Glaurung the Golden Playoff Chances 2014Lost to Pollos 205-266.45, playoff odds down 22.8 to 47.9% 2-1-0 .667 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 9/18 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Pollos 266.45 Glaurung 205 | -12.1 | | -1.2 | | Wacky 286.1 Thompsons 269.4 | -0.4 | | -0.0 | | MACHO 265.73 Ginger Army 279.87 | +0.3 | | +0.0 | | Spectral 267.08 Dez 256.1 | -0.1 | | -0.0 | | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Week of 9/25 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Glaurung vs Wacky | +13.0*-1.3-13.3 | | +1.3+0.0-1.3 | | Thompsons vs Rabbits | +0.6-3.2-0.5 | | +0.0-0.2-0.0 | | Dez vs MACHO | +0.4*+0.6-0.3 | | +0.0*+0.1-0.0 | | Panuckers vs Gators | -0.3*-0.6+0.4 | | -0.0*-0.1+0.0 | | Geese vs Spectral | +0.2*+0.2-0.2 | | | | Plax vs Pollos | +0.2*-0.2-0.2 | | +0.0*-0.1-0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Glaurung finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11 | | 9 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 9,940 | | 10 | .5 | 8 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 80 | | 10 | | 8 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 91 | 9 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 86,659 | | 9 | .5 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 80 | 19 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 532 | | 9 | | 7 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | 56 | 35 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 347,572 | | 8 | .5 | 6 | - | 2 | - | 1 | In | 33 | 44 | 19 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,974 | | 8 | | 6 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 99.9 | % | 11 | 31 | 32 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 809,439 | | | 5 | - | 2 | - | 2 | In | 20 | 40 | 20 | | 20 | | | | | | | | | | | | 5 | | 7 | .5 | 5 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 99.4 | | 1 | 11 | 30 | 34 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 3,910 | | 7 | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 80.9 | | 0 | 2 | 9 | 20 | 26 | 23 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 1,212,914 | | | 4 | - | 3 | - | 2 | In | | | | | 50 | 50 | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | | 6 | .5 | 4 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 42.3 | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 27 | 32 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | 4,725 | | 6 | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 9.8 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 23 | 24 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 1,206,848 | | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | 25 | 38 | 25 | | 13 | | | | | | 8 | | 5 | .5 | 3 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 32 | 26 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | 3,860 | | 5 | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 27 | 20 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 799,585 | | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | 33 | 50 | 17 | | | | 6 | | 4 | .5 | 2 | - | 6 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 33 | 28 | 9 | 1 | 1,943 | | 4 | | 2 | - | 7 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 29 | 10 | 340,093 | | 3 | .5 | 1 | - | 7 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 21 | 46 | 28 | 499 | | 3 | | 1 | - | 8 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 38 | 50 | 84,142 | | 2 | .5 | 0 | - | 8 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 33 | 66 | 67 | | 2 | | 0 | - | 9 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 14 | 86 | 9,645 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 47.9 | % | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 4,924,448 | |
Chance Will Make Playoffs
LotteryYe of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds. Big GamesWeek of 9/18 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Pollos 266.45 Glaurung 205 | +2.5 | | Ra's al Ghul 232.45 End Stags 298 | +0.0 | | MACHO 265.73 Ginger Army 279.87 | -0.0 | | Abby's 289.85 TDs 234.4 | -0.0 | | Staff 265.68 Cheyenne 208.19 | +0.0 | | Wacky 286.1 Thompsons 269.4 | +0.0 | | Professor 236 Jadeveon 301.43 | +0.0 | | 12th Man 274.3 KC_Love 220.3 | +0.0 | | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Week of 9/25 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Glaurung vs Wacky | -2.5+0.0+2.6 | | TDs vs Ra's al Ghul | +0.0*+0.0-0.1 | | Thompsons vs Rabbits | -0.0*+0.5+0.0 | | Cheyenne vs End Stags | -0.0*+0.1+0.0 | | Panuckers vs Gators | +0.0*+0.2-0.0 | | Dez vs MACHO | -0.0*-0.2+0.0 | | Jadeveon vs MegaTrob | +0.0*-0.1-0.0 | | Plax vs Pollos | -0.0*+0.2+0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What If | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11 | | 9 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 95 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10 | .5 | 8 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 90 | 9 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10 | | 8 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 66 | 28 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 9 | .5 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 42 | 42 | 13 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 9 | | 7 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 17 | 33 | 28 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | .5 | 6 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 4 | 15 | 30 | 27 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | | 6 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 21 | 20 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 5 | - | 2 | - | 2 | | | 20 | 20 | | 20 | 20 | | | 20 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 7 | .5 | 5 | - | 3 | - | 1 | | | 0 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 24 | 24 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 7 | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 13 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 4 | - | 3 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 6 | .5 | 4 | - | 4 | - | 1 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 24 | 23 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 6 | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | | 25 | 13 | | 13 | | | | | | | | | | | 5 | .5 | 3 | - | 5 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 22 | 25 | 19 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | 5 | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 16 | 17 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 33 | 17 | 17 | 17 | | | | 17 | | | | | | 4 | .5 | 2 | - | 6 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 24 | 25 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 0 | | | 4 | | 2 | - | 7 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 21 | 21 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | .5 | 1 | - | 7 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 27 | 11 | 2 | 3 | | 1 | - | 8 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 29 | 28 | 12 | 2 | .5 | 0 | - | 8 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 4 | 28 | 40 | 27 | 2 | | 0 | - | 9 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 34 | 55 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
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