NFC North Playoff Chances 2014

												100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs												Chance will finish regular season at seed
	G	W	-	L	-	T	PCT	GD	%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Avg.	Change	RPI	Strength

Tickle		2	-	1	-	0	.667	2.87	49.5	%	+15.1	8	9	9	8	8	8	7	7	7	6	5	5	4	4	3	2	7.0	+1.63	14	.502	The Tickle Monster

Glaurung		2	-	1	-	0	.667	26.41	47.9		-22.8	8	8	8	8	8	8	7	7	7	6	6	5	5	4	3	2	7.2	-2.25	4	.516	Glaurung the Golden
Pollos		1	-	2	-	0	.333	24.35	29.2		+15.8	3	4	5	5	6	6	7	7	7	7	8	8	8	7	7	5	9.2	+2.33	25	.515	Los Pollos Hermanos
London		1	-	2	-	0	.333	-53.63	19.5		-14.4	1	2	3	4	4	5	6	6	7	7	8	9	9	10	10	10	10.5	-1.76	20	.467	London Silly Nannies

Big Games

Who should we root for? Explain

Week of 9/18
Tickle 257.28 London 224.7
Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Tickle	+11.6		+1.3
London	-11.5		-1.3

Pollos 266.45 Glaurung 205
Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Tickle	+0.3
Glaurung	-12.1		-1.2
Pollos	+7.8		+1.3
London	+0.4

Wacky 286.1 Thompsons 269.4
Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Tickle	-0.4		-0.0
Glaurung	-0.4		-0.0
Pollos	-0.2
London	-0.4

MACHO 265.73 Ginger Army 279.87
Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Tickle	+0.3
Glaurung	+0.3		+0.0
Pollos	+0.1		-0.1
London	+0.4

Spectral 267.08 Dez 256.1
Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Glaurung	-0.1		-0.0

Plax 274.68 Geese 237
Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
London			+0.0

Week of 9/25
Badgers vs TickleIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Tickle	36.1*50.262.6		8.47.05.7
Pollos			9.2*9.59.2

Glaurung vs WackyHomeTieAway
Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Glaurung	61.0*46.734.6		5.97.28.5

Plax vs PollosHomeTieAway
Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Tickle	49.7*51.349.4
Glaurung	48.1*47.847.8
Pollos	18.5*27.041.0		10.59.47.9
London			10.5*10.610.5

London vs Ginger ArmyHomeTieAway
Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
London	28.8*19.311.0		9.210.511.7

Thompsons vs RabbitsHomeTieAway
Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Tickle	50.1*50.249.0
Glaurung	48.544.847.5		7.17.47.2
Pollos	29.7*30.928.8		9.2*9.19.2
London	19.9*19.319.1

Panuckers vs GatorsHomeTieAway
Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Tickle	49.2*48.549.9		7.1*7.17.0
Glaurung	47.6*47.448.3		7.2*7.37.2
Pollos	28.9*29.629.5
London	19.3*20.419.7		10.5*10.410.5

Dez vs MACHOHomeTieAway
Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Tickle	49.9*51.549.3		7.0*6.97.1
Glaurung	48.3*48.647.6		7.2*7.17.2
Pollos	29.5*29.329.0		9.2*9.39.2
London	19.7*19.719.3

Geese vs SpectralHomeTieAway
Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Tickle	49.8*50.049.3
Glaurung	48.1*48.147.7
Pollos	29.4*29.129.0
London	19.6*18.819.3		10.5*10.610.5

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.