CRSA Title Chances 2018Summer
Lost to LacBeauport 0-2, title odds down 5.4 to 2.8%
0 points 0-0-1
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 5/13 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Div 1 | 100.0* | Div 3 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| LacBeauport 2 CRSA 0 | -3.2 | -5.6 | +5.9 | -0.7 | ||||
| TroisRivieres 4 BSP 6 | -0.1 | -0.1 | *+0.1 | |||||
| ChauOuest 1 LevisEst 2 | -0.1 | -0.1 | ||||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||||
| CRSA vs Phenix | +1.8-0.5-1.3 | +3.8-0.9-2.8 | -9.6+1.0+7.8 | +0.8-0.1-0.6 | ||||
| LevisEst vs Royal Beauport | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | -0.2+0.2+0.1 | -0.3-0.1+0.4 | |||||
| BSP vs Charlesbourg | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | -0.2+0.2+0.1 | -0.3-0.1+0.4 | |||||
| Victo vs TroisRivieres | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | -0.2+0.2+0.1 | -0.3-0.3+0.5 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||||
| Week of 5/20 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Div 1 | 100.0* | Div 3 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Charlesbourg vs CRSA | -1.3-0.5+1.8 | -2.8-0.9+3.7 | +7.9+1.0-9.5 | -0.6-0.1+0.8 | ||||
| TroisRivieres vs LacBeauport | +0.2+0.1-0.2 | +0.3+0.2-0.3 | +0.9-0.2-0.6 | |||||
| LevisEst vs BSP | -0.0+0.2-0.0 | -0.1+0.3-0.1 | +0.1-0.1*+0.0 | |||||
| ChauOuest vs HSC | +0.0+0.1-0.1 | +0.1+0.2-0.2 | +0.5-0.3-0.3 | |||||
| Victo vs Charlesbourg | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | -0.0+0.2-0.1 | +0.1-0.2+0.1 | |||||
| Phenix vs Victo | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | -0.1+0.2-0.0 | *+0.0-0.2+0.1 | |||||
| HSC vs Royal Beauport | *-0.0+0.1-0.0 | -0.0+0.2-0.1 | +0.0-0.2+0.1 | |||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the CRSA finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Div 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | Div 3 | Count | |||||
| 49 | -57 | Yes | Yes | 100 | No | 4,344 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 48 | 15 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 99.8 | % | Yes | 100 | 0 | No | 489 | * | ||||||||||||
| 47 | 15 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 99.8 | Yes | 100 | 0 | No | 1,057 | * | |||||||||||||
| 46 | 15 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 99.4 | Yes | 99 | 1 | No | 2,132 | * | |||||||||||||
| 45 | 14 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 98.4 | 100.0 | % | 98 | 2 | 0 | No | 3,598 | * | |||||||||||
| 44 | 14 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 96.8 | Yes | 97 | 3 | No | 6,817 | * | |||||||||||||
| 43 | 14 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 94.4 | 99.9 | 94 | 6 | 0 | No | 11,402 | * | ||||||||||||
| 42 | 13 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 91.9 | 99.9 | 92 | 8 | 0 | No | 18,685 | * | ||||||||||||
| 41 | 13 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 87.1 | 99.7 | 87 | 13 | 0 | 0 | No | 31,313 | * | |||||||||||
| 40 | 12 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 80.2 | 99.1 | 80 | 19 | 1 | 0 | No | 47,574 | * | |||||||||||
| 39 | 12 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 71.4 | 97.8 | 71 | 26 | 2 | 0 | No | 71,257 | * | |||||||||||
| 38 | 12 | - | 2 | - | 5 | 59.7 | 94.9 | 60 | 35 | 5 | 0 | 0 | No | 105,821 | * | ||||||||||
| 37 | 11 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 46.9 | 89.5 | 47 | 43 | 10 | 1 | 0 | No | 148,151 | * | ||||||||||
| 36 | 11 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 33.5 | 80.5 | 33 | 47 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 203,898 | * | |||||||||
| 35 | 11 | - | 2 | - | 6 | 20.5 | 66.4 | 21 | 46 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 0 | No | 277,701 | * | |||||||||
| 34 | 10 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 10.7 | 48.8 | 11 | 38 | 37 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 356,732 | * | ||||||||
| 33 | 10 | - | 3 | - | 6 | 4.3 | 30.0 | 4 | 26 | 41 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 456,165 | * | |||||||
| 32 | 10 | - | 2 | - | 7 | 1.3 | 14.3 | 1 | 13 | 36 | 35 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 568,131 | * | |||||||
| 31 | 9 | - | 4 | - | 6 | 0.2 | 4.8 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 40 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 674,850 | * | ||||||
| 30 | 9 | - | 3 | - | 7 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 32 | 37 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 792,476 | * | ||||||
| 29 | 9 | - | 2 | - | 8 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 36 | 34 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 439,139 | |||||
| 8 | - | 5 | - | 6 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 39 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 0 | No | 468,571 | * | |||||||
| 28 | 8 | - | 4 | - | 7 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 24 | 39 | 24 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 999,958 | * | ||||||
| 27 | 8 | - | 3 | - | 8 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 32 | 38 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | 1,083,030 | * | |||||
| 26 | 7 | - | 5 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 39 | 30 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0.7 | 631,046 | * | ||||||
| 8 | - | 2 | - | 9 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 36 | 35 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1.3 | 509,272 | |||||||
| 25 | 7 | - | 4 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 40 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 4.6 | 768,678 | ||||||||
| 8 | - | 1 | - | 10 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 40 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 5.1 | 391,767 | * | ||||||||
| 24 | 7 | - | 3 | - | 9 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 34 | 38 | 14 | 1 | 15.7 | 733,741 | ||||||||
| 6 | - | 6 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 37 | 35 | 11 | 1 | 12.4 | 423,694 | * | ||||||||
| 23 | 6 | - | 5 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 42 | 25 | 4 | 29.0 | 579,164 | |||||||||
| 7 | - | 2 | - | 10 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 42 | 28 | 5 | 33.2 | 540,935 | * | |||||||||
| 22 | 6 | - | 4 | - | 9 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 37 | 39 | 11 | 50.7 | 1,048,685 | * | ||||||||
| 21 | 6 | - | 3 | - | 10 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 5 | 26 | 47 | 22 | 68.9 | 960,274 | * | |||||||||
| 20 | 5 | - | 5 | - | 9 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 47 | 34 | 81.8 | 448,152 | ||||||||||
| 6 | - | 2 | - | 11 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 47 | 37 | 83.8 | 405,154 | * | ||||||||||
| 19 | 5 | - | 4 | - | 10 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 8 | 41 | 50 | 91.4 | 730,124 | * | ||||||||||
| 18 | 5 | - | 3 | - | 11 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 33 | 64 | 96.1 | 611,615 | * | ||||||||||
| 17 | 4 | - | 5 | - | 10 | No | No | 0 | 2 | 24 | 75 | 98.5 | 494,580 | * | |||||||||||
| 16 | 4 | - | 4 | - | 11 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 16 | 84 | 99.4 | 382,669 | * | |||||||||||
| 15 | 4 | - | 3 | - | 12 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 10 | 90 | 99.8 | 290,366 | * | |||||||||||
| 14 | 3 | - | 5 | - | 11 | No | No | 0 | 6 | 94 | 100.0 | 211,901 | * | ||||||||||||
| 13 | 3 | - | 4 | - | 12 | No | No | 0 | 3 | 97 | 100.0 | 147,511 | * | ||||||||||||
| 12 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 13 | No | No | 0 | 2 | 98 | 100.0 | 98,955 | * | ||||||||||||
| 11 | 2 | - | 5 | - | 12 | No | No | 1 | 99 | Yes | 63,883 | * | |||||||||||||
| 10 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 13 | No | No | 0 | 100 | Yes | 39,326 | * | |||||||||||||
| 9 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 14 | No | No | 0 | 100 | Yes | 22,861 | * | |||||||||||||
| 8 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 15 | No | No | 0 | 100 | Yes | 12,698 | * | |||||||||||||
| 7 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 14 | No | No | 0 | 100 | Yes | 6,519 | * | |||||||||||||
| 0 | -6 | No | No | 100 | Yes | 9,335 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 2.8 | % | 7.0 | % | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 17 | 31.8 | % | 17,336,196 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 12:52 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
