The Gators Playoff Chances 2014
Lost to Badgers 217.74-221.65, playoff odds down 13 to 18.1%
1-2-0 .333
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 9/18 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Gators 217.74 Badgers 221.65 | -10.7 | -1.3 | ||
| Wacky 286.1 Thompsons 269.4 | -0.4 | |||
| MACHO 265.73 Ginger Army 279.87 | +0.4 | -0.0 | ||
| Pollos 266.45 Glaurung 205 | +0.3 | -0.0 | ||
| Plax 274.68 Geese 237 | +0.0 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 9/25 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Panuckers vs Gators | -7.7*+0.9+9.9 | -1.1+0.1+1.4 | ||
| Thompsons vs Rabbits | +0.3*+2.2-0.3 | +0.0+0.1-0.0 | ||
| Dez vs MACHO | +0.2*-0.3-0.1 | -0.0-0.2+0.0 | ||
| Geese vs Spectral | +0.1*-1.1-0.1 | -0.0*-0.1+0.0 | ||
| Plax vs Pollos | +0.1*+0.6-0.1 | +0.0*+0.1-0.0 | ||
| London vs Ginger Army | -0.0-0.1+0.0 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Gators finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | |||
| 10 | 9 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 94 | 6 | 0 | 4,824 | ||||||||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 8 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 56 | 44 | 27 | ||||||||||||||||
| 9 | 8 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 60 | 33 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 47,404 | ||||||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 38 | 44 | 17 | 2 | 331 | ||||||||||||||
| 8 | 7 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 99.9 | % | 13 | 32 | 32 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 222,401 | ||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 6 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 99.8 | 2 | 12 | 30 | 35 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 1,368 | |||||||||||
| 7 | 6 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 82.0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 26 | 22 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 613,249 | ||||||||
| 5 | - | 2 | - | 2 | In | 33 | 33 | 33 | 3 | |||||||||||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 5 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 40.1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 26 | 33 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3,273 | |||||||||
| 6 | 5 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 10.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 17 | 23 | 23 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1,081,108 | |||||
| 4 | - | 3 | - | 2 | Out | 17 | 83 | 6 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | .5 | 4 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 33 | 28 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4,691 | ||||||||
| 5 | 4 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 27 | 20 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1,273,096 | |||||||
| 3 | - | 4 | - | 2 | Out | 17 | 17 | 33 | 17 | 17 | 12 | |||||||||||||||
| 4 | .5 | 3 | - | 5 | - | 1 | Out | 1 | 4 | 18 | 34 | 30 | 11 | 1 | 4,467 | |||||||||||
| 4 | 3 | - | 6 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 34 | 30 | 10 | 996,362 | |||||||||||
| 2 | - | 5 | - | 2 | Out | 50 | 50 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | .5 | 2 | - | 6 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 47 | 28 | 2,599 | ||||||||||||
| 3 | 2 | - | 7 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 39 | 50 | 501,112 | |||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 6 | - | 2 | Out | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | .5 | 1 | - | 7 | - | 1 | Out | 1 | 23 | 76 | 911 | |||||||||||||||
| 2 | 1 | - | 8 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 1 | 15 | 85 | 147,732 | |||||||||||||||
| 1 | .5 | 0 | - | 8 | - | 1 | Out | 6 | 94 | 126 | ||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 0 | - | 9 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 3 | 97 | 19,343 | ||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 18.1 | % | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 4,924,448 | |||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 9/18 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Gators 217.74 Badgers 221.65 | +2.5 | |
| Ra's al Ghul 232.45 End Stags 298 | -0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 9/25 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Panuckers vs Gators | +2.1-0.2-2.7 | |
| KC_Love vs Professor | +0.0+0.1-0.0 | |
| Cheyenne vs End Stags | +0.1*+0.2-0.0 | |
| Plax vs Pollos | -0.0*-0.3+0.0 | |
| Cap Challenged vs Abby's | -0.0*+0.1+0.0 | |
| Dez vs MACHO | +0.0*+0.3-0.0 | |
| Jadeveon vs MegaTrob | -0.0*-0.2+0.0 | |
| Geese vs Spectral | +0.0*+0.2-0.0 | |
| Tampa Terror vs Sanchize | +0.0*-0.3-0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | |
| 10 | 9 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 68 | 28 | 4 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 8 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 37 | 33 | 30 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | 8 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 18 | 34 | 28 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 2 | 17 | 32 | 29 | 15 | 4 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | 7 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 18 | 21 | 19 | 14 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 6 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 25 | 25 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | 6 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 33 | 33 | 33 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 5 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 24 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | 5 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 17 | 33 | 17 | 33 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | .5 | 4 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 25 | 21 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | 4 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 16 | 17 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 8 | 25 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 8 | 8 | 8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | .5 | 3 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 25 | 25 | 16 | 7 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | 3 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 21 | 20 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 50 | 50 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | .5 | 2 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 32 | 25 | 10 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | 2 | - | 7 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 30 | 28 | 12 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 6 | - | 2 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | .5 | 1 | - | 7 | - | 1 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 38 | 35 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | 1 | - | 8 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 35 | 53 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | .5 | 0 | - | 8 | - | 1 | 17 | 83 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 0 | - | 9 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 88 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 3 | ||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:22 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
