MACHO WIDEOUT Playoff Chances 2014 50/50Lost to Ginger Army 265.73-279.87, playoff odds down 10 to 48.4% 2-1-0 .667 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 9/18 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | MACHO 265.73 Ginger Army 279.87 | -11.9 | | -1.2 | | Pollos 266.45 Glaurung 205 | +0.3 | | | | Wacky 286.1 Thompsons 269.4 | -0.2 | | -0.0 | | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Week of 9/25 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Dez vs MACHO | -13.0*-0.9+13.0 | | -1.4+0.2+1.4 | | Thompsons vs Rabbits | +0.4*-0.3-0.4 | | | | Panuckers vs Gators | -0.2*-0.7+0.2 | | | | Geese vs Spectral | +0.2*-0.8-0.2 | | +0.0*-0.1-0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the MACHO finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11 | | 9 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3,307 | | 10 | .5 | 8 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 23 | | 10 | | 8 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 94 | 6 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 28,354 | | 9 | .5 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 86 | 14 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 205 | | 9 | | 7 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | 65 | 30 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 112,927 | | | 6 | - | 1 | - | 2 | In | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | | 8 | .5 | 6 | - | 2 | - | 1 | In | 45 | 41 | 12 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 585 | | 8 | | 6 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 100.0 | % | 16 | 34 | 31 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 261,952 | | | 5 | - | 2 | - | 2 | In | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | | 7 | .5 | 5 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 99.9 | | 2 | 16 | 32 | 31 | 14 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 1,235 | | 7 | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 83.5 | | 0 | 3 | 11 | 21 | 26 | 22 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 394,453 | | | 4 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 33.3 | | | | | | 33 | | 33 | 33 | | | | | | | | | 3 | | 6 | .5 | 4 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 46.6 | | | | 0 | 3 | 14 | 29 | 32 | 15 | 5 | 1 | | | | | | | 1,677 | | 6 | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 9.9 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 22 | 23 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 394,443 | | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | 1 | | 5 | .5 | 3 | - | 5 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | 1 | 6 | 19 | 29 | 29 | 12 | 3 | 0 | | | 1,304 | | 5 | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 26 | 23 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 262,877 | | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | 1 | | 4 | .5 | 2 | - | 6 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 4 | 13 | 32 | 33 | 15 | 2 | 629 | | 4 | | 2 | - | 7 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 31 | 35 | 16 | 112,467 | | | 1 | - | 6 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 50 | 50 | 2 | | 3 | .5 | 1 | - | 7 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 21 | 48 | 29 | 177 | | 3 | | 1 | - | 8 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 31 | 62 | 28,158 | | 2 | .5 | 0 | - | 8 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 15 | 85 | 33 | | 2 | | 0 | - | 9 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 9 | 91 | 3,185 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 48.4 | % | 9 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1,608,000 | |
Chance Will Make Playoffs
LotteryYe of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds. Big GamesWeek of 9/18 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | MACHO 265.73 Ginger Army 279.87 | +2.5 | | Professor 236 Jadeveon 301.43 | +0.0 | | Pollos 266.45 Glaurung 205 | -0.0 | | Ra's al Ghul 232.45 End Stags 298 | +0.0 | | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Week of 9/25 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Dez vs MACHO | +2.7-0.2-2.7 | | TDs vs Ra's al Ghul | +0.0*-0.3-0.0 | | Cheyenne vs End Stags | -0.0*+0.3+0.0 | | Geese vs Spectral | -0.0*+0.1+0.0 | | Jadeveon vs MegaTrob | +0.0*-0.1-0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What If | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11 | | 9 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 97 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10 | .5 | 8 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10 | | 8 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 79 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 9 | .5 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 68 | 29 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 9 | | 7 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 31 | 37 | 22 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 6 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | .5 | 6 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 8 | 27 | 35 | 21 | 6 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | | 6 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 21 | 21 | 16 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 5 | - | 2 | - | 2 | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 7 | .5 | 5 | - | 3 | - | 1 | | | 1 | 6 | 14 | 23 | 24 | 18 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 7 | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 4 | - | 3 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | 33 | | | | 33 | 33 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 6 | .5 | 4 | - | 4 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 21 | 25 | 19 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 6 | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 5 | .5 | 3 | - | 5 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 19 | 24 | 22 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 5 | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | 4 | .5 | 2 | - | 6 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 25 | 25 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | 4 | | 2 | - | 7 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 21 | 22 | 16 | 7 | 1 | | 1 | - | 6 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 50 | | 50 | | 3 | .5 | 1 | - | 7 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 3 | 9 | 30 | 37 | 15 | 5 | 3 | | 1 | - | 8 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 36 | 28 | 2 | .5 | 0 | - | 8 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 9 | 42 | 48 | 2 | | 0 | - | 9 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 23 | 74 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
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