Dez The Sniper Playoff Chances 2014Lost to Spectral 256.1-267.08, playoff odds down 10.7 to 18.7% 1-2-0 .333 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 9/18 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Spectral 267.08 Dez 256.1 | -10.2 | | -1.2 | | MACHO 265.73 Ginger Army 279.87 | +0.4 | | | | Wacky 286.1 Thompsons 269.4 | -0.3 | | | | Pollos 266.45 Glaurung 205 | +0.3 | | -0.0 | | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Week of 9/25 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Dez vs MACHO | +10.3*+0.2-7.8 | | +1.4*+0.1-1.1 | | Thompsons vs Rabbits | +0.4*-0.4-0.3 | | | | Panuckers vs Gators | -0.2*+0.2+0.2 | | | | Geese vs Spectral | +0.2*-0.2-0.2 | | -0.0*-0.1+0.0 | | Plax vs Pollos | +0.1*+0.1-0.1 | | | | Glaurung vs Wacky | | | -0.0+0.2+0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Dez finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10 | | 9 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 89 | 11 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 5,120 | | 9 | .5 | 8 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 80 | 20 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 25 | | 9 | | 8 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 56 | 36 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 49,836 | | 8 | .5 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 36 | 44 | 16 | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 334 | | 8 | | 7 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 99.9 | % | 12 | 32 | 32 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 232,128 | | | 6 | - | 1 | - | 2 | In | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | | 7 | .5 | 6 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 99.5 | | 2 | 11 | 30 | 33 | 18 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 1,440 | | 7 | | 6 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 82.0 | | 0 | 2 | 10 | 21 | 26 | 22 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 629,627 | | | 5 | - | 2 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | 2 | | 6 | .5 | 5 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 41.3 | | | | 0 | 2 | 12 | 27 | 32 | 20 | 6 | 1 | | | | | | | 3,245 | | 6 | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 10.4 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 17 | 23 | 23 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 1,094,034 | | | 4 | - | 3 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | 20 | 20 | 40 | 20 | | | | | | 5 | | 5 | .5 | 4 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 32 | 29 | 12 | 2 | 0 | | | 4,785 | | 5 | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 26 | 20 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1,269,444 | | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | 10 | | 20 | 30 | 30 | | 10 | | | 10 | | 4 | .5 | 3 | - | 5 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 35 | 29 | 11 | 1 | 4,416 | | 4 | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 33 | 30 | 10 | 980,783 | | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 60 | 20 | 20 | 5 | | 3 | .5 | 2 | - | 6 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 21 | 46 | 29 | 2,559 | | 3 | | 2 | - | 7 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 39 | 50 | 486,358 | | 2 | .5 | 1 | - | 7 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 24 | 73 | 840 | | 2 | | 1 | - | 8 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 14 | 85 | 141,124 | | 1 | .5 | 0 | - | 8 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 97 | 115 | | 1 | | 0 | - | 9 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 97 | 18,212 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 18.7 | % | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 4,924,448 | |
Chance Will Make Playoffs
LotteryYe of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds. Big GamesWeek of 9/18 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Spectral 267.08 Dez 256.1 | +2.5 | | Pollos 266.45 Glaurung 205 | +0.0 | | Abby's 289.85 TDs 234.4 | +0.0 | | Plax 274.68 Geese 237 | -0.0 | | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Week of 9/25 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Dez vs MACHO | -2.8-0.1+2.1 | | Plax vs Pollos | -0.0*+0.1+0.1 | | Cheyenne vs End Stags | +0.1*-0.2-0.0 | | Tampa Terror vs Sanchize | +0.0+0.1-0.0 | | Jadeveon vs MegaTrob | -0.0*+0.2+0.0 | | Geese vs Spectral | +0.0*+0.1-0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What If | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10 | | 9 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 65 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 9 | .5 | 8 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 48 | 44 | 8 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 9 | | 8 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 17 | 33 | 29 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | .5 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 3 | 18 | 25 | 31 | 18 | 4 | 1 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | | 7 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 21 | 19 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 6 | - | 1 | - | 2 | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 7 | .5 | 6 | - | 2 | - | 1 | | | 0 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 24 | 23 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 7 | | 6 | - | 3 | - | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 5 | - | 2 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | 50 | | | 50 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 6 | .5 | 5 | - | 3 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 25 | 23 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 6 | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 4 | - | 3 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 20 | | | 60 | 20 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 5 | .5 | 4 | - | 4 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 21 | 25 | 21 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | 5 | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 16 | 17 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 30 | | 20 | 30 | 10 | | | | 10 | | | | | | 4 | .5 | 3 | - | 5 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 17 | 25 | 25 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | 4 | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 21 | 21 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 0 | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 20 | 20 | 20 | 40 | | | | 3 | .5 | 2 | - | 6 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 29 | 25 | 11 | 2 | 3 | | 2 | - | 7 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 30 | 28 | 12 | 2 | .5 | 1 | - | 7 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 5 | 19 | 44 | 31 | 2 | | 1 | - | 8 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 35 | 54 | 1 | .5 | 0 | - | 8 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 19 | 81 | 1 | | 0 | - | 9 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 11 | 89 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
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