New York Rats Playoff Chances 3Lost to Raju 1-7, playoff odds down 14.3 to 50.5% 4 points 2 2-0 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain Saturday | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Pres Trophy | 100.0* | Tier III | 100.0* | Average seed | Raju 7 Rats 1 | -6.8 | | -1.6 | | +2.4 | | -0.7 | | Icicles 3 Prairie Storm 2 | *+0.1 | | | | | | +0.0 | | Buffalo 6 Mafiosos 5 | | | +0.1 | | | | +0.0 | | Dealers 7 B. Capitals 4 | | | | | *-0.1 | | | | W. Capitals 6 Citadels 1 | | | | | *-0.1 | | | | Chevalier 2 Nightmares 6 | | | | | | | +0.0 | | | If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | Sunday | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Pres Trophy | 100.0* | Tier III | 100.0* | Average seed | Knights vs Tankers | +0.5*+0.1*+0.1*-0.3-0.5-0.4 | | | | +0.1+0.3*-0.0*+0.2*+0.1-0.1 | | +0.1*-0.0*+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0 | | Canadiens vs ELe | *-0.1-0.4*-0.4*-0.1*-0.1+0.2 | | | | -0.1*-0.0*-0.1*-0.1*+0.1+0.1 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Rats finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Pres | Chance will finish regular season at seed | Tier | | TP | W | | L | - | OT | playoffs | Trophy | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | III | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 63 | -76 | | In | 99.2 | % | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 851 | * | 62 | | 28 | 6 | - | 2 | In | 98.5 | | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 656 | * | 61 | | 28 | 7 | - | 1 | In | 96.0 | | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,162 | * | 60 | | 27 | 7 | - | 2 | In | 92.4 | | 98 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,208 | * | 59 | | 27 | 8 | - | 1 | In | 88.0 | | 97 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,787 | * | 58 | | 26 | 8 | - | 2 | In | 80.8 | | 95 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 6,533 | * | 57 | | 25 | 8 | - | 3 | In | 71.5 | | 92 | 8 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 10,344 | * | 56 | | 25 | 9 | - | 2 | In | 59.6 | | 86 | 13 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 16,370 | * | 55 | | 24 | 9 | - | 3 | In | 44.9 | | 79 | 20 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 24,399 | * | 54 | | 24 | 10 | - | 2 | In | 30.7 | | 69 | 27 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 35,148 | * | 53 | | 23 | 10 | - | 3 | In | 17.7 | | 55 | 36 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 49,327 | * | 52 | | 23 | 11 | - | 2 | In | 8.2 | | 41 | 42 | 14 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 67,733 | * | 51 | | 22 | 11 | - | 3 | In | 2.9 | | 27 | 43 | 23 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 88,649 | * | 50 | | 22 | 12 | - | 2 | In | 0.6 | | 15 | 38 | 32 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 113,571 | * | 49 | | 21 | 12 | - | 3 | In | 0.1 | | 7 | 26 | 36 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 138,960 | * | 48 | | 21 | 13 | - | 2 | In | 0.0 | | 2 | 14 | 31 | 32 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 166,355 | * | 47 | | 20 | 13 | - | 3 | 100.0 | % | 0.0 | | 0 | 5 | 19 | 32 | 28 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 192,126 | * | 46 | | 20 | 14 | - | 2 | 99.7 | | No | 0 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 31 | 25 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 217,439 | * | 45 | | 19 | 14 | - | 3 | 97.4 | | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 22 | 32 | 24 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 108,647 | | | 20 | 15 | - | 1 | 97.4 | | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 30 | 22 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 126,420 | * | 44 | | 19 | 15 | - | 2 | 92.0 | | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 26 | 31 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 155,364 | * | | 18 | 14 | - | 4 | 81.9 | | No | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 28 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | No | 95,653 | * | 43 | | 18 | 15 | - | 3 | 64.7 | | No | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 31 | 23 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | No | 118,985 | | | 19 | 16 | - | 1 | 67.6 | | No | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 29 | 21 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | No | 137,950 | * | 42 | | 18 | 16 | - | 2 | 43.5 | | No | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 27 | 30 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | No | 158,075 | * | | 17 | 15 | - | 4 | 25.8 | | No | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 27 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 99,202 | * | 41 | | 17 | 16 | - | 3 | 13.7 | | No | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 31 | 21 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 248,766 | * | 40 | | 17 | 17 | - | 2 | 4.6 | | No | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 28 | 30 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | | 144,641 | * | | 16 | 16 | - | 4 | 1.5 | | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 32 | 25 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0.1 | | 91,452 | * | 39 | | 16 | 17 | - | 3 | 0.4 | | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 32 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 0.4 | | 98,646 | | | 17 | 18 | - | 1 | 0.7 | | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 29 | 30 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0.5 | | 114,665 | * | 38 | | 16 | 18 | - | 2 | 0.1 | | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 28 | 11 | 1 | 2.6 | | 94,551 | | | 15 | 17 | - | 4 | 0.1 | | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 31 | 31 | 14 | 2 | 5.3 | | 95,629 | * | 37 | | 15 | 18 | - | 3 | 0.0 | | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 36 | 24 | 6 | 16.2 | | 163,055 | * | 36 | | 15 | 19 | - | 2 | 0.0 | | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 34 | 36 | 13 | 38.8 | | 137,208 | * | 35 | | 14 | 19 | - | 3 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 43 | 25 | 64.8 | | 111,778 | * | 34 | | 14 | 20 | - | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 43 | 38 | 83.9 | | 88,171 | * | 33 | | 13 | 20 | - | 3 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 38 | 52 | 94.0 | | 66,733 | * | 32 | | 13 | 21 | - | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 30 | 65 | 98.2 | | 50,086 | * | 31 | | 12 | 21 | - | 3 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 22 | 76 | 99.5 | | 35,961 | * | 30 | | 12 | 22 | - | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 15 | 84 | 99.9 | | 25,480 | * | 29 | | 11 | 22 | - | 3 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 10 | 90 | 100.0 | | 16,983 | * | 28 | | 11 | 23 | - | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 6 | 93 | Yes | 11,406 | * | 27 | | 10 | 23 | - | 3 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 96 | Yes | 6,947 | * | 26 | | 10 | 24 | - | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 98 | Yes | 4,395 | * | 25 | | 9 | 24 | - | 3 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | 2,569 | * | 24 | | 9 | 25 | - | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | 1,532 | * | 23 | | 9 | 26 | - | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | 862 | * | 22 | | 8 | 26 | - | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 431 | * | 4 | -21 | | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 739 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 50.5 | % | 1.9 | % | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 12.1 | % | 3,748,600 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Make Playoffs
LotteryYe of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds. Big GamesSaturday | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Raju 7 Rats 1 | +1.5 | | Icicles 3 Prairie Storm 2 | *-0.0 | | | If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | Sunday | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Knights vs Tankers | -0.0+0.1+0.0*+0.0*+0.0-0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What If | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | TP | W | | L | - | OT | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 67 | -76 | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 66 | | 30 | 4 | - | 2 | 96 | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 64 | -65 | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 63 | | 29 | 6 | - | 1 | 98 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 62 | | 28 | 6 | - | 2 | 98 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 61 | | 28 | 7 | - | 1 | 96 | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 60 | | 27 | 7 | - | 2 | 92 | 7 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 59 | | 27 | 8 | - | 1 | 88 | 12 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 58 | | 26 | 8 | - | 2 | 81 | 18 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 57 | | 25 | 8 | - | 3 | 71 | 25 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 56 | | 25 | 9 | - | 2 | 60 | 33 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 55 | | 24 | 9 | - | 3 | 45 | 40 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 54 | | 24 | 10 | - | 2 | 31 | 41 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 53 | | 23 | 10 | - | 3 | 18 | 36 | 29 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 52 | | 23 | 11 | - | 2 | 8 | 25 | 33 | 22 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 51 | | 22 | 11 | - | 3 | 3 | 14 | 27 | 28 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 50 | | 22 | 12 | - | 2 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 25 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 49 | | 21 | 12 | - | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 23 | 25 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 48 | | 21 | 13 | - | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 21 | 24 | 20 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 47 | | 20 | 13 | - | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 23 | 22 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 46 | | 20 | 14 | - | 2 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 20 | 23 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 45 | | 19 | 14 | - | 3 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 21 | 22 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 44 | | 19 | 15 | - | 2 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 23 | 20 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 18 | 14 | - | 4 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 23 | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 43 | | 18 | 15 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 21 | 23 | 18 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 19 | 16 | - | 1 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 22 | 23 | 18 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 42 | | 18 | 16 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 21 | 23 | 18 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 17 | 15 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 21 | 23 | 19 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 41 | | 17 | 16 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 23 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | 40 | | 17 | 17 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 21 | 23 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 39 | | 16 | 17 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 23 | 22 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 38 | | 16 | 18 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 23 | 24 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 15 | 17 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 20 | 24 | 20 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 37 | | 15 | 18 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 20 | 25 | 21 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 36 | | 15 | 19 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 27 | 23 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 35 | | 14 | 19 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 29 | 24 | 10 | 2 | 34 | | 14 | 20 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 25 | 31 | 21 | 6 | 33 | | 13 | 20 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 32 | 32 | 13 | 32 | | 13 | 21 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 26 | 40 | 24 | 31 | | 12 | 21 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 41 | 38 | 30 | | 12 | 22 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 38 | 51 | 29 | | 11 | 22 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 29 | 65 | 28 | | 11 | 23 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 23 | 75 | 27 | | 10 | 23 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 17 | 82 | 26 | | 10 | 24 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 12 | 88 | 25 | | 9 | 24 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 7 | 93 | 24 | | 9 | 25 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 95 | 23 | | 9 | 26 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 97 | 22 | | 8 | 26 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 97 | 4 | -21 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
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