BSP Title Chances 2018Summer
Did not play, title odds down 0.8 to 17.5%
3 points 1-0-0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 5/13 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Div 1 | 100.0* | Div 3 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| TroisRivieres 4 BSP 6 | +3.9 | +6.6 | -6.4 | +0.8 | ||||
| LacBeauport 2 CRSA 0 | -0.1 | -0.2 | ||||||
| ChauOuest 1 LevisEst 2 | -0.1 | -0.1 | ||||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||||
| BSP vs Charlesbourg | +6.0-2.0-5.9 | +8.7-2.6-8.6 | -3.0+0.4+3.3 | +0.7-0.2-0.7 | ||||
| LevisEst vs Royal Beauport | -0.6+0.6+0.4 | -0.6+0.7+0.3 | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | |||||
| Victo vs TroisRivieres | -0.3+0.3+0.2 | -0.5+0.5+0.3 | -0.1-0.1+0.2 | |||||
| CRSA vs Phenix | +0.2+0.3-0.3 | +0.3+0.5-0.5 | +0.2-0.1-0.1 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||||
| Week of 5/20 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Div 1 | 100.0* | Div 3 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| LevisEst vs BSP | -6.1-1.6+6.9 | -8.6-2.1+9.7 | +2.9+0.3-3.0 | -0.6-0.1+0.7 | ||||
| TroisRivieres vs LacBeauport | +0.7+0.5-0.8 | +0.7+0.7-0.8 | +0.3-0.1-0.2 | |||||
| Charlesbourg vs CRSA | -0.4+0.3+0.2 | -0.5+0.5+0.3 | -0.1-0.1+0.2 | |||||
| ChauOuest vs HSC | +0.2+0.3-0.4 | +0.3+0.5-0.5 | +0.2-0.1-0.1 | |||||
| Victo vs Charlesbourg | -0.1+0.4-0.1 | -0.2+0.6-0.1 | ||||||
| HSC vs Royal Beauport | -0.1+0.4-0.1 | -0.1+0.5-0.1 | *+0.0-0.1+0.0 | |||||
| Phenix vs Victo | -0.1+0.4-0.1 | -0.1+0.5-0.1 | ||||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the BSP finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Div 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | Div 3 | Count | |||||
| 52 | -60 | Yes | Yes | 100 | No | 7,891 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 51 | 15 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 99.9 | % | Yes | 100 | 0 | No | 3,596 | * | ||||||||||||
| 50 | 15 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 99.9 | Yes | 100 | 0 | No | 7,471 | * | |||||||||||||
| 49 | 15 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 99.9 | Yes | 100 | 0 | No | 12,680 | * | |||||||||||||
| 48 | 14 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 99.8 | Yes | 100 | 0 | No | 20,317 | * | |||||||||||||
| 47 | 14 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 99.6 | Yes | 100 | 0 | No | 35,415 | * | |||||||||||||
| 46 | 14 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 99.1 | Yes | 99 | 1 | No | 53,811 | * | |||||||||||||
| 45 | 13 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 98.4 | 100.0 | % | 98 | 2 | 0 | No | 80,125 | * | |||||||||||
| 44 | 13 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 97.1 | 100.0 | 97 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 121,490 | * | |||||||||||
| 43 | 12 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 95.1 | 100.0 | 95 | 5 | 0 | No | 168,998 | * | ||||||||||||
| 42 | 12 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 91.9 | 99.9 | 92 | 8 | 0 | 0 | No | 230,854 | * | |||||||||||
| 41 | 12 | - | 2 | - | 5 | 87.1 | 99.7 | 87 | 13 | 0 | 0 | No | 313,502 | * | |||||||||||
| 40 | 11 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 80.3 | 99.1 | 80 | 19 | 1 | 0 | No | 399,063 | * | |||||||||||
| 39 | 11 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 71.5 | 97.8 | 71 | 26 | 2 | 0 | No | 502,391 | * | |||||||||||
| 38 | 11 | - | 2 | - | 6 | 60.1 | 95.0 | 60 | 35 | 5 | 0 | 0 | No | 618,663 | * | ||||||||||
| 37 | 10 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 47.2 | 89.7 | 47 | 42 | 10 | 1 | 0 | No | 729,160 | * | ||||||||||
| 36 | 10 | - | 3 | - | 6 | 33.5 | 80.6 | 33 | 47 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 843,465 | * | |||||||||
| 35 | 10 | - | 2 | - | 7 | 18.1 | 63.1 | 18 | 45 | 30 | 7 | 0 | 0 | No | 472,124 | ||||||||||
| 9 | - | 5 | - | 5 | 23.2 | 70.2 | 23 | 47 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 480,135 | * | ||||||||||
| 34 | 9 | - | 4 | - | 6 | 10.7 | 48.9 | 11 | 38 | 37 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 1,035,299 | * | ||||||||
| 33 | 9 | - | 3 | - | 7 | 3.8 | 28.1 | 4 | 24 | 42 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 0 | No | 732,968 | |||||||||
| 8 | - | 6 | - | 5 | 5.4 | 34.0 | 5 | 29 | 41 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 372,258 | * | |||||||||
| 32 | 8 | - | 5 | - | 6 | 1.4 | 16.0 | 1 | 15 | 38 | 34 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 579,289 | ||||||||
| 9 | - | 2 | - | 8 | 1.0 | 12.3 | 1 | 11 | 35 | 36 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 566,522 | * | ||||||||
| 31 | 8 | - | 4 | - | 7 | 0.2 | 4.8 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 40 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 1,148,467 | * | ||||||
| 30 | 8 | - | 3 | - | 8 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 30 | 39 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 712,935 | |||||||
| 7 | - | 6 | - | 6 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 34 | 36 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 418,944 | * | |||||||
| 29 | 7 | - | 5 | - | 7 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 39 | 30 | 8 | 1 | 0 | No | 640,601 | * | ||||||
| 8 | - | 2 | - | 9 | No | 0.1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 35 | 35 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 439,850 | |||||||
| 28 | 7 | - | 4 | - | 8 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 24 | 39 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 997,558 | * | ||||||
| 27 | 7 | - | 3 | - | 9 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 32 | 38 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | 907,072 | * | |||||
| 26 | 6 | - | 5 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 37 | 32 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1.0 | 794,484 | * | ||||||
| 25 | 6 | - | 4 | - | 9 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 40 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 4.9 | 675,887 | * | ||||||
| 24 | 6 | - | 3 | - | 10 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 34 | 37 | 14 | 1 | 14.9 | 560,729 | * | |||||||
| 23 | 5 | - | 5 | - | 9 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 42 | 27 | 5 | 31.5 | 450,903 | * | ||||||||
| 22 | 5 | - | 4 | - | 10 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 11 | 36 | 40 | 12 | 51.3 | 351,194 | * | |||||||||
| 21 | 5 | - | 3 | - | 11 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 5 | 26 | 47 | 23 | 69.4 | 265,451 | * | |||||||||
| 20 | 4 | - | 5 | - | 10 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 47 | 36 | 83.1 | 194,586 | * | |||||||||
| 19 | 4 | - | 4 | - | 11 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 8 | 41 | 51 | 91.6 | 137,937 | * | ||||||||||
| 18 | 4 | - | 3 | - | 12 | No | No | 0 | 4 | 32 | 64 | 96.2 | 94,251 | * | |||||||||||
| 17 | 3 | - | 5 | - | 11 | No | No | 0 | 2 | 23 | 75 | 98.4 | 61,895 | * | |||||||||||
| 16 | 3 | - | 4 | - | 12 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 16 | 84 | 99.4 | 38,930 | * | |||||||||||
| 15 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 13 | No | No | 0 | 10 | 90 | 99.8 | 23,846 | * | ||||||||||||
| 14 | 2 | - | 5 | - | 12 | No | No | 0 | 6 | 94 | 99.9 | 13,810 | * | ||||||||||||
| 13 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 13 | No | No | 3 | 97 | Yes | 7,730 | * | |||||||||||||
| 12 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 14 | No | No | 2 | 98 | Yes | 4,069 | * | |||||||||||||
| 11 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 15 | No | No | 1 | 99 | Yes | 2,010 | * | |||||||||||||
| 10 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 14 | No | No | 0 | 100 | Yes | 1,020 | * | |||||||||||||
| 9 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 15 | No | No | 0 | 100 | Yes | 399 | * | |||||||||||||
| 3 | -8 | No | No | 100 | Yes | 4,151 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 17.5 | % | 32.1 | % | 17 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 6.7 | % | 17,336,196 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 12:52 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
