MACHO WIDEOUT Playoff Chances 2014

Lost to Ginger Army 265.73-279.87, playoff odds down 12.8 to 56.3%

2-1-0 .667

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the MACHO finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

11		9	-	0	-	0	In		99	1	0														17,730
10	.5	8	-	0	-	1	In		98	2															121
10		8	-	1	-	0	In		91	9	0	0													136,827
9	.5	7	-	1	-	1	In		83	16	0														817
9		7	-	2	-	0	In		57	35	8	1	0												478,870
8	.5	6	-	2	-	1	In		33	45	19	3	0												2,410
8		6	-	3	-	0	99.9	%	12	31	32	18	6	1	0	0									974,096
		5	-	2	-	2	In		67	33															3
7	.5	5	-	3	-	1	99.3		1	12	30	33	18	5	1	0									4,528
7		5	-	4	-	0	81.9		0	2	10	21	26	22	13	4	1	0	0						1,268,461
		4	-	3	-	2	83.3						50	33	17										6
6	.5	4	-	4	-	1	42.6			0	0	3	12	27	31	19	6	1	0						4,712
6		4	-	5	-	0	10.5			0	0	0	2	8	17	24	23	16	7	2	0	0	0		1,102,276
		3	-	4	-	2	12.5							13	25	38	25								8
5	.5	3	-	5	-	1	Out								1	6	20	32	27	11	2	0			3,319
5		3	-	6	-	0	0.0						0	0	0	1	5	14	23	26	20	9	2	0	635,819
		2	-	5	-	2	Out													100					1
4	.5	2	-	6	-	1	Out										0	1	6	19	35	28	10	1	1,410
4		2	-	7	-	0	Out										0	0	1	7	20	33	29	10	236,089
		1	-	6	-	2	Out																100		2
3	.5	1	-	7	-	1	Out													1	4	18	48	29	346
3		1	-	8	-	0	Out													0	1	10	39	50	51,226
2	.5	0	-	8	-	1	Out																11	89	36
2		0	-	9	-	0	Out															0	14	86	5,335

Total:							56.3	%	11	10	10	9	8	8	7	7	6	5	5	4	4	3	2	1	4,924,448

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32

11		9	-	0	-	0	93	7	0	0
10	.5	8	-	0	-	1	91	9
10		8	-	1	-	0	64	30	6	1	0	0
9	.5	7	-	1	-	1	41	42	15	2
9		7	-	2	-	0	17	33	28	15	5	1	0	0	0
8	.5	6	-	2	-	1	3	15	30	28	17	7	1	0		0
8		6	-	3	-	0	0	3	10	17	21	20	14	8	4	1	0	0	0	0
		5	-	2	-	2				33	33		33
7	.5	5	-	3	-	1			0	2	7	15	24	25	17	7	2	0	0
7		5	-	4	-	0		0	0	0	1	3	7	11	15	16	16	13	9	5	2	1	0	0	0	0
		4	-	3	-	2								17		17		50	17
6	.5	4	-	4	-	1								0	1	3	9	16	24	22	15	7	2	1	0
6		4	-	5	-	0							0	0	0	0	1	3	6	10	13	15	15	13	11	7	3	1	0	0	0	0
		3	-	4	-	2													13	13	13	38	13	13
5	.5	3	-	5	-	1														0	0	1	5	13	21	25	20	10	3	1
5		3	-	6	-	0														0	0	0	1	2	5	10	14	16	17	15	11	6	3	1	0	0	0
		2	-	5	-	2																									100
4	.5	2	-	6	-	1																				0	1	3	8	16	25	25	15	6	2	0
4		2	-	7	-	0																				0	0	0	1	4	10	17	21	21	15	8	2	0
		1	-	6	-	2																												100
3	.5	1	-	7	-	1																								0	0	2	6	19	31	27	14	2
3		1	-	8	-	0																								0	0	0	2	8	19	30	28	12
2	.5	0	-	8	-	1																													6	25	31	39
2		0	-	9	-	0																												0	1	9	34	55

Total:							4	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	3	3	2	2	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	0	0