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MegaTrob Playoff Chances 2014
Lost to Choke A Romo 242.35-269.15, playoff odds down 15.8 to 17.2%
1-2-0 .333
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 9/18 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| MegaTrob 242.35 Choke A Romo 269.15 | -11.4 | -1.3 | ||
| Staff 265.68 Cheyenne 208.19 | -0.4 | |||
| Professor 236 Jadeveon 301.43 | -0.3 | |||
| Ra's al Ghul 232.45 End Stags 298 | -0.2 | |||
| 12th Man 274.3 KC_Love 220.3 | -0.2 | |||
| Abby's 289.85 TDs 234.4 | -0.0 | |||
| Sanchize 215 Bearphins 269.52 | -0.0 | |||
| Tampa Terror 183 Cap Challenged 232.25 | +0.0 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 9/25 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Jadeveon vs MegaTrob | -7.7*-0.6+9.6 | -1.0*+0.0+1.3 | ||
| TDs vs Ra's al Ghul | -0.5*+0.3+0.7 | |||
| Tampa Terror vs Sanchize | +0.4*+0.1-0.4 | -0.0*+0.1+0.0 | ||
| Cheyenne vs End Stags | +0.5*-0.0-0.3 | |||
| Cap Challenged vs Abby's | +0.2*-0.3-0.3 | |||
| Bearphins vs 12th Man | +0.0*-0.1-0.0 | |||
| Choke A Romo vs Staff | -0.0*-0.2+0.0 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the MegaTrob finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | |||
| 10 | 9 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 80 | 18 | 1 | 5,720 | ||||||||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 8 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 67 | 29 | 5 | 42 | |||||||||||||||
| 9 | 8 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 36 | 42 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 54,011 | |||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 0 | - | 2 | In | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 15 | 38 | 33 | 13 | 1 | 343 | |||||||||||||
| 8 | 7 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 99.4 | % | 4 | 19 | 32 | 27 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 249,541 | ||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 6 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 96.4 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 33 | 30 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 1,457 | ||||||||||
| 7 | 6 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 69.4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 24 | 27 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 662,005 | |||||||
| 5 | - | 2 | - | 2 | In | 67 | 33 | 3 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 5 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 25.4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 33 | 27 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3,405 | ||||||||
| 6 | 5 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 25 | 26 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1,124,003 | |||||
| 4 | - | 3 | - | 2 | Out | 8 | 38 | 31 | 23 | 13 | ||||||||||||||||
| 5 | .5 | 4 | - | 4 | - | 1 | Out | 1 | 6 | 22 | 34 | 27 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 4,682 | ||||||||||
| 5 | 4 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 29 | 27 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1,264,384 | |||||||
| 3 | - | 4 | - | 2 | Out | 14 | 43 | 29 | 14 | 7 | ||||||||||||||||
| 4 | .5 | 3 | - | 5 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 35 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 4,303 | ||||||||||
| 4 | 3 | - | 6 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 30 | 31 | 16 | 3 | 949,028 | ||||||||||
| 2 | - | 5 | - | 2 | Out | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | .5 | 2 | - | 6 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 2 | 14 | 35 | 36 | 12 | 2,334 | ||||||||||||
| 3 | 2 | - | 7 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 43 | 29 | 455,537 | ||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 6 | - | 2 | Out | 25 | 50 | 25 | 4 | |||||||||||||||||
| 2 | .5 | 1 | - | 7 | - | 1 | Out | 8 | 37 | 55 | 789 | |||||||||||||||
| 2 | 1 | - | 8 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 72 | 126,597 | ||||||||||||||
| 1 | .5 | 0 | - | 8 | - | 1 | Out | 14 | 86 | 100 | ||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 0 | - | 9 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 5 | 95 | 16,138 | ||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 17.2 | % | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 4,924,448 | |||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 9/18 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| MegaTrob 242.35 Choke A Romo 269.15 | +2.7 | |
| Abby's 289.85 TDs 234.4 | +0.0 | |
| Sanchize 215 Bearphins 269.52 | +0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 9/25 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Jadeveon vs MegaTrob | +2.2-0.1-2.7 | |
| Plax vs Pollos | -0.0*+0.1+0.0 | |
| Cheyenne vs End Stags | +0.0*-0.1-0.0 | |
| Dez vs MACHO | +0.0*+0.1-0.0 | |
| Geese vs Spectral | +0.0*+0.1-0.0 | |
| KC_Love vs Professor | +0.0*-0.1-0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | |
| 10 | 9 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 68 | 27 | 5 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 8 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 50 | 33 | 17 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | 8 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 18 | 33 | 28 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 4 | 15 | 29 | 27 | 18 | 6 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | 7 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 21 | 19 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 6 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 24 | 25 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | 6 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 16 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 33 | 33 | 33 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 5 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 24 | 22 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | 5 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 8 | 15 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 31 | 8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | .5 | 4 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 21 | 25 | 20 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | 4 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 16 | 17 | 15 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 29 | 14 | 14 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | .5 | 3 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 24 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | 3 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 21 | 21 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | .5 | 2 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 27 | 13 | 3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | 2 | - | 7 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 29 | 30 | 14 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 6 | - | 2 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | .5 | 1 | - | 7 | - | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 39 | 39 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | 1 | - | 8 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 32 | 59 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | .5 | 0 | - | 8 | - | 1 | 1 | 17 | 82 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 0 | - | 9 | - | 0 | 0 | 8 | 92 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 3 | ||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:22 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
