HSC Title Chances 2018Summer
Did not play, title odds down 0.4 to 7.8%
0 points 0-0-0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 5/13 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Div 1 | 100.0* | Div 3 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| LacBeauport 2 CRSA 0 | -0.1 | -0.1 | +0.1 | |||||
| TroisRivieres 4 BSP 6 | -0.1 | -0.1 | ||||||
| ChauOuest 1 LevisEst 2 | -0.1 | -0.1 | ||||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||||
| BSP vs Charlesbourg | -0.3+0.3+0.2 | -0.4+0.5+0.2 | -0.2-0.1+0.3 | |||||
| LevisEst vs Royal Beauport | -0.3+0.3+0.2 | -0.3+0.4+0.2 | -0.2-0.1+0.3 | |||||
| Victo vs TroisRivieres | -0.2+0.2+0.1 | -0.3+0.3+0.2 | -0.2-0.2+0.4 | |||||
| CRSA vs Phenix | +0.1+0.2-0.2 | +0.2+0.3-0.3 | +0.4-0.2-0.2 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||||
| Week of 5/20 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Div 1 | 100.0* | Div 3 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| HSC vs Royal Beauport | +3.6-1.1-3.1 | +6.3-1.7-5.5 | -6.2+0.8+5.8 | +0.8-0.1-0.7 | ||||
| ChauOuest vs HSC | -3.0-1.3+3.2 | -5.5-2.0+5.7 | +6.5+1.0-6.1 | -0.7-0.2+0.7 | ||||
| TroisRivieres vs LacBeauport | +0.4+0.3-0.4 | +0.5+0.4-0.5 | +0.6-0.1-0.4 | |||||
| LevisEst vs BSP | -0.1+0.4-0.1 | -0.1+0.5-0.1 | ||||||
| Charlesbourg vs CRSA | -0.2+0.2+0.1 | -0.3+0.3+0.2 | -0.2-0.2+0.3 | |||||
| Victo vs Charlesbourg | -0.0+0.2-0.1 | -0.1+0.4-0.1 | *+0.0-0.2+0.1 | |||||
| Phenix vs Victo | -0.0+0.2-0.1 | -0.1+0.3-0.1 | +0.0-0.2+0.1 | |||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the HSC finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Div 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | Div 3 | Count | |||||
| 51 | -60 | Yes | Yes | 100 | No | 5,221 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 50 | 16 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 99.9 | % | Yes | 100 | 0 | No | 1,484 | * | ||||||||||||
| 49 | 16 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 99.9 | Yes | 100 | 0 | No | 2,700 | * | |||||||||||||
| 48 | 15 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 99.9 | Yes | 100 | 0 | No | 4,699 | * | |||||||||||||
| 47 | 15 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 99.5 | Yes | 100 | 0 | No | 8,505 | * | |||||||||||||
| 46 | 15 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 99.1 | Yes | 99 | 1 | No | 14,497 | * | |||||||||||||
| 45 | 14 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 98.4 | Yes | 98 | 2 | No | 23,122 | * | |||||||||||||
| 44 | 14 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 96.9 | 100.0 | % | 97 | 3 | 0 | No | 37,119 | * | |||||||||||
| 43 | 13 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 94.9 | 100.0 | 95 | 5 | 0 | No | 55,738 | * | ||||||||||||
| 42 | 13 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 91.6 | 99.9 | 92 | 8 | 0 | No | 82,068 | * | ||||||||||||
| 41 | 13 | - | 2 | - | 5 | 86.5 | 99.6 | 86 | 13 | 0 | 0 | No | 120,412 | * | |||||||||||
| 40 | 12 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 79.6 | 99.0 | 80 | 19 | 1 | 0 | No | 164,633 | * | |||||||||||
| 39 | 12 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 70.7 | 97.6 | 71 | 27 | 2 | 0 | No | 224,829 | * | |||||||||||
| 38 | 12 | - | 2 | - | 6 | 58.7 | 94.6 | 59 | 36 | 5 | 0 | 0 | No | 300,840 | * | ||||||||||
| 37 | 11 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 46.0 | 89.0 | 46 | 43 | 10 | 1 | 0 | No | 381,332 | * | ||||||||||
| 36 | 11 | - | 3 | - | 6 | 32.5 | 79.7 | 32 | 47 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 479,351 | * | |||||||||
| 35 | 11 | - | 2 | - | 7 | 19.9 | 65.4 | 20 | 46 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 0 | No | 587,132 | * | |||||||||
| 34 | 10 | - | 4 | - | 6 | 10.2 | 47.8 | 10 | 38 | 38 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 689,863 | * | ||||||||
| 33 | 10 | - | 3 | - | 7 | 4.1 | 29.1 | 4 | 25 | 41 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 0 | No | 801,960 | * | ||||||||
| 32 | 9 | - | 5 | - | 6 | 1.3 | 15.5 | 1 | 14 | 37 | 34 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 461,049 | ||||||||
| 10 | - | 2 | - | 8 | 0.9 | 11.9 | 1 | 11 | 34 | 37 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 444,039 | * | ||||||||
| 31 | 9 | - | 4 | - | 7 | 0.2 | 4.6 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 40 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 0 | No | 990,501 | * | |||||||
| 30 | 9 | - | 3 | - | 8 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 30 | 39 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 661,431 | |||||||
| 8 | - | 6 | - | 6 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 34 | 36 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 401,627 | * | |||||||
| 29 | 8 | - | 5 | - | 7 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 1 | 0 | No | 594,183 | |||||||
| 9 | - | 2 | - | 9 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 36 | 33 | 12 | 1 | 0 | No | 517,141 | * | |||||||
| 28 | 8 | - | 4 | - | 8 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 24 | 40 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 1,124,601 | * | |||||
| 27 | 8 | - | 3 | - | 9 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 30 | 39 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | 660,564 | ||||||
| 7 | - | 6 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 12 | 34 | 36 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0.1 | 457,201 | * | ||||||||
| 26 | 7 | - | 5 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 38 | 31 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0.7 | 595,016 | |||||||
| 8 | - | 2 | - | 10 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 37 | 33 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1.1 | 485,112 | * | |||||||
| 25 | 7 | - | 4 | - | 9 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 6 | 26 | 40 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 4.5 | 1,012,653 | * | |||||||
| 24 | 7 | - | 3 | - | 10 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 35 | 37 | 13 | 1 | 14.1 | 926,628 | * | |||||||
| 23 | 6 | - | 5 | - | 9 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 42 | 26 | 4 | 30.1 | 826,082 | * | ||||||||
| 22 | 6 | - | 4 | - | 10 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 37 | 39 | 11 | 49.6 | 712,031 | * | ||||||||
| 21 | 6 | - | 3 | - | 11 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 5 | 27 | 47 | 21 | 67.8 | 602,872 | * | |||||||||
| 20 | 5 | - | 5 | - | 10 | No | No | 0 | 2 | 16 | 47 | 35 | 81.7 | 492,097 | * | ||||||||||
| 19 | 5 | - | 4 | - | 11 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 9 | 42 | 49 | 90.8 | 389,464 | * | ||||||||||
| 18 | 5 | - | 3 | - | 12 | No | No | 0 | 4 | 33 | 63 | 95.9 | 300,674 | * | |||||||||||
| 17 | 4 | - | 5 | - | 11 | No | No | 0 | 2 | 24 | 74 | 98.3 | 224,620 | * | |||||||||||
| 16 | 4 | - | 4 | - | 12 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 16 | 83 | 99.4 | 161,257 | * | |||||||||||
| 15 | 4 | - | 3 | - | 13 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 10 | 90 | 99.8 | 112,325 | * | |||||||||||
| 14 | 3 | - | 5 | - | 12 | No | No | 0 | 6 | 94 | 99.9 | 75,770 | * | ||||||||||||
| 13 | 3 | - | 4 | - | 13 | No | No | 0 | 3 | 97 | 100.0 | 48,555 | * | ||||||||||||
| 12 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 14 | No | No | 0 | 2 | 98 | 100.0 | 30,239 | * | ||||||||||||
| 11 | 2 | - | 5 | - | 13 | No | No | 1 | 99 | Yes | 18,043 | * | |||||||||||||
| 10 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 14 | No | No | 0 | 100 | Yes | 10,117 | * | |||||||||||||
| 9 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 15 | No | No | 0 | 100 | Yes | 5,598 | * | |||||||||||||
| 8 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 14 | No | No | 0 | 100 | Yes | 2,916 | * | |||||||||||||
| 0 | -7 | No | No | 100 | Yes | 6,285 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 7.8 | % | 16.6 | % | 8 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 16.9 | % | 17,336,196 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 12:52 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
