142123181041000
391518-30001491723211472000
381519-200002614222418103100
371419-3000141120252112410
361420-20013102027231240
351320-3001310212924112
341321-20013112432226
331221-3001416313315
321222-20017244026
311122-3003154041
301123-20193554
291023-30052767
281024-2022078
27924-311485
26925-20792
25926-1496
24826-2397
22-23100
21728-1298
6-20100
Total:444444444444444333333333222211