How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

SaturdayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Tier III100.0*Average seed
Knights vs Tankers+5.3+5.4+5.2-1.2-1.3-5.4
+0.2+0.2+0.3-0.1-0.1-0.2
-5.6-5.7-5.5+0.8+1.0+5.8
+0.5+0.6+0.5-0.1-0.1-0.6
Canadiens vs ELe-0.2*+0.0*+0.1*+0.2+0.4+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Knights finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seedTier
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy123456789101112131415IIICount
63-76InYes100No375*
62306-2In97.6%991No82*
61296-3In95.9973No172*
60297-2In92.5946No322*
59287-3In91.5946No657*
58288-2In85.49280No1,243*
57278-3In75.9871300No2,076*
56279-2In63.4782020No3,616*
55269-3In49.4692830No5,949*
542610-2In34.35835710No9,458*
532510-3In20.143421320No14,660*
522511-2In9.5294422500No21,916*
512411-3In3.21740301020No31,433*
502412-2In0.79303620510No44,220*
492312-3In0.1318342912300No59,620*
482313-2100.0%0.01825332381000No78,951*
472213-399.9No0313283118610No100,394*
462214-299.4No0151630291541000No125,325*
452114-396.5No0016193127123000No149,238*
442115-286.7No002821312511200No175,969*
432015-365.5No00292331239200No199,672*
422016-238.5No002112531218100No219,769*
411916-315.1No00312283219610No110,303
2017-117.3No0041327301861000.0%125,656*
401917-25.3No015163029154000.0138,997*
1816-44.4No0014142931174100.0108,426*
391817-30.8No001619332812200.4117,494
1918-11.2No001720322712200.7133,970*
381818-20.2No00211273420502.8112,456
1717-40.1No0018223425816.1136,099*
371718-30.0No00314323415217.8111,829
1819-10.0No00315313315218.2126,796*
361719-20.0No0016233727641.8222,789*
351619-3OutNo0021334371367.7201,833*
341620-2OutNo001626432385.7179,270*
331520-3OutNo00317443594.9153,190*
321521-2OutNo0110414898.6127,997*
311421-3OutNo005346099.7104,171*
301422-2OutNo003267199.982,459*
291322-3OutNo011980100.062,514*
281323-2OutNo011386100.046,702*
271223-3OutNo0991Yes33,596*
261224-2OutNo0694Yes23,635*
251124-3OutNo0397Yes16,077*
241125-2OutNo298Yes10,373*
231025-3OutNo199Yes6,726*
221026-2OutNo199Yes4,228*
21926-3OutNo0100Yes2,523*
20927-2OutNo0100Yes1,426*
0-19OutNo100Yes1,948*
Total:28.4%0.5%123345567891011131429.5%3,748,600

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

SaturdayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Knights vs Tankers-1.2-1.2-1.2+0.3+0.3+1.2
Canadiens vs ELe-0.0*+0.0+0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
63-76100
62306-2982
61296-3964
60297-2937
59287-39180
58288-285141
57278-3762220
56279-26331510
55269-3493711200
542610-2344020510
532510-320372812300
522511-2102732218200
512411-331527281772000
502412-2151625261772000
492312-301614242418931000
482313-200151221242011510000
472213-3001391623221583100
462214-2000251219232012620000
452114-30001271320221810410000
442115-200013815212216941000
432015-300013916212116831000
422016-2000014917222115731000
411916-30000251118222013620000
401917-200013917232215720000
1816-400013917232215720000
391817-30001381622221672000
381818-20002614222418103100
1717-400001512202421124100
371718-3000131019262313410
1819-1000141119252213510
361719-20001391927241340
351619-3000139202925122
341620-20013112432237
331520-3001415313415
321521-20017244027
311421-3003154141
301422-200193555
291322-30042868
281323-20022078
271223-3011485
261224-200991
251124-30595
241125-2397
231025-30298
221026-2199
21926-3199
20927-20100
19827-30100
18828-20100
0-17100
Total:111111222222233333444455566789